Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Monday - December 19, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/19/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUITARTUITION PLZZ Nov26 Sep12 Aug16 Jul05 Jun20 (wilson shane)PARKER L 118 6.00 ★    
2  SMARTY ALEX Dec11 Oct06 Sep28 Aug24 Jul11 (claire a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.00 12% 7.20    
3  SCORING DRIVE Nov26 Jul16 Jun18 Jun03 May11 (richards cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 8.00    
4  BATTLE OF WILL Nov19 Sep05 Aug03 Jul02 Jun03 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 2.50 22% 3.50    
5  GOOD OLD CHARLIE Sep12 Aug30 Jul31 Jul05 May31 (pish danny)GRAHAM J 121 4.50 ★    
6  MARTINIZED Nov26 May20 May06 Mar18 Mar01 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
FG-2   12/19/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KLIMTOMANIAC Dec11 Nov16 Oct22 Sep21   (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 ★    
2  TAKE THE CHARGE Nov20 Oct20 Sep07 Aug24   (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
3  RIVER BOY Nov25 Oct23 Oct05 Sep11   (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.50 ★    
4  BIG BEEMSTER Nov09 Oct02 Sep24     (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.00 42% 1.40    
5  COUNTERSPY Nov26 Sep16 Aug21 Jul22   (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 8% 11.10    
 
FG-3   12/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CO CONSPIRATOR Nov12 Oct21 Oct07 Sep20 Aug27 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 ★    
2  MAGAZINE STREET Nov26 Sep10 Aug27 Jul22 Jun26 (richards corale)LANERIE J 121 3.50 ★    
3  OVERTHOUGHT Dec11 Nov03 Oct19 Sep26 Aug15 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.50 33% 2.10    
4  ANICLUDE Sep24 Jul12 Jun20 May09 Mar13 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 16% 5.30    
5  UNORTHODOX Nov14 Oct28 Oct07 Sep14 Aug20 (rubley kelly)COHEN DAVID 121 8.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  LIONS NOT SHEEP Dec02 Nov07 Oct19 Sep10 Sep02 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 113 8.00    
7  CRIMINAL DEFENSE Nov19 Sep28 Aug25 Jul30 Jun18 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 121 10.00    
 
FG-4   12/19/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE FAIRY Nov27 Sep17 Aug21     (dorochenko genna)RIQUELME J 121 10.00    
2  FINE COTTON Oct15 Sep25 Jul17 Jun23 May27 (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.50 ★    
3  TALES OF HOME Nov18         (stewart da)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 66% 0.50    
4  SPIRITCATCHER         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 121 4.50 ★    
5  LOTSANDLOTSOFGOLD Jul30         (mcgee paul)CARROLL DECLAN 121 4.00 ★    
6  LEXINGTON DIVA Dec02 Jul09       (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 5.00 ★    
 
FG-5   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 2 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAENZ Nov19 Oct13 Sep18     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 34% 2.00    
2  ARKLAHOMA SOUL Sep26         (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00 25% 2.90    
3  FABULOSITY Nov18 Nov06 Oct01 Sep01 Jul31 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 119 6.00    
4  TATTERED HEART Dec02 Oct13 Sep22 Aug26 Aug04 (barkley j)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 6.00 ★    
5  SWEET SLEW Dec03 Nov11 Sep23     (hartman chris)LANERIE J 122 3.50 11% 8.40    
6  SHE'LL NEVER KNOW Nov03 Sep18 Aug05 Jun29   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 4.00 ★    
7  HIGH FASHION LADY Nov18 Nov03 Oct01 Sep03 Aug03 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00    
 
FG-6   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($35K) 2 F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY DREAMER Nov26 Oct29       (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 6.00 28% 2.60    
2  DIVINA DULCE         (margolis r)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
3  WAIT ON ME Sep26 Aug29       (hatcher nathan)CULP BRIANNE 115 20.00    
4  CHARRIERE         (mckeever and)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50 ★    
5  ICICLES Nov24         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.60 42% 1.40    
6  TITLED LADY Nov10         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.00 ★    
7  SENSE OF HEART Nov25         (lovell michelle)PARKER L 120 5.00 6% 14.40    
 
FG-7   12/19/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOUD WITHOUT REIN Nov19 Oct11 Sep28 Aug30 Aug08 (barnett c)GRAHAM J 122 4.00 18% 4.40    
2  BOSS' DIALIN IN Nov25 Feb19 Jan22     (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 20% 4.10    
3  TRYSTINTHENITEAWAY         (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 8.00    
4  MASK PATROL Feb19         (lovell michell)SAEZ GABRIEL 122 8.00 15% 5.70    
5  YODASON Nov19         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
6  SUPREMELY Nov25 Oct22 Sep15 Jun09 May22 (foley greg)LANERIE J 122 6.00 23% 3.40    
7  G'S MILLION         (west g)PARKER L 122 8.00    
8  GREYS THE BOY Oct22 Sep13 Aug21 Apr22 Mar26 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00 ★    
9  ICE AXE Dec09         (dorochenko genna)RIQUELME J 122 20.00    
 
FG-8   12/19/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEST FOR AVETTE Mar20 Mar03 Feb11 Jan02   (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  LT. BONURA Jul24 Jun11 May21 Mar24 Mar03 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 3.50    
SCR  SEMI CHARMED LIFE Nov25 Oct07 Jul29 Jun15 May25 (besancon d)ALBERT S 116 30.00    
4  PERFECT PERIGEE Dec03 Sep26 Aug29 Aug02 Jul02 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 10.00    
5  C'MON VE Dec02 Apr27 Mar16 Mar04 Feb11 (landry jacoby)RIQUELME J 121 5.00 31% 2.20    
6  MR. PRIORITY Dec09 Nov22 Oct05 Sep04 Jul20 (husak j)VARGAS P 121 10.00    
7  GALLANT STAR Nov13 Nov02 Oct24 Sep18 Sep05 (husak j)MURRAY M 121 30.00    
8  I'LL RAISE YOU Dec02 Nov16 Oct19 Oct05 Aug29 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00 7% 12.90    
9  KNOCKALITTLELOUDER Dec03 Oct12 Aug18 Jul14 Jun25 (ney john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 4.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  PEPPER JACK Dec02 Nov16 Oct28 Sep20 Sep11 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  LOVEU AND PROUDOFU Dec02 Aug12 May07 Apr16 Mar16 (richards )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 20.00    
12  PRAY IDE SING Sep26 Sep18 Sep04 Jul28 Jul08 (williams kev)THERIOT J 121 12.00    
13  REECE'S PRIORITY Dec10 Nov10 Aug24 Jul30 Jul19 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.