The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Mahoning Valley Race Course
Friday - December 30, 2022
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MVR-1   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT-12:45
:232 :473 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  EMERSON JONES 3 2 11½ 1nk   14 16 (skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 122 4.00 ★ 2.80  
2  SAVESOMEFORME 2 5 21½ 41¾   37 26 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00 ★ 5.10 P
1  SEEYOUINMOTOWN 1 6 31½ 31½   48 39¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 1.40 57% 0.70 0.80 S
5  NO MORE MARGS 5 1 42 2nk   24 411¼ (schuster robin)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 10.00 9.30  
6  BONNIE'S BEST 6 4 55 53¾   510 512¾ (fletcher jeff)HOLLINGSWORTH L 122 20.00 24.50  
4  HERE COMES DOLLY 4 3 67½ 65¾   611½ 613¼ (zielinski richard)CEDILLO MAURO 117 8.00 ★ 8.40  
SCR  WICKED REESE               (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
 
MVR-2   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($33.7K) 2 ALL PT- 1:13
:223 :461 :591     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BUCKEYE SKY 5 3 1nk 11½   12½ 17¼ (maker j)HOUGHTON D 120 2.50 31% 2.20 5.30 W
4  K KID 4 4 69¼ 57½   44½ 27¼ (zielinski richard)BARBARAN ERIK 120 5.00 8.60  
1  WILDCAT PRIDE 1 5 32 33½   22½ 310¾ (gorham m)DIAZ I 120 3.50 13% 7.00 2.30 S
6  LAMBRUSCO 6 1 2nk 21½   34½ 411 (bernardini p)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 6.00 ★ 17.90  
3  HOTROD BOBBY 3 2 42¼ 44½   56½ 514¾ (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 122 4.50 ★ 11.00  
2  MEDIA DARLING 2 6 55¼ 69   67½ 615½ (gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 122 3.00 34% 2.00 0.90  
 
MVR-3   12/30/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
:244 :491 1:143 1:283   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  HONOR THE D 5 2 21 21 2nk 1nk 11¼ (bates l)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 1.80 24% 3.20 3.40 W
3  JOES A ROCKIN 3 1 11 11 1nk 2nk 21¼ (castillo jabdiel)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 6.00 3.90  
2  GLIDING ALONE 2 6 79 67 612 58¾ 35¾ (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 5.00 ★ 4.00 S
7  NAMBITI 7 7 33 33 34½ 37 411½ (juarez lorenzo)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00 7.20  
4  PLATE IT UP 4 3 43½ 45 410 48½ 514 (gonzalez donaciano)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00 ★ 15.10  
1  ONE CRAZY RIDE 1 5 55½ 55½ 511½ 613¾ 623¼ (zielinski richard)CEDILLO MAURO 121 20.00 5% 19.00 10.90  
6  KONTAR 6 4 67 79 714½ 714¾ 725 (schuster robin)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.60 44% 1.30 2.00  
 
MVR-4   12/30/2022 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
:221 :463 :593     1:063   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ORBIT MARS 4 1 11½ 11½   12 13¼ (clouston edward)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00 12% 7.40 11.50 W
5  INDY PRINCESS KOKO 5 2 31½ 21½   22 23¼ (tumblin andrew)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 12.30  
1  DESTINY'S DARLING 1 7 21½ 33   33½ 34¼ (evans ii)ARAGON ROLANDO 124 2.00 22% 3.50 3.10 S
6  AUJARA 6 8 89¾ 811   54½ 45 (gorostieta cirilo)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 ★ 5.00  
2  FLASH TOWN 2 6 53½ 54½   44 57½ (bayley randy)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 25% 3.00 2.30  
3  BLACK BUTTE 3 5 74¼ 77   66½ 68¼ (bird danny)CORREA L 124 10.00 10% 9.10 7.30  
8  CAUSE OF LOVE 8 3 42½ 44   76½ 711¾ (haehn r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00 45.70  
7  ORBALINE 7 4 63¾ 64½   86¾ 813¾ (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 3.50 3.50  
 
MVR-5   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
:223 :464 1:004     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PENNY SHOTS 3 7 52½ 53¼   31½ 11¼ (faulkner c)CORREA L 124 4.00 5% 19.00 8.20 W
1  NICEASAKITTENSEYES 1 9 912 76¼   74¼ 21¼ (atala jose)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 15.10  
4  SCARLETT'S AWISH 4 4 1½ 2nk   2nk 31½ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 8.00 ★ 9.90 S
8  SWEET EMPIRE 8 2 65½ 63¾   53½ 43 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 9.00  
7  PROPER ETIQUETTE 7 3 31½ 1nk   1nk 53½ (gorham m)BRACHO A 125 6.00 13% 7.00 5.00  
6  PROPHETESS 6 5 42½ 42¾   42½ 64 (bird danny)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 37% 1.70 5.00  
2  VICTOR STORY 2 6 810 87¾   64 75¼ (bayley randy)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00 38.20  
9  DIAL AGAIN 9 1 2½ 3.2   85¾ 815½ (andrade hugo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 3.50  
5  OUT MY DEAR 5 8 78½ 98¾   99¾ 918 (radosevich justin)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 22% 3.60 2.50  
 
MVR-6   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
:224 :462 :591     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POWER BANKER 1 8 2nk 1nk   13½ 15¼ (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 8.00 7.90  
2  BOX STEP 2 7 51¾ 41¼   23½ 25¼ (yoder d)YARANGA Y 124 5.00 14% 6.00 12.20 P
8  ROLLIN ALL THE WAY 8 1 4¾ 2nk   34½ 38¼ (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 4.00 20% 3.90 2.60 S
4  DANCIN' ROSIE 4 3 1nk 31   46½ 410 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 3.50 33% 2.10 1.90  
6  A SMILE A DAY 6 5 73¾ 74¾   58½ 512 (crumley jevon)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 10% 8.90 4.00  
7  SOLE FACTOR 7 6 87¾ 85¼   78¾ 614 (castro a)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00 28.80  
5  RAINBOW SHIP 5 4 3½ 64¼   89¾ 715 (diehl candace)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 8.00 15.70  
9  QUEEN AIR 9 2 62¾ 52¼   68½ 816¼ (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 20.00  
3  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE 3 9 910¾ 9100   9100 9100 (wilson jr)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00 ★ 11.00  
 
MVR-7   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY nongraded Stake   Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:33
:223 :46 :592     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  OKLAHOMA JOE 4 5 2nk 11½   14 1½ (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 25% 2.90 6.20 W
4  NEAR PERFECT 5 9 84¾ 85¼   24 2½ (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 10.00 ★ 13.50 P
9  SAMMY AND SHORTY 11 2 64 64   34 31 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 2.50 29% 2.40 0.40 S
10  HIDDEN ACCESS 12 1 74½ 54   65¼ 44¼ (hamm timothy)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00 56.70  
7  LITTLE TOY GUNS 9 4 53 74¼   45 57¼ (tooley jennifer)PILARES P 118 12.00 22% 3.50 16.60  
2  CASUAL ATTIRE 1 12 118¼ 107¾   98¼ 68¼ (hamm timothy)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 12.00 ★ 51.20  
6  EXPRESS FASHION 8 3 96¼ 96¾   86¼ 710 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 8.00 20.50  
1  AINT NO BANDLEADER 3 8 3½ 43½   75¾ 811 (estvanko richard)BRACHO A 118 3.00 6.20  
8  WATCHOUTFORWEAVER 10 11 129¼ 1211¼   1210¾ 912 (pappada a)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 118 6.00 29.20  
1X  LITTLE RONS ROCKET 6 10 106¾ 118¼   119¾ 1012½ (radosevich s)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 3.00 6.20  
3  IPPOLITO'S WONDER 2 7 1nk 32½   55¼ 1114¾ (casalinova tina)SALAZAR VICTOR 116 30.00 55.20  
5  IN TROUBLED WATERS 7 6 41½ 21½   108¾ 1227 (faulkner c)HOUGHTON D 119 4.50 5.70  
 
MVR-8   12/30/2022 5490ft DIRT MUDDY nongraded Stake   Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
:242 :483 1:134 1:431   1:481   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  AUNT BEE 10 10 84¼ 53 33½ 31½ 1¼ (cash l)AVILES YAN 124 2.00 59% 0.70 1.50 W
5  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW 5 4 21½ 21½ 23½ 2½ 2¼ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 114 20.00 29.60  
7  GRIZABELLA 7 5 62¾ 63¼ 55¼ 42 32½ (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 116 8.00 5% 18.30 9.80 S
2  LUCKY PENNY ROSE 2 12 1010¾ 109¼ 109½ 64½ 42½ (vazquez ivan)SALAZAR FERNANDO 114 30.00 42.80  
3  DIVA POWER 3 1 11½ 11½ 13½ 1½ 53¾ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 116 20.00 11.20  
4  WOLFIE'S PRINCESS 4 11 1213¼ 1113¼ 99 85½ 64 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 115 20.00 13.70  
1  MOBIL CHIC 1 2 94¾ 95¼ 67¾ 53 76¾ (zielinski richard)BARBARAN ERIK 115 15.00 6% 15.70 11.40  
11  CATABOUT 11 7 52½ 74¾ 77¾ 75½ 88 (faulkner c)HOUGHTON D 118 6.00 7.70  
9  EDGE OF NIGHT 9 9 74¼ 84¾ 88 107¼ 912¼ (gorham m)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.50 ★ 4.20  
6  MY PIE 6 6 1111¾ 1217¼ 1218½ 1111¼ 1012¾ (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 114 30.00 5% 19.00 45.90  
8  MOBIL LADY 8 3 32 32½ 45 95¾ 1116¼ (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 5.00 8.50  
12  EARLY BLOOMER 12 8 42½ 43 1112½ 1212¼ 1217 (barker w)GONZALEZ ALEX 117 15.00 64.60  
 
MVR-9   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT- 4:29
:223 :464 1:001     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SWELTER 1 8 87¾ 75¾   34 12½ (hamm timothy)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50 8% 12.20 4.90 W
7  AURA OF GOLD 8 1 14 13½   13½ 22½ (madrigal sr)BRACHO A 122 6.00 ★ 5.80 P
4  ONE MORE RING 4 5 24 34   23½ 34 (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 122 10.00 21.20  
5  WARHORSE WEST 6 4 66¼ 65½   55½ 44¼ (rone mike)AVILES YAN 117 15.00 16.80  
8  MOTOWN COLLECTION 9 2 34 23½   65½ 54¾ (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 4.00 13% 6.90 4.60  
3  DON'T CROSS JACK 3 7 45½ 44½   44½ 64¾ (tooley jennifer)PILARES P 122 10.00 ★ 11.90  
9  ATTILA THE DUN 10 3 98¼ 87¼   77 78 (waltz brian)HOUGHTON D 122 8.00 17.40  
1A  SOGDIAN ROCK 5 9 77¾ 97¾   910¼ 812 (acevedo israel)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.50 59% 0.70 1.60  
6  OUTSLEWTHEM 7 6 55¾ 54½   87¼ 913¾ (gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 7.30  
1  BATTLE OF ISSUS 2 10 1016¼ 1013¾   1012¾ 1014¼ (acevedo israel)CEDILLO MAURO 117 2.50 ★ 1.60  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.