Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Fair Grounds
Thursday - December 01, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
FG-1   12/01/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:253 :494 1:142 1:394   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOLID COUNTRY GOLD 1 3 32 32 32 3 12 (claire alexis)PARKER L 118 2.50 37% 1.70 1.80 W
HE'S GOT THIS 4 2 2½ 2 2nk 1nk 22 (savoie sherm)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 2.50 40% 1.50 5.50 P
UNCLE NICK 2 1 1½ 1 1nk 2nk 3 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 9.90 S
KEEPCALMCARRYON 3 4 4 53 5 4 4 (margolis s)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 1.80 1.20  
CREME DE BALI 5 5 5 4 43 5 516 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 5.00 5.50  
 
FG-2   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:22 :454 :59     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALEXAPLAYBORNTORUN 1 1 1 13   1 1 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 114 4.00 11% 7.80 1.90 W
MEAN AMERICAN 6 4 55 35   2 2 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 2.50 14% 6.00 2.60 P
PINEAPPLE ALLEY 2 5 34 45   3 3 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 2.00 48% 1.10 2.20 S
DEBS PRAYER 5 3 44 58   59 4 (ladner herma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 10.00 24.90  
GUANAJUATO 3 2 2 23   4 5 (brinkman brett)PARKER L 119 5.00 12.10  
MAGGIE'S RETURN 4 6 6 610   611 611½ (schmidt denise)COHEN DAVID 121 4.50 4.60  
 
FG-3   12/01/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 2 ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:223 :474 1:004     1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J B GRAY 3 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 1½ (jeanson)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 12% 7.30 1.90 W
CHIPEEE 2 4 4 31   2nk 2½ (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00 8% 11.60 9.20 P
HOOSIER 5 5 56 4   31 3 (camejo jos)URDANETA J 120 4.50 12% 7.60 4.00 S
STARPORT 4 3 2½ 2nk   4 4 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 8.60  
SPREADING RUMORS 6 6 711 6   5 56 (ducoing st)ALBERT S 115 6.00 25.10  
OWEN THE ICE MAN 7 7 611 5   68 610 (hatcher )LOPEZ CARLOS 120 10.00 75.80  
STAR SYZYGY 1 2 32 7100   7100 7100 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.00 48% 1.10 1.40  
 
FG-4   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:223 :46 :582     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INDIA INK (ARG) 1 1 1 1   15 112 (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 2.50 52% 0.90 0.40 W
BLUSHINSTREETDEVIL 2 4 2 2   25 212 (alonzo howar)THERIOT J 121 5.00 13.70 P
MAX PANDOWDY 4 5 32 34   37 313½ (hirdes john)MURRAY M 121 6.00 14.10  
ROOSTER RUN 3 3 54 5   510½ 415½ (hargrave kenneth)RIQUELME J 119 3.00 22% 3.60 4.60  
DA GOLD ROOM 5 2 44 46   4 516 (west patric)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 3.00 5.10  
CRAFTY HEAT 6 6 67 611½   615 623 (hatcher )LOPEZ CARLOS 121 8.00 35.80  
 
FG-5   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:212 :45 :573     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELEOUT 6 2 2 1½   1 14 (dandridge courtney)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 2.90  
G'S SQUEEZE 3 5 4 3   34 24 (faucheux ro)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 1.80 43% 1.30 1.80 P
RUE LALA 4 3 5 5   4 34 (camejo jose )NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.00 17% 4.80 3.00 S
ROYAL O'HAIGAIN 1 4 1 2½   2 4 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 6.00 4.00  
SPECIAL CONNECTION 5 6 612½ 6   57 5 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.50 9% 9.80 8.70  
VISIONOFWILDTIMES 2 1 36 4   610 621 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 20.30  
 
FG-6   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:22 :454 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIERY PLAYBOY 2 2 1 1   1½ 1¼ (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 8.00 10.50  
FIESTY FIST 1 4 2 2   2½ 2¼ (flint stev)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 4.00 3.00 P
BLUE CHEESE 4 8 8 7   43 3 (breaux samuel)LANERIE J 119 3.00 2.50 S
FORTY THREE 7 5 5 5   3 4 (balderas )PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 2.50 71% 0.40 3.40  
HOME VISIT 3 1 32 4   54 59 (delhomme jeff)GRAHAM J 119 5.00 3.80  
GRUNT 5 3 42 33   66 611 (brinkman brett)PARKER L 119 8.00 8.90  
QUARTER RAT 6 7 6 6   78 713½ (delahouss)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 71.20  
TOUCHDOWN JOE 8 6 7 8   811 816 (noel dane)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 22.70  
 
FG-7   12/01/2022 5490ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 5:15
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:122 1:393   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE ALYS LOOK 2 2 11 1½ 11 15 17 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.00 61% 0.60 1.00 W
MO SHIRO 3 6 5 42 21 25 27 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50 5% 17.70 3.80 P
MO BILLS 6 3 4 5 6 5 3 (stidham m)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 12% 7.10 3.00 S
FLOWERDEW 8 5 6 6 54 37 4 (margolis ste)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00 46.20  
1A  KATE'S CONCERTO 5 1 31 3 3 4 510¼ (cox brad )PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 3.00 1.00  
PETERPAM 1 7 7 7 78 6 612¼ (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 25.20  
NOMADIC PRIDE 4 4 21 2½ 4 710 716½ (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00 5.30  
WINDY BAY 7 8 8100 8100 8100 8100 8100 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 16.50  
SCR  BETYAR AZETS               (silva migu)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 15.00    
SCR  HUNTLEIGH               (casse w)PARKER L 120 8.00    
 
FG-8   12/01/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
See original race card.
:214 :452 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWO B 5 3 1½ 1   1 1 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00 5% 19.00 3.40 W
EASY RUNNER 7 4 32 2   2 2 (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 38% 1.70 2.70 P
HELAIRE 4 7 77 47   36 3 (mouton pat)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.00 20% 3.90 4.30 S
WOODS N WATER 1 9 8 710   5 4 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 114 3.50 7% 12.80 2.10  
OLE STUD MUFFIN 3 6 67 69   710½ 515½ (ladner herma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 121 12.00 30.00  
MR ELVIN 9 8 9 912½   812 616¼ (derousselle )THERIOT J 121 8.00 11.00  
MAGIC LIGHTNING 2 2 5 57   6 716¼ (foster jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 29.30  
OURQUICKDRAWMCGRAW 6 1 2½ 3   48 819 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00 51.80  
BERNIE SPECIAL 8 5 44 811   917 928½ (delahouss)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 7% 13.70 26.00  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.