Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - December 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROMANTIC BEAST Nov18 Nov09 Oct26 Oct08 Sep19 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 4.00 14% 6.10    
1A  SUFFRAGETTE Nov09 Oct27 Oct06 Aug03 Jul09 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 4.00    
2  HAVINFUNYET Jul20 Jun18 May27 May07 Mar13 (richards cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50 48% 1.10    
3  VITA Nov18 Sep19 Aug21 Jul31 Jul17 (mouton patrick)GRAHAM J 118 10.00 ★    
4  TOTAL MALICE Nov18 Oct13 Sep19 Aug05 Jul07 (schwandt e)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 1.80 16% 5.20    
5  IZEONPOINT Nov18 Oct15 Aug19 Aug05 Jul20 (gelner jayde)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 3.50    
6  ZANDREA'S Nov13 Oct23 Oct01 Aug27 Jun17 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 5.00 ★    
 
FG-2   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALF MAGIC Apr29 Apr08 Mar10 Jan29 Jan08 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 3.00    
2  RISKTAKER Aug28 Aug09 Jun16 May13 Mar27 (zeringue j)CULP BRIANNE 117 4.50 6% 14.90    
SCR  LIT A SHUCK Sep26 Sep10 Aug27 Aug13 Jul31 (hatcher nat)BARANDELA SOFIA 119 20.00 ★    
SCR  TAUREAN         (richard russell )STOKES A 122 12.00    
5  TRADER PRICE Oct26 Apr29 Mar27 Mar06 Feb20 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.50 62% 0.60    
6  CIGAR VAN Oct19 Aug06       (pitzer floyd)THERIOT J 122 10.00    
7  LIL WOADIE Nov24 Sep03       (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 122 4.00 9% 10.60    
8  BASTI BLUE Nov24 Oct26 Feb04 Jan20   (camejo m)RIQUELME J 122 8.00 ★    
 
FG-3   12/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUTZY Aug29 Aug09 Mar24 Mar12 Feb17 (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 3.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  TAMBOURINE STAR Mar26 Mar05 Feb10     (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 118 3.00 ★    
2  SMARTY ALEX Oct06 Sep28 Aug24 Jul11 Jun20 (claire a)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 4.00 18% 4.50    
3  MO CREDO Nov24 Nov04 Sep17 Aug28 Jul26 (modica osca)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 8.00 ★    
4  DUVEE Nov24 Mar16 Feb12 Jan29 Jan06 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.50 6% 15.50    
5  SINGLE SHOT Jun11 May21 Apr08 Mar10 Feb25 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 6.00    
6  AUTUMNS STRONG MAN Nov24 Oct26 Oct06 Sep17 Aug29 (husak gary)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
7  RUNNINGINTHEMONEY Nov24 Oct28 Oct15 Sep11 Aug29 (balderas alfonso)GRAHAM J 118 4.00 ★    
 
FG-4   12/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREAT IN RED Jun25 Jun13 Jun04 May12 Apr02 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.00 18% 4.50    
2  SPELLBINDING Nov25 Sep10 Aug05 Jul14 Jun29 (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 121 3.50 44% 1.30    
3  BELLAMY CAY Nov18 Sep04 Jul04 Mar20 Mar01 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 ★    
4  MY LITTLE JEN Aug19 Jul20 Jun29 May21 Mar20 (richards cor)THERIOT J 121 8.00    
5  ISOLATION Oct22 Aug13 Jun29 Jun16 May27 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 3.00 8% 11.70    
6  EXPLOSIVELY HOT Nov25 Nov02 Oct20 Jun02 May07 (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 10.00    
7  FASHION MERIT Sep19 Aug21 Jul19 Jun11 May28 (wilson shane)PARKER L 121 10.00    
8  CALAJA Sep06 Jul18 Jun04 May09 Mar13 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 5.00 8% 10.90    
 
FG-5   12/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PLEASANT VISION Nov25 Sep24 Sep11 Aug20 Jun05 (hirdes john)THERIOT J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROOSTER RUN Dec01 Sep24 Aug27 Aug15 Jul18 (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 118 6.00 43% 1.30    
3  OKUDAH Sep24 Aug15 Aug02 Jul05 Jun07 (savoie sh)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 8.00 ★    
4  OVERTHOUGHT Nov03 Oct19 Sep26 Aug15 Jul14 (scherer t)GRAHAM J 118 3.50 22% 3.50    
5  MAX PANDOWDY Dec01 Oct08 Aug29 Mar24 Feb24 (hirdes john)MURRAY M 121 10.00    
6  LUCKY CRUSADER Sep24 Aug27 Aug07 Jul05 Jun20 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 10.00    
7  PLEMMONSTON Nov17 Oct02 Sep16 Aug23 Jun22 (leonard i)PARKER L 121 4.50 6% 17.10    
8  DA GOLD ROOM Dec01 May21 May08 Mar25 Feb18 (west patric)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 8.00    
9  BLURT Nov25 Oct15 Oct05 Sep10 Aug27 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.00    
 
FG-6   12/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 2 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA BOUCANE Nov18 Sep27       (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00    
2  GLUCKSTADT Oct28         (alonzo howar)THERIOT J 120 8.00    
3  SIMPLY WOW         (casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 ★    
4  SOFT PANTS Nov09 Oct03       (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 3.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  G'S LAW Sep17 Sep03 Jul31     (west patr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 20.00 20% 3.90    
6  KLIMTOMANIAC Nov16 Oct22 Sep21     (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.00 ★    
7  MR MAJESTIC Oct18 Sep11       (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
8  CREATIVE STRATEGY Nov03 Oct09       (shirer a)PARKER L 120 6.00    
SCR  LUCKY'S SECRET Oct23 Sep07 Aug05 Jul16   (desormeaux ke)LANERIE J 120 4.50 ★    
 
FG-7   12/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SMOKEY HARBOR Nov27 Nov16 Oct20 Sep21 Aug25 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 13% 6.40    
SCR  DIRECT ORDER Nov27 Oct07 Aug25 Aug05 Jun24 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 4.50 ★    
SCR  MAU MAU (BRZ) Nov18 Sep27 Sep04 Aug08 Jul19 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 10.00 5% 18.00    
3  MINNESOTA READY Nov09 Sep03 Jun19 May20 Apr10 (pessin l)LANERIE J 117 4.50 15% 5.70    
4  NELSON AVENUE Oct15 Aug18       (stidham mich)GEROUX FLORENT 117 6.00 14% 6.30    
5  SLIM MAN Nov16 Sep29 Jul31 Mar13 Jan29 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 117 4.50 23% 3.30    
6  SHIPPINGPORT Nov02 Oct08 Jul02 May19 May04 (delhomme )HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
7  BRITAIN'S KITTEN Nov16 Oct12 Aug26 Aug05 Jul04 (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.50    
8  DOCTOR NASH Nov06 Sep30 Jun19 Jan19   (tomlinson michae)PARKER L 119 6.00    
 
FG-8   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG BOO Nov24 Mar19 Mar03 Feb12 Jan20 (singh s)SINGH R 122 10.00    
2  CHECK ME OUT Jun27 Jun04 Mar27 Mar06   (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 15.00    
3  HEZA CHAIN BREAKER         (ladner mar)ALBERT S 117 15.00    
4  GO BROTHER GO Nov24 Sep03       (mouton patr)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 8.00 7% 14.40    
5  INFINITESIMAL         (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 6.00 ★    
6  RELIC HUNTER Nov24 Apr21 Mar27 Mar10   (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.80 27% 2.80    
7  FIELD OF VISION Nov25         (courville ric)VARGAS P 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
8  RUN ON ACES Oct28 Jul13       (perron ge)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00 17% 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.