The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Delta Downs
Friday - October 28, 2022

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DED-1   10/28/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 5:55
:233 :482 1:153     1:222   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FOUR O SIX CREED 10 4 4 43   52 1¼ (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 2.50 42% 1.40 1.40 W
AWESOME CAJUN 2 1 2 32   31 2¼ (landry ray)STOKES J 120 3.50 7% 13.60 2.90 P
BRITE OUTLOOK 8 3 33 2nk   2nk 3(chatters benard)STOKES A 120 5.00 7.20 S
BAY BE GONE 4 5 55 5   44(garza e)MORALES ROBERTO 120 8.00 6% 17.10 50.60  
COOL SPIRIT 6 2 1 1nk   1nk 53 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 10.00 19.20  
HOOKEM TX BLING 9 6 6 76   65 6(pish danny)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00 58.70  
MOTOWN MISSILE 5 10 7 6   77 7(calhoun bret)MCMAHON J 120 10.00 6.50  
GLUCKSTADT 1 7 1012 1013¼   914 812½ (alonzo howard)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 20.00 8.30  
STRICTLY CONFIDENT 3 8 98 88   812 914½ (pike l)THORNTON G 120 12.00 23.40  
LET'S GO ROMEO 7 9 8 913   1017 1019¾ (asmussen m)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 25% 3.00 18.60  
 
DED-2   10/28/2022 3300ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
:222 :463       1:001   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIGHTNING HART 6 1 12 12   14 1(dixon tim)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 4.50 18% 4.60 2.70 W
JACKIES IRISHDREAM 5 3 32 22   24 2(richard chris)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 3.50 15% 5.60 2.30 P
REDEFINITION 3 6 6 5   47 3(asmussen m)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 2.50 36% 1.80 2.10 S
HALF PAGE 1 4 22 3   35 4(broberg karl)MCMAHON J 114 5.00 10% 9.20 5.60  
DIXIE PENNY 2 5 7 76   611 5(gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00 22.30  
SASSY EMMA 7 2 4 43   59 6(chatters benard)STOKES A 117 12.00 9.10  
MISS JAMIE 4 7 5 64   716 718 (beavin judy)FLORES S 117 8.00 32.30  
SCR  MY SWEET SOPHIA               (chatters benard)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 114 12.00    
 
DED-3   10/28/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
:232 :48 1:141 1:283   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CABRO TORO 4 2 2nk 2½ 11 11 1(beavin judy)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 6% 15.80 1.80 W
PRINCE PERFECTA 5 1 3.2 3 3 43 2(johnson b)POMPELL L 123 2.00 65% 0.50 1.40 P
RUN ON ACES 7 6 7 66 4 33 3(perron gerard)STOKES A 120 4.00 5.80 S
CASH HOLIDAY 2 4 1nk 1½ 21 21 4(zeno benjamin)ROMAN KEVIN 120 5.00 3.30  
GRAY DANE 3 7 4 5 6 69 513½ (bernard john)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 10.00 34.70  
YOU YOUR DADDY SON 6 5 5 4 5 58 614 (vincent jarvis)FLORES S 123 6.00 39.00  
OAK HILL MO 1 3 6 78 714½ 714 724 (ali ancil)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 12.00 68.00  
 
DED-4   10/28/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:19
:241 :49 1:16     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COSTANARMANDALEG 5 2 11 1nk   11(broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 6% 14.80 1.60 W
COLD AS YOU 7 5 21 2nk   22(birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 117 3.50 12% 7.10 3.40 P
BEAUX TOX 8 8 52 32   33 3(turner patti)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 4.50 50% 1.00 3.40 S
BEAUTIFULANDWILD 9 7 63 54   44 3(zenon charles)VARGAS P 117 6.00 13.00 DH
VENUS ISLAND 6 6 8 8   857 (hibdon n)POMPELL L 120 8.00 23.70  
WHO DAT GREY 1 3 3 6   768 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 8.00 12.60  
LIGHT AS A WHISPER 3 1 74 7   678 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 117 12.00 5% 19.00 8.20  
SPECTACULAR IZZY 4 4 42 43   55 8(ingram steve)ROMAN KEVIN 117 15.00 5% 19.00 28.00  
NOT ENOUGH BLING 2 9 9 9   9910¾ (melancon donald)BARRERA J 115 15.00 20.20  
 
DED-5   10/28/2022 4290ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
:241 :483 1:152     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILSON TO LOCKETT 1 7 5 4   21 1nk (grudzien rylee)MAGNON H 123 3.50 28% 2.60 1.70 W
SOURNOIS 3 1 2nk 11   11 2nk (shamsie mike)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.00 17% 4.80 6.20 P
BETTER WATCH OUT 8 5 42 5   33(singh s)SINGH R 123 6.00 9% 9.50 12.10 S
1A  GRACIDA 6 8 6 6   44(broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 24% 3.10 0.70  
DREAMS OF VALOR 4 2 3½ 21   55(broberg karl)ROMAN KEVIN 123 3.00 0.70  
SUMMER APPEAL 5 4 7 7   66(bernard john)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 8.00 34.80  
TUNE MY GUITAR 2 6 8 8   87(bruno j)FLORES S 120 10.00 65.10  
ADIOS YANKEE 7 3 1nk 31   7810¾ (gallaway eddie)BOURQUE J 120 12.00 56.50  
 
DED-6   10/28/2022 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance   Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
:231 :471 1:131 1:281   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JANET'S DEVIL 4 1 1 1½ 11 14 13 (gelner j)POMPELL L 115 12.00 8.30  
PAPIRINGO 8 4 2 2½ 21 24 23 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 10.00 5.40  
RUNNINGINTHEMONEY 6 3 3 3 35 46 3(balderas alfonso)BACA L 115 4.50 12% 7.10 2.90 S
THEO D'OR 3 7 7 68 68 54(dunn ray)VARGAS P 115 6.00 20% 4.10 7.60  
ITS WILD AGAIN 5 6 53 4 57 36 5(faucheux ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 2.50 24% 3.20 2.60  
CHIEF KIMOSABI 1 5 65 78 713 711½ 613¾ (flint steve)THORNTON G 115 3.50 5.90  
JIMMIE'S HALO 7 8 8 810 819 816½ 718¼ (mojica a)DE CRUZ 115 8.00 15.80  
PEANUT N IKE 2 2 4 56 46 6820¾ (rosier charles)MCMAHON J 115 6.00 20% 4.10 9.60  
 
DED-7   10/28/2022 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
:242 :493 1:152     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANDIAMO GIACOMO 7 5 21 21   22 1nk (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 5.00 15% 5.80 3.50 W
CHEATIN CHARLIE 5 3 11 11   12 2nk (mojica a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 12.00 8.10  
BODEE BODEE 1 6 6 6   43(turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 15.00 5% 19.00 31.30 S
WAITIN' ON A WOMAN 3 1 3 32   35 4(mojica a)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 4.00 3.40  
BIG RESULTS 4 7 74 7   55(washington richard)STOKES J 117 5.00 3.20  
J C'S IN TOWN 6 4 4 42   66(brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 5.00 9% 10.00 4.40  
IT'S A BIRD 2 2 5 5   77(ali ancil)RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 8.00 3.90  
SCR  HEREWECOMETOGETYOU               (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 120 12.00 7% 14.40    
SCR  SARAH'S VISION               (klanfer alan)MARQUEZ L 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
DED-8   10/28/2022 3300ft DIRT SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:11
:222 :464       1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN SMILES 2 5 45 4   23 1¾ (schultz d)FLORES S 115 12.00 34.00  
GREEN MONSTER 7 3 3 3   45 2¾ (grudzien rylee)MAGNON H 118 4.50 7% 13.60 3.00 P
WILD MALLORY 4 1 12 12   13 3(averett ronnie)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 1.40 41% 1.40 0.40 S
FLEW BY YOU 6 2 22 22   34 4(diodoro robertino)MCMAHON J 118 6.00 5% 18.40 8.20  
SERIOUSLY SASSY 5 4 7 79   712 5(singh s)SINGH R 118 15.00 41.00  
SABER QUEEN 3 7 55 55   59 6(ramirez eduardo)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 10.00 12.90  
ROARING QUINN 1 6 6 68   611 713¼ (nelson r)BARRERA J 110 20.00 60.90  
SCR  HARRIET'S DREAM               (landry ray)STOKES J 117 5.00 17% 4.90    
SCR  I'M ALL MIXED UP               (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUMMERTIME BANDIT               (averett ronnie)COTTO L 115 20.00    
 
DED-9   10/28/2022 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:41
:24 :491 1:17     1:234   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVERS NEVER SAY 6 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 1½ (thomas lee)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 8.00 3.60  
RETRO RITA 5 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 2½ (diodoro robertino)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 13% 6.90 2.60 P
FIELD OF LIGHTS 1 5 6 7   36 3(broussard vincent)LEDET THEODRICK 120 12.00 5.30  
COUSIN VICKIE 4 8 86 67   6411½ (de alex)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 2.50 8% 12.00 3.00  
SHOTGUN ANNIE 2 6 7 9   810¾ 516¼ (west henry)BARRERA J 115 20.00 47.60  
A. P. STYLE 3 4 42 4   5616¾ (dison mark)POMPELL L 120 6.00 6.80  
10  WITH GRACE 9 3 31 32   47 717½ (chatters benard)STOKES A 123 3.50 43% 1.30 8.90  
UNION GRAD 7 9 97 8   7820½ (delany sarah)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00 20.90  
ATLANTIC BAND 8 7 5 5   911¾ 926 (gallaway eddie)BOURQUE J 120 20.00 55.50  
SCR  ASHLEY'S GIRL               (turner patti)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 4.50 12% 7.40    
SCR  HIDDEN EXPECTATION               (ramirez e)VARGAS P 117 5.00    
SCR  SEEMYVALENTINE               (meza m)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.