Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Friday - November 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   11/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLEAR CONSCIENCE         (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50    
KING OF COMEDY Sep23 Aug10       (maker j)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00    
BARRY THE BUILDER Oct27 Sep16 Aug19 Jul17   (rodriguez rud)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 8.00    
ATLANTA'S ACUNA Oct27 Oct07 Sep05     (levine bruce)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 10% 8.90    
TONY O Oct27         (donk david)VARGAS A 119 20.00    
SHARPAZ         (schosberg )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00    
D'ARPINO B C         (gargan danny)ADORNO ABNER 119 15.00    
WYNN GIANT Oct27         (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 119 15.00 9% 9.90    
PROVISION Oct27 Sep16 Aug19 Aug04   (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.50 26% 2.90    
10  MAMA BANNED ME         (morley thomas)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
11  EMPIRE RIDE         (clement chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 8.00    
12  SLAPINTHEFACE         (dutrow anthony)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
SCR  GENERAL BANKER Oct16 Sep29 Sep16 Aug26 Aug10 (ferraro w)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00    
SCR  METAMORPHOSES Oct16         (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 119 30.00    
SCR  WANNA WINNA Sep29         (nevin michelle)RIDER TBA 119 3.00    
SCR  BOURBON CHASE Oct09         (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60 34% 2.00    
 
AQU-2   11/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAPPY BOB Aug13 Jun26       (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
OPPORTUNITY SET         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 122 3.00    
MAGICAL WAYS         (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 3.00    
MATT DOYLE Oct09 Aug28       (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.00 26% 2.80    
GIANT'S FIRE Feb12 Jan14       (terranova p)ORTIZ L 122 6.00 18% 4.50    
TIGER TOWN BOY Oct09         (gargan danny)CASTELLANO J 122 6.00    
 
AQU-3   11/11/2022 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATTLE SCARS Aug10         (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00    
STRAW INTO GOLD Oct13 Aug11 Jul15 May15 Apr16 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00 12% 7.30    
JACK THE CAT Oct23 Sep18 Jul30 Jun25 May28 (weaver george)CASTELLANO J 121 15.00    
GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR Sep15 Jul15 Jun19     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50    
CATCH THAT PARTY Oct13 Sep04 Jul23 Jul01 Mar13 (maker j)ORTIZ L 123 6.00    
BARRAGE Sep15 Aug11 Jul15 May28   (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 10.00    
K P ALL SYSTEMS GO Oct09 Sep11 Aug20 Jun19 Apr14 (englehart jef)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 20.00    
GRADED ON A CURVE Sep03 Jul09 May20     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 14% 6.30    
THERAPIST Oct30 Sep29 Sep01 May30 Apr30 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 121 4.00 48% 1.10    
10  REGAL SPEAKER Oct23 Sep15 Jul15 Jun03 Mar02 (gargan dan)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 20.00    
SCR  BALDIZAR Oct14 Sep23       (bond j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SIX PERCENT Oct16 Sep05 Jul15 May29 May08 (englehart jeremiah )RIDER TBA 121 1.80    
SCR  PRINCE OF PHAROAHS Aug06 Jun26 May14 Apr16 Mar19 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 123 2.00    
 
AQU-4   11/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT EXPRESS Oct07 Sep23       (klesaris steve)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50    
SALTY HEIR         (trites lands)SAMUEL L 121 12.00    
CENTRAL PRIDE Nov05 Oct07 Sep23 Jul30 May21 (terranova p)ROSARIO JOEL 121 1.80 43% 1.30    
REUNION TOUR Oct06 Sep10 Aug18 Feb13 Jan22 (ferraro w)CASTILLO AMIN 124 30.00 8% 11.70    
STEERAGE Oct07 Aug27 Jul31 Jun19   (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 121 4.00    
CICCIOBELLO         (ryan s)ROWLAND MADELINE 116 10.00 11% 8.20    
BERT BERT BERT Oct07 Aug06 Jul09 Jan09   (baker charlton)CARMOUCHE K 121 2.00 13% 7.00    
 
AQU-5   11/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GAGLIANO Oct28 Sep16 Aug20 Jul04 Jun17 (barrera os)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 12.00    
SA FORADADA Aug29 Jun26       (jones e)ADORNO ABNER 121 8.00    
CHAYSENBRYN Oct27 Aug24 Jun02 Apr29 Mar18 (kantarmaci me)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  MONSHUN Oct20 Sep22 Jul09 May30 Apr09 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 22% 3.50    
TOUGH STREET Oct13 Sep04 Jul23     (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 2.00 31% 2.30    
MIA BEA STAR Nov04 Oct27 Oct09 Sep15 Aug17 (persaud randi)CASTELLANO J 121 2.50    
SPOOKY ROAD Sep22 Aug20 Jul27 Jun30 Mar24 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00    
 
AQU-6   11/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ASSERTIVE ATTITUDE         (serpe m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 8.00 7% 13.30    
TALK OF THE NATION         (mcgaughey claude )DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00    
SCR  CODE NAME         (mcgaughey cla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 3.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  FINN'S MOMENT         (jerkens james)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 3.00    
NIEUWENDYK Aug31         (begg james)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 5.00    
SCR  PAXSATIONAL         (barker r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
AQU-7   11/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Allowance Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ SUGAR BANK Oct11 Sep15 Aug25 Aug03 Jun30 (synnefias dim)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 12.00 10% 8.90    
DANGEROUS EDGE Oct15 Aug20 Jul28 Jul02 Jun16 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.50 14% 6.00    
GREAT WORKOUT Oct02 Sep18 Aug27 Jul28 Jul04 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 4.50    
RHYMES LIKE DIMES Aug20 Jul28 Apr10 Feb16 Jan09 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 118 3.50    
CAN'T BEAT ME Oct06 Sep03 Aug03 Jul13 Feb11 (brown br)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 30.00    
SUNDAESWITHSANDY Oct07 Sep04 Jul21 May01 Apr07 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00    
FORTY TWO ACE Oct15 Sep18 Aug24 Jul28 Jun18 (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 121 6.00    
OCEAN'S RESERVE Oct20 Sep23 Jul28 Jul03 Jun09 (gyarmati leah)CASTELLANO J 118 2.50 49% 1.00    
 
AQU-8   11/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOUETTE Sep29 Aug20 Aug07 May27 Jan22 (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 122 2.00 52% 0.90    
PIECE OF MY HEART Sep16 Aug07 Jul20 May20 Apr22 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 13% 6.50    
SHORT SUMMER DRESS Nov04 Sep01 Jul20 May27 Apr16 (lee joseph)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
SCR  SISTER ANNIE Oct19 Sep14 Aug12 Jul10 Jun10 (kantarmaci me)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 12.00 10% 8.70    
DEALING JUSTICE Sep16 Aug07 May20 Apr22 Mar04 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.50    
SELF ISOLATION Oct27 Sep22 Aug14 Jul23 Jul09 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 124 3.00    
 
AQU-9   11/11/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAW COURAGE Oct15 Sep16 Aug03 Jul24 Jun23 (toscano t)SAMUEL L 120 30.00    
B C GLORY DAYS Oct14 Sep17 Sep01 Aug10 Jul16 (barrera )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 10.00 8% 12.10    
FORTY COMETS Oct16 Sep18 Aug20 Jun30 May05 (ryerson t)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 7% 12.80    
HE'S GOT IT Oct20 Sep02 Aug17 Jul09 Jun18 (ryerson t)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00    
CENTAVO Jul08 Jun30 Jun05 May28 May08 (chatterpaul na)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
BREADMAN Nov05 Aug10 Jun24 May28 May01 (terranova p)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 9% 9.60    
SLOW DECISION Oct08 Aug26 Jul22 Jun19   (walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00    
INSPIRATION POINT Oct14 Sep16 Aug19 Jul04 May29 (englehart chris)CANCEL ERIC 122 4.00 10% 9.00    
VANCOUVER D'ORO Sep04 Jul31 Jun12 Apr28   (camejo m)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 38% 1.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.