The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Aqueduct
Saturday - November 19, 2022

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AQU-1   11/19/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-11:50
:243 :501 1:153 1:394   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUARREL 6 2 21 21 2½ 11 1¼ (ribaudo j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 9% 10.30 4.10 W
TANGENTIAL 1 5 42 43 4 42¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 5.40  
HAY STACK 7 9 10 9 8 52 3½ (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 7% 14.20 5.40 S
TELENDOS 3 11 11 11 10 641 (motion graham)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 17.50  
13  THEGIRLFROMIRELAND 11 3 7 54 3 21 5(motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 4.40  
JUSTIFIABLE BELLE 2 4 53 6 7 86(pletcher a)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 22% 3.60 4.90  
SENORA LOCA 5 1 11 11 1½ 374 (hennig mark)LEZCANO JOSE 119 20.00 40.75  
SELF CONFIDENT 4 6 8 8 9 98(mcgaughey iii)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 21% 3.90 4.40  
10  VOLATILITY 10 7 9 7 63 74 9(terranova p)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 33.50  
EMBRACE ME 8 8 6 10 11 1010(albertrani thomas)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00 38.25  
STORMY LASS 9 10 32 3 52 1113¼ 1140 (donk david)VARGAS A 119 20.00 52.75  
SCR  GIFTED               (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
SCR  KOSUKE               (bond james)HARKIE K 119 50.00    
SCR  LUCKY COMBINATION               (clement christophe)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
SCR  MY BETSY               (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 2.00 22% 3.70    
SCR  RIVER OAKS               (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
 
AQU-2   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($70K) 2 F PT-12:20
:23 :474 1:004     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENS MASTERPIECE 6 6 53 1nk   11(bond james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00 19.10  
BOSSY BECKY 5 8 713 710¾   76 2(dutrow w)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 7.60 P
GRACEFUL ROSE 1 5 64 6   64 3(gorham e)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 5% 19.00 21.80 S
SPLASHY 3 4 42 5   544 (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 5.30  
GOOD MORNING KISS 7 2 2½ 2nk   255 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 4.30  
CENTRAL SPEED 8 1 1½ 3.2   36(terranova p)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 41% 1.50 1.40  
SLOW DOWN SUMMER 2 3 31 4¾   43 7(rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 2.50 33% 2.00 3.85  
CAUSE I'M ELEGANT 4 7 813½ 817¼   821 846½ (donk david)VARGAS A 119 15.00 42.25  
 
AQU-3   11/19/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT-12:52
:234 :482 1:123 1:362   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JERRY THE NIPPER 2 4 5 4 31 32 1¾ (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 5.90  
OCEAN ATLANTIQUE 6 3 1½ 1½ 1½ 11 2¾ (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 7.60 P
KINENOS 5 7 7 75 64 53 33 (maker j)LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00 5.50  
CALL ME HARRY 4 2 2½ 2½ 2½ 21 4(sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 125 6.00 12.20  
SPACE LAUNCH 7 1 3 3 4 42 5(clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 4.00  
ANALYZE IT 3 5 4 52 53 66(brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 69% 0.40 1.35  
IT CAN BE DONE 1 6 6 6 74 77(pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00 11.30  
SCR  TWO THIRTY FIVE               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.00    
 
AQU-4   11/19/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
:231 :461 1:111     1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLAKE B. 4 4 32 33 3 2nk 1(romero jesus)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00 12.90  
MILLEAN 5 3 42 4 44 44 2(klesaris p)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 6.80  
BIG VENEZUELA 6 2 11 1 11 1nk 3(tessore bruno)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 9% 9.80 20.50 S
BE THE BOSS 7 1 21 2 21 3½ 4(walder r)CASTELLANO J 118 1.80 2.10  
BLU GROTTO 1 7 711¾ 713½ 6 67 5(kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 20% 3.90 4.40  
ENDOWED 2 5 6 6 58 56(clement christophe)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 36% 1.80 1.95  
OUR COUNTRY 3 6 54 5 710 712½ 724½ (hennig mark)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 10% 9.40 8.50  
 
AQU-5   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 1:46
:223 :464 1:122     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITIGATE 5 5 4 4   3½ 1¾ (pletcher a)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 4.80  
1A  INDEX FUND 4 3 2½ 1½   1nk 2¾ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 47% 1.10 0.75  
CLUBHOUSE 6 1 31 2½   2nk 31 (pletcher a)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 8% 11.20 5.80 S
SLIP MAHONEY 9 9 9 7   45 4(cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 5.30  
CHESS SPECTACULAR 7 6 85 8   68 5(baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 22% 3.50 12.90  
EQUAL PROTECTION 3 4 5 53   5613¼ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.60 0.75  
PAROS 2 8 6 6   812¼ 729¾ (jerkens a)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00 30.00  
GOLDEN BIRD FOREST 1 2 1½ 3½   712 831¾ (goberdhan chandradat)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 50.00 40.25  
DANUBE 8 7 74 9   926¼ 966½ (albertrani thomas)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 30.00 30.25  
 
AQU-6   11/19/2022 7260ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
:252 :51 1:164 1:413 2:054 2:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  CHULAINN 9 52 4 36 3 31 1hd (motion graham)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 19% 4.20 3.35 W
DRIPPING GOLD 2 3½ 2 24 22 1nk 2hd (mcgaughey iii)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 1.65  
CONSTITUTIONLAWYER 6 455 68 68 54 31 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50 3.45  
DANZIGWITHTHESTARS 7 66 57 4 43 42 (schettino a)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 18% 4.40 6.70  
11  QUIET OUT EAST 10 2½ 1 14 12 2nk 5(brown r)VARGAS A 121 20.00 52.00  
BOLD LICORICE 1 1½ 3 46 5 667 (deiter lynn)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 50.00 79.75  
EXULT 3 107 1011¼ 912 810½ 78 77 (maker j)ORTIZ L 121 10.00 7% 13.90 10.30  
DANTE'S FIRE 5 9911 1015 912 811 8(maker j)CARMOUCHE K 123 15.00 25.75  
CURBSTONE 4 88 811 1012½ 926½ 938½ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00 19.30  
HAIL TO THEE 8 77 7 710 1032½ 1054½ (clement christophe)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 29.75  
SCR  CURLIN'S WISDOM               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.20 22% 3.50    
SCR  GOOD MEDICINE               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
SCR  I AM THE LAW               (terranova p)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 11% 7.70    
 
AQU-7   11/19/2022 5610ft TURF FIRM nongraded Stake   Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 2:44
:25 :51 1:142 1:383   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHURCHTOWN 1 5 11 1½ 1½ 11½ (attfield roger)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 14% 6.10 5.60 W
STEADY ON 8 1 42 32 31 22½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 43% 1.30 1.10 P
GRAND SONATA 2 4 32 4 4 32 3¾ (pletcher a)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00 6% 17.10 3.75 S
DAKOTA GOLD 6 6 53 5 52 542 (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 12% 7.40 7.00  
RIOT HOUSE 3 2 21 2½ 2½ 45(gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00 31.00  
WICKED FAST 5 9 9 9 9 98 65 (maker j)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 6.30  
MARINARA SAUCED 9 3 6 6 73 76 75 (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00 49.50  
OHTWOOHTHREEFIVE 4 7 8 86 84 88(weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00 33.00  
WOW WHATA SUMMER 7 8 7 75 63 66 97 (lawrence lee)ORTIZ L 124 15.00 46.25  
SCR  BE BETTER               (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00    
 
AQU-8   11/19/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
:224 :46 1:121     1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWIFT TAP 5 3 36 36 11 13 1(atras rob)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00 8.10  
SALUTE TO AMERICA 7 7 47 4 3 23 2(morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 118 8.00 10.90 P
BREADMAN 1 8 68 5 5 33(persaud randi)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00 9.30  
EMPEROR'S CAUSE 2 6 811 812½ 68 54(giangiulio michelle)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 13% 6.80 3.80  
MISTER CANDY RIDE 4 9 914 918 710½ 610½ 514¾ (maker j)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 2.80  
CASH IN A FLASH 8 2 2 2 21 46 618¼ (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 6.70  
ABUNDANT HONOR 3 5 5 69 811 813 719¼ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 11% 8.40 2.80  
PRINCE OF JOY 6 4 7 710½ 912 914 825¼ (legall e)DAVIS A 121 30.00 70.00  
10  FENWAY 9 1 1 1 44 712½ 925½ (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 121 20.00 36.25  
SCR  JET SPEED               (tessore bruno)VARGAS A 121 8.00 48% 1.10    
 
AQU-9   11/19/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Allowance   Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
:22 :45 :57     1:091   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATRIA 4 1 1½ 1½   1½ 1¾ (salazar marco)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 5.20  
BUSTIN BULLET 6 2 2½ 2½   2½ 2¾ (miceli michael)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00 18.40  
MASTEROF THE TUNES 7 9 9 7   65 3(lee joseph)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 5.40  
13  DUFRESNE 12 4 7 55   54 4(trombetta j)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 6.00  
SERENADE SOLDIER 5 5 4 33   45(lynch natalia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 20.00 29.75  
SMOKIN' HOT KITTY 3 8 85 97   76(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 5.40  
12  TIS A PITY 11 3 53 4   33 7(clement christophe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 60% 0.70 3.30  
10  SEDONA ROCKS 9 6 3 66   86 85 (skelton dawn)PANAIJO JORGE 118 30.00 ######  
SHIGEKO 1 10 10 109   107 9(clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00 4.60  
PROPER GRAMMAR 8 7 6 8   96 10(pregman jr)SAMUEL L 120 50.00 5% 19.00 91.75  
LADY OF THOROTON 2 12 1211½ 1110   1111(englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00 24.00  
11  SALSA A PARTE 10 11 1110 1211½   1210½ 1212¼ (handal raymond)VARGAS A 120 12.00 39.00  
SCR  EXFILTRATION               (pregman jr)RIDER TBA 120 50.00    
SCR  LISA'S VISION               (abreu r)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  LUCKY LATKES               (bond james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
SCR  SWEET MAEVE               (johnson cleveland)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 50.00    
 
AQU-10   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 4:12
:231 :48 1:004     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  MAGGIE T 11 1 2½ 1½   11hd (barker r)SAMUEL L 119 10.00 13% 6.60 4.50 W
MAGGIE 4 4 42 32   22hd (kirby t)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00 27.00  
IRISH EMPRESS 6 10 8 64   43(lynch natalia)VARGAS A 119 12.00 17.70  
10  K D KAKES 10 11 1114¼ 10   89 4(falcone n)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 32% 2.10 4.50  
MA MI JO DREAMS 5 3 1½ 2½   35(schosberg richard)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 6.20  
SUPER SLIDE 3 5 9 99   79 67 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 5.10  
IN GOOD TROUBLE 7 8 73 85   67(diprima gregory)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 12.80  
DASHING DELLA 8 9 6 53   58(rodriguez gustavo)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 41.25  
SILVER EAGLE 1 6 52 7   913 917½ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00 5% 19.00 14.10  
SONJA KNIPS 2 7 1011¾ 1112   1016 1022¼ (jerkens a)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 29% 2.50 6.20  
MADDIE'S GRACE 9 2 3 4   1118½ 1141¾ (rodriguez r)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00 6.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.