Handicappers' Racing Form

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Friday - December 30, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
MVR-1   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 2 F PT-12:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEEYOUINMOTOWN Dec15 Dec01 Nov15 Oct31 Oct05 (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 1.40 57% 0.70    
SAVESOMEFORME Dec15 Dec01 Oct05 Sep01   (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 122 3.00    
EMERSON JONES Dec15 Dec01 Nov15 Oct31 Oct05 (skerrett jeffrey)DIAZ I 122 4.00    
HERE COMES DOLLY Dec15 Dec01 Nov15 Oct10 Sep12 (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 117 8.00    
NO MORE MARGS Dec15 Dec01       (schuster)BATISTA ALBERTO 122 10.00    
BONNIE'S BEST Dec15         (fletcher je)HOLLINGSWORTH L 122 20.00    
SCR  WICKED REESE         (bernardini p)VIGIL NOEL 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
 
MVR-2   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 2 ALL PT- 1:13
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILDCAT PRIDE Nov30 Nov16       (gorham m)DIAZ I 120 3.50 13% 7.00    
MEDIA DARLING Dec19         (gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 122 3.00 34% 2.00    
HOTROD BOBBY Dec22 Dec03 Nov16     (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 122 4.50    
K KID Dec22 Oct29 Oct12     (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 120 5.00    
BUCKEYE SKY Oct29 Aug25       (maker j)HOUGHTON D 120 2.50 31% 2.20    
LAMBRUSCO Oct31 Oct05 Sep01 Aug01   (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 6.00    
 
MVR-3   12/30/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:41
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONE CRAZY RIDE Dec12 Nov28 Nov03 Sep27 Aug06 (zielinski richa)CEDILLO MAURO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
GLIDING ALONE Nov29 Oct27 Sep28 Sep14 Jul20 (erwin andrew)DIAZ I 126 5.00    
JOES A ROCKIN Dec12 Nov12 Nov03 Oct11 Sep26 (castillo jabd)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 6.00    
PLATE IT UP Dec21 Dec12 Dec01 Nov22 Nov03 (gonzalez don)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 20.00    
HONOR THE D Dec12 Oct10 Sep20     (bates l)GONZALEZ ALEX 126 1.80 24% 3.20    
KONTAR Dec12 Nov28 Nov03 Oct12 Sep06 (schu)SALAZAR FERNANDO 126 1.60 44% 1.30    
NAMBITI Dec06 Nov28 Nov03 Sep26 Apr29 (juarez l)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 8.00    
 
MVR-4   12/30/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:09
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTINY'S DARLING Dec02 Nov22 Nov12 Nov02 Oct22 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 124 2.00 22% 3.50    
FLASH TOWN Dec06 Nov09 Oct22 Oct13 Aug29 (bayley randy)HOUGHTON D 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
BLACK BUTTE Dec08 Nov17 Nov01 Oct23 Oct12 (bird danny)CORREA L 124 10.00 10% 9.10    
ORBIT MARS Dec08 Nov15 Nov01 Oct14 Sep28 (clouston)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 12.00 12% 7.40    
INDY PRINCESS KOKO Dec07 Nov09 Oct25 Aug16 Jul26 (tumblin andrew)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00    
AUJARA Jul21 Jun22 Jun03 May18 Apr16 (gorostieta ciri)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00    
ORBALINE Dec01 Nov17 Oct28 Oct06 Sep15 (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 124 3.50    
CAUSE OF LOVE Dec07 Nov22 Jun30 Jun13 May30 (haehn ter)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 20.00    
 
MVR-5   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:37
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICEASAKITTENSEYES Sep07 Aug24 Aug09 Mar07 Jan26 (atal)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
VICTOR STORY Dec13 Apr28 Mar14     (bayley rand)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 124 15.00    
PENNY SHOTS Dec13 Nov29 Nov03     (faulkner ro)CORREA L 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCARLETT'S AWISH Dec13 Nov23 Nov01 Sep28 Aug29 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 8.00    
OUT MY DEAR Dec13 Nov19 Oct25 Sep28   (radosevich just)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.00 22% 3.60    
PROPHETESS Dec13 Dec05 Oct29 Oct11 Sep12 (bird dan)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 3.50 37% 1.70    
PROPER ETIQUETTE Dec07 Nov19 Oct25 Sep28 Aug24 (gorham m)BRACHO A 125 6.00 13% 7.00    
SWEET EMPIRE Oct11 Sep26 Sep08 Aug29 Aug16 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
DIAL AGAIN Dec13 Nov23 Oct25 Oct10 Sep27 (andrade h)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POWER BANKER Nov16 Nov03 Sep23 Sep13 Jul14 (cline c)ROSARIO L 124 8.00    
BOX STEP Dec20 Dec05 Nov22 Oct29 Oct06 (yoder d)YARANGA Y 124 5.00 14% 6.00    
SHEZA FINE JUSTICE Dec05 Nov17 Oct07 Sep02 Aug17 (wilson jr)CEDILLO MAURO 119 6.00    
DANCIN' ROSIE Dec01 Nov10 Sep14 Aug13 Aug01 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 124 3.50 33% 2.10    
RAINBOW SHIP Jun28 Jun01 May17 Apr27   (diehl candac)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 8.00    
A SMILE A DAY Dec20 Dec06 Nov17 Oct26 Sep21 (crum)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.50 10% 8.90    
SOLE FACTOR Nov17 Oct26 Oct03 Sep01 Aug01 (castro a)GONZALEZ A 124 12.00    
ROLLIN ALL THE WAY Dec20 Nov28 Nov10 Oct26 Oct06 (urieta johanna)DIAZ I 124 4.00 20% 3.90    
QUEEN AIR Nov23 Nov10 Oct25 Oct13 Sep28 (faulkner c)AVILES YAN 119 12.00    
 
MVR-7   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AINT NO BANDLEADER Nov30 Sep23 Sep05 Aug25 Aug02 (estvanko richar)BRACHO A 118 3.00    
1A  OKLAHOMA JOE Nov30 Nov14 Oct29 Oct11 Sep22 (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 25% 2.90    
1X  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Nov14 Oct29 Oct11 Sep22 Sep05 (radosevich jake)GONZALEZ ALEX 118 3.00    
CASUAL ATTIRE Oct29 Sep22 Aug02 Jul11   (hamm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 12.00    
IPPOLITO'S WONDER Dec14 Aug02       (casali)SALAZAR VICTOR 116 30.00    
NEAR PERFECT Dec03 Nov15 Oct06 Sep15 Aug31 (gorham m)DIAZ I 115 10.00    
IN TROUBLED WATERS Dec03 Nov15 Oct29 Sep29 Aug31 (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 119 4.50    
EXPRESS FASHION Dec03 Nov15 Oct06 Sep29 Sep14 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 115 8.00    
LITTLE TOY GUNS Dec14 Nov30       (tooley je)PILARES P 118 12.00 22% 3.50    
WATCHOUTFORWEAVER Nov30 Nov14 Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 (pappada j)DOMINGUEZ EDILBERTO 118 6.00    
SAMMY AND SHORTY Oct29 Sep23 Aug13 Jul11   (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 122 2.50 29% 2.40    
10  HIDDEN ACCESS Nov30 Oct29 Oct11 Sep22 Aug25 (hamm timo)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00    
 
MVR-8   12/30/2022 5490ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOBIL CHIC Dec20 Dec03 Nov16 Oct05 Sep12 (zielinski richa)BARBARAN ERIK 115 15.00 6% 15.70    
LUCKY PENNY ROSE Dec20 Nov16 Oct05 Aug25 Aug03 (vazq)SALAZAR FERNANDO 114 30.00    
DIVA POWER Nov29 Nov15 Oct22 Apr28 Jan26 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 116 20.00    
WOLFIE'S PRINCESS Nov12 Oct10 Sep23 Aug30 Aug10 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 115 20.00    
PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Nov30 Nov12 Oct26 Oct10 Sep14 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 114 20.00    
MY PIE Nov23 Jun13 May09 Apr13   (keiser deborah)KEISER CHELSEY 114 30.00 5% 19.00    
GRIZABELLA Dec13 Nov12 Sep23 Aug04 Jul15 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 116 8.00 5% 18.30    
MOBIL LADY Nov28 Nov12 Oct29 Sep23 Aug17 (meyers shane)RIVERA R 123 5.00    
EDGE OF NIGHT Nov12 Aug17 Jul21 Jun02 May12 (gorham ro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 3.50    
10  AUNT BEE Dec20 Nov28 Nov12 Oct22 Oct05 (cash l)AVILES YAN 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
11  CATABOUT Nov30 Nov12 Oct05 Sep23 Aug29 (faulkner rodney )HOUGHTON D 118 6.00    
12  EARLY BLOOMER Dec15 Nov12 Sep23 Aug12 Jul19 (barker w)GONZALEZ ALEX 117 15.00    
 
MVR-9   12/30/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 2 ALL PT- 4:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATTLE OF ISSUS Nov21         (acevedo israel)CEDILLO MAURO 117 2.50    
1A  SOGDIAN ROCK Nov08         (acevedo )BATISTA ALBERTO 122 2.50 59% 0.70    
SWELTER Dec07 Oct11 Sep06 Aug22 Jul28 (hamm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 122 3.50 8% 12.20    
DON'T CROSS JACK Dec09 Jun29       (tooley je)PILARES P 122 10.00    
ONE MORE RING Nov17 Oct27 Oct07 Aug28   (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 122 10.00    
WARHORSE WEST Dec07 Oct27 Oct14 Sep24   (rone mike)AVILES YAN 117 15.00    
OUTSLEWTHEM Oct27 Oct20       (gorostieta cirilo)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
AURA OF GOLD Nov27 Nov11 Oct16 Sep25   (madrigal rodrig)BRACHO A 122 6.00    
MOTOWN COLLECTION Dec07 Nov16 Aug23     (rone mike)RIVERA R 122 4.00 13% 6.90    
ATTILA THE DUN Oct23         (waltz brian)HOUGHTON D 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.