Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - December 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :482 1:014     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  QUEENIE ROSE 2 5 22½ 2nk   11½ 12¾ (cline c)PAUCAR E 125 3.00 14% 6.10 5.60 W
3  UPTOWN MILLIE 3 6 58½ 43½   21½ 22¾ (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 125 6.00 ★ 14.20 P
5  DANZA MAGIC 5 4 43½ 53¾   43½ 37¼ (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 125 1.80 9% 10.60 1.60 S
1  MISS ELLIE 1 2 32½ 31   31½ 410¾ (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 120 2.50 56% 0.80 1.20  
4  DOZZA 4 3 610½ 613¾   611 521½ (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 125 8.00 15.00  
6  BROKEN JEWEL 6 1 12½ 1nk   57½ 627¼ (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 125 8.00 ★ 7.60  
 
MVR-2   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:154 1:293   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NINJA KITTEN 6 1 11 12 11 12½ 14¾ (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 5.80  
5  BOURBON BUNS 4 2 43½ 47 45 22½ 24¾ (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 123 1.40 ★ 1.80 P
2  COURTED 2 4 32 33 32 54½ 35¾ (la)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 15% 5.60 3.70 S
6  PRESCIENCE 5 5 56 512 57½ 33½ 46¼ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 126 3.00 12% 7.20 2.90  
1  KEYPIT 1 3 21 22 21 44½ 58 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.50 15% 5.80 4.00  
3  NATIVE VALLEY 3 6 69½ 614 611½ 69 614¾ (bird dann)CORREA L 126 8.00 15.40  
SCR  CROSSTOWN GIRL               (fiesman robert)DIAZ I 123 10.00 31% 2.30    
 
MVR-3   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME 2 4 35 32   11 110 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 117 1.40 36% 1.80 0.70 W
7  JOHN'S WILD RIVER 6 6 46 21   32 210 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 5.00 ★ 4.00 P
1A  HEARDITALLBEFORE 9 9 56 42   42 311¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 1.40 0.70  
8  PEDAL TO DA KETTLE 7 7 915 912½   815 415 (schuste)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00 15.20  
3  ANIMO ROBERTO 1 8 812 812¼   714 515¼ (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 4.50 10% 9.50 11.30  
5  BAILEY ROAD 4 5 78 58   59 618½ (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 117 6.00 10.20  
9  OHIO RIVER 8 1 11½ 11   21 719½ (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 15% 5.50 4.80  
6  NEW YORK MIRACLE 5 2 67 78¼   612 826½ (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 122 20.00 51.60  
4  TRANSPIRED 3 3 21½ 68¼   917 930½ (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 122 12.00 20.40  
SCR  WHY KENNY WHY               (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 122 10.00 15% 5.50    
 
MVR-4   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:231 :47 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HIP HIP HOORAY 6 5 2½ 2nk   11 1½ (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.80 26% 2.90 0.40 W
2  TO WIN 2 2 42 32½   35 2½ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 3.00 13% 6.50 6.70 P
4  SIMON SAYS 4 1 1½ 1nk   21 34 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 2.50 38% 1.70 4.40 S
3  SCOOBY DREW 3 6 63 42¾   57½ 47 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 10.20  
1  GONE IN A FLASH 1 3 32 53¼   47½ 57 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 ★ 14.90  
5  TIDE RISING 5 4 52½ 64¾   67¾ 614 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00 ★ 22.60  
 
MVR-5   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:124 1:262   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SMASH 5 1 11 11½ 14½ 17 116¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00 ★ 7.40  
10  TIP SHEET 8 4 54½ 58 56 27 216¼ (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 4.00 16% 5.10 3.90 P
6  TAMANRASSETT 6 2 21 21½ 24½ 310 319¾ (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 3.30  
9  COSMIC TREASURE 7 3 32 42 35½ 411 422 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 126 3.00 48% 1.10 1.60  
3  ALGORIX 3 8 88 815 715 819½ 526½ (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 6% 17.10 9.70  
1  GAGE HAS A GRAY 1 5 42 31½ 45½ 513½ 627 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 12.00 8.10  
2  OPEN OUT 2 7 76 714 817 719½ 727¼ (london)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 30.70  
4  ALL STAR JUSTICE 4 6 65 611 612 618½ 828½ (castillo jabd)CEDILLO MAURO 121 12.00 15.20  
SCR  ISTILLGOTIT               (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 126 8.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  PERFETTO               (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
 
MVR-6   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:231 :47 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  YEARS AGO 7 1 1nk 12   11½ 13¾ (rone mike)AVILES YAN 118 2.00 15% 5.60 2.60 W
2  ENCHANTEDLY 2 5 2nk 22   31½ 23¾ (waltz brian)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00 ★ 2.90 P
1  MY DANCING QUEEN 1 3 33 33   21½ 36¾ (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 123 15.00 12.10  
3  ALSANAH 3 6 76¾ 79   56¼ 47 (rone mike)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 6.30  
7  ONLY SHOW IN TOWN 6 4 53¾ 46   46 510 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 12.00 25.70  
4  SILENCING 4 7 65¾ 68   76¾ 612¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 ★ 3.40  
6  SCARRAZANO 5 2 43½ 56   66¾ 716¼ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 42% 1.40 3.50  
SCR  TEAM GOLD DIGGER               (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 15.00 12% 7.50    
 
MVR-7   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPING SCORE 1 7 714¾ 711¾   73¾ 1½ (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 4.50  
6  RAISE THE PURSES 5 5 610¾ 67¾   5¾ 2½ (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 123 8.00 11.70  
4  KINGDOM DIAMOND 4 6 55¾ 52¾   2nk 3½ (meyers shan)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 ★ 4.40 S
8  RUMBLE STRIP RON 7 4 43¼ 42¼   62¼ 42 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 39% 1.50 0.80  
3  KID RUSSELL 3 3 2nk 1nk   1nk 53½ (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 12% 7.20 6.80  
2  COUNTRY RUCKUS 2 2 1nk 2nk   4¼ 67 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 49.50  
7  DYNAMITE CLOUD 6 1 33 32   3.2 77¼ (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 ★ 10.40  
SCR  TEAM LEYENDECKER               (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
MVR-8   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:143 1:281   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BLAME IT ON EDDIE 8 7 87¾ 55½ 32½ 2nk 13½ (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 3.60  
3  NOBLE BEHAVIOR 3 1 11 11½ 11 1nk 23½ (londono odin )BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 9.10  
7  HARD N'SWEET 7 4 31 21½ 21 3½ 36½ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 126 2.00 14% 6.10 1.60 S
10  GEH SCHNELL 10 8 910¼ 98¼ 69½ 55½ 410 (manning richar)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 36.10  
9  DETERMINATOR 9 2 65½ 76 46½ 43½ 513¼ (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 12% 7.00 4.40  
5  GOTSOMEMOJO 5 10 1014¼ 1013¼ 914¾ 711½ 615 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 5% 19.00 23.90  
1  I BELONG TO BECKY 1 9 44 44 59½ 68½ 718½ (hay r)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 11% 7.90 31.40  
2  AMERICAN FLEET 2 6 54½ 65½ 710½ 812½ 819¼ (castillo jabd)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 11.40  
6  JURISDICTION 6 5 75¾ 88 1014¾ 916½ 921 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 29% 2.50 5.80  
4  THIRSTY ACTOR 4 3 21 33½ 814½ 1024½ 1039½ (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 124 20.00 48.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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