Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - November 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-11:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TANGENTIAL Sep18         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00    
2  JUSTIFIABLE BELLE Oct01 Aug28       (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
3  TELENDOS         (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 12.00    
4  SELF CONFIDENT Oct14 Sep14       (mcgaughey c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 6.00 21% 3.90    
5  SENORA LOCA Oct01         (hennig mark)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 20.00    
6  QUARREL Oct27 Sep22       (ribaudo robert )DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 9% 10.30    
7  HAY STACK Sep23 Aug21       (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.00 7% 14.20    
8  EMBRACE ME Oct27         (albertra)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 30.00    
9  STORMY LASS         (donk davi)VARGAS A 119 20.00    
10  VOLATILITY         (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
SCR  RIVER OAKS Oct01         (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 12.00    
SCR  KOSUKE         (bond harold )HARKIE K 119 50.00    
13  THEGIRLFROMIRELAND Oct22         (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
SCR  GIFTED Aug07         (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 10.00    
SCR  LUCKY COMBINATION         (clement christoph)RIDER TBA 119 6.00    
SCR  MY BETSY Sep04 Jul31       (mott i)RIDER TBA 119 2.00 22% 3.70    
 
AQU-2   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACEFUL ROSE Oct21 Sep16 Aug26     (gorham michael )CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SLOW DOWN SUMMER Sep30 Jul28       (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 2.50 33% 2.00    
3  SPLASHY         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 ★    
4  CAUSE I'M ELEGANT         (donk davi)VARGAS A 119 15.00    
5  BOSSY BECKY         (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 ★    
6  QUEENS MASTERPIECE         (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 10.00    
7  GOOD MORNING KISS Oct28         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 6.00    
8  CENTRAL SPEED Oct30         (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.00 41% 1.50    
 
AQU-3   11/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT CAN BE DONE Oct27 Aug19 Jun26 May29   (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 121 5.00    
2  JERRY THE NIPPER Sep24 Aug26 Jul02 May15 Apr22 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50 ★    
3  ANALYZE IT Sep03 May28       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 69% 0.40    
4  CALL ME HARRY Oct27 Oct13 Aug28 Jul24 Jul04 (sharp joe)CASTELLANO J 125 6.00 ★    
5  KINENOS Aug21 Jul31 Jul01 May05   (maker michael )LEZCANO JOSE 121 8.00    
6  OCEAN ATLANTIQUE Oct27 Oct02 Sep03 Aug06 May20 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00 ★    
7  SPACE LAUNCH Sep16 Jul01 May29     (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 121 4.00 ★    
SCR  TWO THIRTY FIVE Nov12 Oct14 Sep30 Aug19 Jul17 (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 121 2.00    
 
AQU-4   11/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLU GROTTO Oct02 Apr07 Feb26 Feb04 Jan13 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 20% 3.90    
2  ENDOWED Oct21 Sep25 Aug28 Jul30 Jul02 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 123 4.00 36% 1.80    
3  OUR COUNTRY Jul22 Jun05 Apr21 Feb17 Jan20 (hennig mark)FRANCO MANUEL 121 6.00 10% 9.40    
4  BLAKE B. Oct22 Jul21 Jun04 Apr30 Mar26 (romero jesus)LEZCANO JOSE 121 12.00    
5  MILLEAN Oct21 Sep30 Aug21 Apr03 Feb19 (klesaris ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 6.00    
6  BIG VENEZUELA May28 Apr23 Apr07 Mar19 Feb26 (tessore )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 9% 9.80    
7  BE THE BOSS Sep24 Sep01 Aug10 Jul17 Jun21 (walder peter)CASTELLANO J 118 1.80 ★    
 
AQU-5   11/19/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EQUAL PROTECTION         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 119 1.60 ★    
1A  INDEX FUND         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 47% 1.10    
2  GOLDEN BIRD FOREST Nov06 Oct13       (gober)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 50.00    
3  PAROS Oct22 Sep24       (jerkens )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 20.00    
4  LITIGATE         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 ★    
5  CLUBHOUSE Oct16 Sep01 Jul22     (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 119 8.00 8% 11.20    
6  CHESS SPECTACULAR Oct22 Sep18       (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 10.00 22% 3.50    
7  DANUBE Sep11         (albertrani )ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 30.00    
8  SLIP MAHONEY         (cox h)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.00 ★    
 
AQU-6   11/19/2022 7260ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD LICORICE Nov13 Sep08 Aug26 Aug09 Jul30 (deiter k)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 50.00    
2  DRIPPING GOLD Oct21 Sep05 Aug25 Jul16 Jun18 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50    
3  EXULT Oct21 Aug28 Jul30     (maker michael )ORTIZ L 121 10.00 7% 13.90    
4  CURBSTONE Jul27 Jul02 Jun09 May03 Mar04 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 15.00    
5  DANTE'S FIRE Oct09 Aug25 Jul27 Jun30 May29 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 15.00    
SCR  GOOD MEDICINE Oct21 Sep02 Jul24 Jun18 May20 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
7  CONSTITUTIONLAWYER Oct22 Sep23 Aug13 Jul16 Jun03 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50    
8  DANZIGWITHTHESTARS Oct22 Sep24 Aug25 Jul15 Jun19 (schettino domin)DAVIS DYLAN 123 4.50 18% 4.40    
9  HAIL TO THEE Apr29         (clement christo)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
10  CHULAINN Oct22 Jun19 May15     (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 123 6.00 19% 4.20    
11  QUIET OUT EAST Oct23 Sep18 Aug11 Jul15 Jun19 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 20.00    
SCR  I AM THE LAW Oct02 Sep05 Aug12 Jul21 Jun12 (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 121 3.00 11% 7.70    
SCR  CURLIN'S WISDOM Oct30 Oct16 Oct06 Sep02 Aug06 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 1.20 22% 3.50    
 
AQU-7   11/19/2022 5610ft TURF RC2 FIRM nongraded Stake Purse ($135K) 3 ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHURCHTOWN Sep10 Jul03 May29 Apr16   (attfield ro)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00 14% 6.10    
2  GRAND SONATA Oct22 Sep05 Aug06 Jul09 Jun04 (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 124 3.00 6% 17.10    
3  RIOT HOUSE Sep10 Apr17 Mar12     (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 118 15.00    
4  OHTWOOHTHREEFIVE Sep24 Aug28 Aug13 Jun26 Jun03 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 118 15.00    
5  WICKED FAST Oct22 Sep17 Aug20 Aug06 Jun03 (maker micha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00 ★    
6  DAKOTA GOLD Aug17 Jul21 Jun19     (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.50 12% 7.40    
7  WOW WHATA SUMMER Oct29 Oct09 Sep06 Aug05 Jul02 (lawrence james)ORTIZ L 124 15.00    
8  STEADY ON Oct22 Sep17 Aug28     (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 43% 1.30    
9  MARINARA SAUCED Oct14 Aug17 Jul16 Jun19 May21 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 118 30.00    
SCR  BE BETTER Oct22 Jul29 Jul04 Jun05   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 1.00    
 
AQU-8   11/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREADMAN Nov11 Nov05 Aug10 Jun24 May28 (persau)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 10.00    
2  EMPEROR'S CAUSE Oct21 Sep15 Jun16 May01 Apr07 (giangiulio mic)ORTIZ L 121 4.50 13% 6.80    
3  ABUNDANT HONOR Oct21 Sep30 Aug28 Jan05   (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.00 11% 8.40    
4  MISTER CANDY RIDE Oct16 Feb18 Feb04     (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00    
5  SWIFT TAP Oct22 Aug27 Aug03 Jul01 Jun19 (atras ro)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 6.00    
SCR  JET SPEED Oct23 Oct02 Aug27 Aug06 Jul30 (tessore b)VARGAS A 121 8.00 48% 1.10    
7  PRINCE OF JOY Oct14 Sep17 Aug03 Jul08 May06 (legall r)DAVIS A 121 30.00    
8  SALUTE TO AMERICA Oct15 Apr30 Apr07 Feb05   (morley thom)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00 ★    
9  CASH IN A FLASH Oct08 Aug07 Jul21 Jun10 May13 (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 121 8.00 ★    
10  FENWAY Oct20 Oct01 Jul08     (sciacca gary)HARKIE K 121 20.00    
 
AQU-9   11/19/2022 3960ft TURF RC0 FIRM Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROPER GRAMMAR Oct07 Aug21 Jul30 Jul14 May22 (pregman john)SAMUEL L 120 50.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EXFILTRATION Aug04 Feb11 Jan06     (pregman jr)RIDER TBA 120 50.00    
SCR  SWEET MAEVE Oct28 Sep26 Aug29 Aug13 Jul25 (johns)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 50.00    
3  SHIGEKO Jun19         (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 6.00    
4  LADY OF THOROTON Oct20 Oct08 Sep22 Aug24 Jul29 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 118 12.00    
5  SMOKIN' HOT KITTY Nov06 Aug28 Aug12 Jun26 May30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 6.00 ★    
6  PATRIA Oct01 Aug26 Jul29 May06 Apr08 (salazar marco)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 ★    
7  SERENADE SOLDIER Jan01         (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 20.00    
8  BUSTIN BULLET Oct22 Sep23 Aug28 Jul29 Jul08 (miceli mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 8.00    
9  MASTEROF THE TUNES Oct20 Sep25 Aug12 Jul17 Jun25 (lee joseph)ORTIZ L 122 4.00    
10  SEDONA ROCKS Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jul10   (skelton dawn)PANAIJO JORGE 118 30.00    
11  SALSA A PARTE Apr30 Mar27 Feb19     (handal ra)VARGAS A 120 12.00    
12  TIS A PITY Oct23 Jul29 Jun12 May22   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.00 60% 0.70    
13  DUFRESNE Oct23 Aug12 Jul20 Jul02 Jun11 (trombetta mic)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
SCR  LISA'S VISION Oct23 Sep23 Aug26 Jul20 Jun04 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  LUCKY LATKES Oct23 Aug28 Jul29 May14 Mar25 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
 
AQU-10   11/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 2 F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVER EAGLE         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SONJA KNIPS Sep30         (jerkens jam)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 4.00 29% 2.50    
3  SUPER SLIDE Oct30 Sep02       (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 119 5.00 ★    
4  MAGGIE Oct24 Sep25 Sep15 Aug01 Jul05 (kirby t)CASTELLANO J 119 20.00    
5  MA MI JO DREAMS Oct30 Sep30 Sep02     (schosberg richa)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
6  IRISH EMPRESS Oct06 Aug12 Jul15     (lynch nat)VARGAS A 119 12.00    
7  IN GOOD TROUBLE Oct08 Sep17 Aug24     (diprima gregory)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
8  DASHING DELLA Oct30         (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
9  MADDIE'S GRACE Aug24 Jul15       (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00    
10  K D KAKES         (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 119 5.00 32% 2.10    
11  MAGGIE T Oct23 Sep02 Aug04     (barker edwar)SAMUEL L 119 10.00 13% 6.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.