The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Arapahoe Park
Monday - September 26, 2022
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
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Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
 
ARP-3   09/26/2022 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
:222 :461       :523   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GONE PARADISE 2 2 11     11 14¼ (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 4.50 ★ 1.40  
1  BRAVE HELIOS 1 3 37     33 24¼ (ness john)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 6% 15.80 13.70 P
3  FLOWER BEACH 3 4 48     46 35 (esquibel mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 32% 2.10 1.90 S
5  LONE SHOTGUN RIDER 5 1 21     21 45¾ (martinez a)WALES T 121 3.50 36% 1.80 1.60  
4  SEELEY 4 5 510     58 56¼ (mitchell stetson)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 ★ 24.20  
 
ARP-4   09/26/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
:221 :462 :592     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  TAP THE HEART 4 1 2½ 21   21 11¼ (mitchell stetson)MARTIN A 120 2.50 ★ 1.10  
3  LOTTA PRADA 2 3 1½ 11   11 21¼ (parsons riley)HERRERA HUGO 121 3.50 36% 1.80 1.10 P
1  MY CLASSY WIFE 1 4 33½ 34   36 313 (christian billy)WALES T 120 10.00 31% 2.30 6.70 S
4  PUT A BLING ON IT 3 2 45 44½   47 413¾ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 8.00 ★ 4.70  
SCR  KELLEY'S MANDATE               (mitchell stetson)GONZALEZ V 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-5   09/26/2022 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
:23 :464 :591     1:053   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  RUN FOR MATTY 3 4 21 31½   31½ 1nk (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 4.80  
2  CIRCLE BACK 2 2 11 11½   11 2nk (long vaughn)WALES T 124 4.50 ★ 1.50 P
1  DOWNTOWN BROWN 1 3 42 21½   21 31 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 24% 3.20 2.10 S
6  PERVASIVE 5 6 63¼ 54½   43½ 42 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 8.00 7.20  
7  WHERE'S FREDDIE 6 1 32 43½   56½ 513 (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 121 15.00 5% 17.60 4.20  
5  RADICATOR 4 5 52¼ 65½   68½ 613¼ (ness john)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00 16% 5.40 23.00  
SCR  CLAIMJUMPER               (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
ARP-6   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
:224 :462 :592     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  POLLY WAR CRY 4 4 42½ 3½   41 11½ (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 ★ 7.50  
2  CLUBHOUSE SAINT 2 5 55½ 53½   51½ 21½ (christian billy)MARTIN A 124 3.50 33% 2.00 1.10 P
6  IMA FINAL DE BUY 5 1 11½ 1nk   1½ 33½ (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 1.80  
1  GIGGLES AND SMOKE 1 3 21½ 41   31 44 (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 15.00 10% 9.20 6.50  
3  TOP OF THE PODIUM 3 2 32 2nk   2½ 55¾ (rushton temple)WALES T 121 2.50 26% 2.90 4.90  
SCR  A BUNCH FOR LUNCH               (ness john)GONZALEZ V 124 10.00 ★    
 
ARP-7   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
:23 :464 1:00     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ANGIE'S REVRAC 7 1 2½ 2nk   11 11½ (muckey john)BETHKE A 120 4.50 66% 0.50 1.70 W
2  CHASING DIVINITY 2 6 53½ 31   21 21½ (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 2.50 7% 13.80 0.80 P
6  FANCY DIVA 6 5 79½ 66   44 34 (williams f)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 ★ 6.50 S
1  HIGH ON LIFE 1 7 68½ 77   55 48¼ (young a)GONZALEZ V 124 30.00 23.10  
3  POPS GIRL ALEXA 3 3 32½ 43   66 59½ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 8.00 11.60  
5  SMART ACT 5 4 43 54   78 613½ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 10.00 5% 19.00 18.40  
4  CRIMSON T. 4 2 1½ 1nk   32 714 (young a)MARTIN A 120 12.00 ★ 37.50  
 
ARP-8   09/26/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
:231 :454 1:11     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  HUNTER QUICK 2 2 2nk 1½   11½ 16½ (williams f)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50 ★ 7.70  
1  CHICORY BLUE 1 4 56 43   32½ 26½ (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50 ★ 3.70 P
3  CATS GOTTA CHANCE 3 3 1nk 2½   21½ 39½ (long vaughn)WALES T 124 3.50 46% 1.20 1.10 S
6  THE GREATEST EAGLE 6 1 68½ 66½   68 414¾ (ibanez alberto)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00 13.90  
5  DAAHER'S SUCCESS 5 6 44 54½   46½ 515¼ (ness john)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00 11% 7.80 7.10  
4  JIMMY'S MARCO 4 5 31½ 33   57 618 (haar j)BETHKE A 124 8.00 10% 9.50 2.90  
 
ARP-9   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
:231 :47 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  VENUS ISLAND 8 2 31½ 31   11 12¼ (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00 3.70  
7  AIR WALKER 6 4 63 42½   32 22¼ (shephard john)WALES T 124 3.50 ★ 6.30 P
5  TEQUILA RITA 4 5 85 73¾   43½ 34¼ (loftin linda)MARTIN A 121 4.50 5% 19.00 8.50 S
4  B'ESAME ME MUCHO 3 3 52½ 63½   67½ 46¼ (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 42% 1.40 2.10  
1  TALLANDLONG 1 6 1½ 1½   21 58 (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 5.00 28% 2.60 2.70  
8  GOSPEL GINA 7 1 2½ 2½   55 69¾ (williams f)BETHKE A 124 15.00 25.50  
6  QUEEN OF THE ICE 5 8 74 53½   710½ 718 (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 5.00 ★ 5.60  
2  JOEL'S GIRL 2 7 42 88¾   830½ 852½ (muckey john)GONZALEZ V 121 20.00 61.80  
SCR  MYSTIC WIND               (jenkins l)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.