Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - December 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:231 :482 1:014     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENIE ROSE 2 5 2 2nk   1 1 (cline c)PAUCAR E 125 3.00 14% 6.10 5.60 W
UPTOWN MILLIE 3 6 5 4   2 2 (gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 125 6.00 14.20 P
DANZA MAGIC 5 4 4 5   4 3 (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 125 1.80 9% 10.60 1.60 S
MISS ELLIE 1 2 3 31   3 410¾ (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 120 2.50 56% 0.80 1.20  
DOZZA 4 3 610½ 613¾   611 521½ (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 125 8.00 15.00  
BROKEN JEWEL 6 1 1 1nk   5 627¼ (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 125 8.00 7.60  
 
MVR-2   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:154 1:293   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NINJA KITTEN 6 1 11 12 11 1 1 (lopez a)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00 5.80  
BOURBON BUNS 4 2 4 47 45 2 2 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 123 1.40 1.80 P
COURTED 2 4 32 33 32 5 3 (lang)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 15% 5.60 3.70 S
PRESCIENCE 5 5 56 512 5 3 4 (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 126 3.00 12% 7.20 2.90  
KEYPIT 1 3 21 22 21 4 58 (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.50 15% 5.80 4.00  
NATIVE VALLEY 3 6 6 614 611½ 69 614¾ (bird danny)CORREA L 126 8.00 15.40  
SCR  CROSSTOWN GIRL               (fiesman l)DIAZ I 123 10.00 31% 2.30    
 
MVR-3   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 1:41
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNEEDTOCOMEHOME 2 4 35 32   11 110 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 117 1.40 36% 1.80 0.70 W
JOHN'S WILD RIVER 6 6 46 21   32 210 (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 122 5.00 4.00 P
1A  HEARDITALLBEFORE 9 9 56 42   42 311¼ (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 1.40 0.70  
PEDAL TO DA KETTLE 7 7 915 912½   815 415 (schuster )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00 15.20  
ANIMO ROBERTO 1 8 812 812¼   714 515¼ (lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 4.50 10% 9.50 11.30  
BAILEY ROAD 4 5 78 58   59 618½ (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 117 6.00 10.20  
OHIO RIVER 8 1 1 11   21 719½ (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 15% 5.50 4.80  
NEW YORK MIRACLE 5 2 67 7   612 826½ (zielinski richard)BIRT BRAXON 122 20.00 51.60  
TRANSPIRED 3 3 2 6   917 930½ (gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 122 12.00 20.40  
SCR  WHY KENNY WHY               (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 122 10.00 15% 5.50    
 
MVR-4   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
See original race card.
:231 :47 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIP HIP HOORAY 6 5 2½ 2nk   11 1½ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.80 26% 2.90 0.40 W
TO WIN 2 2 42 3   35 2½ (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 3.00 13% 6.50 6.70 P
SIMON SAYS 4 1 1½ 1nk   21 34 (smith larry)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 123 2.50 38% 1.70 4.40 S
SCOOBY DREW 3 6 63 4   5 47 (smith lar)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00 10.20  
GONE IN A FLASH 1 3 32 5   4 57 (gorham m)HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 14.90  
TIDE RISING 5 4 5 6   6 614 (mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00 22.60  
 
MVR-5   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:124 1:262   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMASH 5 1 11 1 1 17 116¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00 7.40  
10  TIP SHEET 8 4 5 58 56 27 216¼ (urieta johanna)BRACHO A 126 4.00 16% 5.10 3.90 P
TAMANRASSETT 6 2 21 2 2 310 319¾ (radosevich just)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 3.30  
COSMIC TREASURE 7 3 32 42 3 411 422 (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 126 3.00 48% 1.10 1.60  
ALGORIX 3 8 88 815 715 819½ 526½ (vecchio caryn)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 6% 17.10 9.70  
GAGE HAS A GRAY 1 5 42 3 4 513½ 627 (bernardini jay )GONZALEZ ALEX 124 12.00 8.10  
OPEN OUT 2 7 76 714 817 719½ 727¼ (londono )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00 30.70  
ALL STAR JUSTICE 4 6 65 611 612 618½ 828½ (castillo jabdie)CEDILLO MAURO 121 12.00 15.20  
SCR  ISTILLGOTIT               (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 126 8.00 8% 11.00    
SCR  PERFETTO               (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
 
MVR-6   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
See original race card.
:231 :47 :594     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YEARS AGO 7 1 1nk 12   1 1 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 118 2.00 15% 5.60 2.60 W
ENCHANTEDLY 2 5 2nk 22   3 2 (waltz brian)HOUGHTON D 123 5.00 2.90 P
MY DANCING QUEEN 1 3 33 33   2 3 (urieta johanna)BARBARAN ERIK 123 15.00 12.10  
ALSANAH 3 6 7 79   5 47 (rone mike)GONZALEZ A 123 8.00 6.30  
ONLY SHOW IN TOWN 6 4 5 46   46 510 (murillo r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 12.00 25.70  
SILENCING 4 7 6 68   7 612¼ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 3.40  
SCARRAZANO 5 2 4 56   6 716¼ (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 42% 1.40 3.50  
SCR  TEAM GOLD DIGGER               (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 15.00 12% 7.50    
 
MVR-7   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:224 :464 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEPING SCORE 1 7 714¾ 711¾   7 1½ (castro a)GONZALEZ A 124 15.00 4.50  
RAISE THE PURSES 5 5 610¾ 6   5¾ 2½ (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 123 8.00 11.70  
KINGDOM DIAMOND 4 6 5 5   2nk 3½ (meyers shane)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 4.40 S
RUMBLE STRIP RON 7 4 4 4   6 42 (radosevich jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 123 2.00 39% 1.50 0.80  
KID RUSSELL 3 3 2nk 1nk   1nk 5 (juarez l)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 12% 7.20 6.80  
COUNTRY RUCKUS 2 2 1nk 2nk   4¼ 67 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 49.50  
DYNAMITE CLOUD 6 1 33 32   3.2 7 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 10.40  
SCR  TEAM LEYENDECKER               (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
 
MVR-8   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:143 1:281   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAME IT ON EDDIE 8 7 8 5 3 2nk 1 (vecchio caryn)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00 3.60  
NOBLE BEHAVIOR 3 1 11 1 11 1nk 2 (londono j)BARBARAN ERIK 124 10.00 9.10  
HARD N'SWEET 7 4 31 2 21 3½ 3 (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 126 2.00 14% 6.10 1.60 S
10  GEH SCHNELL 10 8 910¼ 9 6 5 410 (manning richard )HOUGHTON D 124 20.00 36.10  
DETERMINATOR 9 2 6 76 4 4 513¼ (buttigieg kevi)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 12% 7.00 4.40  
GOTSOMEMOJO 5 10 1014¼ 1013¼ 914¾ 711½ 615 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 5% 19.00 23.90  
I BELONG TO BECKY 1 9 44 44 5 6 718½ (hay r)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 11% 7.90 31.40  
AMERICAN FLEET 2 6 5 6 710½ 812½ 819¼ (castillo jabdie)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00 11.40  
JURISDICTION 6 5 7 88 1014¾ 916½ 921 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 29% 2.50 5.80  
THIRSTY ACTOR 4 3 21 3 814½ 1024½ 1039½ (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 124 20.00 48.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.