Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Friday - November 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   11/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
See original race card.
:23 :49 1:143 1:381   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OF COMEDY 2 1 3 22 3 1½ 1 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00 4.90  
ATLANTA'S ACUNA 4 4 1½ 12 11 2½ 2 (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 10% 8.90 15.60 P
CLEAR CONSCIENCE 1 2 77 7 7 5 3 (clement christ)ORTIZ L 119 4.50 5.80  
BARRY THE BUILDER 3 3 4 5 5 4 44 (rodriguez r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00 11.50  
TONY O 5 6 54 6 64 75 54 (donk davi)VARGAS A 119 20.00 27.50  
SHARPAZ 6 5 2½ 32 21 3 6 (schosber)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00 26.50  
10  MAMA BANNED ME 10 11 1212 12 1110 86 7 (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 65.25  
PROVISION 9 8 65 43 4 65 8 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 26% 2.90 1.80  
11  EMPIRE RIDE 11 10 1010 9 10 98 9 (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00 11.70  
12  SLAPINTHEFACE 12 12 1110½ 11 99 10 10 (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 4.70  
WYNN GIANT 8 7 88 10 1218 1216½ 1116¼ (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 15.00 9% 9.90 30.25  
D'ARPINO B C 7 9 9 8 87 1113½ 1218¾ (gargan danny)ADORNO ABNER 119 15.00 82.75  
SCR  BOURBON CHASE               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 34% 2.00    
SCR  GENERAL BANKER               (ferraro james )LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00    
SCR  METAMORPHOSES               (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 119 30.00    
SCR  WANNA WINNA               (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 119 3.00    
 
AQU-2   11/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:13     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIANT'S FIRE 5 4 4 42   31 1¼ (terranova john)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 18% 4.50 8.90 W
OPPORTUNITY SET 2 1 1nk 1½   2nk 2¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00 4.20 P
MATT DOYLE 4 2 3½ 2½   1nk 3¼ (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.00 26% 2.80 4.60 S
HAPPY BOB 1 6 5 5   4 4 (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 31% 2.20 1.50  
MAGICAL WAYS 3 3 2nk 3½   5 59 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00 2.95  
TIGER TOWN BOY 6 5 6 6   6 611½ (gargan danny)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00 11.90  
 
AQU-3   11/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:251 :501 1:134 1:364   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRAW INTO GOLD 2 1 1½ 1nk 1½ 1nk 1hd (clement chr)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 6.00 12% 7.30 8.00 W
CATCH THAT PARTY 5 8 7 7 7 4 2hd (maker michael )ORTIZ L 123 6.00 4.40 P
BARRAGE 6 3 2½ 2nk 2½ 2nk 3.15 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00 10.60  
BATTLE SCARS 1 2 3 32 32 33 4 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00 9.80  
GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR 4 4 5 6 6 5 5 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 2.00  
K P ALL SYSTEMS GO 7 9 9 9 8 7 6 (englehart j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 20.00 35.00  
GRADED ON A CURVE 8 6 63 5 5 8 7 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 14% 6.30 4.60  
10  REGAL SPEAKER 10 5 4 4 42 6 8 (gargan d)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 20.00 42.25  
THERAPIST 9 7 8 8 9 9 9 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.00 48% 1.10 8.10  
JACK THE CAT 3 10 10 10 1011¾ 1011¼ 1012½ (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 121 15.00 19.80  
SCR  BALDIZAR               (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00    
SCR  SIX PERCENT               (englehart jeremia)RIDER TBA 121 1.80    
 
AQU-4   11/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:133     1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BERT BERT BERT 7 6 32 3 1nk 1 1 (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00 13% 7.00 1.50 W
CENTRAL PRIDE 3 2 5 55 57 48 2 (terranova joh)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.80 43% 1.30 2.75 P
CICCIOBELLO 6 4 1nk 1nk 2nk 2 310 (ryan der)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 10.00 11% 8.20 11.60 S
STEERAGE 5 3 2nk 2nk 3 3 410½ (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00 2.80  
MIDNIGHT EXPRESS 1 1 4 42 4 510 520½ (klesaris stev)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 6.60  
REUNION TOUR 4 5 7 66 69 614½ 626 (ferraro james)CASTILLO AMIN 124 30.00 8% 11.70 48.75  
SALTY HEIR 2 7 6 78 714 724 741½ (trites lan)SAMUEL L 121 12.00 28.25  
 
AQU-5   11/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:131     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOUGH STREET 3 1 11 11 1 12 13 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 31% 2.30 1.75 W
SA FORADADA 1 5 31 3 3 22 23 (jones michael )ADORNO ABNER 121 8.00 6.30 P
MIA BEA STAR 4 2 21 21 2 32 3 (persaud rand)CASTELLANO J 121 2.50 1.55  
SPOOKY ROAD 5 3 4 4 4 44 48 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 10.10  
CHAYSENBRYN 2 4 53 56 511 514 526½ (kantarmaci )MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 20% 4.00 3.60  
SCR  GAGLIANO               (barrera )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
SCR  MONSHUN               (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 22% 3.50    
 
AQU-6   11/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:00     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALK OF THE NATION 2 3 3 1½   13 1 (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 0.90  
ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE 1 1 1½ 3½   33 2 (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 7% 13.30 3.00 P
NIEUWENDYK 3 2 2½ 2½   23 3 (begg jam)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 5.00 1.30  
SCR  CODE NAME               (mcgaughey c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  FINN'S MOMENT               (jerkens jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.00    
SCR  PAXSATIONAL               (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
AQU-7   11/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:111     1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNDAESWITHSANDY 6 3 32 3 2nk 1 1 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 12.90  
FORTY TWO ACE 7 1 2 21 33 34 2 (baker charlto)ORTIZ JR 121 6.00 3.10 P
DANGEROUS EDGE 2 6 6 4 4 4 3 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 14% 6.00 4.70 S
OCEAN'S RESERVE 8 2 1 11 1nk 2 4 (gyarmati lea)CASTELLANO J 118 2.50 49% 1.00 1.55  
KAZ SUGAR BANK 1 5 53 7 58 5 511¼ (synnefias d)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 10% 8.90 33.75  
RHYMES LIKE DIMES 4 4 43 5 6 610 614¾ (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 118 3.50 4.20  
GREAT WORKOUT 3 8 815 812¾ 816½ 715½ 716½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50 11.40  
CAN'T BEAT ME 5 7 75 6 712½ 816 819 (brown )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00 59.75  
 
AQU-8   11/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:12     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SELF ISOLATION 5 4 31 3   21 11 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 2.00  
PIECE OF MY HEART 2 5 5 53   3 21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 13% 6.50 2.15 P
FOUETTE 1 1 2nk 1½   11 3 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 52% 0.90 2.60 S
DEALING JUSTICE 4 2 1nk 2½   42 4 (handal raymon)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.50 6.20  
SHORT SUMMER DRESS 3 3 42 4   54 57 (lee joseph)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 6.60  
SCR  SISTER ANNIE               (kantarmaci )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00 10% 8.70    
 
AQU-9   11/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:224 :463 1:122     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSPIRATION POINT 8 9 1nk 12   12 14 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.00 10% 9.00 3.40 W
BREADMAN 6 8 8 3   3 24 (terranova john )CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 9% 9.60 3.40 P
FORTY COMETS 3 1 2nk 22   22 35 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 7% 12.80 12.10 S
SLOW DECISION 7 2 32 4   410½ 414 (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 8.40  
HE'S GOT IT 4 5 53 6   512 514½ (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 12.50  
B C GLORY DAYS 2 6 96 9   712½ 614¾ (barrer)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 8% 12.10 13.00  
VANCOUVER D'ORO 9 7 4 57   612½ 723¼ (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 38% 1.60 2.45  
RAW COURAGE 1 3 64 7   813 825 (toscano john)SAMUEL L 120 30.00 65.00  
CENTAVO 5 4 75 88   914½ 927¼ (chatterpaul )CASTELLANO J 120 8.00 8.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.