The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - December 29, 2022
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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MVR-1   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
:231 :482 1:014     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  QUEENIE ROSE 2 5 22½ 2nk   11½ 12¾ (cline c)PAUCAR E 125 3.00 14% 6.10 5.60 W
3  UPTOWN MILLIE 3 6 58½ 43½   21½ 22¾ (gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 125 6.00 ★ 14.20 P
5  DANZA MAGIC 5 4 43½ 53¾   43½ 37¼ (bernardini p)GONZALEZ ALEX 125 1.80 9% 10.60 1.60 S
1  MISS ELLIE 1 2 32½ 31   31½ 410¾ (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 120 2.50 56% 0.80 1.20  
4  DOZZA 4 3 610½ 613¾   611 521½ (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 125 8.00 15.00  
6  BROKEN JEWEL 6 1 12½ 1nk   57½ 627¼ (yoder d)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 8.00 ★ 7.60  
 
MVR-2   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
:25 :493 1:154 1:293   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NINJA KITTEN 6 1 11 12 11 12½ 14¾ (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 5.80  
5  BOURBON BUNS 4 2 43½ 47 45 22½ 24¾ (zielinski richard)BRACHO A 123 1.40 ★ 1.80 P
2  COURTED 2 4 32 33 32 54½ 35¾ (langley joshua)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 15% 5.60 3.70 S
6  PRESCIENCE 5 5 56 512 57½ 33½ 46¼ (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 126 3.00 12% 7.20 2.90  
1  KEYPIT 1 3 21 22 21 44½ 58 (pappada a)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.50 15% 5.80 4.00  
3  NATIVE VALLEY 3 6 69½ 614 611½ 69 614¾ (bird danny)CORREA L 126 8.00 15.40  
SCR  CROSSTOWN GIRL               (fiesman l)DIAZ I 123 10.00 31% 2.30    
 
MVR-3   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 1:41
:23 :474 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME 2 4 35 32   11 110 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 117 1.40 36% 1.80 0.70 W
7  JOHN'S WILD RIVER 6 6 46 21   32 210 (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 5.00 ★ 4.00 P
1A  HEARDITALLBEFORE 9 9 56 42   42 311¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 1.40 0.70  
8  PEDAL TO DA KETTLE 7 7 915 912½   815 415 (schuster robin)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00 15.20  
3  ANIMO ROBERTO 1 8 812 812¼   714 515¼ (lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 4.50 10% 9.50 11.30  
5  BAILEY ROAD 4 5 78 58   59 618½ (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 117 6.00 10.20  
9  OHIO RIVER 8 1 11½ 11   21 719½ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 15% 5.50 4.80  
6  NEW YORK MIRACLE 5 2 67 78¼   612 826½ (zielinski richard)BIRT BRAXON 122 20.00 51.60  
4  TRANSPIRED 3 3 21½ 68¼   917 930½ (gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 122 12.00 20.40  
SCR  WHY KENNY WHY               (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 122 10.00 15% 5.50    
 
MVR-4   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
:231 :47 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HIP HIP HOORAY 6 5 2½ 2nk   11 1½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.80 26% 2.90 0.40 W
2  TO WIN 2 2 42 32½   35 2½ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 3.00 13% 6.50 6.70 P
4  SIMON SAYS 4 1 1½ 1nk   21 34 (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 2.50 38% 1.70 4.40 S
3  SCOOBY DREW 3 6 63 42¾   57½ 47 (smith larry)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 10.20  
1  GONE IN A FLASH 1 3 32 53¼   47½ 57 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 ★ 14.90  
5  TIDE RISING 5 4 52½ 64¾   67¾ 614 (mahan p)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00 ★ 22.60  
 
MVR-5   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
:24 :473 1:124 1:262   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SMASH 5 1 11 11½ 14½ 17 116¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00 ★ 7.40  
10  TIP SHEET 8 4 54½ 58 56 27 216¼ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 126 4.00 16% 5.10 3.90 P
6  TAMANRASSETT 6 2 21 21½ 24½ 310 319¾ (radosevich justin)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 3.30  
9  COSMIC TREASURE 7 3 32 42 35½ 411 422 (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 126 3.00 48% 1.10 1.60  
3  ALGORIX 3 8 88 815 715 819½ 526½ (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 6% 17.10 9.70  
1  GAGE HAS A GRAY 1 5 42 31½ 45½ 513½ 627 (bernardini p)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 12.00 8.10  
2  OPEN OUT 2 7 76 714 817 719½ 727¼ (londono j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 30.70  
4  ALL STAR JUSTICE 4 6 65 611 612 618½ 828½ (castillo jabdiel)CEDILLO MAURO 121 12.00 15.20  
SCR  ISTILLGOTIT               (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 126 8.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  PERFETTO               (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
 
MVR-6   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
:231 :47 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  YEARS AGO 7 1 1nk 12   11½ 13¾ (rone mike)AVILES YAN 118 2.00 15% 5.60 2.60 W
2  ENCHANTEDLY 2 5 2nk 22   31½ 23¾ (waltz brian)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00 ★ 2.90 P
1  MY DANCING QUEEN 1 3 33 33   21½ 36¾ (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 123 15.00 12.10  
3  ALSANAH 3 6 76¾ 79   56¼ 47 (rone mike)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 6.30  
7  ONLY SHOW IN TOWN 6 4 53¾ 46   46 510 (murillo alejandro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 12.00 25.70  
4  SILENCING 4 7 65¾ 68   76¾ 612¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 ★ 3.40  
6  SCARRAZANO 5 2 43½ 56   66¾ 716¼ (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 42% 1.40 3.50  
SCR  TEAM GOLD DIGGER               (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 15.00 12% 7.50    
 
MVR-7   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
:224 :464 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPING SCORE 1 7 714¾ 711¾   73¾ 1½ (castro a)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 4.50  
6  RAISE THE PURSES 5 5 610¾ 67¾   5¾ 2½ (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 123 8.00 11.70  
4  KINGDOM DIAMOND 4 6 55¾ 52¾   2nk 3½ (meyers shane)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 ★ 4.40 S
8  RUMBLE STRIP RON 7 4 43¼ 42¼   62¼ 42 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 39% 1.50 0.80  
3  KID RUSSELL 3 3 2nk 1nk   1nk 53½ (juarez lorenzo)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 12% 7.20 6.80  
2  COUNTRY RUCKUS 2 2 1nk 2nk   4¼ 67 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 49.50  
7  DYNAMITE CLOUD 6 1 33 32   3.2 77¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 ★ 10.40  
SCR  TEAM LEYENDECKER               (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
MVR-8   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
:25 :49 1:143 1:281   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BLAME IT ON EDDIE 8 7 87¾ 55½ 32½ 2nk 13½ (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 3.60  
3  NOBLE BEHAVIOR 3 1 11 11½ 11 1nk 23½ (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 9.10  
7  HARD N'SWEET 7 4 31 21½ 21 3½ 36½ (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 126 2.00 14% 6.10 1.60 S
10  GEH SCHNELL 10 8 910¼ 98¼ 69½ 55½ 410 (manning c)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 36.10  
9  DETERMINATOR 9 2 65½ 76 46½ 43½ 513¼ (buttigieg kevin)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 12% 7.00 4.40  
5  GOTSOMEMOJO 5 10 1014¼ 1013¼ 914¾ 711½ 615 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 5% 19.00 23.90  
1  I BELONG TO BECKY 1 9 44 44 59½ 68½ 718½ (hay r)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 11% 7.90 31.40  
2  AMERICAN FLEET 2 6 54½ 65½ 710½ 812½ 819¼ (castillo jabdiel)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 11.40  
6  JURISDICTION 6 5 75¾ 88 1014¾ 916½ 921 (rivera nestor)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 29% 2.50 5.80  
4  THIRSTY ACTOR 4 3 21 33½ 814½ 1024½ 1039½ (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 124 20.00 48.80  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.