Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turfway Park
Saturday - January 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   EXA (1/10/7/8)-(1/10/7/8/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00  1-8 $108.62 $76.62 239%
TP-4   WIN (11/5/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  5 $12.82 $4.82 60%
    EXA (11/5/9/6)-(11/5/9/6/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00  5-9 $173.40 $141.40 442%
    DD (7/1/3)-(11/5/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-5 $22.92 $10.92 91%
TP-7   WIN (6/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00  9 $35.92 $29.92 499%
    EXA (6/3/9)-(6/3/9/10/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  9-5 $326.06 $302.06 1259%
TP-8   DD (6/3/9)-(10/7/14/12/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00  9-9 $76.43 $61.43 410%
Simulator Race results
 
TP-1   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:134 1:262   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINK TO DESTINY 1 2 1½ 1nk 1nk 1nk 11 (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 63% 0.60 1.80 W
8  ENGLISH CLASSIC 8 6 85¼ 84¼ 2nk 2nk 21 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 26.09 P
2  JUANITA'S EXPRESS 2 1 74¾ 62¾ 73½ 31½ 31¼ (deegan joseph )ELLIOTT JANE 120 12.00 7.92  
7  BARSTOW 7 5 42 51¾ 41 43 43 (garcia genaro)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00 5% 19.00 6.65  
10  FED MONEY 10 7 32 41½ 51½ 54½ 53½ (morey wi)RODRIGUEZ A 113 1.80 5% 19.00 1.78  
3  MOUNTAIN GHOST 3 10 96¼ 94¾ 62½ 65½ 67½ (kordenbrock m)LEBRON VICTOR 120 15.00 23.77  
4  KICK IT CHARLIE 4 3 64¼ 73¾ 104¾ 88 710¾ (raines lind)PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00 24.05  
11  FARZIN 11 8 52¼ 31 3½ 76½ 810¾ (sandy ste)BETANCOURT RONNEY 120 20.00 51.49  
9  MIGHTY CRAIC 9 9 106¾ 116¼ 94½ 109¾ 911¼ (deegan joseph)GILLIGAN JACK 120 20.00 69.98  
6  KNIEVEL 6 11 117¾ 104¾ 115¾ 98¼ 1012¼ (hernandez javi)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00 ★ 11.98  
5  GOOD FIRST 5 4 2½ 2nk 84 1110¾ 1116½ (anderson l)FELIX E 120 20.00 35.52  
 
TP-2   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:25 :493 1:143 1:271   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS GANO 1 3 33 31½ 41½ 3½ 1½ (west w)ACHARD ALEX 123 3.50 2.07  
4  ESTILO PELIGROSO 3 1 43½ 42 3½ 1½ 2½ (kordenbrock)CHIRINOS ROIMES 123 5.00 28% 2.60 3.03 P
8  STEWARDS RULES 6 4 21½ 2nk 2nk 2½ 31¼ (holden ja)BERMUDEZ E 123 4.00 5.27  
11  TALLESTOFTHETALL 8 6 77 73¾ 75 62¾ 42¼ (brownfi)DE CRUZ 123 5.00 ★ 2.60  
7  TORNADO BOY 5 7 65½ 63¾ 53 41½ 53¾ (nocero carmin)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00 17.08  
5  TOP CREDENTIALS 4 2 11½ 1nk 1nk 52½ 69 (spicer james )BECKMAN ALICE 123 20.00 24.02  
3  LIZZY'S LURE 2 8 88 85¼ 85¼ 85¾ 710¾ (locker timothy)FELIX E 123 30.00 26.58  
10  RUDIGER 7 5 53½ 52¼ 64½ 74¾ 811¼ (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00 15% 5.50 13.20  
SCR  ARTEMUS EAGLE               (cline robert)RAMOS D 123 8.00    
SCR  AZTEC EMPIRE               (cline robert)HALDAR J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GRAY HOPE               (brenklin)RODRIGUEZ A 116 3.00 28% 2.60    
 
TP-3   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:23 :461 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  ENJOY THE MUSIC 6 9 84 61¾   1nk 11¼ (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.80 38% 1.60 1.54 W
8  TUFFER THAN TUFF 7 4 51¾ 51¾   2nk 21¼ (hammond )RODRIGUEZ A 113 12.00 16.81  
1  POLE SETTER 1 7 73½ 73¼   31½ 31¼ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 31% 2.20 10.67 S
3  KITCHEN FIRE 2 5 1nk 1nk   53½ 43 (castanon g)HEARD TYLER 120 20.00 7% 12.50 15.50  
9  SILVER MOON ROAD 8 2 2nk 2nk   42 53¼ (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 120 2.50 ★ 1.51  
10  JOYFUL HEART 9 1 3.2 3.2   74¼ 65¾ (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 120 10.00 7.30  
4  RISKY BOY 3 3 63¼ 83¾   64 76 (shephard jo)BLANCHE RISHAWN 110 20.00 30.23  
6  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET 5 8 41¾ 4¾   84¾ 87½ (shifflett ch)HALDAR J 120 20.00 35.80  
5  DANANG 4 6 96½ 97¾   97¼ 99½ (hammond kim)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00 24.29  
SCR  BIG SPORT               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 3.00 ★    
 
TP-4   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:122 1:244   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  P H FACTOR 3 1 1½ 11½ 1nk 1½ 1¾ (stinson)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 30% 2.30 5.41 W
9  BUGLE BARRY 7 4 51½ 41¾ 2nk 2½ 2¾ (walsh d)MCENTEE GRACE 120 12.00 11% 8.10 13.07 P
10  HAPPY CAMPER 8 5 63½ 63¾ 53¼ 33 33½ (man)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.50 5.38  
6  TWOKO BAY 4 9 86 95 64¾ 44 45¾ (dobbsjr r)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00 6.01  
4  KANTPAYTHETOLL 2 2 74½ 74 87¾ 67 58 (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 120 20.00 31.64  
11  SACRED RIDER 9 7 31 21½ 31½ 55½ 68 (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 113 2.50 32% 2.10 2.15  
8  TOMAHAWK KITTEN 6 8 108½ 84½ 75¼ 88½ 79¼ (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 117 20.00 44.01  
12  LITTLE ALEX 10 6 41½ 51¾ 41¾ 78½ 89¾ (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 123 10.00 14.97  
3  KING SOCIAL 1 10 98 106½ 910¼ 910 912 (wisner j)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00 50.16  
7  CAROM 5 3 2½ 31½ 1018¼ 1030 1057¼ (kenneally )CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 3.27  
SCR  C F V WICKED RED               (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  KENTUCKY COOL               (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 120 20.00    
 
TP-5   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:131 1:261   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  FORGLO 10 8 87 97¾ 62¾ 1½ 1nk (brownfield c)RAMOS D 120 10.00 9.98  
9  MOONLIGHT RAIN 8 7 98 55 52¾ 2½ 2nk (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 18% 4.50 5.10 P
2  I LIKEM 2 2 54 65½ 76¾ 55 36¾ (shetron)DE CRUZ 120 12.00 5.75  
4  SINGSONG BIRD 3 9 1010½ 1012¾ 99½ 66½ 47 (fletcher ke)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 12.00 6.83  
6  MISS SUPER SAINT 5 3 31½ 32½ 32 44 510½ (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00 5% 19.00 24.47  
7  TAPERINEA 6 4 21 2nk 1nk 33 610¾ (ortiz al)MCENTEE GRACE 120 5.00 12% 7.40 10.97  
10  SAFE TRAVELS 9 10 43 43 42¼ 88 713½ (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 2.50 41% 1.40 1.63  
1  TOP HAT BOSS 1 1 11 1nk 2nk 77½ 817½ (adams na)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00 21.35  
5  SAN NICOLA STAR 4 6 76 77 89¼ 911½ 919 (blake mic)BERMUDEZ E 120 3.00 5% 19.00 7.15  
8  NARROWS BRIDGE 7 5 65½ 87½ 1012 1014 1024¾ (jarvis kathy)FELIX E 118 20.00 85.43  
SCR  CLEVER TALE               (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 12.00    
 
TP-6   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:223 :454 :574     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GALLANT GUY 2 7 32 41½   1½ 1¾ (gonzale)DE CRUZ 120 20.00 17.67  
1  PURPLE DREAM 1 8 63¾ 63½   51¾ 2¾ (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 3.00 31% 2.30 1.98 P
8  WILLTORUN 8 1 52¼ 3½   3½ 31¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 14% 6.30 4.39 S
4  UNPREDICTABLE BAY 4 2 21 2nk   2½ 42 (hammond kim)SANJUR SANTO 120 4.00 6% 15.90 7.49  
6  HOLIDAY HOUSE 6 3 42 52   41½ 52¼ (estvanko ric)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 15.00 56.06  
5  JOHNY'S FIREBALL 5 6 86¼ 84¾   63¾ 63 (bauer philip)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00 9.64  
7  STUBBORNKINDAFELLA 7 4 75¼ 74½   75¼ 75 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00 23.50  
3  LUCCI 3 5 11 1nk   87¼ 815½ (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 24% 3.20 1.71  
SCR  ZOOMBIE               (walsh rya)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-7   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:124 1:251   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  BELLA CONCHITA 9 9 98 86¾ 54¾ 33½ 1nk (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 20.00 5% 17.40 16.96 W
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of K. D.'S SHADY LADY by MARIA'S MON)
5  GRAND AVE GIRL 5 1 11½ 12½ 13 12½ 2nk (mcpeek kenneth)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 ★ 4.09 P
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ONE MORE (NZ) by KENFAIR (NZ))
11  MEJTHAAM 11 10 119¾ 107¾ 99¼ 67 32½ (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 10.00 16.34  
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MUFAJAAH by TAPIT)
10  FAIR GAME 10 4 43½ 44 23 22½ 43 (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00 ★ 8.80  
  (by HONOR CODE out of MAGICAL THEATER by SMART STRIKE)
3  MAYBE LATER 3 11 108¼ 97¼ 87¾ 55½ 53¼ (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 9% 10.50 7.79  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LIBERTY'S LYRIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  KATE'S KINGDOM 6 7 86½ 65¼ 43¼ 44 67 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 124 1.60 65% 0.50 1.16  
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of DON'TGETMADALEXIS by DON'T GET MAD)
1  TEMPER TIME 1 8 76½ 76¼ 109¼ 89 77¾ (romans )DE CRUZ 120 6.00 6.08  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of PARADING LADY by STORM CAT)
7  SEAWARD 7 5 55 55 66¼ 78½ 810¾ (hernandez jav)LEBRON VICTOR 120 20.00 72.79  
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of LISA JEAN by PROUD CITIZEN)
8  COMMANDANDCONTROL 8 6 65½ 118¾ 1111¾ 912 914½ (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 20.00 96.60  
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of HOPEFUL UNION by DIXIE UNION)
2  SHOSHONI MOON 2 2 21½ 22½ 33 1012 1017¼ (lyster steph)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00 19.70  
  (by MALIBU MOON out of ALYDARLA by ALYDAR)
4  HOT DAME 4 3 32½ 34 77¼ 1113 1119½ (hernandez javie)MOJICA JR 120 20.00 89.85  
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of THERALENA by UNUSUAL HEAT)
 
TP-8   01/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:243 :481 1:131 1:392   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  AMAZON QUEEN 8 7 31½ 34 33½ 11½ 13¼ (delacour arna)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.00 6% 17.20 2.88 W
10  LOMA VISTA 9 10 21½ 24 23 21½ 23¼ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 39% 1.60 2.71 P
2  AUNT RUTH 2 6 1011 1010¾ 1010¾ 85 33¾ (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 113 12.00 8.35  
8  TRICK HAT 7 8 87½ 88¾ 99¼ 54¼ 44¼ (laugherty joe)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 9.94  
3  DALTON'S LOVE 3 3 65½ 77¼ 67½ 44 57¾ (greenhi)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 14.69  
1  EISWEIN 1 1 98 99¼ 89¼ 96 69¼ (wittek karyn)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00 9.70  
4  WILADENE 4 2 54½ 66¾ 77¾ 64¼ 79¾ (mcbride barb)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 50.00 63.17  
12  FREEDOM MACHINE 10 9 43 45½ 46½ 74½ 89¾ (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 5.00 8% 12.30 5.09  
7  ONLY TIME 6 4 11½ 14 13 31½ 910½ (brownfield c)RAMOS D 120 5.00 14% 6.40 6.81  
6  BIA BOLT RUNNER 5 5 76 55¾ 56½ 1012 1024½ (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00 42.79  
SCR  DECREE OF LOVE               (mak)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU               (brafford mich)BECKMAN ALICE 113 20.00    
SCR  KNELCOCK               (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 20.00    
SCR  TAP THE LINE               (lauer michael)MCKEE J 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.