Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Saturday - October 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   10/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JOLTING JOE Aug02 Jun24 Jun10 May21 May01 (cook brian)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  TIO BLAS Sep08 Aug24 Jul02 May28 Mar18 (scherer gary)MOJICA O 121 6.00    
SCR  HANNITY Sep23 Aug19 Jun24 Jun04   (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 3.50 6% 14.50    
SCR  VINTAGE KITTEN Aug30 Aug17 Jun27 Jun08 May30 (vitali marcu)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 6.00 8% 11.90    
5  WILLING TO SPEED Sep30 Jun24 Jun04 May20 May13 (perez manny)RIVERA BRYAN 114 20.00    
6  DRAMATIC KITTEN Sep23 Aug02 Jun24 Jun10 May14 (cook bria)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00    
SCR  CAMMACK Sep23 Jun24 Jun10     (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  RIVER FINN Sep23 Aug17 Jul21 Jun24 Jun04 (haran )BAILON JADHIR 121 15.00    
SCR  MOUNTAIN PINE Sep15 Aug31 Aug20 Jul30 Jul16 (litfin nev)GALLARDO EDUARDO 117 8.00    
10  PERFECT WAGER Sep30 Sep17 Sep01 Aug21 Jul28 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 5.00    
11  GAGOOTS Sep30 Sep16 Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 (watkins m)EMIGH A 121 15.00    
12  COUNTER OFFER Oct04 Aug02 Jul06 Jun11 May12 (lopez elias)LEZCANO ABEL 121 8.00    
SCR  JIMMY D Sep28 Sep07 Jul21 Jun25 Jun11 (davis christopher)LOPEZ E 121 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  MARV'S MAGIC Oct04 Sep23 Sep15 Aug17 Apr22 (granitz)DE CRUZ 121 8.00    
 
HAW-2   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I DON'T KNOW MARGO Sep23 Sep02 Aug06 Jun14 May15 (pompell robe)TAVARES JAVIER 118 6.00    
2  SHINE DOWN Sep23 Sep16 Sep09 Aug26 Jul30 (higgins dennis)SAMPSON KIM 124 15.00    
3  GHAALEB'S HONOR Sep30 Aug30       (becker scott)EMIGH A 121 4.50 39% 1.60    
4  SWEET FRAULEIN Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 Aug09 Jul30 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 12.00 ★    
5  STORMY EMPIRE Aug02 Jul12 Jun25 Jun04 May15 (kirby fra)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 3.00 20% 4.00    
6  JOURNEYIST         (boyce mic)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 2.50 15% 5.60    
7  SUMMER BELLE Sep04 Jul28 Jun25 Jun04 May15 (mitchell anthony)LOPEZ E 118 4.00 ★    
 
HAW-3   10/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 2 F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN Sep15 Aug28       (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 8.00    
2  ANA Aug17 Jul27       (scherer gary)FELIX E 120 10.00 9% 10.30    
3  IZZY'S MONSTER Sep15 Aug20       (rosin w)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 12.00    
SCR  PRINCESS TONI Sep23         (hernan)BAILON JADHIR 120 30.00    
5  MO SMOKING Aug28 Jul30 Jul04     (scherer gary)RIVERA BRYAN 113 12.00    
6  KEEP LEFT Oct01         (rodriguez eduardo)EMIGH A 120 4.00 11% 7.80    
7  NORTHERN CHARMER Sep17 Aug31       (rengstorf t)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 15.00    
8  PASTA SALAD RHONDA         (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 120 4.50    
9  LORRAINE'S LEGACY         (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 25% 3.00    
10  LILLY LANE Sep26 Sep09       (granitz j)BAIRD T 120 5.00    
11  VOSTRA         (spagnola id)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 15.00    
SCR  WET PAINT Sep08         (cox brad )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  ROMAN FLAME Oct13         (cox h)SANJUR SANTO 120 5.00 23% 3.40    
SCR  THEMISCHIEVOUSONE         (block chris)MOJICA O 120 6.00    
 
HAW-4   10/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIL BIT TIPSEY Sep13 Sep02 Aug02 Jul12 Jun18 (mcewen bi)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 10.00    
2  KITTEN ROCKS Sep25 Jul08 Jun18 Jun04 May01 (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 12.00 8% 11.50    
3  WANNA HAVE FUN Oct02 Aug24 Aug05 Jul21 Jul13 (hughes w)MOJICA O 121 8.00 ★    
4  AIKEN TO BE Sep08 Aug21 Jun25 Jun04 Mar09 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 3.50 45% 1.20    
5  STERN Sep19 Sep02 Aug08 Jul18 Jun24 (clay pat)BARANDELA SOFIA 117 10.00 ★    
6  MARYS LAST SONG Sep02 Aug19 Aug02 Jun24 Jun11 (burdess ter)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 4.50 19% 4.20    
7  ALMAFUERTE Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 Jul19 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 121 5.00    
8  APOLLO U ANYWHERE Sep17 Sep09 Aug23 Aug09 Jul02 (quinonez ma)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 12.00    
9  AH LEAH Sep25 Aug13 Jul22 Jul15 Jun25 (hernandez ar)TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00    
10  LADY ATLANTIC Sep25 Aug17 Jul07 Jun17 Jun03 (ryan a)RIVERA BRYAN 114 20.00    
SCR  HEY HEY Sep25 Sep04 Aug21 Jul03 Jun17 (candelas blanca)FELIX E 121 15.00    
 
HAW-5   10/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATIN CASINO Sep25 Jul09 Jun14 May21 Mar11 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.50 32% 2.10    
2  NAUGHTY ALFRED Sep24 Sep03 Aug16 Jul29 Jul09 (manley steve)BAIRD T 121 2.50 28% 2.60    
3  D' YANK Sep25 Jul16 Jun17 May24 May07 (martinez a)LOPEZ E 121 8.00 ★    
4  PUBLIC SAFETY Sep15 Sep04 Aug10 Jun29 Jun04 (rosin coty)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00 ★    
5  TIME HEIST Sep24 Sep07 Jul28 Jul02 Jun09 (litfin nevad)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 4.00 14% 6.10    
6  LITTLE KANSAS Sep24 Aug22 Jul21 Jul07 Jun18 (reid r)LOPEZ A 121 12.00    
7  EASTER MUSIC Sep24         (hernandez ar)TAVARES JAVIER 124 15.00    
8  TORIN Sep23 Aug24 Jul19 Jun14 May24 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 121 10.00    
9  OSCAR WINNER WALLY Sep26 Sep19 Aug20 Aug01 Jul11 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 8.00    
 
HAW-6   10/15/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 YIELDING nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RICHIESGOTGAME Sep25 Jun21 Jun03 May13   (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
2  READTHECLIFFNOTES         (boyce miche)SANTIAGO VICTOR 118 5.00 ★    
3  ANOTHER MYSTERY Sep10 Jul27 Jun03 May21 Apr23 (block chris)MOJICA O 125 2.00 46% 1.20    
4  POWER THROUGH Oct07 Aug31 Aug09 Jul12 Jun18 (goldfine a)EMIGH A 118 10.00 ★    
5  TEMPER TANTRUM Aug07 Jul16 Jun25 Jun03   (hernandez)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 2.50 ★    
6  LAND MARK DEAL Sep25 Sep06 Jul18 Jun11   (block chr)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00    
7  YOU'RE IN COREY Sep23 Sep02 Aug19 Jul30 Jul15 (pompell robe)TAVARES JAVIER 122 15.00    
 
HAW-7   10/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOLDEN HORNET Oct01 Aug13 Jul19     (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 121 6.00    
2  MAGIC CASTLE Sep10 Aug20 Jul27 Jul14 Jun25 (broberg k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00    
3  OMAHA RED Sep29 Sep10 Aug17 Jul21 Jun18 (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 5.00 ★    
4  CHICKS DIG SCARS Sep26 Sep09 Aug07 Jul24 Jul08 (arnett g)EMIGH A 124 6.00    
5  LAUDA SPEED Jul16 Jun18 May31 May13 Apr10 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 15.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  BRING ME A CHECK Sep14 Aug17 Jun12 May26 Mar04 (rengstorf t)QUINONEZ ALONSO 121 8.00    
7  TONYS MORNING LINE Aug05 Jul15 Jun28 Jun11 May28 (essenp)BAILON JADHIR 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
8  LOVE THE NEST Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 May01   (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 3.50 54% 0.90    
SCR  KHOZAN'S SUCCESS Aug30 Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Jun18 (becker scott)BAIRD T 121 10.00    
10  NAVY SEAL (IRE) Jun11 May27 May07 Apr02 Feb26 (knott nanc)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00    
SCR  MOTO MOTO Sep26 Sep09 Aug07 Jun25 May29 (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.50 11% 8.10    
 
HAW-8   10/15/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PIRATE BIRD Sep30 Sep08 Aug28 Aug10 Jul31 (rosin w)BAILEY CHEL-C 116 8.00    
2  CHRISTMAS PRESENT Sep30 Aug12 Jun24 Jun10 May04 (cook brian)BAIRD T 121 6.00 ★    
3  FINAL CALL Sep30 Aug16 Jul20 Jun24 Jun10 (haran )BAILON JADHIR 121 20.00    
4  IRISH TUFF Sep25 Sep14 Aug27 Aug18 Aug04 (perez man)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 6.00 26% 2.90    
5  SOUPER FORTUNE Oct07 Sep15 Aug31 Aug18 Aug03 (rosin w)MOJICA O 121 5.00 35% 1.80    
6  SKOL FACTOR Aug18 Jun25 Jun10     (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 20.00 10% 8.60    
SCR  RODEO MAN Sep16 Aug16 Jul29 Jul12 Jun28 (wiese john)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 15.00    
8  NATURAL CHILL Sep14 Aug18 Jul02 Jun09   (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 ★    
9  WHERE'D THE DAY GO Oct02 Aug27 Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50    
10  FINE GRAYDAR Sep02 Aug06 Jul12 Jun28   (becker scott)EMIGH A 118 15.00    
11  ICECAP Sep24 Sep10 May28 May13 Mar19 (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 15.00    
SCR  ASTOROTH Sep24 Aug26 Aug13 Jul23 Jun11 (delong ben)TAVARES JAVIER 121 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.