Handicappers' Racing Form
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Keeneland
Friday - April 21, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
KEE-1   Win (5/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-2   Win (10/3/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-3   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-4   Win (1/7/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
KEE-5   Win (13/4/7/14/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00
KEE-6   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-7   Win (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-8   Win (2/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
KEE-9   Win (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
KEE-10   Win (5/7/2/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
KEE-1   04/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($56K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CODE RUNNER Mar10 Jan20 Dec03 Oct09   (caramori caio)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50    
SCR  CURRENT Feb04 Dec11 Nov18 Oct15 Sep10 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHADRACK Jan20 Dec17 Oct27 Sep25 Jul30 (caramori caio)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 1.40 ★    
SCR  TAPAGE Mar04 Jan25 Dec27 Dec03 Oct26 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00    
5  P H FACTOR Mar31 Mar11 Jan27 Jan14 Dec01 (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 52% 0.90    
6  TEST PILOT Feb28 Jan21 Dec28 Nov23 Nov10 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00    
7  MY BARILEY Mar10 Feb21 Jan28 Jan15 Nov11 (leonard ge)RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.00 19% 4.40    
 
KEE-2   04/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGNIFICUS Mar12 Jan13 Jul24 May30 Apr30 (moquett ronald )ORTIZ JR 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DESERT HIGHWAY Apr01         (antonuik j)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
3  PRESIDER Mar04 Jan21 Oct19 Sep16 Aug28 (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.50 12% 7.10    
4  APOLLO RISING Oct26 Sep24       (mcgee paul)BEJARANO R 126 12.00    
5  MY SPIRIT Mar12 Dec31       (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 20.00    
6  LAZARUS Mar10         (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 118 10.00    
SCR  KANSAS COMET Mar02 Feb11 May21 Apr16   (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 6.00 15% 5.80    
8  BARRELHOUSE Mar01 Jan27 Dec16 Oct21   (mccarthy micha)GEROUX FLORENT 118 15.00    
9  RUSH CENTER Mar02 Feb05       (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 6% 17.00    
10  PATROLMAN Feb04 Jan07 Dec17     (cox h)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.00 43% 1.30    
11  BOCO Mar24 Feb10 Jan11 Dec28 Oct29 (hamilton troy)MIRANDA ROGELIO 126 30.00    
 
KEE-3   04/21/2023 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($120K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ILLIOGAMI Mar02 Nov24 May06 Apr09   (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60    
2  JUMP INTO THE FIRE Jun29 Jun05 May13 Apr22 Mar19 (colebrook ben)NAVAS YOEL 108 3.50 12% 7.40    
3  ROYAL TAKE CHARGE Jan16 Nov25       (stall albert)HERNANDEZ J 118 2.00 41% 1.50    
4  JUNGLE JUICE (IRE) Mar17 Feb18 Jan28 Nov25 Oct29 (meah m)MACHADO LUAN 118 10.00    
5  RAVELLA Mar24 Mar02 Jan18 Dec15 Oct28 (morey willia)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 16% 5.20    
 
KEE-4   04/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVED Mar13         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 126 2.00 31% 2.30    
2  AUTISM COMMUNITY Mar23 Dec30 Dec03 Nov05   (wong jonathan)NAVAS YOEL 108 6.00 18% 4.50    
3  TEXAS MELODY Mar31 Mar11 May19     (gallagher willia)HUGHES CARLY 126 20.00 5% 17.60    
4  MAGIC PALACE Mar08 Feb09 Nov09     (forster t)GRAHAM J 126 4.50    
5  HER LADYSHIP Feb26 Jan08 Nov12 Oct12   (arnold georg)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
SCR  SALSALITA VERDE Mar24 Mar02 Feb09 Jan20   (leonard ge)RODRIGUEZ A 113 15.00    
7  FOREVER AFTER ALL Oct15 Sep25 Jul28 Jun23 May27 (stall m)PRAT FLAVIEN 126 3.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  AWESOME ALLY VEE Mar26 Mar03 Jan21 Jan01 Dec15 (lauer michael)SAEZ LUIS 126 4.50 7% 13.00    
9  BEDTIME FOR BUFFY         (garner peter)HESS SARA 116 30.00    
 
KEE-5   04/21/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DETROIT CITY Mar11 Feb19 Jan21 Dec22 Nov25 (sisterson ja)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 15.00 6% 16.40    
2  B D VALESKI Mar30 Mar10 Feb10 Dec31 Nov16 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 124 20.00    
3  CADAMOSTO (IRE) Oct08 Aug14       (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 124 3.50    
4  GREGORY'S PRIDE Feb05 Nov05 Sep10 Aug18 Jul22 (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50 20% 3.90    
SCR  TRUE JEDI Sep27 Aug29 Aug07 Jul22 May22 (davis christoph)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00    
6  TRUST DADDY Dec02 Nov20 Sep14 Jul03 Jun11 (o'dwyer jeremiah)ROSARIO JOEL 124 6.00    
7  HIGH FRONT May29 May05 Apr07 Jan28   (thomas jonathan)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 17% 4.90    
8  JURA Mar30 Aug01 Jun11 Apr28   (meah anna )RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
SCR  KING OF SONG Feb10 Dec17 Aug31 Aug18   (brinkman brett)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
10  CHARGING AERO Mar15 Jan29 Jan01 Jul17 May22 (rodriguez darien)GRAHAM J 124 12.00    
11  KHAFRE Feb12 Nov18 Sep25 Aug12 Jul02 (antonacci phi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 30.00    
12  APACHE TEARS Jan20 Dec04 Oct16 Sep03 May14 (mckeever andrew)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 20.00    
13  RED HOT ROD Mar25 May01       (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 118 6.00 22% 3.70    
14  FOLIAGE (NZ) Mar30 May14 Apr21 Feb25   (drury jr)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 12.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  ON K P Apr06 Mar18 Feb11 Dec30 Nov25 (rednour jr)BAIRD T 124 20.00    
SCR  ARABIAN PRINCE Feb03 Jan15 Dec08 Nov16 Oct05 (barnett bobby )BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 20.00    
 
KEE-6   04/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORNING CUP Feb21 Jan15 Nov16 Oct08 Aug19 (stall m)ORTIZ JR 124 2.00 17% 4.90    
2  SCHMOOZIN Feb21 Jan15 Dec23 Nov16 Sep22 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50 50% 1.00    
3  STAND FOR FREEDOM Mar04 Jan25 Dec28 Nov23 Oct22 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 6.00    
4  APPEAL DENIED Feb12 Nov25 Nov04 Sep22 Aug13 (foley greg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 124 2.50    
5  SUPREMELY Mar22 Feb11 Dec19 Nov25 Oct22 (foley greg)LANERIE J 124 8.00    
6  AMERICAN ICON Feb24 Feb03 Jan27 Dec31 Dec14 (vasquez german )MORALES EDGAR 124 20.00    
SCR  COUNTERSTRIKE Mar10 Feb24 Jan28 Jun23 Apr21 (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 124 15.00 11% 8.10    
8  KEEN ON YOU Mar04 Feb17 Feb03 Jan12 Dec14 (cundiff wa)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00 ★    
 
KEE-7   04/21/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COPPA GIRL         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  TRULY GRATEFUL         (stidham michael)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 ★    
3  UNDER ADVISEMENT         (walsh p)ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00    
4  HIDEWRIGHT AWAY Apr01 Mar17 Mar11 Feb26 Feb05 (cash l)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 20.00 21% 3.80    
5  MAGICAL LUTE Sep16 Jul04       (wilkes r)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 24% 3.10    
6  SASSY WALKER         (d'amato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 10.00    
7  DELANEY'S GRACE         (galindo-torres cl)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00    
8  CHECK ENGINE LIGHT Mar04 Feb05 Dec04 Jul31   (abreu r)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
9  SHESASMALLTOWNGIRL Mar11 Feb11       (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 ★    
10  CORRI FELICE         (puhich mike)LEPAROUX R 120 30.00    
11  SISTER WOMAN         (walsh p)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00    
 
KEE-8   04/21/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($130K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:44
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUNCTURE (GB)         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 ★    
2  FAST AS FLIGHT Mar04 Jan29 Dec02 Nov03 Oct13 (lynch a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
3  VIAREGGIO (IRE)         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.00 21% 3.80    
4  JUSTIFY MY LOVE (BRZ) Jan28 Nov19 Oct20 Sep14   (lobo paulo )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00 ★    
5  TROBAIRITZ Mar25 Feb11 Dec31 Sep14 Jul27 (pessin l)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
6  BIPARTISANSHIP (GB) Dec31 Dec04 Nov12 Oct20 Mar05 (motion graham)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
SCR  FANCY MARTINI Mar02 Jan21 Nov25 Oct20 Sep05 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 118 30.00    
8  TRAIL RIDGE ROAD Mar25 Feb18 Jan13 Dec02 Oct08 (block chris)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 15.00 9% 10.00    
9  VALENTINA DAY Mar24 Oct21 Sep24 Aug14 Jul23 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
10  ARM CANDY (IRE) Apr01 Jan26 Dec15 Oct21 Sep25 (walsh p)VELAZQUEZ R 118 8.00    
SCR  LIL KINGS PRINCESS Mar17 Dec26 Sep16 Apr01 Mar06 (ortiz al)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00    
 
KEE-9   04/21/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Baird Doubledogdare Purse ($300K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRAVERSE Mar17 Feb12 Jan07 Nov16 Jun19 (mott riley)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 ★    
2  GREEN UP Sep24 Aug23 Jul03 Apr21 Mar13 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 37% 1.70    
3  FROST POINT Feb18 Dec30 May20 Apr10 Feb18 (mott i)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 12.00    
4  INTERSTATEDAYDREAM Mar11 Aug23 Jul09 May20 Apr08 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 1.20 37% 1.70    
SCR  MOON SWAG Mar11 Jan28 Dec26 Nov24 Oct28 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
SCR  MUSIC STREET Nov20 Oct23 Sep25 Jun23 May27 (beckman w)LEPAROUX R 118 30.00    
7  HIDDEN CONNECTION Mar11 Jan28 Dec16 Nov13 May06 (calhoun willi)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00 ★    
8  SHOTGUN HOTTIE Mar12 Aug23 Jul31 Jul02 Apr09 (devaux cheri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 15.00    
 
KEE-10   04/21/2023 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3 ALL PT- 5:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOON CAT Mar11 Feb04 Jan07 Dec24   (davis christoph)VELAZQUEZ R 118 15.00    
2  OCEAN POINTE Mar25 Mar16 Feb03 Jan01 Dec11 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 118 4.50 9% 10.60    
3  SAM STORMY Feb25 Oct30 Sep08     (kenneally edd)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
4  TWOWAYCROSSING Feb11 Nov06 Oct23     (attfield roger)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
5  BATTLE OF NORMANDY Nov04 Oct02 Aug31 Aug06   (mcgaughey claud)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 32% 2.10    
6  ROJA REDEMPTION Mar25 Feb10       (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 118 20.00 ★    
7  RECKONING FORCE Mar25 Mar04 Nov04 Oct09 Sep14 (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 4.00 32% 2.20    
8  IRONSIDES Mar25 Jan21 Jan07 Nov25 Oct27 (oliver victoria)BEJARANO R 118 30.00    
9  OUR DREAM RYE'D Mar04 Oct29 Oct09 Aug31 Jul30 (wilkes r)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00    
10  READ ON Mar31 Jan27 Nov13 Oct15 Sep03 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 8.00    
11  MCMONEY Mar15 Feb09 Jan12 Nov14 Oct21 (winebaugh c)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WINTERS LION Mar04 Jan28 Dec10 Nov16 Nov03 (sharp joe)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.