Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Aqueduct
Saturday - November 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
AQU-1   11/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-11:50
See original race card.
:243 :501 1:153 1:394   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  QUARREL 6 2 21 21 2½ 11 1¼ (ribaudo robert )DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 9% 10.30 4.10 W
1  TANGENTIAL 1 5 42 43 41½ 41½ 2¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 5.40  
7  HAY STACK 7 9 106¼ 96½ 84¼ 52 3½ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 7% 14.20 5.40 S
3  TELENDOS 3 11 117¾ 117¾ 105¼ 63½ 41 (motion graha)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 17.50  
13  THEGIRLFROMIRELAND 11 3 73¼ 54 31½ 21 51¼ (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 4.40  
2  JUSTIFIABLE BELLE 2 4 53 64½ 73¼ 84¼ 63¼ (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 22% 3.60 4.90  
5  SENORA LOCA 5 1 11 11 1½ 31½ 74 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00 40.75  
4  SELF CONFIDENT 4 6 84¾ 85½ 94¼ 94¾ 84¼ (mcgaughey c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 21% 3.90 4.40  
10  VOLATILITY 10 7 95¼ 75½ 63 74 94¾ (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 33.50  
8  EMBRACE ME 8 8 63¼ 106¾ 115¾ 108¼ 105¼ (albertra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00 38.25  
9  STORMY LASS 9 10 32 32½ 52 1113¼ 1140 (donk davi)VARGAS A 119 20.00 52.75  
SCR  GIFTED               (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
SCR  KOSUKE               (bond harold )HARKIE K 119 50.00    
SCR  LUCKY COMBINATION               (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
SCR  MY BETSY               (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 2.00 22% 3.70    
SCR  RIVER OAKS               (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
 
AQU-2   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:23 :474 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  QUEENS MASTERPIECE 6 6 53 1nk   11½ 11½ (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 19.10  
5  BOSSY BECKY 5 8 713 710¾   76 21½ (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 ★ 7.60 P
1  GRACEFUL ROSE 1 5 64 66¼   64 31¾ (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.80 S
3  SPLASHY 3 4 42 52¾   53½ 44 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 ★ 5.30  
7  GOOD MORNING KISS 7 2 2½ 2nk   21½ 55 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 4.30  
8  CENTRAL SPEED 8 1 1½ 3.2   31½ 66¼ (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 41% 1.50 1.40  
2  SLOW DOWN SUMMER 2 3 31 4¾   43 79¾ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 2.50 33% 2.00 3.85  
4  CAUSE I'M ELEGANT 4 7 813½ 817¼   821 846½ (donk davi)VARGAS A 119 15.00 42.25  
 
AQU-3   11/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT-12:52
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:123 1:362   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JERRY THE NIPPER 2 4 52¾ 41½ 31 32 1¾ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 ★ 5.90  
6  OCEAN ATLANTIQUE 6 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 11 2¾ (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 ★ 7.60 P
5  KINENOS 5 7 78¾ 75 64 53 33 (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 5.50  
4  CALL ME HARRY 4 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 21 43¼ (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 125 6.00 ★ 12.20  
7  SPACE LAUNCH 7 1 32½ 31½ 41½ 42 54¾ (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 ★ 4.00  
3  ANALYZE IT 3 5 42½ 52 53 63¼ 64¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 69% 0.40 1.35  
1  IT CAN BE DONE 1 6 64¾ 63½ 74 74¼ 76½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 11.30  
SCR  TWO THIRTY FIVE               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.00    
 
AQU-4   11/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:111     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BLAKE B. 4 4 32 33 32½ 2nk 13¾ (romero jesus)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00 12.90  
5  MILLEAN 5 3 42 43½ 44 44 23¾ (klesaris robert)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 6.80  
6  BIG VENEZUELA 6 2 11 11½ 11 1nk 34½ (tessore )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 9% 9.80 20.50 S
7  BE THE BOSS 7 1 21 21½ 21 3½ 46½ (walder peter)CASTELLANO J 118 1.80 ★ 2.10  
1  BLU GROTTO 1 7 711¾ 713½ 68½ 67 57¾ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 20% 3.90 4.40  
2  ENDOWED 2 5 64¼ 68½ 58 56½ 67¾ (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 36% 1.80 1.95  
3  OUR COUNTRY 3 6 54 56½ 710 712½ 724½ (hennig mark)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 10% 9.40 8.50  
 
AQU-5   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:223 :464 1:122     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LITIGATE 5 5 42½ 41½   3½ 1¾ (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 ★ 4.80  
1A  INDEX FUND 4 3 2½ 1½   1nk 2¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 47% 1.10 0.75  
5  CLUBHOUSE 6 1 31 2½   2nk 31 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 8.00 8% 11.20 5.80 S
8  SLIP MAHONEY 9 9 95½ 74¼   45 43¾ (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 ★ 5.30  
6  CHESS SPECTACULAR 7 6 85 87¼   68 58¾ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 22% 3.50 12.90  
1  EQUAL PROTECTION 3 4 53½ 53   57½ 613¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.60 ★ 0.75  
3  PAROS 2 8 63½ 63¼   812¼ 729¾ (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00 30.00  
2  GOLDEN BIRD FOREST 1 2 1½ 3½   712 831¾ (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 50.00 40.25  
7  DANUBE 8 7 74 99¾   926¼ 966½ (albertrani )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 30.00 30.25  
 
AQU-6   11/19/2022 7260ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:252 :51 1:164 1:413 2:054 2:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CHULAINN 9 52 44½ 36 33½ 31 1hd (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 19% 4.20 3.35 W
2  DRIPPING GOLD 2 3½ 23½ 24 22 1nk 2hd (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 1.65  
7  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER 6 41½ 55 68 68 54 31 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 3.45  
8  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS 7 63½ 66½ 57 45½ 43 42 (schettino domin)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 18% 4.40 6.70  
11  QUIET OUT EAST 10 2½ 13½ 14 12 2nk 52¾ (brown bru)VARGAS A 121 20.00 52.00  
1  BOLD LICORICE 1 1½ 33½ 46 56½ 67½ 67 (deiter k)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 50.00 79.75  
3  EXULT 3 107 1011¼ 912 810½ 78 77 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 121 10.00 7% 13.90 10.30  
5  DANTE'S FIRE 5 96½ 911 1015 912 811 89½ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 15.00 25.75  
4  CURBSTONE 4 85½ 89½ 811 1012½ 926½ 938½ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 19.30  
9  HAIL TO THEE 8 74½ 77½ 78½ 710 1032½ 1054½ (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 29.75  
SCR  CURLIN'S WISDOM               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.20 22% 3.50    
SCR  GOOD MEDICINE               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
SCR  I AM THE LAW               (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 11% 7.70    
 
AQU-7   11/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:25 :51 1:142 1:383   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHURCHTOWN 1 5 11 1½ 1½ 11½ 1½ (attfield ro)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 14% 6.10 5.60 W
8  STEADY ON 8 1 42 32 31 21½ 2½ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 43% 1.30 1.10 P
2  GRAND SONATA 2 4 32 42½ 41½ 32 3¾ (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00 6% 17.10 3.75 S
6  DAKOTA GOLD 6 6 53 53½ 52 53½ 42 (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 12% 7.40 7.00  
3  RIOT HOUSE 3 2 21 2½ 2½ 42½ 53½ (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 31.00  
5  WICKED FAST 5 9 97½ 98½ 96½ 98 65 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 ★ 6.30  
9  MARINARA SAUCED 9 3 63½ 64½ 73 76 75 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00 49.50  
4  OHTWOOHTHREEFIVE 4 7 85½ 86 84 86½ 86¼ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 33.00  
7  WOW WHATA SUMMER 7 8 74½ 75 63 66 97 (lawrence james)ORTIZ L 124 15.00 46.25  
SCR  BE BETTER               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00    
 
AQU-8   11/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:121     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SWIFT TAP 5 3 36 36 11 13 13¼ (atras ro)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00 8.10  
8  SALUTE TO AMERICA 7 7 47 47½ 32½ 23 23¼ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 ★ 10.90 P
1  BREADMAN 1 8 68 58½ 54½ 35½ 33¼ (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00 9.30  
2  EMPEROR'S CAUSE 2 6 811 812½ 68 57½ 48½ (giangiulio mic)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 13% 6.80 3.80  
4  MISTER CANDY RIDE 4 9 914 918 710½ 610½ 514¾ (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 2.80  
9  CASH IN A FLASH 8 2 23½ 24½ 21 46 618¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 ★ 6.70  
3  ABUNDANT HONOR 3 5 57½ 69 811 813 719¼ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 11% 8.40 2.80  
7  PRINCE OF JOY 6 4 79½ 710½ 912 914 825¼ (legall r)DAVIS A 121 30.00 70.00  
10  FENWAY 9 1 13½ 14½ 44 712½ 925½ (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 121 20.00 36.25  
SCR  JET SPEED               (tessore b)VARGAS A 121 8.00 48% 1.10    
 
AQU-9   11/19/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:22 :45 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PATRIA 4 1 1½ 1½   1½ 1¾ (salazar marco)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 ★ 5.20  
8  BUSTIN BULLET 6 2 2½ 2½   2½ 2¾ (miceli michae)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 18.40  
9  MASTEROF THE TUNES 7 9 95½ 76½   65 32½ (lee joseph)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 5.40  
13  DUFRESNE 12 4 74½ 55   54 43¼ (trombetta mic)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 6.00  
7  SERENADE SOLDIER 5 5 41½ 33   43½ 54¼ (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 20.00 29.75  
5  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 3 8 85 97   75½ 64½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 ★ 5.40  
12  TIS A PITY 11 3 53 43½   33 74½ (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 60% 0.70 3.30  
10  SEDONA ROCKS 9 6 31½ 66   86 85 (skelton dawn)PANAIJO JORGE 118 30.00 ######  
3  SHIGEKO 1 10 106½ 109   107 95¾ (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 4.60  
1  PROPER GRAMMAR 8 7 63½ 86½   96 107¼ (pregman john)SAMUEL L 120 50.00 5% 19.00 91.75  
4  LADY OF THOROTON 2 12 1211½ 1110   118½ 118½ (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 24.00  
11  SALSA A PARTE 10 11 1110 1211½   1210½ 1212¼ (handal ra)VARGAS A 120 12.00 39.00  
SCR  EXFILTRATION               (pregman jr)RIDER TBA 120 50.00    
SCR  LISA'S VISION               (abreu r)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  LUCKY LATKES               (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
SCR  SWEET MAEVE               (johns)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 50.00    
 
AQU-10   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:231 :48 1:004     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MAGGIE T 11 1 2½ 1½   11½ 1hd (barker edwar)SAMUEL L 119 10.00 13% 6.60 4.50 W
4  MAGGIE 4 4 42 32   21½ 2hd (kirby t)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 27.00  
6  IRISH EMPRESS 6 10 83¼ 64   45½ 35¾ (lynch nat)VARGAS A 119 12.00 17.70  
10  K D KAKES 10 11 1114¼ 109½   89 46½ (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 32% 2.10 4.50  
5  MA MI JO DREAMS 5 3 1½ 2½   32½ 56¾ (schosberg richa)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 6.20  
3  SUPER SLIDE 3 5 96¾ 99   79 67 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 ★ 5.10  
7  IN GOOD TROUBLE 7 8 73 85   68½ 78¾ (diprima gregory)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 12.80  
8  DASHING DELLA 8 9 62½ 53   57½ 89½ (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 41.25  
1  SILVER EAGLE 1 6 52 74½   913 917½ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
2  SONJA KNIPS 2 7 1011¾ 1112   1016 1022¼ (jerkens jam)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 29% 2.50 6.20  
9  MADDIE'S GRACE 9 2 31½ 42½   1118½ 1141¾ (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 6.20  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.