Handicappers' Race Results

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Hawthorne
Saturday - October 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   10/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
See original race card.
:25 :484 1:133 1:392   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  COUNTER OFFER 6 4 44 4 52 31 1hd (lopez elias)LEZCANO ABEL 121 8.00 1.50  
TIO BLAS 1 2 1½ 1½ 11 2nk 2hd (scherer gary)MOJICA O 121 6.00 3.00  
10  PERFECT WAGER 4 1 3 3 21 1nk 3 (broberg kar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 5.00 2.10  
WILLING TO SPEED 2 3 2½ 2½ 42 54 4 (perez manny)RIVERA BRYAN 114 20.00 13.90  
11  GAGOOTS 5 6 67 66 3 4 5 (watkins m)EMIGH A 121 15.00 5.60  
DRAMATIC KITTEN 3 5 5 56 66 69 618¼ (cook brian)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00 27.40  
SCR  RIVER FINN               (haran jo)BAILON JADHIR 121 15.00    
SCR  MOUNTAIN PINE               (litfin nevad)GALLARDO EDUARDO 117 8.00    
SCR  MARV'S MAGIC               (granitz a)DE CRUZ 121 8.00    
SCR  JOLTING JOE               (cook brian)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JIMMY D               (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  HANNITY               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 121 3.50 6% 14.50    
SCR  VINTAGE KITTEN               (vitali marcus )CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00 8% 11.90    
SCR  CAMMACK               (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
HAW-2   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOURNEYIST 6 2 1nk 1   14 14 (boyce miche)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 2.50 15% 5.60 4.20 W
GHAALEB'S HONOR 3 7 7 7   24 24 (becker scott)EMIGH A 121 4.50 39% 1.60 2.90 P
STORMY EMPIRE 5 6 6 5   5 36 (kirby frank)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 3.00 20% 4.00 1.30 S
SUMMER BELLE 7 1 5 4   7 4 (mitchell anthony)LOPEZ E 118 4.00 4.00  
SHINE DOWN 2 5 2nk 3   34 5 (higgins dennis)SAMPSON KIM 124 15.00 59.60  
SWEET FRAULEIN 4 3 4 2   6 69 (hernandez j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 12.00 32.80  
I DON'T KNOW MARGO 1 4 31 6   4 712¾ (pompell robert)TAVARES JAVIER 118 6.00 10.90  
 
HAW-3   10/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:142 1:412   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PASTA SALAD RHONDA 7 10 710 6 64 3½ 1¾ (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 120 4.50 4.70  
MO SMOKING 4 3 32 3 4 1½ 2¾ (scherer gary)RIVERA BRYAN 113 12.00 20.60  
IZZY'S MONSTER 3 7 811 7 76 5 3 (rosin w)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 12.00 5.20  
LORRAINE'S LEGACY 8 2 5 43 21 2½ 4 (block chris)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 25% 3.00 4.00  
11  VOSTRA 10 9 1013¼ 88 3 43 5 (spagnola ida)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 15.00 43.50  
ANA 2 6 4 53 5 7 6 (scherer gary)FELIX E 120 10.00 9% 10.30 11.20  
KEEP LEFT 5 4 2½ 2½ 11 6 712½ (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 120 4.00 11% 7.80 5.30  
10  LILLY LANE 9 1 6 99 1011 810¼ 816¾ (granitz j)BAIRD T 120 5.00 4.80  
NORTHERN CHARMER 6 8 911¼ 1011 910 911¼ 918¼ (rengstorf t)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 113 15.00 42.10  
GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN 1 5 1½ 1½ 8 1015¾ 1044½ (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 8.00 4.80  
SCR  PRINCESS TONI               (hernande)BAILON JADHIR 120 30.00    
SCR  ROMAN FLAME               (cox h)SANJUR SANTO 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  THEMISCHIEVOUSONE               (block chris)MOJICA O 120 6.00    
SCR  WET PAINT               (cox h)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.00 11% 8.50    
 
HAW-4   10/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:11
See original race card.
:221 :46 :582     1:05   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APOLLO U ANYWHERE 7 1 11 11   1 1 (quinonez max)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 12.00 7.20  
MARYS LAST SONG 5 9 8 8   3 2 (burdess terry)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 4.50 19% 4.20 1.20 P
STERN 4 2 3 31   2 34 (clay pat)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 10.00 21.20 S
ALMAFUERTE 6 3 4 42   5 45 (martinez a)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 5.00 7.20  
10  LADY ATLANTIC 9 6 5 21   44 5 (ryan a)RIVERA BRYAN 114 20.00 20.80  
AH LEAH 8 7 7 6   8 6 (hernandez arma)TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00 7.40  
KITTEN ROCKS 1 4 6 7   6 7 (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 12.00 8% 11.50 9.50  
WANNA HAVE FUN 2 8 9 9   9 8 (hughes w)MOJICA O 121 8.00 19.40  
AIKEN TO BE 3 5 21 5   7 913 (broberg kar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 3.50 45% 1.20 4.80  
SCR  HEY HEY               (candelas blanca)FELIX E 121 15.00    
SCR  LIL BIT TIPSEY               (mcewen bill)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 10.00    
 
HAW-5   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:43
See original race card.
:213 :45 :573     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LATIN CASINO 1 4 1½ 12   13 1 (becker scott)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.50 32% 2.10 1.40 W
TIME HEIST 5 3 5 5   4 2 (litfin nevada)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 4.00 14% 6.10 8.40 P
NAUGHTY ALFRED 2 5 2½ 22   23 34 (manley steve)BAIRD T 121 2.50 28% 2.60 2.50 S
D' YANK 3 6 6 810½   57 4 (martinez a)EMIGH A 121 8.00 11.30  
LITTLE KANSAS 6 9 911 913½   6 5 (reid r)LOPEZ A 121 12.00 27.90  
EASTER MUSIC 7 8 7 3   3 67 (hernandez arma)TAVARES JAVIER 124 15.00 52.10  
PUBLIC SAFETY 4 7 87 7   7 77 (rosin w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00 12.90  
OSCAR WINNER WALLY 9 2 44 4   811½ 810¼ (broberg kar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 8.00 6.60  
TORIN 8 1 32 67   912 913¾ (martinez a)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 10.00 13.50  
 
HAW-6   10/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 YIELDING nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:121 1:363   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RICHIESGOTGAME 1 4 4 32 42 4 1nk (rivelli larr)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 27% 2.70 4.00 W
ANOTHER MYSTERY 3 7 74 53 5 5 2nk (block chris)MOJICA O 125 2.00 46% 1.20 0.50 P
READTHECLIFFNOTES 2 1 11 11 1nk 11 3¼ (boyce michele)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 5.00 13.60 S
TEMPER TANTRUM 5 3 3 42 31 21 4 (hernandez a)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 2.50 4.50  
POWER THROUGH 4 2 21 21 2nk 31 5 (goldfine a)EMIGH A 118 10.00 16.70  
LAND MARK DEAL 6 5 6 6 64 6 6 (block chris)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00 17.80  
YOU'RE IN COREY 7 6 53 7 79 714¾ 719½ (pompell robert)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00 46.90  
 
HAW-7   10/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:36
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:094     1:161   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVE THE NEST 6 5 3 31   11 1 (berndt joel)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 3.50 54% 0.90 0.80 W
OMAHA RED 2 4 5 42   43 2 (robertson h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 5.00 3.10 P
CHICKS DIG SCARS 3 3 2nk 2nk   21 3 (arnett g)EMIGH A 124 6.00 5.30  
10  NAVY SEAL (IRE) 7 6 6 65   5 4 (knott nancy )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00 6.90  
TONYS MORNING LINE 5 7 7 79   7 5 (essenpre)BAILON JADHIR 118 30.00 5% 19.00 17.50  
MAGIC CASTLE 1 2 1nk 1nk   3 610 (broberg kar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00 15.00  
LAUDA SPEED 4 1 42 53   6 716½ (becker scott)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 15.00 10% 9.10 24.90  
SCR  BRING ME A CHECK               (rengstorf ton)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 8.00    
SCR  GOLDEN HORNET               (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 121 6.00    
SCR  KHOZAN'S SUCCESS               (becker scott)BAIRD T 121 10.00    
SCR  MOTO MOTO               (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.50 11% 8.10    
 
HAW-8   10/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:03
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:113     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUPER FORTUNE 5 3 4 5   4 1¾ (rosin w)MOJICA O 121 5.00 35% 1.80 2.00 W
IRISH TUFF 4 8 73 41   21 2¾ (perez manny)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 6.00 26% 2.90 3.20 P
CHRISTMAS PRESENT 2 4 1½ 1½   11 3¾ (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 6.00 4.80 S
WHERE'D THE DAY GO 8 2 31 2½   5 44 (berndt joel)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50 9.90  
NATURAL CHILL 7 1 2½ 3½   31 55 (robertson hu)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 13.70  
FINAL CALL 3 9 97 8   7 6 (haran jo)BAILON JADHIR 121 20.00 44.20  
11  ICECAP 10 7 86 7   6 7 (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 15.00 14.90  
PIRATE BIRD 1 10 1010½ 911   9 8 (rosin w)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 8.00 11.70  
10  FINE GRAYDAR 9 6 5 6   8 911¾ (becker scott)EMIGH A 118 15.00 28.90  
SKOL FACTOR 6 5 6 1015   1021¼ 1039½ (meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 20.00 10% 8.60 8.00  
SCR  ASTOROTH               (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 121 20.00    
SCR  RODEO MAN               (wiese john)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.