Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Saturday - January 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (1/10/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/10/7/8)-(1/10/7/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/10/7/8)-(1/10/7/8/6)-(1/10/7/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/10/7/8)-(4/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/10/7/8)-(4/10)-(7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-2   WIN (4/10) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/10)-(4/10/11) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/10)-(4/10/11)-(4/10/11) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/10)-(7/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/10)-(7/1/3)-(11/5/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-3   WIN (7/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/3)-(7/1/3/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/3)-(7/1/3/9)-(7/1/3/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/1/3)-(11/5/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/3)-(11/5/9/6)-(10/9/7/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-4   WIN (11/5/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/5/9/6)-(11/5/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/5/9/6)-(11/5/9/6)-(11/5/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/5/9/6)-(10/9/7/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/5/9/6)-(10/9/7/5/6)-(1/3/8/4) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-5   WIN (10/9/7/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/9/7/5/6)-(10/9/7/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/9/7/5/6)-(10/9/7/5/6)-(10/9/7/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/9/7/5/6)-(1/3/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/9/7/5/6)-(1/3/8/4)-(6/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TP-6   WIN (1/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/8/4)-(1/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/8/4)-(1/3/8/4)-(1/3/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/8/4)-(6/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/8/4)-(6/3/9)-(10/7/12/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TP-7   WIN (6/3/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/9)-(6/3/9/10/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/9)-(6/3/9/10/5)-(6/3/9/10/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/3/9)-(10/7/12/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TP-8   WIN (10/7/12/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/12/9)-(10/7/12/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/7/12/9)-(10/7/12/9)-(10/7/12/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINK TO DESTINY Dec07 Sep20       (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 63% 0.60    
2  JUANITA'S EXPRESS Dec08 Nov19 Mar04 Feb18   (deegan joseph )ELLIOTT JANE 120 12.00    
3  MOUNTAIN GHOST Oct26 Oct02 Aug19 Jul16 Jun24 (kordenbrock m)LEBRON VICTOR 120 15.00    
4  KICK IT CHARLIE Jan05 Dec07 Oct10 Sep20 Sep07 (raines lind)PETERSON FERRIN 120 30.00    
5  GOOD FIRST Dec07 Nov16 Oct19 Sep27 Jul29 (anderson l)FELIX E 120 20.00    
6  KNIEVEL Dec16 Dec10 Nov26 Nov11 Oct22 (hernandez javi)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00 ★    
7  BARSTOW Jan05 Dec07 Nov16 Nov03 Sep25 (garcia genaro)CANUTO THIAGO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  ENGLISH CLASSIC Dec02 Oct03 Sep05 Aug16 Aug09 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  MIGHTY CRAIC Dec07 Oct19 Oct05 Sep27 Aug30 (deegan joseph)GILLIGAN JACK 120 20.00    
10  FED MONEY Dec30 Oct20 Sep28 Sep14 Jul29 (morey wi)RODRIGUEZ A 113 1.80 5% 19.00    
11  FARZIN Dec07 Oct24 Sep30 Sep13 Aug26 (sandy ste)BETANCOURT RONNEY 120 20.00    
 
TP-2   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEXAS GANO Dec15 Oct04 Sep23 Aug17 Jul20 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 123 3.50    
SCR  GRAY HOPE Dec15 Nov11 Oct22 Oct01 Jul14 (brenklin)RODRIGUEZ A 116 3.00 28% 2.60    
3  LIZZY'S LURE Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 Aug04 Jul13 (locker timothy)FELIX E 123 30.00    
4  ESTILO PELIGROSO Dec15 May05 Mar17 Mar02 Feb10 (kordenbrock)CHIRINOS ROIMES 123 5.00 28% 2.60    
5  TOP CREDENTIALS Nov30 Oct04 Sep12 Jun30 Jun10 (spicer j)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 20.00    
SCR  ARTEMUS EAGLE Jan03 Dec05 Nov08 Oct24 Oct04 (cline robert)RAMOS D 123 8.00    
7  TORNADO BOY Dec15 Oct24 Sep23 Sep16 Aug26 (nocero carmin)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00    
8  STEWARDS RULES Dec15 Nov09 Oct24 Oct12 Oct04 (holden ja)BERMUDEZ E 123 4.00    
SCR  AZTEC EMPIRE Nov30 Nov08 Apr15 Mar05   (cline robert)HALDAR J 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  RUDIGER Jan07 Dec15 Oct11 Aug19   (adams l)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00 15% 5.50    
11  TALLESTOFTHETALL Dec15 Nov20 Nov06 Oct09 Sep30 (brownfi)DE CRUZ 123 5.00 ★    
 
TP-3   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($23K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POLE SETTER Jun21 May31 May04 Mar10 Feb19 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  BIG SPORT Dec31 Nov26 Nov04 Sep15 Aug21 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 123 3.00 ★    
3  KITCHEN FIRE Dec08 Oct24 Sep26 May28 May11 (castanon g)HEARD TYLER 120 20.00 7% 12.50    
4  RISKY BOY Dec30 Dec17 Dec03 Oct04 Sep20 (shephard jo)BLANCHE RISHAWN 110 20.00    
5  DANANG Nov21 Nov09 Oct20 Sep08 Aug22 (hammond kim)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
6  ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Dec14 Nov28 Nov12 Oct22 Sep30 (shifflett ch)HALDAR J 120 20.00    
7  ENJOY THE MUSIC Dec14 Nov18 Oct16 Sep19 Aug29 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.80 38% 1.60    
8  TUFFER THAN TUFF Nov21 Nov02 Oct25 Oct06 Jun23 (hammond )RODRIGUEZ A 113 12.00    
9  SILVER MOON ROAD Dec14 Nov21 Nov01 Oct11 Sep01 (klopp ran)BERMUDEZ E 120 2.50 ★    
10  JOYFUL HEART Dec14 Dec03 Nov12 Oct13 Sep13 (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 120 10.00    
 
TP-4   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($29K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  C F V WICKED RED Dec11 Nov18 Oct29 Sep20 Aug30 (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  KENTUCKY COOL Dec14 Oct11 Sep30 Sep14 Aug19 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 120 20.00    
3  KING SOCIAL Oct25 Sep26 Sep07 Jul20 Jun29 (wisner j)ACHARD ALEX 120 30.00    
4  KANTPAYTHETOLL Dec16 Sep14 Aug11 Jul28 Jun11 (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 120 20.00    
5  P H FACTOR Dec01 Oct28 Sep25 Sep05 Aug14 (stinson)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 30% 2.30    
6  TWOKO BAY Dec01 Nov19 Nov04 Oct08 Sep17 (dobbsjr r)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  CAROM Dec09 Nov12 Oct15 Mar17 Feb10 (kenneally )CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00    
8  TOMAHAWK KITTEN Jan01 Jun23 May18 Apr01 Mar02 (jarvis kathy)RAMOS D 117 20.00    
9  BUGLE BARRY Dec31 Sep29 Sep12 Apr02 Mar03 (walsh d)MCENTEE GRACE 120 12.00 11% 8.10    
10  HAPPY CAMPER Dec14 Nov19 Nov04 May07 Apr16 (man)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.50    
11  SACRED RIDER Jan01 Nov04 Oct09 Oct01 Sep11 (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 113 2.50 32% 2.10    
12  LITTLE ALEX Dec30 Dec08 Nov19 Sep29 Sep12 (torres a)AYALA ISAIAS 123 10.00    
 
TP-5   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP HAT BOSS Dec30 Oct10 Sep21 Aug23 Aug05 (adams na)RODRIGUEZ A 113 20.00    
2  I LIKEM Jan04 Dec17 Mar24 Mar03   (shetron)DE CRUZ 120 12.00    
SCR  CLEVER TALE Jan04 Dec15 Nov30 Sep29 Aug22 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 12.00    
4  SINGSONG BIRD Dec17 Dec02 Oct21 Aug25 Jul14 (fletcher ke)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 12.00    
5  SAN NICOLA STAR Dec01 Nov17 Nov03 Oct15 Sep29 (blake mic)BERMUDEZ E 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
6  MISS SUPER SAINT Dec30 Dec02 Oct21 Sep10 Jul22 (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  TAPERINEA Jan04 Nov09 Oct02 Sep20 Aug23 (ortiz al)MCENTEE GRACE 120 5.00 12% 7.40    
8  NARROWS BRIDGE Jan04 Jun22 Jun09 May11 Mar24 (jarvis kathy)FELIX E 118 20.00    
9  MOONLIGHT RAIN Oct15 Sep15 Jun25 Mar03 Feb12 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 18% 4.50    
10  SAFE TRAVELS Dec31 Oct28 Oct02 Sep05 Aug08 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 2.50 41% 1.40    
11  FORGLO Jan04 Dec17 Dec03 Nov15 Oct10 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 120 10.00    
 
TP-6   01/14/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PURPLE DREAM Dec16 Jun20 May14     (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 3.00 31% 2.30    
2  GALLANT GUY Dec17 Nov23 Oct23 May30 Apr09 (gonzale)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
3  LUCCI May04 Mar26 Jan19     (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
4  UNPREDICTABLE BAY Dec17 Dec03 Nov09 Nov02 Oct17 (hammond kim)SANJUR SANTO 120 4.00 6% 15.90    
5  JOHNY'S FIREBALL Feb25         (bauer philip)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00    
6  HOLIDAY HOUSE Dec31 Dec16 Nov19 Oct20 Oct05 (estvanko ric)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 15.00    
7  STUBBORNKINDAFELLA Dec17 Dec07 Oct26 Aug17 Jul24 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 15.00    
8  WILLTORUN Dec17 Nov17 Oct16 Aug21   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  ZOOMBIE Oct04 Sep15 Aug29 Jul28 Jul20 (walsh rya)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
TP-7   01/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPER TIME Dec11 Nov24 Sep15 Aug14 Jul09 (romans )DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of PARADING LADY by STORM CAT)
2  SHOSHONI MOON Nov26 Nov04 Oct22 Oct07 Jul23 (lyster steph)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of ALYDARLA by ALYDAR)
3  MAYBE LATER Jan05 Dec07 Oct20 Sep22 Sep01 (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 122 5.00 9% 10.50    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LIBERTY'S LYRIC by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  HOT DAME Dec31 Dec04 Nov23 Nov01 Oct23 (hernandez javie)MOJICA JR 120 20.00    
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of THERALENA by UNUSUAL HEAT)
5  GRAND AVE GIRL Dec28 Dec11 Sep25 Jun25 May08 (mcpeek kenneth)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 ★    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ONE MORE (NZ) by KENFAIR (NZ))
6  KATE'S KINGDOM Dec11 Oct22 Sep19 Aug13 Jun25 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 124 1.60 65% 0.50    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of DON'TGETMADALEXIS by DON'T GET MAD)
7  SEAWARD Dec31 Dec02 Nov13 Oct23 Oct14 (hernandez jav)LEBRON VICTOR 120 20.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of LISA JEAN by PROUD CITIZEN)
8  COMMANDANDCONTROL Dec28 Dec01 Oct31 Oct11 Sep02 (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 120 20.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of HOPEFUL UNION by DIXIE UNION)
9  BELLA CONCHITA Dec21 Sep01 Jul16 Apr27 Mar24 (dev)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 20.00 5% 17.40    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of K. D.'S SHADY LADY by MARIA'S MON)
10  FAIR GAME Dec22 Nov19 Sep13 Aug12 Jul17 (oliver victor)CANNON DECLAN 122 8.00 ★    
  (by HONOR CODE out of MAGICAL THEATER by SMART STRIKE)
11  MEJTHAAM Dec08 Nov18 Oct07 Sep28 Sep06 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 10.00    
  (by PIONEEROF THE NILE out of MUFAJAAH by TAPIT)
 
TP-8   01/14/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EISWEIN Oct27 Sep18 Jul31 May26 Apr28 (wittek karyn)ACHARD ALEX 120 15.00    
2  AUNT RUTH Dec28 Dec03 Sep22 Sep08 Aug31 (foster e)RODRIGUEZ A 113 12.00    
3  DALTON'S LOVE Dec16 Nov10 Sep13 Jul14 Jun30 (greenhi)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
4  WILADENE Dec22 Nov21 Nov11 Oct12   (mcbride barb)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 50.00    
SCR  INEEDAGIRLLIKEYOU Dec28 Nov25 Nov11 Oct11 Aug25 (brafford mich)BECKMAN ALICE 113 20.00    
6  BIA BOLT RUNNER Jan06 Dec21 Dec03 Nov08 Oct24 (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00    
7  ONLY TIME Dec28 Dec16 Nov08 Sep09 Aug25 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 120 5.00 14% 6.40    
8  TRICK HAT Dec28 Sep30 Sep16 Sep02 Aug25 (laugherty joe)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00    
9  AMAZON QUEEN Dec21 Nov19 Sep01 Aug10   (delacour arna)CANNON DECLAN 120 3.00 6% 17.20    
10  LOMA VISTA Dec28 Nov03 Sep02 Aug04 Jun17 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  KNELCOCK Dec22 Dec01 Nov03 Oct13   (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 20.00    
12  FREEDOM MACHINE Nov04 Aug17 Jul16 May30 May06 (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 5.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  TAP THE LINE Dec28 Nov21 Nov14 Oct25 Oct05 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 120 15.00    
SCR  DECREE OF LOVE Jan12 Dec03 Nov08 Oct24 Sep13 (mak)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.00 13% 6.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.