Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Friday - November 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:223 :463 :591     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTHEALY 3 1 1 11   1 17 (schmidt denis)GILLIGAN JACK 121 2.50 14% 6.10 1.40 W
JUJU NINETEEN 5 5 3 34   36 27 (scherer t)COHEN DAVID 119 8.00 5.60 P
MAGNOLIA RIDGE 2 3 6 79   710½ 3 (schwandt emile)CULP BRIANNE 114 15.00 14.80 S
1A  SPRY CHARLIE 7 4 2 21   2 4 (thomas lee)GRAHAM J 121 3.00 43% 1.30 2.20  
HALF A DOODLE 1 2 4 67   69 58 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.00 19% 4.40 5.20  
HEARTTHROB HALO 4 7 56 4   4 6 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 23.70  
ROCK STAR ALEX 6 6 7 5   5 7 (dandridge courtn)MURRAY M 119 6.00 13.30  
SCR  STEALING APRIORITY               (thomas lee)GRAHAM J 121 3.00    
 
FG-2   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:221 :46 :59     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY'S PRIDE 2 4 12 15   1 1 (wilson sha)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 35% 1.90 1.10 W
ENOUGH HEART 1 3 32 25   2 2 (bernard jo)ALBERT S 116 8.00 18.60 P
RESPOSADO 6 1 22 3   3 3 (thomas lee)GRAHAM J 121 2.50 10% 8.70 3.10 S
ALLSTAR MAGIC 3 7 45 4   48 48 (ladner chad)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 15.10  
THE MISSING PIECE 4 5 5 511½   514 515½ (hargrave kenne)CULP BRIANNE 116 4.00 20% 4.10 4.90  
BEAUTIFULANDWILD 7 2 79 617½   617 616¾ (zenon charle)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50 4.50  
STAR'S DREAM 5 6 68 717½   719½ 721¼ (hargrave ke)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 12.00 8% 11.70 27.40  
 
FG-3   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:213 :451 :58     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEAUX SUGAR 6 1 1 1   15 1 (david b)PARKER L 120 3.00 34% 2.00 2.70 W
ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT 1 4 3 3   3 2 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 15% 5.80 3.10 P
F T W SLAM 5 2 2 2   25 3 (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 120 4.00 3.90  
CAJUN CRAZY 2 6 5 4   411½ 413 (calhoun w)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 28% 2.50 4.70  
UP N GONE 3 5 69 510½   512 513½ (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 3.50  
BUCK DOLL TAYLOR 4 3 46 613   616 621¼ (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 8.90  
SCR  MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT               (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
 
FG-4   11/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:422     1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BLURT 2 1 2nk 22 2nk 15 15 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.50 3.40  
EXCLAIM 7 7 810¼ 77 7 3 25 (savoie sh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 10.00 21.10  
I LIKE DREAMING 6 8 5 33 3.2 25 39 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 115 4.50 16% 5.30 3.90 S
MOSH PIT 5 6 6 56 5 5 410¼ (cuccia j)CULP BRIANNE 113 12.00 19.90  
PLEASANT VISION 8 4 44 67 4 4 514¼ (hirdes john)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 48% 1.10 3.90  
KEYS INCLUDED 4 5 7 88 6 711 616 (zeringue j)GILLIGAN JACK 118 4.50 6% 15.70 1.70  
MASQUERADE BALL 3 3 1nk 12 1nk 6 720½ (dorochenko gennad)VEGA JOSE 118 10.00 15.40  
SEMI CHARMED LIFE 1 2 3½ 4 8 818 852¼ (besancon d)ALBERT S 113 10.00 14.60  
SCR  WESTERN STAR               (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 2.50    
 
FG-5   11/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:134 1:403   1:474   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PURRFECT 2 5 2½ 2½ 11 1 1 (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 117 6.00 21% 3.70 2.60 W
ELLE OF THE BALL 3 1 31 3 21 2 2 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 117 4.00 5% 19.00 2.70 P
CHATON ROUGE 5 4 6 6 4 413½ 316½ (schmidt denis)GILLIGAN JACK 117 8.00 13.20  
IMPLOSION 1 3 1½ 1½ 3 310½ 417 (margolis ste)BESCHIZZA ADAM 117 4.50 1.40  
MISCHEVIOUS MEL 4 6 52 42 56 515½ 523¼ (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 8.70  
RUMPUS 6 2 4 5 611 625½ 641¼ (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00 13.10  
SCR  JUBILEE BRIDGE               (stidham m)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
SCR  LIJANA               (devaux cherie)COHEN DAVID 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  LIVY B               (leonard g)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00    
SCR  SIGN OF PEACE               (walsh p)PARKER L 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-6   11/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLIE'S CREED 1 1 12 1   1 12 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 52% 0.90 2.00 W
BOSS' DIALIN IN 4 4 5 32   2 22 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 8% 11.20 2.70 P
SUPREMELY 3 2 32 42   35 3 (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00 14% 6.00 2.10 S
KISLOVODSK 6 6 4 2   45 4 (do)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 20.00 27.00  
RUMBLE READY 5 5 6 66   510 510½ (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 122 4.00 5.40  
CHARLEMAGNE 2 3 22 5   612 622 (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 8.50  
 
FG-7   11/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:241 :482 1:134 1:272   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY WELL SPENT 4 2 1 1 12 12 1hd (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 120 3.00 44% 1.30 2.50 W
SKY HIGH SUSAN 1 1 3 43 32 22 2hd (silva miguel)PARKER L 117 8.00 32% 2.10 7.80 P
SERAPE 2 3 2 2 22 33 3 (brinkman )HERNANDEZ J 117 4.50 2.20 S
HEART THAT BINDS 8 5 43 33 4 5 4 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00 11.40  
BLESSED ANNA 7 8 7 5 5 4 53 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.00 7.70  
1A  SPELLBINDING 5 4 6 7 6 6 6 (ducoing st)ALBERT S 115 3.00 2.50  
STRUMMER 3 7 54 6 7 710½ 712¾ (gelner sco)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00 3.00  
EXPLOSIVELY HOT 6 6 8 8 8 812½ 821½ (ney john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00 17.50  
SCR  MI LIA               (arceneaux victor)FUSILIER C 120 6.00    
 
FG-8   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:223 :471 1:002     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET VIDALIA 2 8 44 4   3 1 (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 122 2.50 40% 1.50 2.10 W
ISN'T IT TIME 4 4 33 32   2nk 2 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 39% 1.60 1.90 P
JUST ANOTHER WIN 6 6 7 67   6 3 (woodley j)GRAHAM J 122 4.50 4.00 S
EASY ACES 5 5 5 79   7 4 (ladner herman)COHEN DAVID 122 5.00 12.60  
BOTH OURS 3 2 1 12   1nk 57 (richards )HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 15.30  
BAD GAL RIRI 7 3 912½ 812½   8 6 (singh s)SINGH R 124 8.00 9.90  
JIG TIME BANDIT 8 1 66 56   5 7 (williams k)ALBERT S 117 10.00 29.00  
HOT PATOOTIE 1 9 2 22   4 810¼ (ney john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00 12.20  
BONUS ROUND 9 7 8 914½   918¼ 934¼ (schwandt emile)MURRAY M 122 20.00 49.50  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.