Handicappers' Race Results

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Arapahoe Park
Monday - September 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
ARP-3   09/26/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:222 :461       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONE PARADISE 2 2 11     11 1 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 4.50 1.40  
BRAVE HELIOS 1 3 37     33 2 (ness john)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 6% 15.80 13.70 P
FLOWER BEACH 3 4 48     46 35 (esquibel mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 32% 2.10 1.90 S
LONE SHOTGUN RIDER 5 1 21     21 4 (martinez a)WALES T 121 3.50 36% 1.80 1.60  
SEELEY 4 5 510     58 5 (mitchell ste)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 24.20  
 
ARP-4   09/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:221 :462 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP THE HEART 4 1 2½ 21   21 1 (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 120 2.50 1.10  
LOTTA PRADA 2 3 1½ 11   11 2 (parsons riley)HERRERA HUGO 121 3.50 36% 1.80 1.10 P
MY CLASSY WIFE 1 4 3 34   36 313 (christian billy)WALES T 120 10.00 31% 2.30 6.70 S
PUT A BLING ON IT 3 2 45 4   47 413¾ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 8.00 4.70  
SCR  KELLEY'S MANDATE               (mitchell ste)GONZALEZ V 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-5   09/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:23 :464 :591     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN FOR MATTY 3 4 21 3   3 1nk (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 4.80  
CIRCLE BACK 2 2 11 1   11 2nk (long vaughn)WALES T 124 4.50 1.50 P
DOWNTOWN BROWN 1 3 42 2   21 31 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.10 S
PERVASIVE 5 6 6 5   4 42 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 8.00 7.20  
WHERE'S FREDDIE 6 1 32 4   5 513 (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 121 15.00 5% 17.60 4.20  
RADICATOR 4 5 5 6   6 613¼ (ness john)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 16% 5.40 23.00  
SCR  CLAIMJUMPER               (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
ARP-6   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
See original race card.
:224 :462 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLLY WAR CRY 4 4 4 3½   41 1 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 7.50  
CLUBHOUSE SAINT 2 5 5 5   5 2 (christian bill)MARTIN A 124 3.50 33% 2.00 1.10 P
IMA FINAL DE BUY 5 1 1 1nk   1½ 3 (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 1.80  
GIGGLES AND SMOKE 1 3 2 41   31 44 (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 15.00 10% 9.20 6.50  
TOP OF THE PODIUM 3 2 32 2nk   2½ 5 (rushton temple)WALES T 121 2.50 26% 2.90 4.90  
SCR  A BUNCH FOR LUNCH               (ness john)GONZALEZ V 124 10.00    
 
ARP-7   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:00     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANGIE'S REVRAC 7 1 2½ 2nk   11 1 (muckey john)BETHKE A 120 4.50 66% 0.50 1.70 W
CHASING DIVINITY 2 6 5 31   21 2 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 2.50 7% 13.80 0.80 P
FANCY DIVA 6 5 7 66   44 34 (williams steve )CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 6.50 S
HIGH ON LIFE 1 7 6 77   55 4 (young a)GONZALEZ V 124 30.00 23.10  
POPS GIRL ALEXA 3 3 3 43   66 5 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 8.00 11.60  
SMART ACT 5 4 43 54   78 613½ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 10.00 5% 19.00 18.40  
CRIMSON T. 4 2 1½ 1nk   32 714 (young a)MARTIN A 120 12.00 37.50  
 
ARP-8   09/26/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:231 :454 1:11     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUNTER QUICK 2 2 2nk 1½   1 1 (williams f)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 7.70  
CHICORY BLUE 1 4 56 43   3 2 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 3.70 P
CATS GOTTA CHANCE 3 3 1nk 2½   2 3 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 3.50 46% 1.20 1.10 S
THE GREATEST EAGLE 6 1 6 6   68 414¾ (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 13.90  
DAAHER'S SUCCESS 5 6 44 5   4 515¼ (ness john)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00 11% 7.80 7.10  
JIMMY'S MARCO 4 5 3 33   57 618 (haar j)BETHKE A 124 8.00 10% 9.50 2.90  
 
ARP-9   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:231 :47 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VENUS ISLAND 8 2 3 31   11 1 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00 3.70  
AIR WALKER 6 4 63 4   32 2 (shephard john)WALES T 124 3.50 6.30 P
TEQUILA RITA 4 5 85 7   4 3 (loftin linda)MARTIN A 121 4.50 5% 19.00 8.50 S
B'ESAME ME MUCHO 3 3 5 6   6 4 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 42% 1.40 2.10  
TALLANDLONG 1 6 1½ 1½   21 58 (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 5.00 28% 2.60 2.70  
GOSPEL GINA 7 1 2½ 2½   55 6 (williams steve)BETHKE A 124 15.00 25.50  
QUEEN OF THE ICE 5 8 74 5   710½ 718 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 5.00 5.60  
JOEL'S GIRL 2 7 42 8   830½ 852½ (muckey john)GONZALEZ V 121 20.00 61.80  
SCR  MYSTIC WIND               (jenkins l)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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