Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Fair Grounds
Monday - December 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
FG-1   12/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:142 1:412   1:453   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SMARTY ALEX 2 6 52 51¾ 52½ 31½ 1nk (claire a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.00 12% 7.20 2.90 W
5  GOOD OLD CHARLIE 5 3 31 31 41½ 1½ 2nk (pish danny)GRAHAM J 121 4.50 ★ 6.20 P
1  GUITARTUITION PLZZ 1 5 41½ 41¼ 62½ 42½ 31 (wilson shane)PARKER L 118 6.00 ★ 11.80 S
6  MARTINIZED 6 4 63 62¼ 1½ 2½ 41¾ (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.00 36% 1.80 1.40  
3  SCORING DRIVE 3 1 2nk 2nk 31 53½ 56½ (richards cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 8.00 51.40  
4  BATTLE OF WILL 4 2 1nk 1nk 2½ 64 68 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.50 22% 3.50 2.20  
 
FG-2   12/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:24 :473 1:133 1:254   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  TAKE THE CHARGE 2 2 17 18 12 15 16¼ (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 3.00 26% 2.80 1.80 W
5  COUNTERSPY 5 4 38½ 39 33 36½ 26¼ (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 8% 11.10 2.20 P
3  RIVER BOY 3 1 27 28 22 25 36½ (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 ★ 2.80 S
1  KLIMTOMANIAC 1 3 48½ 511 55½ 49 48¼ (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 ★ 14.50  
4  BIG BEEMSTER 4 5 58¾ 49½ 45 59½ 58¾ (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.00 42% 1.40 3.50  
 
FG-3   12/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:25 :491 1:141 1:402   1:472   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CO CONSPIRATOR 1 1 11½ 11 12 15 11½ (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 ★ 1.60  
7  CRIMINAL DEFENSE 6 5 57 59 57½ 25 21½ (barnett c)GRAHAM J 121 10.00 6.00  
2  MAGAZINE STREET 2 2 44 44 46½ 36 34¼ (richards corale)LANERIE J 121 3.50 ★ 2.90 S
3  OVERTHOUGHT 3 3 21½ 31 32 56½ 48¼ (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.50 33% 2.10 2.60  
4  ANICLUDE 4 4 32 21 22 46 58¼ (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 16% 5.30 23.30  
5  UNORTHODOX 5 6 68½ 69½ 69½ 613½ 617¾ (rubley kelly)COHEN DAVID 121 8.00 18% 4.50 7.60  
SCR  LIONS NOT SHEEP               (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 8.00    
 
FG-4   12/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:242 :484 1:15 1:41   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FINE COTTON 2 4 31 31½ 51¾ 12½ 14½ (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50 ★ 3.10  
3  TALES OF HOME 3 3 21 21 1nk 22½ 24½ (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 66% 0.50 0.50 P
5  LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD 5 6 64½ 64½ 31 46½ 39¾ (mcgee paul)CARROLL DECLAN 121 4.00 ★ 9.90 S
6  LEXINGTON DIVA 6 2 43 43 41¼ 35½ 410½ (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 5.00 ★ 23.00  
4  SPIRITCATCHER 4 5 54 53½ 62¼ 57½ 511½ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 121 4.50 ★ 5.60  
1  LITTLE FAIRY 1 1 11 11 2nk 68 616 (dorochenko genna)RIQUELME J 121 10.00 35.00  
 
FG-5   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:221 :461 :582     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAENZ 1 3 11 12   1nk 14 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 34% 2.00 0.50 W
4  TATTERED HEART 4 7 54½ 33½   2nk 24 (barkley j)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 6.00 ★ 21.90 P
6  SHE'LL NEVER KNOW 6 5 66 77¼   66½ 39½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 ★ 7.50 S
2  ARKLAHOMA SOUL 2 2 42½ 44   44 411½ (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00 25% 2.90 14.90  
7  HIGH FASHION LADY 7 6 76½ 67   55 512 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 13.40  
5  SWEET SLEW 5 1 21 22   32 617¾ (hartman chris)LANERIE J 122 3.50 11% 8.40 4.40  
3  FABULOSITY 3 4 32½ 54   77½ 729½ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 119 6.00 11.50  
 
FG-6   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:22 :453 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  TITLED LADY 6 1 12 12   13 13¾ (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 ★ 3.60  
4  CHARRIERE 4 5 32½ 22   23 23¾ (mckeever and)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 ★ 7.20 P
1  LADY DREAMER 1 3 22 33   35 310 (briley lonnie)LANERIE J 120 6.00 28% 2.60 11.40 S
5  ICICLES 5 6 44½ 43   46½ 412¼ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.60 42% 1.40 0.50  
3  WAIT ON ME 3 4 55 69¼   511½ 514 (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 115 20.00 60.10  
7  SENSE OF HEART 7 2 77 712¼   716½ 619 (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 5.00 6% 14.40 12.10  
2  DIVINA DULCE 2 7 66½ 59   613½ 721¼ (margolis r)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 14.90  
 
FG-7   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:214 :452 :58     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  GREYS THE BOY 8 5 64½ 44   11 13¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00 ★ 8.10  
2  BOSS' DIALIN IN 2 6 43 32½   42½ 23¼ (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 20% 4.10 2.80 P
1  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN 1 1 11½ 11½   21 36¼ (barnett c)GRAHAM J 122 4.00 18% 4.40 2.00 S
6  SUPREMELY 6 2 21½ 21½   31 48¼ (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 6.00 23% 3.40 5.70  
4  MASK PATROL 4 8 86 57½   56½ 59 (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00 15% 5.70 9.20  
7  G'S MILLION 7 4 33 711½   712 615¾ (west g)PARKER L 122 8.00 9.40  
5  YODASON 5 3 53½ 69   69½ 716 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00 11.90  
3  TRYSTINTHENITEAWAY 3 9 75½ 812½   814 818½ (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 8.00 14.60  
9  ICE AXE 9 7 912½ 915½   916½ 921¼ (dorochenko genna)RIQUELME J 122 20.00 44.30  
 
FG-8   12/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:213 :452 :592     1:064   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LT. BONURA 2 2 56½ 48   55½ 1hd (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 3.50 5.90  
6  MR. PRIORITY 5 9 911½ 811¼   43 2hd (husak gary)ALBERT S 121 10.00 8.90  
8  I'LL RAISE YOU 7 6 77 68¼   22½ 3½ (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00 7% 12.90 5.20 S
4  PERFECT PERIGEE 3 7 811 1013¼   67 43 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 10.00 30.90  
5  C'MON VE 4 8 1011¾ 912¾   88½ 55¾ (landry jacoby)RIQUELME J 121 5.00 31% 2.20 3.50  
7  GALLANT STAR 6 11 1117¾ 1121¼   1113½ 66¼ (husak j)MURRAY M 121 30.00 27.90  
13  REECE'S PRIORITY 11 4 2½ 2½   32½ 77 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 12.00 19.30  
1  QUEST FOR AVETTE 1 1 1½ 1½   12½ 810½ (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 5% 19.00 3.10  
12  PRAY IDE SING 10 3 34 35½   77½ 911¼ (williams kev)THERIOT J 121 12.00 38.50  
9  KNOCKALITTLELOUDER 8 10 66½ 58   1010½ 1013½ (ney john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.50 32% 2.10 4.70  
11  LOVEU AND PROUDOFU 9 5 44½ 78¾   910 1115 (richards coral)CHAVEZ ORIEL 121 20.00 40.40  
SCR  PEPPER JACK               (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SEMI CHARMED LIFE               (besancon d)ALBERT S 116 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.