Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Friday - February 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (7/2/6/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/6/1/3)-(7/2/6/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/6/1/3)-(7/2/6/1/3)-(7/2/6/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/6/1/3)-(4/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/2/6/1/3)-(4/1/2)-(8/9/2) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
TP-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2/8/9)-(4/1/2/8/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(8/9/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(8/9/2)-(4/10/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-3   WIN (8/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/9/2)-(8/9/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/2)-(8/9/2/5/4)-(8/9/2/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/9/2)-(4/10/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/9/2)-(4/10/3/7)-(9/10/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-4   WIN (4/10/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/3/7)-(4/10/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/3/7)-(4/10/3/7)-(4/10/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/10/3/7)-(9/10/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/10/3/7)-(9/10/11)-(12/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TP-5   WIN (9/10/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/10/11)-(9/10/11/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/11)-(9/10/11/5/4)-(9/10/11/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/10/11)-(12/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/10/11)-(12/6/7)-(12/7/9) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TP-6   WIN (12/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/6/7)-(12/6/7/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/6/7)-(12/6/7/10/3)-(12/6/7/10/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (12/6/7)-(12/7/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (12/6/7)-(12/7/9)-(4/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TP-7   WIN (12/7/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (12/7/9)-(12/7/9/11/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (12/7/9)-(12/7/9/11/3)-(12/7/9/11/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (12/7/9)-(4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TP-8   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/6/2/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/6/2/8)-(4/6/2/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   02/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISOCLINE         (simms mar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PRODUCER out of ISOCLONE by LONHRO (AUS))
2  LIBERTANGO Jan13 Nov19       (catalano way)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.00 8% 12.10    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of MY LIBERTINE by LEROIDESANIMAUX (BRZ))
3  NOW THAT ICAN ROCK         (michael brian)ORM CORY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of WESTSIDE SINGER by GONE WEST)
4  REGAL REY         (ewing mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SOUTHERN HONEY by COLONEL JOHN)
5  RUNANDSCORE         (wohlers laur)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 12.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of FINDING AURUM by SEEKING THE GOLD)
6  OBSERVE         (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 120 5.00 6% 16.10    
  (by WAR FRONT out of LONG VIEW (IRE) by GALILEO (IRE))
7  METATRON'S MUSE Jan20         (morey e)FELIX E 120 1.80 47% 1.10    
  (by FLATTER out of COUNTESS CURLIN by CURLIN)
8  FAST FORWARD Jan13 Dec31 May12     (bright d)RODRIGUEZ A 115 10.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of LETTING GO by JOHANNESBURG)
 
TP-2   02/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KICK ROCKS KID Feb04 Jan20 Jan01 Dec08 Oct05 (adams nancy )HALDAR J 125 2.50 28% 2.60    
2  ONE ACE         (demeritte larr)HUGHES CARLY 118 15.00 14% 5.90    
3  FLOYD G Dec30 Sep20 Sep06 Aug11 Jul27 (sturgeon ro)PETERSON FERRIN 125 8.00    
4  SCOTCH NO ROCKS Feb04 Dec30 Dec08 Nov19 Nov09 (roberson)RODRIGUEZ A 120 2.00 35% 1.80    
5  THE BOATMAN Jan19         (anderso)DE CRUZ 125 10.00    
6  MEATLOAF'S CHANCE Feb04 Jan20 Dec07 Sep06 Aug02 (gon)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 125 8.00    
7  LONGER VIEW Feb04 Jan19 Dec08 Nov14 Oct26 (elliott michel)SANJUR SANTO 125 15.00    
8  ILLUSIONED Jan13 Dec18 Nov14 Sep20   (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 125 5.00 ★    
9  SAMURAI ISLAND Sep20 Aug17 Jul20 Jul12 Jun10 (mcvickers lam)CANUTO THIAGO 125 20.00 ★    
 
TP-3   02/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMANI'S KITTEN Jan11 Sep23 Sep09 Aug10 Jan23 (castillo ri)BLANCHE RISHAWN 113 8.00    
2  REMEMBER THE MAINE Feb02 Jan11 Nov26 Nov13 Oct21 (campbell joel)SANJUR SANTO 123 8.00 19% 4.30    
3  SOUTHERN SAVIOUR Dec28 Nov30 Oct21 Sep30 Sep07 (fulmer alliso)BECKMAN ALICE 116 12.00    
4  RAMPAGE Feb02 Jan07 Dec14 Nov16 Oct27 (matthews ran)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 3.00 ★    
5  VICE COP Feb02 Nov22 Nov02 May30 May12 (matthews randy)ACHARD ALEX 123 12.00 ★    
6  TOPPING Nov30 Nov21 Oct05 Sep27 Sep13 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 123 5.00    
7  ELI Feb04 Jan06 Dec16 Nov09 Oct19 (macias adolfo)CANNON DECLAN 123 10.00    
8  DIAMOND STATE Dec22 Jun01 Apr16     (smith larry)OUZTS W 123 4.50 36% 1.70    
9  CHANGE DIRECTION Jan18 Dec21 Jul30 Jul15 Jul01 (jordan rick)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 4.00 21% 3.80    
 
TP-4   02/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($18K) Purse ($31K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOOPERDRIVESTHBOAT Nov17 Oct15 Sep01 Jun26 May05 (gowan willia)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 12.00    
2  THAT KHENNY Jan14 Dec18 Nov16 Sep20 Sep02 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 8.00    
3  MALIBU TIME Jan27 Jan07 Dec29 Nov11 Oct12 (romans dale)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 4.00 12% 7.60    
4  CROSSTOWN SHOOTOUT Feb02 Jan18 Dec08 Oct06 Sep12 (sherman justin)FELIX E 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
SCR  MUSIC TO MY EARS Jan19 Dec14 Nov10 Oct13 Oct04 (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 120 5.00 14% 6.30    
6  AZZARO STEEL Dec30 Nov02 Oct25 Oct06 Sep14 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00    
7  MY MAN FLINTSTONE Jan27 Jan01 Dec03 Nov11 Oct01 (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  ALPINE GHOST Dec31 Dec10 Nov20 Oct30 Oct08 (wat)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 12.00    
9  KEEN ON YOU Feb03 Jan12 Dec14 Dec01 Oct18 (cundiff )RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00    
10  TIZ OUR TURN Jan01 Dec01 Nov08 Oct12 Sep29 (bindner wal)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 8.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  STAR OF KODIAK Dec31 Nov26 Oct22 Oct02 Jul21 (quinonez max)MOJICA O 120 10.00    
 
TP-5   02/17/2023 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUANTUM LEAP Jan06 Nov20 Oct13 Sep25 Aug31 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 124 15.00    
SCR  SHOGUN WARRIOR Jan20 Dec09 Oct22 Sep05 Jul24 (hughes byro)PETERSON FERRIN 124 12.00    
3  JR'S GIFT Feb03 Jan20 Dec29 Oct27 Oct12 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 124 12.00    
4  KAZAN (IRE) Jan27 Dec09 Nov04 Oct01 Sep05 (asmussen s)CORRALES GERARDO 124 10.00 ★    
5  AJOURNEYTOFREEDOM Jan20 Sep10 Aug21 Jul28 May21 (maker michael)TALAMO JOSEPH 124 4.00 ★    
6  ON THIN ICE Dec30 Dec03 Nov06 Mar05 Jan07 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00    
7  HARD RYE GUY Jan25 Dec31 Nov05 Oct07 Aug25 (gru)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 10.00    
8  GREY STREAK Jan18 Nov09 Oct04 Aug06 Jun03 (rodriguez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 30.00    
9  POLICY OPTION Jan20 Jan06 Dec14 Nov09 Oct26 (cano mu)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
10  BLUE DEVIL Jan06 Dec14 Nov30 Sep01 Aug12 (hiles a)MCKEE J 124 8.00 24% 3.20    
11  MAINTAINER Jan20 Dec29 Dec02 Apr09 Mar05 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 124 6.00 11% 8.20    
SCR  EISWEIN Jan14 Oct27 Sep18 Jul31 May26 (wittek kary)BLANCHE RISHAWN 109 30.00    
13  GLOBAL SENSATION Dec31 Nov27 Sep07 Aug07 Jul14 (stidham )RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00    
14  BOLD LOOKER Jan11 Dec17 Nov03 Sep23 Aug28 (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 124 10.00    
 
TP-6   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PACE Jan21 Dec16 Oct18 Oct05 Aug31 (simms mar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 10.00    
2  GO FOR IT Feb03 Jan12 Dec30 Nov17 Nov09 (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 120 10.00    
3  STORMY DANSER         (sims p)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 ★    
SCR  PRINCE SIMBA Feb03 Jan12 Aug01     (howard d)ELLIOTT JANE 120 20.00    
SCR  POST TENEBRAS LUX         (ennis john)HEARD TYLER 120 12.00    
6  HURRY HURRY         (cox bra)DE CRUZ 120 3.00 33% 2.10    
7  SAILOR'S CHANCE Feb04 Jan07 Dec02 Oct14 Sep05 (haehn r)FELIX E 120 6.00 11% 8.50    
8  MEANT TO BE LUCKY Jan22 Jan05 Nov24 Oct18 Sep11 (barkley jason)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00    
9  FEELING Jan07 Nov27 Nov17     (delgado gus)PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00    
10  ROYAL VICKY Jan13 Dec09       (lobo h)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50 ★    
11  CAESAR'S GHOST Dec31 Dec02 Nov09     (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 120 10.00    
12  GRIMES Nov23 Nov09 Oct14     (maker michae)RAMOS D 120 4.00 34% 1.90    
 
TP-7   02/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHNNY UNLEASHED Jan01 Dec01 Oct07 Sep10 Jun11 (foster eri)CORRALES GERARDO 123 15.00    
2  RUSTLER Jan18 Sep13 May29     (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00    
3  BAKERS BAY Jan18 Dec16 Sep13 Aug16 Jul27 (drury thomas )TALAMO JOSEPH 123 5.00 ★    
SCR  GALLANT GUY Jan14 Dec17 Nov23 Oct23 May30 (gonzalez rei)HALDAR J 123 15.00    
5  NATURAL POWER (IRE) Jan28 Dec16 Oct23 Sep05 Jul05 (blair jordan)LANDEROS CHRIS 123 12.00    
6  CHARCOAL Oct28 Oct08 Sep10 Aug07 Jul13 (wisner j)MOJICA O 123 12.00    
7  PETIT VERDOT Nov12 Oct13 Sep19 Aug31 Aug08 (van)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 123 6.00 9% 10.00    
SCR  BE HERE Feb04 Jan07 Dec01 Oct23 Oct07 (west ethan )FRANKLIN MALCOM 123 30.00    
9  DIVINE LEADER Feb09 Dec30 Nov12 Oct15 Jun22 (ennis john)MCENTEE GRACE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  BLUE KENTUCKY Jan18 Jan01 Nov19 Oct14 Sep30 (sims ma)DE CRUZ 123 12.00    
11  THANKS MR. EIDSON Jan01 Aug07 Jul13 May30 May03 (o'neill doug)HEARD TYLER 123 6.00 ★    
12  OUTADORE Jan01 Oct28 Sep13 Aug13 Jul05 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 2.00 63% 0.60    
 
TP-8   02/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORKINFROMHOME Jan28 Jan04 Dec11 Nov18 Nov06 (guerrero sal)MOJICA O 124 20.00    
2  JEALOUS EYES Jan28 Dec31 Nov22 Oct22 Oct03 (winebau)DE CRUZ 124 3.50 6% 14.70    
3  OFFALY COOL Dec11 Oct05       (vaughan edwar)CANNON DECLAN 117 30.00    
4  TROPIC STORM Jan28 Dec31 Dec08 Mar25 Mar02 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 124 4.50 35% 1.90    
5  MARDUKAS Jan01 Nov13 Oct23 Aug14 Jun26 (engler jeff)LEZCANO ABEL 117 15.00    
6  REWIRE Jan19 Dec16 Nov18 Oct08   (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 6.00 33% 2.00    
7  NOBLE JON Feb11         (garcia genaro)SANJUR SANTO 124 20.00    
8  MAJOR CONTENDER Dec29 Jun08 May17 Apr07 Mar19 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 6.00 ★    
9  ROUGHIN THE CITY Jan28 Jan13 Dec15 Nov02 Oct26 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 119 6.00    
10  CHROME'S RIGHT Jan15 Nov27 Oct30 Oct19 Sep28 (howard mary)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 20.00    
11  FORT DEFIANCE Jan25 Nov25 Sep05 Jul15 Jun12 (wong jonathan)HEARD TYLER 124 4.00    
12  PERFECT PAINTING Jan20 Dec29 Sep14 Sep01 Aug17 (beck rowena)ACHARD ALEX 124 15.00    
SCR  MID ATLANTIC Jan28 Jan12 Dec29 Dec07 Oct19 (estvanko richard)MOJICA O 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  WRITEITONTHEICE Jan28 Jan20 Dec30 Nov16 Oct28 (fer)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.