Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fair Grounds
Friday - November 25, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FG-1   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SPRY CHARLIE Aug13 Jul15 Jun11 May17 May05 (thomas lee)GRAHAM J 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  STEALING APRIORITY Aug28 Aug13 Jul02 Jun08 May17 (thomas lee)GRAHAM J 121 3.00    
HALF A DOODLE Sep24 Sep12 Aug27 Jun12 May22 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.00 19% 4.40    
MAGNOLIA RIDGE Oct15 Sep13 Aug18 Jul13 Jun29 (schwandt emile)CULP BRIANNE 114 15.00    
INTHEALY Jun16 May06 Mar24 Feb20 Feb10 (schmidt denis)GILLIGAN JACK 121 2.50 14% 6.10    
HEARTTHROB HALO Sep24 Aug28 Aug13 Jul24 Jun13 (duke steve)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00    
JUJU NINETEEN Aug12 Jul22 Jun23 Mar05 Feb15 (scherer t)COHEN DAVID 119 8.00    
ROCK STAR ALEX Sep24 Sep11 Aug20 Jul09 May13 (dandridge courtn)MURRAY M 119 6.00    
 
FG-2   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENOUGH HEART Aug19 Jul28 Jul06 Jun16 Mar03 (bernard jo)ALBERT S 116 8.00    
CANDY'S PRIDE Sep25 Aug16 Jul17 May12 Apr16 (wilson sha)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 35% 1.90    
ALLSTAR MAGIC Aug12 Jul09 Jun29 Jun17 May27 (ladner chad)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00    
THE MISSING PIECE Sep20 Aug07 Jul16 Jun04 May17 (hargrave kenne)CULP BRIANNE 116 4.00 20% 4.10    
STAR'S DREAM Sep20 Jul19 Jun18 May31 May15 (hargrave ke)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 12.00 8% 11.70    
RESPOSADO Aug26 Aug06 Jul23 Jun09 Jan28 (thomas lee)GRAHAM J 121 2.50 10% 8.70    
BEAUTIFULANDWILD Oct28 Sep20 Aug21 Aug08 Jul16 (zenon charle)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50    
 
FG-3   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 15% 5.80    
CAJUN CRAZY Oct07         (calhoun w)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 28% 2.50    
UP N GONE         (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
BUCK DOLL TAYLOR         (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00    
F T W SLAM Nov03         (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 120 4.00    
GEAUX SUGAR         (david b)PARKER L 120 3.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  MYSTERIOUS SPIRIT Sep27 Aug27       (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00    
 
FG-4   11/25/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  BLURT Oct15 Oct05 Sep10 Aug27 Jul22 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 2.50    
SCR  WESTERN STAR Oct05 Sep17 Aug30 Aug15 Jul10 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 2.50    
SEMI CHARMED LIFE Oct07 Jul29 Jun15 May25 May05 (besancon d)ALBERT S 113 10.00    
MASQUERADE BALL Aug23 Aug08 Aug02 Jul24 Jul12 (dorochenko gennad)VEGA JOSE 118 10.00    
KEYS INCLUDED Jun11 May21 Apr23 Mar23 Feb26 (zeringue j)GILLIGAN JACK 118 4.50 6% 15.70    
MOSH PIT Aug14 Jul18 Jun14 May30 Feb14 (cuccia j)CULP BRIANNE 113 12.00    
I LIKE DREAMING Sep26 Aug26 Jul10 Jun25 May07 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 115 4.50 16% 5.30    
EXCLAIM Sep25 Sep03 Aug14 Jul18 Jul02 (savoie sh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 10.00    
PLEASANT VISION Sep24 Sep11 Aug20 Jun05 May15 (hirdes john)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 48% 1.10    
 
FG-5   11/25/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPLOSION Oct27 Sep18 Aug06     (margolis ste)BESCHIZZA ADAM 117 4.50    
SCR  LIJANA         (devaux cherie)COHEN DAVID 120 3.50 47% 1.10    
SCR  SIGN OF PEACE Oct09         (walsh p)PARKER L 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
PURRFECT Oct06 Aug16 Jul12     (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 117 6.00 21% 3.70    
ELLE OF THE BALL Nov03 Jun22 May15 Apr08 Mar01 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 117 4.00 5% 19.00    
MISCHEVIOUS MEL Feb24         (pessin nei)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
SCR  JUBILEE BRIDGE Oct13 Sep18       (stidham m)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
CHATON ROUGE Oct27 Sep25 Sep03 Jul21 Jun25 (schmidt denis)GILLIGAN JACK 117 8.00    
RUMPUS Oct22 Oct12 Sep21 Sep02 Aug20 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 6.00    
SCR  LIVY B Oct14 Jul24 Jul13 Jun22 Feb21 (leonard g)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 4.00    
 
FG-6   11/25/2022 3630ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARLIE'S CREED Jan28         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
CHARLEMAGNE         (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
SUPREMELY Oct22 Sep15 Jun09 May22   (foley gre)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 3.00 14% 6.00    
BOSS' DIALIN IN Feb19 Jan22       (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 8% 11.20    
RUMBLE READY Nov01 Sep29 Feb11     (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 122 4.00    
KISLOVODSK Oct08         (do)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 20.00    
 
FG-7   11/25/2022 5280ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MONEY WELL SPENT Sep10 Jul20 Jun24 Mar20 Feb14 (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 120 3.00 44% 1.30    
1A  SPELLBINDING Sep10 Aug05 Jul14 Jun29 Jun10 (ducoing st)ALBERT S 115 3.00    
SKY HIGH SUSAN Aug24 Jul10 Jun22 May20 Mar04 (silva miguel)PARKER L 117 8.00 32% 2.10    
SERAPE Nov04 Aug25 Jun04 Mar26 Feb03 (brinkman )HERNANDEZ J 117 4.50    
STRUMMER Oct12 Aug06 Mar27 Mar04   (gelner sco)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
SCR  MI LIA Aug13 Jul14 Jun10 May07 Mar27 (arceneaux victor)FUSILIER C 120 6.00    
EXPLOSIVELY HOT Nov02 Oct20 Jun02 May07 Apr23 (ney john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00    
BLESSED ANNA Jul10 Jun20 May21 Mar05 Feb12 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
HEART THAT BINDS Sep19 Sep06 Jul09 Jun11 May21 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
 
FG-8   11/25/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT PATOOTIE Oct06 Aug11 Jul16     (ney john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 8.00    
SWEET VIDALIA         (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
BOTH OURS Mar10 Feb26 Feb11 Jan17 Jan09 (richards )HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00    
ISN'T IT TIME Oct13 Aug27 Jul24 Jun28 Jun05 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 39% 1.60    
EASY ACES Jun18 May06 Mar25 Feb19 Jan14 (ladner herman)COHEN DAVID 122 5.00    
JUST ANOTHER WIN Oct22 Aug28 Jul08 Jun17 May05 (woodley j)GRAHAM J 122 4.50    
BAD GAL RIRI Sep25 Sep06 Aug14 Jun27 Jun14 (singh s)SINGH R 124 8.00    
JIG TIME BANDIT Aug25 Aug04 Jun30 Jun01 Apr06 (williams k)ALBERT S 117 10.00    
BONUS ROUND Sep27 Sep11       (schwandt emile)MURRAY M 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.