Handicappers' Racing Form

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Arapahoe Park
Monday - September 26, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ARP-3   09/26/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRAVE HELIOS Sep12 Aug09 Jul18 Jul05 Jun17 (ness john)ROMERO M 124 8.00 6% 15.80    
GONE PARADISE Sep12 Aug22 Aug02 Jul18 Jul05 (hibdon n)RAMOS B 124 4.50    
FLOWER BEACH Sep13 Aug23 Jul18 Apr12 Mar30 (esquibel mark)HAAR NATHAN 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
SEELEY Sep05 Jul05 Jun17 Jun03 May14 (mitchell ste)GONZALEZ V 124 20.00    
LONE SHOTGUN RIDER Sep12 Aug09 Jul19     (martinez a)WALES T 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
ARP-4   09/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY CLASSY WIFE         (christian billy)WALES T 120 10.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  KELLEY'S MANDATE Sep05 Aug23 Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 (mitchell ste)GONZALEZ V 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
LOTTA PRADA Sep04         (parsons riley)HERRERA HUGO 121 3.50 36% 1.80    
PUT A BLING ON IT Sep04 Aug21 Jul31 Jul08 Jun19 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 8.00    
TAP THE HEART Sep11 Aug21 Jul04 May06 Apr02 (mitchell stets)MARTIN A 120 2.50    
 
ARP-5   09/26/2022 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWN BROWN Sep13 Aug28 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 24% 3.20    
CIRCLE BACK Sep13 Aug28 Aug02 Jul19 Jul05 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 4.50    
RUN FOR MATTY Sep19 Sep05 Aug15 Aug02 Jul12 (ibanez alberto)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00    
SCR  CLAIMJUMPER Sep20 Sep04 Aug29 Aug15 Jul31 (mitchell stetson)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 17% 5.00    
RADICATOR Sep13 May21 Feb27     (ness john)ROMERO M 124 20.00 16% 5.40    
PERVASIVE Sep20 Aug28 Jul25 Jul12 Jun17 (muckey john)MARTIN A 124 8.00    
WHERE'S FREDDIE Sep20 Sep06 Aug28 Jul26 Jul12 (chavez juan)CARDOSO DAVID 121 15.00 5% 17.60    
 
ARP-6   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIGGLES AND SMOKE Sep20 Sep06 Jun18     (muckey john)RAMOS B 124 15.00 10% 9.20    
CLUBHOUSE SAINT Aug30 Aug22 Jul25 Jul03 Jan06 (christian bill)MARTIN A 124 3.50 33% 2.00    
TOP OF THE PODIUM Sep12 Aug08 Jul26 Jul11 Apr01 (rushton temple)WALES T 121 2.50 26% 2.90    
POLLY WAR CRY Sep12 Sep06 Jul24 Jun18 May30 (dieter dalton)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50    
SCR  A BUNCH FOR LUNCH Sep12 Aug30 Jul25 Jun17 May13 (ness john)ROMERO M 124 10.00    
IMA FINAL DE BUY Sep12         (martinez a)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00    
 
ARP-7   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH ON LIFE Mar26 Mar05 Jan02     (young a)GONZALEZ V 124 30.00    
CHASING DIVINITY Sep04 Aug01 Jul17     (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 117 2.50 7% 13.80    
POPS GIRL ALEXA Sep12 Aug15 Jul26     (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 120 8.00    
CRIMSON T. Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 Jun12 May28 (young a)MARTIN A 120 12.00    
SMART ACT Sep12 Sep05 Aug15     (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
FANCY DIVA Jun18 May27       (williams steve )CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50    
ANGIE'S REVRAC Sep13 Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 Jul01 (muckey john)BETHKE A 120 4.50 66% 0.50    
 
ARP-8   09/26/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($11.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICORY BLUE Sep06 Aug23 Aug08 Jul24 Jun11 (haar j)HAAR NATHAN 124 4.50    
HUNTER QUICK Aug23 Jul30 Jul18 Jul05 Jun21 (williams f)HERRERA HUGO 124 2.50    
CATS GOTTA CHANCE Sep06 Aug15 Jul25 Jun19 Jun05 (long vaughn)WALES T 124 3.50 46% 1.20    
JIMMY'S MARCO Jul24 Jun18 Jun15 May28 May21 (haar j)BETHKE A 124 8.00 10% 9.50    
DAAHER'S SUCCESS Aug29 Jul25 Jul03 Jun07 Apr30 (ness john)ROMERO M 124 10.00 11% 7.80    
THE GREATEST EAGLE Sep11 Aug21 Aug09 Jul11 Jun18 (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ V 124 15.00    
 
ARP-9   09/26/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TALLANDLONG Sep12 Aug29 Aug01 Jul01 Jun18 (burns dale)HAAR NATHAN 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
JOEL'S GIRL May01 Mar27 Mar20 Feb25   (muckey john)GONZALEZ V 121 20.00    
SCR  MYSTIC WIND Sep12 Sep04 Aug07 Jul24 Jul03 (jenkins l)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 10.00    
B'ESAME ME MUCHO Sep11 Jul31 Jul10 Jun25 Jun04 (mitchell stetson)RAMOS B 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
TEQUILA RITA Sep13 Aug15 Jul12 Apr11 Mar28 (loftin linda)MARTIN A 121 4.50 5% 19.00    
QUEEN OF THE ICE Sep11 Aug21       (rushton temple)CARDOSO DAVID 120 5.00    
AIR WALKER Sep12 Sep04 Aug21 Jul03 May28 (shephard john)WALES T 124 3.50    
GOSPEL GINA Sep12 Aug23 Jul18 Jun27 Jun06 (williams steve)BETHKE A 124 15.00    
VENUS ISLAND Sep12 Aug23 Aug15 Aug02 Jul18 (hibdon n)HERRERA HUGO 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.