The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Delta Downs
Tuesday - November 22, 2022

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DED-1   11/22/2022 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
:231 :483       1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A P HUMOR 4 1 6 5   4¼ 1(latour nicholas)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 6.00 5.30  
GYPSY JACKPOT 2 5 4¾ 2½   3.2 2(pomier deville)BARRERA J 113 2.00 15% 5.90 4.50 P
VALID BREAK 6 3 1nk 1½   1nk 3(washington richard)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 3.50 46% 1.20 1.30 S
ROADSIDE GIRL 3 6 3½ 3½   2nk 42 (fontenot e)BACA L 118 5.00 1.80  
AMELIES DREAMER 7 4 5 4¾   55(segura kearney)STOKES J 120 15.00 38.80  
IT'S TIME BABY 1 7 7 7   66(zeno benjamin)VARGAS P 123 4.50 23.00  
POLO'S TRIBUTE 5 2 2nk 6   7711¾ (almaguer angel)RAMIREZ PAULINA 118 15.00 32.40  
SCR  LUCKY CAJUN               (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 113 12.00 8% 11.40    
 
DED-2   11/22/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:23
:233 :48 1:151     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORM BREACH 2 6 5 3   21 1nk (breaux samuel)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00 8.90  
HALF PAGE 1 5 1 1   11 2nk (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 1.80 20% 4.10 0.80 P
CRIDER CHASE 3 2 3 4   33 3(zenon shelton)BARRERA J 115 8.00 9% 10.50 27.40 S
EL CALIENTE LADY 4 1 4 69   548 (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 112 12.00 54.70  
SIMPLE SUNDAY 5 3 6 5   46 5(ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 3.50 26% 2.90 4.20  
MYFRIENDSAWINNER 6 4 2 2   610½ 627¾ (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00 2.00  
SCR  TRUE RED SLEW               (cezar jerry)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 13% 6.80    
 
DED-3   11/22/2022 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 2:51
:224 :473       1:01   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALPINE MIST 8 3 4 4¾   21 1¼ (garcia luis)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 10.00 9.00  
COOL HOT CHIC 2 6 1½ 1nk   11 2¼ (landry ray)STOKES J 121 3.50 13% 6.40 2.20 P
LOUISIANA COWGIRL 1 8 8 5   43(gomez c)BACA L 121 5.00 17% 4.80 16.60 S
1A  NEW DESTINY 6 5 74 6   64(gelner j)POMPELL L 121 1.80 38% 1.60 1.50  
MOONLIGHTMADDY 7 1 32 3½   31 5(ramirez eduardo)TORRES HUGO 116 10.00 27.90  
SUZY DOLL'S READY 3 2 2½ 2nk   56(ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 9% 9.50 21.80  
MIDNIGHT FAITH 5 4 6 7   7711¼ (briley lonnie)COTTO L 121 1.80 1.50  
VODKA SUNRISE 4 7 5 8   811¼ 819 (landry ray)THORNTON G 121 4.00 2.80  
 
DED-4   11/22/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:19
:234 :483 1:14 1:273   1:41   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MICAJAH 6 3 31 31 2½ 2nk 1(tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 3.50 24% 3.10 1.90 W
TENSAS TODDY 1 1 1nk 2nk 1½ 1nk 2(turner patti)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00 12.00  
MUFFIN NUTS 7 6 53 4 4 32 3(klanfer alan)COTTO L 120 2.50 19% 4.10 3.70 S
JOHNNYSJOURNEY 2 2 2nk 1nk 31 44(nelson r)FLORES S 120 5.00 3.20  
FREEDOMFI 3 5 6 6 5 55(broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 4.50 13% 6.60 3.20  
SHANGHAI RONNIE 5 7 75 7 710½ 718½ 629½ (delahoussaye glenn)THORNTON G 120 8.00 19% 4.20 12.60  
MIND ON MY MONEY 4 4 42 5 6 617½ 730½ (mojica a)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00 21.70  
 
DED-5   11/22/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:47
:234 :482 1:172     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOEY'S LIGHTENING 6 9 99 68   31 1(averett ronnie)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 12% 7.40 4.00 W
SILVER CHALICE 8 1 32 2   1nk 2(west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 3.50 51% 1.00 2.10 P
CASTLEBERRY 2 4 5 57   42 34 (dixon tim)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 12.00 6.10  
FLAT OUT FABIO 9 5 11 1   2nk 4(gomez c)VARGAS P 118 5.00 9.30  
ROYAL DE BE 3 6 66 7   65(williams blaine)BARRERA J 118 4.50 3.30  
UNCLE BRAD 1 3 44 4   56(ward ronnie)ROMAN KEVIN 121 15.00 7.20  
CUSTOM DANCER 7 7 8 810½   86 710¼ (magnon jason)MAGNON H 120 20.00 58.50  
PAC THE PULPIT 4 8 7 910½   7810¼ (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 115 8.00 5% 19.00 33.50  
ELIJAH'S MOVE 5 10 1017 1022½   1018 919¾ (gonzalez e)STOKES J 123 8.00 9% 10.30 21.30  
10  HONORABLESTATEMENT 10 2 21 3   910 1022 (alberto antonio)FUSILIER C 120 20.00 80.10  
 
DED-6   11/22/2022 4950ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
:24 :493 1:16     1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PHILLY WINS 6 6 2nk 31   2nk 1(broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 51% 1.00 1.10 W
OUR LITTLE GIRL 1 1 86 65   1nk 2(mojica a)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50 6% 15.50 1.80 P
L G GIRL 4 4 6 53   32 3(tracy greg)BIRZER E 118 4.50 9% 10.00 3.80 S
EMMAS RULER 2 3 7 7   54(de alex)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 18.90  
ZEATRICAL 3 2 3½ 1½   4510¾ (grudzien rylee)MAGNON H 120 6.00 14.80  
BATTY 7 8 4 8   8618½ (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00 28.50  
BEYOND D'ORO 5 5 1nk 2½   6719 (simon lester)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 10.00 5% 17.30 31.70  
1A  VELVET NIGHT 8 7 52 4   7820½ (broberg karl)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 2.50 1.10  
SCR  CZAR'S BALLERINA               (courville ricky)THORNTON G 118 6.00    
 
DED-7   11/22/2022 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
:223 :462       :591   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING OF THE COURT 4 7 5 3   31¼ (richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50 29% 2.50 0.80 W
COROT 3 5 1nk 1½   11 2¼ (ramirez eduardo)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.00 47% 1.10 3.90 P
WONDER RUN 8 2 4¾ 2½   21 35 (turner patti)BACA L 120 12.00 7.50  
G DON'T KNOW 1 6 6 54   447 (shamsie mike)FLORES S 117 10.00 11.30  
10  KING DEUCE 9 3 7 66   55(schmidt denise)VARGAS P 120 15.00 14.70  
I'M LOOKING UP 6 1 2nk 4   6612¾ (zenon shelton)POMPELL L 120 12.00 45.70  
GUILTY AGAIN 7 8 8 88   78 712¾ (west henry)BARRERA J 112 12.00 32.30  
SET HUT 5 4 3½ 77   816 8100 (savoy aaron)LEDET THEODRICK 117 15.00 65.40  
MR. PRIORITY 2 9 9100 9100   9100 9100 (thompson kevin)STOKES J 117 5.00 6.30  
SCR  CURTIN'S UP               (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00    
SCR  PAPA BRO               (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 117 8.00    
SCR  SUCH               (lorefice matt)FLORES S 117 15.00    
 
DED-8   11/22/2022 4620ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 5:11
:24 :49 1:152     1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ THE BIG ONE 8 4 21 2nk   14 1(alberto antonio)BACA L 118 8.00 3.00  
FOUR O SIX CREED 7 7 54 4   32(tracy greg)BIRZER E 121 2.50 44% 1.30 3.50 P
AARON'S SPIRIT 6 3 11 1nk   24 3(broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 2.60 S
SHEER ELEMENT 1 2 4 53   44(gibson jonas)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 6.00 27% 2.70 4.10  
MOR VICTORY 3 1 7 6   5510½ (gelner j)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 8.00 6.20  
FREE FROM GUILT 5 8 8 88   6611 (pomier deville)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 4.00 26.40  
I SEE CLEARLY NOW 2 5 6 7   812½ 715½ (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 115 15.00 25.20  
MY MY LIMIT 4 6 32 31   711 817¾ (goins garland)FLORES S 115 10.00 17.80  
 
DED-9   11/22/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
:234 :49 1:153 1:294   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORRENTE DE OURO 6 3 1½ 1 12 1½ 1¾ (ramirez eduardo)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 2.50 12% 7.70 0.60 W
SHOETRICK 7 4 4 54 3 2½ 2¾ (brinkman brett)MAGNON H 121 4.50 51% 1.00 10.80 P
BELLA'S GATSBY 2 7 8 7 4 33(gomez a)TORRES HUGO 116 20.00 71.80  
TEQUILA REVOLUTION 4 2 5 32 22 4411 (jackson d)BIRZER E 121 8.00 6% 17.00 6.10  
WHEELS TURNING 5 8 75 66 6 5512½ (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 20.60  
KISSMEISTER 1 1 9 9 5 6617 (ward ronnie)HERNANDEZ V 121 15.00 59.10  
SHANKINSTINE 9 6 3 4 7 710½ 722½ (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 11% 7.80 4.40  
10  SMARTY RIDGE 10 9 63 87 913 812½ 824½ (kotara ronald)FLORES S 121 15.00 89.10  
ACCEL JOE 3 10 1010¾ 1013½ 1017 1014¼ 928 (williams blaine)RUIZ GARCIA 121 12.00 77.30  
TIME TO MOVE 8 5 2½ 2 811½ 914 1033 (blanchet chris)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 12.00 12.10  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.