Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Tuesday - November 22, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   11/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IT'S TIME BABY Nov03 Oct13 Aug24 May20 Apr13 (zeno benjamin)VARGAS P 123 4.50 ★    
SCR  LUCKY CAJUN         (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 113 12.00 8% 11.40    
3  GYPSY JACKPOT Oct27         (pomier chase)BARRERA J 113 2.00 15% 5.90    
4  ROADSIDE GIRL Nov03 May29 May21     (fontenot curle)BACA L 118 5.00 ★    
5  A P HUMOR Nov11 Jul16 Jun18 May28 May05 (latour nich)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 6.00    
6  POLO'S TRIBUTE Feb19         (almaguer an)RAMIREZ PAULINA 118 15.00    
7  VALID BREAK Aug24 Jun15 Apr29 Apr08 Mar02 (washington ri)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 3.50 46% 1.20    
8  AMELIES DREAMER Nov03 Oct13       (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 15.00    
 
DED-2   11/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRUE RED SLEW Nov09 Oct26 Oct07 Sep17   (cezar )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 13% 6.80    
2  HALF PAGE Oct28 Oct08 Sep12 Aug09 Jul24 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 117 1.80 20% 4.10    
3  STORM BREACH Oct05 Aug12 Jul23 Jul06 Jun11 (breaux samu)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 5.00 ★    
4  CRIDER CHASE Nov03 Oct05 Aug18 Jul28 Jul09 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 115 8.00 9% 10.50    
5  EL CALIENTE LADY Nov03 Sep12 Aug29 Jul25 Jul04 (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 112 12.00    
6  SIMPLE SUNDAY Jul11 Jun12 May08 Feb18 Jan21 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
7  MYFRIENDSAWINNER Nov04 Oct20 Aug28 Aug07 Jun28 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.00    
 
DED-3   11/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 2 F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT FAITH Oct15         (briley lonnie)COTTO L 121 1.80 ★    
1A  NEW DESTINY Nov05 Oct08 Jul17 Jun25   (gelner j)POMPELL L 121 1.80 38% 1.60    
2  LOUISIANA COWGIRL Nov05         (gomez c)BACA L 121 5.00 17% 4.80    
3  COOL HOT CHIC         (landry ray)STOKES J 121 3.50 13% 6.40    
4  SUZY DOLL'S READY Nov02 Oct08 Sep20 Sep04 Jul04 (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 8.00 9% 9.50    
5  VODKA SUNRISE         (landry r)THORNTON G 121 4.00 ★    
6  MOONLIGHTMADDY Oct21         (ramirez eduardo)TORRES HUGO 116 10.00    
7  ALPINE MIST         (garcia lu)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 10.00    
 
DED-4   11/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TENSAS TODDY Oct27 Oct12 Aug17 Jul19 Jun25 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00    
2  JOHNNYSJOURNEY Nov12 Nov02 Sep20 Sep04 Aug14 (nelson eric)FLORES S 120 5.00    
3  FREEDOMFI Oct12 Sep10 Aug04 Jul16 Jun22 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 4.50 13% 6.60    
4  MIND ON MY MONEY         (mojica a)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00 ★    
5  SHANGHAI RONNIE Jul13 Jun01 May04 Mar06 Feb24 (delahoussaye g)THORNTON G 120 8.00 19% 4.20    
6  MICAJAH Oct22 Aug20 Jul09 Jun22 Jun04 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 3.50 24% 3.10    
7  MUFFIN NUTS Sep20 Jul08 Jun25 Jun05 May15 (klanfer alan)COTTO L 120 2.50 19% 4.10    
 
DED-5   11/22/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE BRAD Oct21 Sep24 Aug01 Jun21   (ward ronnie)ROMAN KEVIN 121 15.00    
2  CASTLEBERRY Oct21 Oct07 Sep11 Jun14 May01 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 121 12.00    
3  ROYAL DE BE Oct21 Oct12 Sep26 Sep11 Jul26 (williams b)BARRERA J 118 4.50    
4  PAC THE PULPIT Oct22 Sep26 Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 (zenon shelton)TORRES HUGO 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ELIJAH'S MOVE         (gonzalez e)STOKES J 123 8.00 9% 10.30    
6  JOEY'S LIGHTENING Nov02 Aug26 Aug17 Jul15   (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 3.00 12% 7.40    
7  CUSTOM DANCER Nov12         (magnon jason)MAGNON H 120 20.00    
8  SILVER CHALICE Nov11 Oct26 Feb25 Jan26   (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 120 3.50 51% 1.00    
9  FLAT OUT FABIO Oct19 Sep24 Sep03     (gomez c)VARGAS P 118 5.00 ★    
10  HONORABLESTATEMENT Oct27 Aug25 Jul29 Jun25 Jun04 (alberto antonio)FUSILIER C 120 20.00    
 
DED-6   11/22/2022 4950ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHILLY WINS Oct13 Sep13 Jul03 May07 Mar16 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
1A  VELVET NIGHT Aug01 Jul19 May05 Apr09 Mar17 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50    
2  OUR LITTLE GIRL Nov04 Oct22 Oct05 Aug18 Jul15 (mojica edit)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50 6% 15.50    
3  EMMAS RULER Nov04 Oct05 Sep06 Jul05 Jun18 (de bea)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00    
4  ZEATRICAL Oct29 May17 May08 Mar18 Mar02 (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 120 6.00 ★    
SCR  CZAR'S BALLERINA Nov03 Sep25 Aug24 Aug01 Jul06 (courville rick)THORNTON G 118 6.00    
6  L G GIRL Oct21 Aug26 Aug11 Jul30 Jul16 (tracy greg)BIRZER E 118 4.50 9% 10.00    
7  BEYOND D'ORO Oct21 Aug13 Jul28 Jul15 Jul01 (simon )RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 10.00 5% 17.30    
8  BATTY Oct21 Sep03 Jul17 Jun07   (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 12.00    
 
DED-7   11/22/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  G DON'T KNOW Oct29 Oct05 Jun11 May30 May21 (shamsie mik)FLORES S 117 10.00 ★    
SCR  PAPA BRO Oct29 Aug27 Aug10 Jul27 Jul13 (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 117 8.00    
3  MR. PRIORITY Oct05 Sep04 Jul20 Jun25 Jan16 (thompson kevin)STOKES J 117 5.00    
4  COROT May19 May11 Mar27 Mar10 Feb26 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
5  KING OF THE COURT Oct14 Sep07 Aug17 Jul27 Jul04 (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
6  SET HUT         (savoy aaron)LEDET THEODRICK 117 15.00 ★    
7  I'M LOOKING UP Nov12 Jun09 May28 May12 Feb09 (zenon shelton)POMPELL L 120 12.00    
8  GUILTY AGAIN Oct14 Jul20 Jul08 Jun23 May25 (west henry)BARRERA J 112 12.00    
9  WONDER RUN Oct26 Oct14 Jul24 Feb24 Jan29 (turner patti)BACA L 120 12.00    
10  KING DEUCE Oct26 Sep26 Aug21 Aug07 Jul11 (schmidt denis)VARGAS P 120 15.00    
SCR  SUCH Nov12 Aug24 Aug06 Jul16 Jun25 (lorefice ma)FLORES S 117 15.00    
SCR  CURTIN'S UP Nov12 Aug17 Jul30 Jul06 Jun11 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 ★    
 
DED-8   11/22/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35K) 2 ALL PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEER ELEMENT Oct21 Sep17       (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 6.00 27% 2.70    
2  I SEE CLEARLY NOW Oct29 Oct14       (hibdon n)ROMAN KEVIN 115 15.00    
3  MOR VICTORY Oct21 Oct06 Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 (gelner jayd)DEL-CID VICENTE 118 8.00 ★    
4  MY MY LIMIT Sep27         (goins garla)FLORES S 115 10.00    
5  FREE FROM GUILT Oct15 Aug27 Jul09 Jun18 Jun04 (pomier chase)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 4.00    
6  AARON'S SPIRIT Nov05 Oct21 Sep15 Sep07   (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 118 3.50 ★    
7  FOUR O SIX CREED Oct28 Oct06 Aug16     (tracy greg)BIRZER E 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
8  TIZ THE BIG ONE Nov05 Oct08 Sep08 Jun26 Jun05 (alberto antoni)BACA L 118 8.00 ★    
 
DED-9   11/22/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KISSMEISTER Oct12 Sep11 Jul18 Jun04 Mar05 (ward ronnie)HERNANDEZ V 121 15.00    
2  BELLA'S GATSBY Sep18 Jul23       (gomez a)TORRES HUGO 116 20.00    
3  ACCEL JOE Oct21 Sep26 Sep04 Aug09 Jul26 (willia)RUIZ GARCIA 121 12.00    
4  TEQUILA REVOLUTION Jul14 Jun28 May21 May06 Feb21 (jackson richard )BIRZER E 121 8.00 6% 17.00    
5  WHEELS TURNING Nov02 Oct05 Jun22 May27 May04 (breaux samuel)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 ★    
6  CORRENTE DE OURO Oct07 Aug26 Jul18 Jun25 Jun02 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 121 2.50 12% 7.70    
7  SHOETRICK Oct21 Aug17 Jul22 May18 Apr22 (brinkman bre)MAGNON H 121 4.50 51% 1.00    
8  TIME TO MOVE Nov12 Aug27 Aug04 Jul01 May11 (blanchet ch)RAMIREZ PAULINA 121 12.00    
9  SHANKINSTINE Nov02 Oct05 Sep11 Aug13 Jul18 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 11% 7.80    
10  SMARTY RIDGE Oct26 Oct07 Sep26 Aug27 Aug09 (kotara rona)FLORES S 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.