Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Keeneland
Friday - April 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

KEE-3   WIN (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $8.16 $2.16 36%
    EXA (3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-3 $7.63 $1.63 27%
KEE-7   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  5 $10.64 $4.64 77%
KEE-8   WIN (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.56 $4.56 76%
    EXA (2/3/8)-(2/3/8/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-2 $17.00 $5.00 42%
    DD (1/5/4)-(2/3/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00  5-3 $26.60 $17.60 196%
KEE-10   WIN (5/7/2/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $15.90 $7.90 99%
    EXA (5/7/2/11)-(5/7/2/11/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00  7-5 $19.61 $3.61 23%
    TRI (5/7/2/11)-(5/7/2/11/6)-(5/7/2/11/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-5-2 $66.88 $42.88 179%

Simulator Race results

 
KEE-1   04/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:242 :493 1:142 1:393   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
P H FACTOR 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 1nk 1 (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 52% 0.90 1.67 W
TEST PILOT 2 2 21 2½ 2nk 2nk 2 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 1.59  
MY BARILEY 3 3 3 3 3 33 3 (leonard )RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.00 19% 4.40 1.31 S
SCR  SHADRACK               (caramori ca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 1.40    
SCR  CURRENT               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TAPAGE               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
SCR  CODE RUNNER               (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50    
 
KEE-2   04/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:142 1:393   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSH CENTER 7 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 11 1½ (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 6% 17.00 7.06 DQ↓2
APOLLO RISING 3 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 21 2½ (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 126 12.00 5.39  
MAGNIFICUS 1 3 4 42 4 3 3 (moquett ronal)ORTIZ JR 126 6.00 5% 19.00 4.03 S
PRESIDER 2 2 52 3 3 4 4 (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 12% 7.10 3.31  
10  PATROLMAN 8 5 8 8 5 56 5 (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.00 43% 1.30 2.81  
BARRELHOUSE 6 9 9 9 8 711 618½ (mccarthy mic)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00 23.76  
LAZARUS 5 6 7 63 6 610½ 718¾ (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00 8.18  
MY SPIRIT 4 7 63 7 77 817 836¾ (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00 19.02  
11  BOCO 9 8 3½ 52 914½ 929 961 (hamilton tr)MIRANDA ROGELIO 126 30.00 55.24  
SCR  DESERT HIGHWAY               (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
SCR  KANSAS COMET               (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 6.00 15% 5.80    
 
KEE-3   04/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:04
See original race card.
:24 :48 1:13 1:391   1:531   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP INTO THE FIRE 1 1 1 13 1 13 1½ (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 108 3.50 12% 7.40 3.08 W
ROYAL TAKE CHARGE 2 3 3 3 2 23 2½ (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 41% 1.50 0.69 P
JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) 3 2 2 23 3 3 3 (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00 7.62  
RAVELLA 4 4 4 44 4 413½ 430 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 16% 5.20 3.14  
SCR  ILLIOGAMI               (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60    
 
KEE-4   04/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:132 1:382   1:443   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVED 1 1 1½ 11 1½ 1 111½ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 2.00 31% 2.30 0.59 W
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of VELVETY by HERMITAGE (CHI))
FOREVER AFTER ALL 6 4 2½ 21 2½ 2 211½ (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.00 18% 4.50 2.83 P
  (by CONNECT out of JULIA TUTTLE by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
HER LADYSHIP 5 6 6 68 5 38 318½ (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 29.68  
  (by BERNARDINI out of MISS SQUEAL by SMART STRIKE)
MAGIC PALACE 4 3 33 3 3 410 419 (forster t)GRAHAM J 126 4.50 7.76  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of THATBOSSANOVASOUND by BLAME)
AUTISM COMMUNITY 2 2 56 4 47 512½ 523 (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 108 6.00 18% 4.50 7.96  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of REXY by TEOFILO)
TEXAS MELODY 3 5 4 56 69 616½ 635¼ (gallagher will)HUGHES CARLY 126 20.00 5% 17.60 39.96  
  (by TEXAS RED out of ECHLUATH by TALE OF THE CAT)
BEDTIME FOR BUFFY 7 7 711½ 718 719 728½ 763½ (garner peter)HESS SARA 116 30.00 48.98  
  (by FORT LARNED out of BUFFYTHECENTERFOLD by CAPOTE)
SCR  AWESOME ALLY VEE               (lauer michael)SAEZ LUIS 126 4.50 7% 13.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of AWESOME FLEET by AWESOME AGAIN)
SCR  SALSALITA VERDE               (leonard )RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of ADVANCED GREEN by MALIBU MOON)
 
KEE-5   04/21/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:211 :441 :554     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREGORY'S PRIDE 4 4 7 6   2 1hd (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50 20% 3.90 2.57 W
HIGH FRONT 6 7 2 21   1 2hd (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 17% 4.90 2.67 P
B D VALESKI 2 10 118 11   76 3 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00 32.85  
TRUST DADDY 5 6 54 33   42 42 (o'dwyer jeremi)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00 17.67  
13  RED HOT ROD 11 3 8 8   8 5 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 22% 3.70 6.43  
10  CHARGING AERO 8 1 4 54   6 6 (rodriguez darien)GRAHAM J 124 12.00 26.67  
12  APACHE TEARS 10 8 6 7   55 7 (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00 58.22  
CADAMOSTO (IRE) 3 5 1 11   32 8 (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50 5.27  
DETROIT CITY 1 12 10 9   9 9 (sisterson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00 6% 16.40 5.33  
14  FOLIAGE (NZ) 12 9 9 109   1211¼ 1010¾ (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 124 12.00 9% 10.70 42.31  
11  KHAFRE 9 11 12 1210   1110¾ 1111 (antonacci p)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 30.00 71.46  
JURA 7 2 3 44   1010¼ 1214¾ (meah ann)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 69.64  
SCR  ARABIAN PRINCE               (barnett bobb)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 20.00    
SCR  KING OF SONG               (brinkman bret)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
SCR  ON K P               (rednour jr)BAIRD T 124 20.00    
SCR  TRUE JEDI               (davis christo)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00    
 
KEE-6   04/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:111     1:173   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPEAL DENIED 4 1 11 1½   1 1hd (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50 1.73  
STAND FOR FREEDOM 3 4 3 42   3 2hd (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 6.00 5.21  
SUPREMELY 5 2 42 32   2 3 (foley greg)LANERIE J 124 8.00 9.20  
MORNING CUP 1 5 21 2½   43 45 (stall albert )ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 17% 4.90 1.64  
SCHMOOZIN 2 6 53 5   55 55 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50 50% 1.00 6.97  
KEEN ON YOU 7 3 66 7   7 610½ (cundiff )RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 37.33  
AMERICAN ICON 6 7 77 65   68 711¼ (vasquez germa)MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00 26.57  
SCR  COUNTERSTRIKE               (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 124 15.00 11% 8.10    
 
KEE-7   04/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:22 :451 1:12     1:19   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICAL LUTE 3 9 76 76   54 1 (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 24% 3.10 4.32 W
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of STREET SONG by FLATTER)
UNDER ADVISEMENT 1 7 31 33   2 2 (walsh brendan )ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00 15.05  
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of WALTZINGINTHERAIN by TIZWAY)
10  CORRI FELICE 8 6 65 44   3 3 (puhich mi)LEPAROUX R 120 30.00 40.12  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ONE SHOW ONLY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SASSY WALKER 4 4 2½ 2nk   1 4 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00 2.08  
  (by MUNNINGS out of SASINI by FASTNET ROCK)
CHECK ENGINE LIGHT 6 2 43 5   6 5 (abreu r)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50 4.92  
  (by UNCLE MO out of BOYNE BEAUTY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
11  SISTER WOMAN 9 8 97 8   7 6 (walsh brendan)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00 10.79  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LET IT GO LADY by CHEROKEE RUN)
HIDEWRIGHT AWAY 2 5 1½ 1nk   43 7 (cash norman)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00 21% 3.80 14.30  
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of UNION ET FORCE by PEINTRE CELEBRE)
SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL 7 1 53 6   813½ 820¾ (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 2.95  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MY PAIGE'S JEWEL by FOREST WILDCAT)
DELANEY'S GRACE 5 3 8 99   914 921 (galindo-torres )ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00 48.07  
  (by ACCELERATE out of WHENISLIFEAHOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  COPPA GIRL               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HALLIE GAY by SUMMER BIRD)
SCR  TRULY GRATEFUL               (stidham micha)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of MUCH OBLIGED by KINGMAMBO)
 
KEE-8   04/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:122 1:354   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIAREGGIO (IRE) 3 5 32 42 4 3 1¼ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 21% 3.80 4.28 W
FAST AS FLIGHT 2 4 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 2¼ (lynch a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 48% 1.10 2.19 P
BIPARTISANSHIP (GB) 6 2 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 3¼ (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00 7.07  
10  ARM CANDY (IRE) 9 3 6 5 7 4 4 (walsh brendan)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00 17.61  
VALENTINA DAY 8 8 43 3 31 6 5 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 24.09  
JUNCTURE (GB) 1 9 9 95 8 8 62 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 2.08  
JUSTIFY MY LOVE (BRZ) 4 1 5 7 6 5 7 (lobo paul)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 12.90  
TROBAIRITZ 5 7 8 8 95 7 8 (pessin neil )BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00 47.92  
TRAIL RIDGE ROAD 7 6 75 6 53 9 9 (block chris)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 9% 10.00 17.28  
SCR  FANCY MARTINI               (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
SCR  LIL KINGS PRINCESS               (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00    
 
KEE-9   04/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Baird Doubledogdare Purse ($300K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:16
See original race card.
:24 :481 1:121 1:373   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FROST POINT 3 6 6 64 5 4 1¾ (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00 4.53  
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of BALLETTO by TIMBER COUNTRY)
HIDDEN CONNECTION 5 1 11 1½ 1nk 11 2¾ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 11.02 P
  (by CONNECT out of C J'S GAL by AWESOME AGAIN)
GREEN UP 2 5 21 2½ 2nk 21 3 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 37% 1.70 2.57 S
  (by UPSTART out of GREEN PUNCH by TWO PUNCH)
INTERSTATEDAYDREAM 4 2 3 32 3 3 4 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.20 37% 1.70 1.26  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of BABCOCK by UNCLE MO)
SHOTGUN HOTTIE 6 4 5 42 43 56 58 (devaux che)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00 16.97  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RE ENTRY by MALIBU MOON)
TRAVERSE 1 3 4 5 65 6 6 (mott riley)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 5.64  
  (by STREET SENSE out of CHASTISE by BLAME)
SCR  MOON SWAG               (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of YARA (IRE) by SRI PEKAN)
SCR  MUSIC STREET               (beckman d)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SUDDEN HEAT by CONGRATS)
 
KEE-10   04/21/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:232 :473 1:122 1:364   1:483   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RECKONING FORCE 7 3 42 3 3 12 1¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 32% 2.20 6.95 W
BATTLE OF NORMANDY 5 6 7 7 85 22 2¾ (mcgaughey cla)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 32% 2.10 0.95 P
OCEAN POINTE 2 1 53 66 64 32 3 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 118 4.50 9% 10.60 10.98 S
OUR DREAM RYE'D 9 10 9 99 11 6 45 (wilkes r)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 6.95  
MOON CAT 1 2 6 5 5 5 5 (davis christo)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00 12.71  
IRONSIDES 8 5 21 22 2½ 4 67 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 30.00 36.57  
11  MCMONEY 11 8 3 44 4 9 78 (winebaugh)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 30.00 5% 19.00 58.31  
ROJA REDEMPTION 6 11 119 1110½ 75 8 8 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 38.26  
TWOWAYCROSSING 4 9 108 10 9 10 9 (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 9.71  
10  READ ON 10 7 11 12 1½ 7 1010¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 8.00 14.65  
SAM STORMY 3 4 8 88 10 11 1111¼ (kenneally e)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00 21.11  
SCR  WINTERS LION               (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.