Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Delta Downs
Friday - October 28, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
DED-1   10/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLUCKSTADT         (alonzo howa)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 20.00    
2  AWESOME CAJUN Oct06         (landry ray)STOKES J 120 3.50 7% 13.60    
3  STRICTLY CONFIDENT         (pike l)THORNTON G 120 12.00    
4  BAY BE GONE Sep17 Sep03 Jul24 Jul03 Jun10 (garza joaqu)MORALES ROBERTO 120 8.00 6% 17.10    
5  MOTOWN MISSILE         (calhoun william)MCMAHON J 120 10.00    
6  COOL SPIRIT Aug03 May24 May05     (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 10.00    
7  LET'S GO ROMEO Sep17 Sep03 Jun26     (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 25% 3.00    
8  BRITE OUTLOOK Oct06         (chatters benard)STOKES A 120 5.00 ★    
9  HOOKEM TX BLING Sep27         (pish danny)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00    
10  FOUR O SIX CREED Oct06 Aug16       (tracy greg)BIRZER E 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
DED-2   10/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($30K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALF PAGE Oct08 Sep12 Aug09 Jul24 Jun26 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 114 5.00 10% 9.20    
2  DIXIE PENNY Sep23 Sep12 Aug21 Jul30 Jul09 (gonzalez v)ROMAN KEVIN 120 6.00    
SCR  MY SWEET SOPHIA Oct12 Jul01 Jun15 Apr27 Apr08 (chatte)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 114 12.00    
4  REDEFINITION Oct08 Aug26 Jun26 May30 May20 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 2.50 36% 1.80    
5  MISS JAMIE Oct13 Jul08 May27 May12 Apr15 (beavin judy)FLORES S 117 8.00    
6  JACKIES IRISHDREAM Aug14 Jul28       (richard chr)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 3.50 15% 5.60    
7  LIGHTNING HART Oct15 Mar22 Mar04 Feb11 Jan07 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 117 4.50 18% 4.60    
8  SASSY EMMA May27 Apr15 Feb25 Jan20   (chatters benard)STOKES A 117 12.00 ★    
 
DED-3   10/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAK HILL MO Oct19         (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 12.00 ★    
2  CASH HOLIDAY Aug18         (zeno benjamin)ROMAN KEVIN 120 5.00 ★    
3  GRAY DANE Aug24 Aug06       (bernar)RODRIGUEZ WALLYNETTE 120 10.00    
4  CABRO TORO Sep10 Aug28 Aug06 Jul26 Jul02 (beavin)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.50 6% 15.80    
5  PRINCE PERFECTA Oct19 Sep24 Sep05 Aug20   (johnson b)POMPELL L 123 2.00 65% 0.50    
6  YOU YOUR DADDY SON Sep26 Aug28 Aug06 Jul18 Jun18 (vincent jar)FLORES S 123 6.00    
7  RUN ON ACES Jul13         (perron gerard)STOKES A 120 4.00 ★    
 
DED-4   10/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHO DAT GREY Oct12 Sep20 Sep06 Aug29 Aug16 (beavin judy)RAMIREZ PAULINA 117 8.00    
2  NOT ENOUGH BLING Oct13 Sep20 Aug21 Aug08 Jul24 (melancon don)BARRERA J 115 15.00    
3  LIGHT AS A WHISPER Oct12 Aug18 Jul28 Jun11 May12 (brinkman brett)FUSILIER C 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  SPECTACULAR IZZY Jul16 Jun25 May31 Mar20 Mar04 (ingram steve)ROMAN KEVIN 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  COSTANARMANDALEG Oct07 Jul24 Jun11 May29 Apr28 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 6% 14.80    
6  VENUS ISLAND Oct19 Sep26 Sep12 Aug23 Aug15 (hibdon n)POMPELL L 120 8.00    
7  COLD AS YOU Sep30 Aug29 Aug20 Aug05 Jul16 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 117 3.50 12% 7.10    
8  BEAUX TOX May31 May15 Mar05 Feb12 Jan19 (turner)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 4.50 50% 1.00    
9  BEAUTIFULANDWILD Sep20 Aug21 Aug08 Jul16 Jun25 (zenon charles)VARGAS P 117 6.00    
 
DED-5   10/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAMS OF VALOR Oct13 Jul24 Jun18 Jun04 Apr28 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 123 3.00    
1A  GRACIDA Aug17 Jul28 Jun30 Jun05 Apr28 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 3.00 24% 3.10    
2  WILSON TO LOCKETT Oct14 Aug17 Jul16 Jun25 May28 (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 123 3.50 28% 2.60    
3  TUNE MY GUITAR Jun19 Jun06 May22 May09 Feb11 (bruno donal)FLORES S 120 10.00    
4  SOURNOIS Sep20 Sep12 Aug14 Aug01 Jul19 (shamsi)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.00 17% 4.80    
5  SUMMER APPEAL Apr07 Mar05 Feb04 Jan15   (bernard )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 8.00 ★    
6  ADIOS YANKEE Oct14 Aug27 Jul20 Jun23 Mar05 (gallaway eddie)BOURQUE J 120 12.00    
7  BETTER WATCH OUT Sep18         (singh s)SINGH R 123 6.00 9% 9.50    
 
DED-6   10/28/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHIEF KIMOSABI Aug26 Aug03 Jun23 Jun11 Apr30 (flint steve)THORNTON G 115 3.50 ★    
2  PEANUT N IKE Sep17 Aug29 Aug10 Jul22 Jul07 (rosier charles)MCMAHON J 115 6.00 20% 4.10    
3  THEO D'OR Aug29 Aug09 Jul23 Jun21 Jun04 (dunn ra)VARGAS P 115 6.00 20% 4.10    
4  JANET'S DEVIL Jul27 Jun10 May19 Apr13 Feb10 (gelner j)POMPELL L 115 12.00    
5  ITS WILD AGAIN Sep17 Aug15 Mar26 Mar03 Jan20 (faucheux ro)DEL-CID VICENTE 110 2.50 24% 3.20    
6  RUNNINGINTHEMONEY Oct15 Sep11 Aug29 Aug09 Mar05 (balderas alfon)BACA L 115 4.50 12% 7.10    
7  JIMMIE'S HALO Aug13 Jul27 Jul13 Jun03 May21 (m)DE CRUZ 115 8.00    
8  PAPIRINGO Aug29 Jun18 May31 May08 Apr13 (lara jorge)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 10.00    
 
DED-7   10/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BODEE BODEE Oct08 Sep13 Aug15 Jul18 Jun12 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SARAH'S VISION         (klanfer al)MARQUEZ L 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  IT'S A BIRD Oct19 Mar27 Mar18 Mar04 Feb19 (ali andrea )RAMIREZ PAULINA 120 8.00    
4  WAITIN' ON A WOMAN Aug11 Jun30 Apr30 Mar27 Feb24 (mojica edit)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 4.00    
5  BIG RESULTS Sep24 Sep05 Aug25 Aug13 Jul15 (washington richard)STOKES J 117 5.00    
6  CHEATIN CHARLIE Jul27 Jun15 May27 May05 Mar27 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 12.00    
SCR  HEREWECOMETOGETYOU Sep12 May10 Mar19 Feb24 Jan02 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 120 12.00 7% 14.40    
8  J C'S IN TOWN Oct08 Jun11 May18     (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 5.00 9% 10.00    
9  ANDIAMO GIACOMO Oct02 Aug20 Jul31     (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 5.00 15% 5.80    
 
DED-8   10/28/2022 3300ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROARING QUINN Oct06 Aug27 Jul28 Jun23 Jun01 (nelson eric )BARRERA J 110 20.00    
2  GOLDEN SMILES Sep13 Aug13 Jul05 May23 Feb11 (schultz rob)FLORES S 115 12.00    
3  SABER QUEEN Aug29 Aug01 Jun25 Jun07 Apr16 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 115 10.00    
4  WILD MALLORY Oct06 Aug19 Jul28 Jun23 Jun01 (averett ron)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 1.40 41% 1.40    
5  SERIOUSLY SASSY Sep25 May07 Mar13 Feb21   (singh s)SINGH R 118 15.00    
6  FLEW BY YOU Sep02 Jul22 Jul02 Jun04 May13 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 118 6.00 5% 18.40    
SCR  I'M ALL MIXED UP Oct06         (nelson r)TORRES HUGO 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HARRIET'S DREAM Sep24 Aug17 Jul21 Jun23 May16 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 5.00 17% 4.90    
9  GREEN MONSTER Oct13 Aug19 Jul28 Jul01 Jun10 (grudzien ryl)MAGNON H 118 4.50 7% 13.60    
SCR  SUMMERTIME BANDIT Oct06 Aug26 Jul28 Jun23 Jun01 (averett ronnie)COTTO L 115 20.00    
 
DED-9   10/28/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIELD OF LIGHTS Aug27 Aug17 Jul23 Jul06   (broussard v)LEDET THEODRICK 120 12.00    
2  SHOTGUN ANNIE Sep27 Aug24 Jul23 Mar02 Feb12 (west henry)BARRERA J 115 20.00    
3  A. P. STYLE Aug28 May10 Mar25 Mar02   (dison m)POMPELL L 120 6.00    
SCR  HIDDEN EXPECTATION Sep25 May31 Mar02 Feb02   (ramirez rosa )VARGAS P 117 5.00    
5  COUSIN VICKIE Sep19 Sep05 Aug09     (de bea)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 2.50 8% 12.00    
6  RETRO RITA Aug12         (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 13% 6.90    
7  LOVERS NEVER SAY         (thomas lee)DEL-CID VICENTE 112 8.00    
8  UNION GRAD Jul15 Jun09 May20 May04 Mar09 (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
9  ATLANTIC BAND Sep27 Aug27 Aug06 Jun24   (gallaway eddie)BOURQUE J 120 20.00    
10  WITH GRACE Oct06         (chatters benard)STOKES A 123 3.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  ASHLEY'S GIRL Oct06 Sep19 Aug30 Aug15 Jul26 (turner patt)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 4.50 12% 7.40    
SCR  SEEMYVALENTINE Oct06 Aug27 Aug12 Jun30 May28 (meza m)RIVERA JOSEAN 117 15.00 ★    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.