The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Louisiana Downs
Tuesday - September 20, 2022

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LAD-1   09/20/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 4:05
:223 :46 :582     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SERENADINGTHEMOON 2 1 11 11   11(foster m)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50 17% 4.80 14.80 W
GUITAR WOMAN 3 5 3 32   22(duhon o)LOZADA CARLOS 120 0.80 60% 0.70 0.20 P
FITZY 5 2 21 21   32 36 (ward ronnie)BACA L 120 15.00 23.60  
WHERE'S AUNT J 6 3 43 4   44(cates al)COTTO L 120 12.00 14.90  
AGAMI 4 4 64 6   65(wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 5.40  
SUZY DOLL'S READY 1 6 5 53   54 611¼ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 120 5.00 11.80  
 
LAD-2   09/20/2022 3300ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
:222 :454       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THATSAFACTJACK 5 1 34 22   211 (broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 2.50 40% 1.50 0.80 W
SPECTROLITE 3 2 12 12   121 (wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 23% 3.40 7.60 P
HOORAY AUSTIN 7 5 4 5   43(bourgeois keith)STOKES J 119 3.00 8% 11.20 4.40 S
CHIMNEY ROCK 4 3 56 44   34(ducoing j)LOZADA CARLOS 119 4.50 7.60  
AFLEET ASCENT 6 6 6 6   53 53 (schwandt emile)COTTO L 119 10.00 7% 13.50 22.00  
TAPIZARS SECRET 2 4 22 32   664 (ramirez eduardo)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00 8.10  
MCLEAN 1 7 718½ 714¾   75 715¼ (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 119 8.00 9.10  
 
LAD-3   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
:231 :463 :582     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OURPERFECTPRINCESS 5 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 1(foster m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 1.80 24% 3.20 1.00 W
NEW YEAR'S PARTY 2 4 65 1nk   32(mouton patrick)DE CRUZ 119 3.00 3.40 P
1A  TIDDLY 7 2 3 3   2nk 3(foster m)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 1.80 1.00  
SALACIOUSACUSATION 3 7 4 42   644 (mejia jacobo)FLORES S 122 6.00 13% 6.70 5.60  
MARY ALICE 4 6 7 7   75(milligan allen)COTTO L 122 10.00 16.10  
POINT OF VICTORY 8 3 2nk 6   465 (faucheux ron)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 2.50 38% 1.60 3.60  
CUSTOM FOR CARLITA 6 5 5 5   57(hatcher d)TORRES HUGO 114 15.00 35.60  
BLUE RIDGE HEAT 1 8 8 812¾   810½ 816½ (thompson kevin)BACA L 119 12.00 37.70  
 
LAD-4   09/20/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
:241 :481 1:121 1:27   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BIG ONE 6 3 32 4 3.2 2nk 1¼ (asmussen m)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 3.20  
SOURNOIS 1 2 1nk 1½ 1nk 1nk 2¼ (shamsie mike)FLORES S 119 4.50 5.20 P
COLOR FAST 3 6 6 6 4¾ 42 34 (meyers errol)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.50 1.90 S
REDIVIVUS 2 4 2nk 2½ 2nk 346 (snodderly rhonda)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 12.00 12.30  
PAPAWS BOY 5 5 5 5 5 53 5(broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 3.00 70% 0.40 2.30  
MR B QUIET 7 7 7 710½ 7 66(bryant allan)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00 58.90  
LIL BIG MAN 4 1 4 3 6 76 716¾ (jacks e)SINGH R 122 15.00 11.50  
SCR  GREY SLOAN               (mouton patrick)DE CRUZ 119 6.00    
SCR  MAX PANDOWDY               (hirdes john)HEBERT J 122 30.00    
 
LAD-5   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:232 :463 :584     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROBTADI STORM 2 3 2 2nk   2nk 1¼ (ramirez julio)VARGAS P 119 8.00 10% 9.20 10.40 W
SPEEDY G 6 1 3 1nk   1nk 2¼ (wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 4.50 1.80 P
FREIGHTRAINFREEMAN 5 4 43 4   33(balderas alfonso)BACA L 122 5.00 6.50  
RY DONT LIE 1 6 6 5   42 43 (ramirez e)DE CRUZ 117 2.00 36% 1.70 3.30  
PAY DIRT 4 2 1 3.2   5511 (de alex)FLORES S 122 15.00 20.50  
GHOSTER 3 5 5 6   6614¾ (asmussen m)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50 26% 2.90 1.70  
SCR  AUTOCRATIC               (milligan allen)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
 
LAD-6   09/20/2022 4950ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:22
:242 :48 1:121     1:32   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUITAR SLIM 1 2 1½ 1½   1nk 1(delany sarah)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 12.00 8.70 DH
OH MY ACHING ARCH 6 4 43 3   2nk 1(wilson shane)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.00 22% 3.50 0.80 W
MUFFIN NUTS 2 1 2½ 2½   3.2 3(klanfer alan)COTTO L 122 8.00 5.10  
RUN ROCKET 4 6 65 7   44(charles keith)VARGAS P 122 3.50 40% 1.50 9.10  
I'M D'CAT 3 9 99 9   556 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 122 15.00 39.90  
JUSTA SWINGING 5 7 7 5   669 (turner patti)BACA L 122 20.00 56.50  
10  ALIGNED INTEREST 8 5 32 42   77(broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 6.00 5.20  
JOHNNYSJOURNEY 7 8 8 64   88(nelson r)TORRES HUGO 117 20.00 31.20  
12  PEPPER JACK 10 3 54 8   9910½ (govea cesar)DE CRUZ 122 12.00 14.90  
SCR  DISIDE               (borel renay)BOREL H 122 30.00    
SCR  FAST VERDICT               (nelson r)FLORES S 122 30.00    
SCR  FREEDOMFI               (broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 4.00    
SCR  GREELEY WENT WEST               (schwandt emile)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 1.80 11% 7.90    
 
LAD-7   09/20/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:49
:231 :463 :59     1:123   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAY TAY'S BABY 4 6 2 2nk   1nk 13 (broberg karl)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.50 1.00  
RACHIE RACH 1 5 1 1nk   2nk 23 (dixon tim)FLORES S 122 5.00 62% 0.60 11.10 P
BEAUTIFULANDWILD 5 8 63 7   33(zenon charles)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00 20.20  
THE MISSING PIECE 9 4 5 3   44(hargrave a)VARGAS P 119 6.00 9% 9.60 7.20  
SOCIAL DATE 2 7 42 5   5511¼ (reeves a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 29.60  
WHO DAT GREY 3 10 85 11   6612¼ (beavin judy)COTTO L 121 12.00 14.70  
11  STAR'S DREAM 11 2 10 9   7713¼ (hargrave a)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00 62.30 DH
LEUDEAL 6 9 7 8   10713¼ (gomez c)BACA L 117 2.50 2.70 DH
MISS CHECKMARK 8 3 32 4   9914 (espinoza edgar)TORRES HUGO 119 20.00 22.80  
10  NOT ENOUGH BLING 10 11 11 10   81015½ (melancon donald)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 15.00 51.70  
CHATAIN'S FLYER 7 1 9 6   111130¾ (vincent jarvis)HEBERT J 119 15.00 57.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.