Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turfway Park
Friday - February 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (7/2/6/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  2 $13.04 $3.04 30%
    EXA (7/2/6/1/3)-(7/2/6/1/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-1 $155.98 $115.98 290%
TP-3   WIN (8/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  9 $12.54 $6.54 109%
    EXA (8/9/2)-(8/9/2/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00  9-2 $74.66 $50.66 211%
TP-6   WIN (12/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $8.02 $2.02 34%
TP-7   TRI (12/7/9)-(12/7/9/11/3)-(12/7/9/11/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00  12-3-9 $30.08 $12.08 67%
TP-8   WIN (4/6/2/13) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $8.72 $0.72 9%
    DD (12/7/9)-(4/6/2/13) 12 $1.00 $12.00  12-2 $16.15 $4.15 35%
    PK3 (12/6/7)-(12/7/9)-(4/6/2/13) 36 $0.50 $18.00  6-12-2 $24.51 $6.51 36%
Simulator Race results
 
TP-1   02/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:112     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  LIBERTANGO 2 4 11½ 11½   11 11¾ (catalano way)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.00 8% 12.10 5.52 W
  (by FUNTASTIC out of MY LIBERTINE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
1  ISOCLINE 1 6 31½ 21½   21 21¾ (simms mar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00 22.61 P
  (by PRODUCER out of ISOCLONE by LONHRO (AUS))
8  FAST FORWARD 8 2 85¼ 85½   32½ 33¾ (bright d)RODRIGUEZ A 115 10.00 40.32  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
5  RUNANDSCORE 5 5 52¾ 53   44 45 (wohlers laur)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 12.00 20.54  
  (by RUNHAPPY out of FINDING AURUM by SEEKING THE GOLD)
4  REGAL REY 4 7 63¾ 63½   55½ 55¼ (ewing mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 6.84  
  (by UNION RAGS out of SOUTHERN HONEY by COLONEL JOHN)
7  METATRON'S MUSE 7 1 21½ 32½   79 69¾ (morey e)FELIX E 120 1.80 47% 1.10 0.69  
  (by FLATTER out of COUNTESS CURLIN by CURLIN)
3  NOW THAT ICAN ROCK 3 8 73¾ 74½   67 711¾ (michael brian)ORM CORY 120 12.00 5% 19.00 53.67  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of WESTSIDE SINGER by GONE WEST)
6  OBSERVE 6 3 42½ 42½   811½ 818¾ (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 120 5.00 6% 16.10 3.74  
  (by WAR FRONT out of LONG VIEW (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
 
TP-2   02/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:114     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MEATLOAF'S CHANCE 6 4 73¼ 2nk   1nk 12½ (gon)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 125 8.00 4.82  
1  KICK ROCKS KID 1 6 1½ 1nk   2nk 22½ (adams nancy )HALDAR J 125 2.50 28% 2.60 2.83 P
5  THE BOATMAN 5 3 2½ 3.2   32½ 36 (anderso)DE CRUZ 125 10.00 4.56  
9  SAMURAI ISLAND 9 1 31½ 41¾   44 48¼ (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 125 20.00 ★ 31.68  
4  SCOTCH NO ROCKS 4 7 52 62¼   66½ 58¾ (roberson)RODRIGUEZ A 120 2.00 35% 1.80 2.26  
3  FLOYD G 3 8 62¼ 51¾   55 613 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 125 8.00 9.28  
7  LONGER VIEW 7 5 85¾ 75¾   79 713½ (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 125 15.00 15.70  
2  ONE ACE 2 9 918¾ 925¼   925 832½ (demeritte larr)HUGHES CARLY 118 15.00 14% 5.90 24.11  
8  ILLUSIONED 8 2 41½ 89¼   823 935 (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 125 5.00 ★ 14.07  
 
TP-3   02/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:12     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CHANGE DIRECTION 9 2 95 73¼   33 1½ (jordan rick)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.00 21% 3.80 5.27 W
2  REMEMBER THE MAINE 2 6 73¼ 52¼   22 2½ (campbell joel)SANJUR SANTO 123 8.00 19% 4.30 5.02 P
6  TOPPING 6 3 1½ 1½   12 33½ (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 123 5.00 8.14  
4  RAMPAGE 4 9 51¾ 83¾   75½ 45½ (matthews ran)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 3.00 ★ 3.67  
5  VICE COP 5 4 31½ 32   44 57¼ (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 123 12.00 ★ 4.91  
7  ELI 7 5 61¾ 62¾   96¼ 68 (macias adolfo)CANNON DECLAN 123 10.00 4.39  
1  AMANI'S KITTEN 1 8 83½ 94¼   65½ 78 (castillo ri)BLANCHE RISHAWN 113 8.00 17.03  
3  SOUTHERN SAVIOUR 3 7 41½ 42   55 88¼ (fulmer alliso)BECKMAN ALICE 116 12.00 26.83  
8  DIAMOND STATE 8 1 2½ 2½   86 911¼ (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 4.50 36% 1.70 7.48  
 
TP-4   02/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($18K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:102     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT 1 9 1½ 11½   14 16¼ (gowan willia)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 12.00 16.51  
6  AZZARO STEEL 5 7 88¾ 85¾   66½ 26¼ (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00 7.48  
10  TIZ OUR TURN 9 1 72¾ 42½   45½ 37¼ (bindner wal)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 8.00 23% 3.30 2.33 S
9  KEEN ON YOU 8 4 918¾ 915¾   78½ 48¾ (cundiff )RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00 30.16  
3  MALIBU TIME 3 8 52½ 52¾   55½ 58¾ (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 12% 7.60 3.45  
2  THAT KHENNY 2 6 2½ 31½   24 611½ (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 8.00 17.96  
7  MY MAN FLINTSTONE 6 3 31 21½   35 713¾ (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 7.29  
4  CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT 4 5 42½ 74¾   811 824¼ (sherman justin)FELIX E 120 3.50 26% 2.90 3.12  
8  ALPINE GHOST 7 2 62¾ 64¾   913½ 924½ (wat)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 12.00 14.39  
SCR  MUSIC TO MY EARS               (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 120 5.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  STAR OF KODIAK               (quinonez max)MOJICA O 120 10.00    
 
TP-5   02/17/2023 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:14 1:391   2:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  GLOBAL SENSATION 11 52¼ 43 62¼ 1½ 1nk 1hd (stidham )RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00 15.26  
9  POLICY OPTION 8 125½ 116½ 115½ 115½ 31 2hd (cano mu)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 2.50 41% 1.40 1.50 P
14  BOLD LOOKER 12 83½ 84¾ 104 104 62¾ 3¾ (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 124 10.00 25.17  
7  HARD RYE GUY 6 105½ 106 83 63½ 41¼ 41 (gru)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 10.00 7.23  
6  ON THIN ICE 5 32 31½ 31 41½ 51¼ 52¼ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00 11.84  
1  QUANTUM LEAP 1 11 11½ 11 2½ 2nk 63 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 124 15.00 17.95  
8  GREY STREAK 7 95 95 94 94 84 74¾ (rodriguez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 30.00 96.38  
3  JR'S GIFT 2 63¼ 73¾ 52¼ 73¾ 73¾ 85½ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 124 12.00 20.65  
10  BLUE DEVIL 9 21 21½ 21 83¾ 126½ 97¾ (hiles a)MCKEE J 124 8.00 24% 3.20 17.26  
5  AJOURNEYTOFREEDOM 4 73¼ 63¾ 72½ 52½ 106 108½ (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.00 ★ 5.10  
4  KAZAN (IRE) 3 115½ 127½ 126 127½ 116 119 (asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 124 10.00 ★ 7.89  
11  MAINTAINER 10 42 53¼ 41¼ 31½ 95½ 129¼ (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 11% 8.20 12.59  
SCR  EISWEIN               (wittek kary)BLANCHE RISHAWN 109 30.00    
SCR  SHOGUN WARRIOR               (hughes byro)PETERSON FERRIN 124 12.00    
 
TP-6   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:123 1:254   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  HURRY HURRY 4 3 56 46½ 22 1½ 13¾ (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 3.00 33% 2.10 3.01 W
11  CAESAR'S GHOST 9 2 33 56¾ 43 2½ 23¾ (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 120 10.00 16.83  
2  GO FOR IT 2 7 911½ 711¼ 54 42 35 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 10.00 7.43  
7  SAILOR'S CHANCE 5 8 1012 912¼ 75 65½ 46 (haehn r)FELIX E 120 6.00 11% 8.50 8.49  
9  FEELING 7 6 67½ 69¼ 64½ 53½ 56½ (delgado gus)PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00 46.53  
12  GRIMES 10 10 2nk 1nk 12 3½ 69¾ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 34% 1.90 2.67  
10  ROYAL VICKY 8 9 44½ 36 32 75¾ 715 (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50 ★ 4.05  
3  STORMY DANSER 3 5 810½ 811¾ 99½ 811¼ 822¼ (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 ★ 35.39  
1  PACE 1 4 78 1013¼ 1010½ 912¼ 922½ (simms mar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 10.00 9.33  
8  MEANT TO BE LUCKY 6 1 1nk 2nk 87½ 1014¼ 1036¾ (barkley jason)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00 13.63  
SCR  POST TENEBRAS LUX               (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 12.00    
SCR  PRINCE SIMBA               (howard d)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
 
TP-7   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:23 :464 :582     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  OUTADORE 10 1 1nk 1nk   12 11 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 2.00 63% 0.60 1.05 W
3  BAKERS BAY 3 10 103½ 62¾   22 21 (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 123 5.00 ★ 4.63 P
9  DIVINE LEADER 7 4 3½ 41¼   53¾ 36 (ennis john)MCENTEE GRACE 123 8.00 5% 19.00 7.55 S
10  BLUE KENTUCKY 8 7 72¼ 72¾   74 47 (sims ma)DE CRUZ 123 12.00 21.28  
11  THANKS MR. EIDSON 9 3 41½ 2nk   32 58¾ (o'neill doug)HEARD TYLER 123 6.00 ★ 7.50  
5  NATURAL POWER (IRE) 4 6 62¼ 83¾   86 610½ (blair jordan)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 12.00 11.65  
2  RUSTLER 2 5 51¾ 52¼   63¾ 712¼ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00 19.91  
6  CHARCOAL 5 2 2nk 3.2   42¼ 812¾ (wisner j)MOJICA O 123 12.00 25.35  
1  JOHNNY UNLEASHED 1 9 93¼ 95¼   97½ 915¼ (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00 23.82  
7  PETIT VERDOT 6 8 82¾ 10100   10100 10100 (van)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 6.00 9% 10.00 14.81  
SCR  BE HERE               (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 30.00    
SCR  GALLANT GUY               (gonzalez rei)HALDAR J 123 15.00    
 
TP-8   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:122 1:243   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JEALOUS EYES 2 1 1½ 2nk 1nk 11½ 12¾ (winebau)DE CRUZ 124 3.50 6% 14.70 3.36 W
9  ROUGHIN THE CITY 9 5 42 31½ 31 21½ 22¾ (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00 16.39  
12  PERFECT PAINTING 12 11 118¾ 116 75¼ 53½ 34¾ (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 124 15.00 23.00  
3  OFFALY COOL 3 6 52½ 52¾ 51¾ 31½ 45¾ (vaughan edwar)CANNON DECLAN 117 30.00 16.08  
4  TROPIC STORM 4 3 32 42½ 41½ 64½ 58 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.50 35% 1.90 2.63  
11  FORT DEFIANCE 11 10 107¾ 106 106 107¼ 69 (wong jonathan)HEARD TYLER 124 4.00 2.89  
10  CHROME'S RIGHT 10 7 96¼ 84½ 95½ 96¾ 79¼ (howard mary)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 20.00 65.76  
6  REWIRE 6 8 63½ 64¼ 64¼ 75 89½ (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 6.00 33% 2.00 5.68  
1  WORKINFROMHOME 1 2 75 95½ 117 86½ 99¾ (guerrero sal)MOJICA O 124 20.00 51.65  
7  NOBLE JON 7 4 2½ 1nk 2nk 43 1012½ (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 124 20.00 35.84  
8  MAJOR CONTENDER 8 9 86 74¼ 85¼ 118¼ 1113½ (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 6.00 ★ 14.07  
5  MARDUKAS 5 12 1210¾ 128½ 127 128¾ 1215½ (engler jeff)LEZCANO ABEL 117 15.00 60.09  
SCR  MID ATLANTIC               (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WRITEITONTHEICE               (fer)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.