The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Fair Grounds
Sunday - December 11, 2022

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FG-1   12/11/2022 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
:24 :474 1:134 1:414   1:461   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOTAL MALICE 4 4 12 1 16 17 1(schwandt emile)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 1.80 16% 5.20 0.80 W
ROMANTIC BEAST 2 1 3 35 4 27 2(govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 4.00 14% 6.10 3.10 P
IZEONPOINT 5 5 4 4 3 3311¾ (gelner j)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.50 5.60  
1A  SUFFRAGETTE 6 6 56 5 5 412½ 415¼ (govea cesar)PEDROZA MARCELINO 116 4.00 3.10  
HAVINFUNYET 1 7 79 713 612½ 617 520¼ (richards a)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50 48% 1.10 8.50  
ZANDREA'S 7 3 22 2 26 514½ 625½ (rodriguez eduardo)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00 10.30  
VITA 3 2 67 610½ 714 722 745¾ (mouton patrick)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 10.10  
 
FG-2   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
:22 :452 :582     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HALF MAGIC 1 1 11 13   13 1¾ (faucheux ron)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.00 3.00  
LIL WOADIE 5 3 47 411   42¾ (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 122 4.00 9% 10.60 3.00 P
TRADER PRICE 3 2 31 33   23 3(david b)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50 62% 0.60 1.10 S
RISKTAKER 2 4 21 23   34(zeringue j)CULP BRIANNE 117 4.50 6% 14.90 7.10  
BASTI BLUE 6 6 69 614   615 512½ (camejo m)RIQUELME J 122 8.00 10.20  
CIGAR VAN 4 5 58 513   514½ 617 (pitzer d)THERIOT J 122 10.00 23.90  
SCR  LIT A SHUCK               (hatcher d)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00    
SCR  TAUREAN               (richard c)STOKES A 122 12.00    
 
FG-3   12/11/2022 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance   Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
:232 :463 1:124 1:414   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMARTY ALEX 1 7 7 6 7 31(claire alexis)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 4.00 18% 4.50 6.40 W
DUVEE 3 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 12(david b)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.50 6% 15.50 2.30 P
MO CREDO 2 6 65 5 54 436 (modica oscar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 11.50 S
AUTUMNS STRONG MAN 6 4 2½ 2nk 2nk 248 (husak j)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 14.10  
GUTZY 5 1 3 4 32 58 510 (camejo m)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 3.00 53% 0.90 1.90  
RUNNINGINTHEMONEY 7 5 53 7 6 614 625 (balderas alfonso)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 2.80  
SINGLE SHOT 4 3 42 3 4 716 726 (faucheux ron)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00 31.40  
SCR  TAMBOURINE STAR               (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 118 3.00    
 
FG-4   12/11/2022 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
:243 :483 1:144 1:284   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISOLATION 5 4 3 3 5 2½ 1(faucheux ron)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 8% 11.70 2.40 W
BELLAMY CAY 3 6 8 7 62 41 2(wilson shane)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 2.00 P
SPELLBINDING 2 5 6 5 41 31 3(ducoing j)RIQUELME J 121 3.50 44% 1.30 3.30 S
EXPLOSIVELY HOT 6 8 42 42 1½ 1½ 4(ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00 20.60  
FASHION MERIT 7 1 1½ 1½ 2½ 55(wilson shane)PARKER L 121 10.00 13.10  
MY LITTLE JEN 4 2 5 6 7 6610½ (richards a)THERIOT J 121 8.00 17.60  
CALAJA 8 3 2½ 2½ 3½ 75 714¼ (foster m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 5.00 8% 10.90 14.10  
GREAT IN RED 1 7 75 8 88 810 822 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.00 18% 4.50 7.40  
 
FG-5   12/11/2022 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
:24 :472 1:134 1:412   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OVERTHOUGHT 3 4 4 33 3 13 1(scherer t)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 22% 3.50 1.30 W
MAX PANDOWDY 4 7 7 56 44 32(hirdes john)MURRAY M 121 10.00 27.50  
OKUDAH 2 1 1nk 22 1½ 23 3(savoie sherman)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 13.70 S
LUCKY CRUSADER 5 8 8 89 67 610 412 (foster m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 10.00 21.80  
PLEMMONSTON 6 5 6 78 7 59 515¼ (leonard iii)PARKER L 121 4.50 6% 17.10 4.10  
ROOSTER RUN 1 2 2nk 12 2½ 4617 (hargrave a)VARGAS P 118 6.00 43% 1.30 5.60  
BLURT 8 3 33 45 54 710 722¾ (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.00 3.30  
DA GOLD ROOM 7 6 5 6 810½ 816 833 (west g)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 8.00 17.80  
SCR  PLEASANT VISION               (hirdes john)THERIOT J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-6   12/11/2022 5490ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 4:45
:233 :471 1:14 1:424   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KLIMTOMANIAC 5 4 69 613½ 48 31 1nk (mcpeek g)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 3.00  
SOFT PANTS 4 3 3 3 3 1nk 2nk (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 56% 0.80 3.30 P
SIMPLY WOW 3 5 47 49 58 53(casse w)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 9.80 S
CREATIVE STRATEGY 7 2 2 2½ 11 2nk 4(shirer a)PARKER L 120 6.00 1.70  
LA BOUCANE 1 1 1 1½ 21 4515½ (wilson shane)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 7.00 DQ↓7
MR MAJESTIC 6 7 57 511 611 611½ 616¼ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 8.00 7.90  
GLUCKSTADT 2 6 717 731½ 729 723½ 722¾ (alonzo howard)THERIOT J 120 8.00 24.60  
SCR  G'S LAW               (west g)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 20.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  LUCKY'S SECRET               (desormeaux keith)LANERIE J 120 4.50    
 
FG-7   12/11/2022 5610ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
:241 :474 1:131 1:391   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NELSON AVENUE 2 5 21 21 1nk 1½ 1½ (stidham michael)GEROUX FLORENT 117 6.00 14% 6.30 2.30 W
BRITAIN'S KITTEN 5 2 6 6 4 2½ 2½ (williamson brian)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.50 2.20  
MINNESOTA READY 1 6 7 7 7 33 3(pessin l)LANERIE J 117 4.50 15% 5.70 3.60 S
DOCTOR NASH 6 4 5 53 5 57 410 (tomlinson a)PARKER L 119 6.00 6.40  
1A  SMOKEY HARBOR 7 3 42 4 2nk 46 514¾ (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 13% 6.40 26.10  
SLIM MAN 3 7 3 3 6 79 616 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 117 4.50 23% 3.30 5.00  
SHIPPINGPORT 4 1 11 11 3.2 6716 (delhomme jeff)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00 18.10  
SCR  DIRECT ORDER               (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50    
SCR  MAU MAU               (wilson shane)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 10.00 5% 18.00    
 
FG-8   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
:22 :462 :591     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RELIC HUNTER 6 1 11 1   13 12 (faucheux ron)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.80 27% 2.80 1.00 W
FIELD OF VISION 7 2 76 56   422 (courville ricky)VARGAS P 122 3.00 29% 2.50 3.10 P
CHECK ME OUT 2 3 21 2   23 3(cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00 17.10  
BIG BOO 1 4 4 45   35 4(singh s)SINGH R 122 10.00 11.80  
INFINITESIMAL 5 8 6 67   65(david b)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00 5.80  
HEZA CHAIN BREAKER 3 5 3 3   5610¼ (ladner j)ALBERT S 117 15.00 44.50  
RUN ON ACES 8 7 810 712   713 711 (perron gerard)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 17% 5.00 8.70  
GO BROTHER GO 4 6 5 813   825 860¾ (mouton patrick)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 7% 14.40 13.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.