Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - December 29, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS ELLIE Dec08 Jun13 May26 May12 Apr26 (doering mark)CEDILLO MAURO 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
2  QUEENIE ROSE Dec08         (cline c)PAUCAR E 125 3.00 14% 6.10    
3  UPTOWN MILLIE Dec08 Nov23 Nov08     (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 125 6.00 ★    
4  DOZZA         (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 125 8.00    
5  DANZA MAGIC Dec08 Nov23 Jul26 Jul12 Jun28 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 125 1.80 9% 10.60    
6  BROKEN JEWEL         (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 125 8.00 ★    
 
MVR-2   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEYPIT Dec07 Oct24 Oct06 Sep22 Aug31 (pappada)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 124 4.50 15% 5.80    
2  COURTED Dec22 Nov28 Oct11 Sep28 Sep15 (la)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 15% 5.60    
3  NATIVE VALLEY Dec11 Nov28 Nov15 Oct31 Oct10 (bird dann)CORREA L 126 8.00    
SCR  CROSSTOWN GIRL Nov30 Oct23 Sep29 Aug31 Aug17 (fiesman robert)DIAZ I 123 10.00 31% 2.30    
5  BOURBON BUNS Dec15 Nov30 Nov10 Oct24 Sep29 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 123 1.40 ★    
6  PRESCIENCE Dec15 Nov15 Oct29 Oct12 Sep22 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 126 3.00 12% 7.20    
7  NINJA KITTEN Dec13 Nov22 Nov10 Nov02 Oct26 (lopez carlos)TAPARA BRANDON 124 10.00    
 
MVR-3   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 ALL PT- 1:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME Nov30 Nov14 Oct29 Oct11 Sep05 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 117 1.40 36% 1.80    
1A  HEARDITALLBEFORE Nov14 Oct29 Oct11 Sep05 Aug02 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 1.40    
SCR  WHY KENNY WHY         (crumley jevon)HOUGHTON D 122 10.00 15% 5.50    
3  ANIMO ROBERTO Dec14 Nov14 Oct29 Oct11 Sep22 (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 122 4.50 10% 9.50    
4  TRANSPIRED Dec14         (gorostieta ciri)REYES FRANK 122 12.00    
5  BAILEY ROAD Dec14 Nov30 Nov14     (bird danny)CEDILLO MAURO 117 6.00    
6  NEW YORK MIRACLE Dec14 Nov30       (zielinski richa)BIRT BRAXON 122 20.00    
7  JOHN'S WILD RIVER Dec14 Nov30 Nov14 Oct29 Oct10 (smith larry)FELICIANO R 122 5.00 ★    
8  PEDAL TO DA KETTLE Dec14 Nov30       (schuste)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 15.00    
9  OHIO RIVER         (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 122 8.00 15% 5.50    
 
MVR-4   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GONE IN A FLASH Nov12 Oct10 Sep06 Jun25 Jun03 (gorham robert )HOUGHTON D 123 6.00 ★    
2  TO WIN Dec14 Nov29 Feb15 Jan14   (dacosta jason)DIAZ I 124 3.00 13% 6.50    
3  SCOOBY DREW Nov28 Sep21 Aug12 Aug03 Jul21 (smith l)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 8.00    
4  SIMON SAYS Nov29 Sep16 Aug04 Jul01 Jun03 (smith larry)FELICIANO R 123 2.50 38% 1.70    
5  TIDE RISING Dec06 Jun11 May26 May11   (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 10.00 ★    
6  HIP HIP HOORAY Nov29 Oct29 Jun03 May06 Apr09 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 123 1.80 26% 2.90    
 
MVR-5   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GAGE HAS A GRAY Dec13 Nov28 Nov08 Oct31 Oct11 (bernardini ja)GONZALEZ ALEX 124 12.00    
2  OPEN OUT Dec05 Nov02 Oct13 Sep22 Aug25 (london)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
3  ALGORIX Nov29 Nov07 Oct19 Oct05 Sep12 (vecchio car)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 6.00 6% 17.10    
4  ALL STAR JUSTICE Dec01 Nov14 Oct27 Oct12 Sep28 (castillo jabd)CEDILLO MAURO 121 12.00    
5  SMASH Dec13 Nov29 Nov16 Nov08 Oct26 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 10.00 ★    
6  TAMANRASSETT Dec13 Nov07 Oct06 Sep19 Aug16 (radosevich ju)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00    
SCR  PERFETTO Dec12 Nov07 Oct25 Oct02 Sep18 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
SCR  ISTILLGOTIT Dec13 Nov07 Oct13 Sep22 Sep12 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 126 8.00 8% 11.00    
9  COSMIC TREASURE Dec03 Nov08 Oct14 Jul12 Jun20 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 126 3.00 48% 1.10    
10  TIP SHEET Dec13 Nov19 Nov07 Oct24 Oct04 (urieta johann)BRACHO A 126 4.00 16% 5.10    
 
MVR-6   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY DANCING QUEEN Nov23 Nov09 Oct10 Sep26 Sep07 (urieta johann)BARBARAN ERIK 123 15.00    
2  ENCHANTEDLY Nov28 Mar24 Feb16     (waltz brian)FELICIANO R 123 5.00 ★    
3  ALSANAH Dec08 Nov23 Nov11 Oct29 Sep24 (rone mike)RIVERA R 123 8.00    
4  SILENCING Dec08 Nov23 Oct31 Oct10 Sep24 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 118 3.50 ★    
SCR  TEAM GOLD DIGGER Dec12 Nov23 May03 Apr18   (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 15.00 12% 7.50    
6  SCARRAZANO Dec08 Nov21 Nov02 Oct10 Sep17 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 42% 1.40    
7  ONLY SHOW IN TOWN Dec04 Oct05 Sep24 Jul02 Jun04 (murillo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 123 12.00    
8  YEARS AGO Dec08 Nov21 Nov02 Sep10 Aug06 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 118 2.00 15% 5.60    
 
MVR-7   12/29/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEEPING SCORE Dec06 Nov07 Oct03 Aug30 Jul27 (castro raquel )GONZALEZ A 124 15.00    
2  COUNTRY RUCKUS Dec14 Dec06 Nov22 Nov12 Jun25 (maddox rachael)PAUCAR E 124 20.00    
3  KID RUSSELL Dec12 Nov28 Jun27 May30 Apr26 (juarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 6.00 12% 7.20    
4  KINGDOM DIAMOND Dec19 Dec01 Nov17 Nov01 Oct13 (meyers shan)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 4.00 ★    
SCR  TEAM LEYENDECKER Dec06 Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 Aug23 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 124 3.00 27% 2.70    
6  RAISE THE PURSES Dec20 Nov22 Nov14 Nov01 Oct10 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 123 8.00    
7  DYNAMITE CLOUD Oct29 Sep29 Aug25 Jul26 Jun28 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 ★    
8  RUMBLE STRIP RON Nov20 Nov05 Sep15 Sep06 Aug25 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.00 39% 1.50    
 
MVR-8   12/29/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I BELONG TO BECKY Nov29 Nov02 Oct13 Sep21 Sep06 (hay r)AVILES YAN 119 15.00 11% 7.90    
2  AMERICAN FLEET Dec03 Nov04 Oct17 Oct05 Sep26 (castillo jabd)CEDILLO MAURO 119 15.00    
3  NOBLE BEHAVIOR Dec21 Nov15 Nov08 Oct12 Sep19 (london)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
4  THIRSTY ACTOR Nov23 Oct13 Sep14 Aug30 Jul25 (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 124 20.00    
5  GOTSOMEMOJO Dec14 Nov29 Aug08 Jul20 Jul13 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  JURISDICTION Dec14 Nov29 Nov12 Oct27 Sep30 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 3.00 29% 2.50    
7  HARD N'SWEET Nov30 Nov08 Oct22 Sep27 Sep12 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 126 2.00 14% 6.10    
8  BLAME IT ON EDDIE Dec21 Nov29 Nov16 Nov03 Oct24 (vecchio cary)TAPARA BRANDON 124 6.00    
9  DETERMINATOR Dec14 Nov12 Oct17 Sep27 Aug29 (buttigieg ke)KEISER CHELSEY 124 4.00 12% 7.00    
10  GEH SCHNELL Dec14 Nov19 Oct13 Oct05 Aug29 (manning richar)HOUGHTON D 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.