The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Hawthorne
Sunday - December 11, 2022

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HAW-1   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
:22 :452 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACHI 2 3 3 3   11 1(martinez a)TAVARES JAVIER 121 5.00 3.20  
KREWE CHIEF 5 5 5 4   43 2(reid r)FELIX E 124 3.00 26% 2.90 2.40 P
BULLDOG OF BERGEN 3 4 45 5   33 3(holsapple hutch)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.00 6.50 S
RED HOT DEVIL 4 1 1nk 1   21 4(meraz antonio)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.50 1.30  
MIND YOUR OWN BIZ 1 2 2nk 2   55(butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 5.00 9% 10.70 7.30  
SCR  NAUGHTY ALFRED               (manley steve)EMIGH A 121 3.50 35% 1.80    
 
HAW-2   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
:223 :461 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT 3 5 6 6   3.2 1nk (campbell joel)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 3.00 30% 2.40 2.90 W
SHEZ RECKLESS 2 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 2nk (martinez a)TAVARES JAVIER 119 5.00 44% 1.30 3.50 P
SAMARITA 5 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 3½ (vanden brittany)EMIGH A 119 1.80 1.90 S
PALM COURT 1 4 4 3   44(villa francisco)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 4.50 4.10  
MANHATTAN LEGACY 6 2 31 4   55(rodriguez hugo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 6.00 8.50  
STACY ATTACK 4 6 5 5   66(watkins m)FELIX E 121 8.00 11.00  
 
HAW-3   12/11/2022 4290ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
:23 :463 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINY MOUNTAIN 3 3 34 2½   11(kirby j)TAVARES JAVIER 124 10.00 4.50  
COWGIRL FRANKIE 2 7 714 713   411½ 2(rednour jr)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 8.00 12.00 P
YANKEE AGATE 4 1 2½ 1½   23(miller m)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 1.60 29% 2.50 0.30 S
SODDY DAISY 5 4 67 57   310½ 410½ (gonzalez lilia)COLON H 122 20.00 26.90  
AWESOME KITTY 6 5 4 47   616 527 (pompell robert)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00 33.40  
CHASING GHOST'S 1 2 1½ 31   512 627¼ (pompell robert)HUGHES CARLY 122 3.00 35% 1.80 8.80  
W W VALID 7 6 57 610   717½ 730 (plasters lori)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 15.00 17.80  
SCR  UNCAPTURED GIRL               (plasters lori)FELIX E 124 4.50 15% 5.70    
 
HAW-4   12/11/2022 5940ft DIRT GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
:253 :504 1:154 1:411   1:541   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY REDEMPTION 1 2 33 5 3.2 1nk 1½ (sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 118 4.00 7% 13.70 2.80 W
C F V WICKED RED 4 6 5 3 5 43 2½ (gonzalez lilia)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50 32% 2.10 0.90 P
PISTOL BOX 3 5 67 6 6 531 (kirby j)TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00 9.80 S
IOYA AGAIN 2 3 4 4 2nk 2nk 4(reavis l)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.50 26% 2.80 3.70  
BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER 5 4 23 2 4¾ 65(haran john)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 15.00 26.20  
RONNI'S STORM 6 1 13 1 1nk 32 611¾ (ramos francisco)ULLOA JOAN 121 8.00 9.10  
SCR  HARD N'SWEET               (sullivan elliott)COLON H 121 5.00 11% 8.40    
 
HAW-5   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
:221 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALADINE 6 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 1nk (poulos dee)EMIGH A 122 2.50 15% 5.80 1.90 W
MIDNIGHT ESCAPE 2 5 3.2 1nk   1nk 2nk (hernandez javier)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00 3.10 P
BOONE'S PATH 3 6 6 45   33(young r)FELIX E 122 1.80 55% 0.80 1.50 S
GOLD SMOKE 1 4 5 611¼   58 4(bentler don)DIEGO JAVIER 122 20.00 61.80  
GUST OF WIND 9 9 918¼ 920¾   816 510½ (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 10.00 18.80  
TEA WITH LEMON 8 8 8 812¾   713 613¼ (perez manny)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00 8% 11.20 13.70  
SUMMER COUNTRY 7 7 7 511   610½ 713½ (nesbitt amy)BAILON JADHIR 122 12.00 17.70  
UNDEFEATED CHAMP 5 3 2nk 3   45 813¾ (bahena fernando)SANCHEZ DIEGO 124 20.00 38.00  
CHIEF MYSTIQUE 4 1 4 712¼   916¼ 922¼ (hernandez javier)COLON H 124 20.00 76.20  
 
HAW-6   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT GOOD Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
:22 :452 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHOZAN'S VALENTINE 2 6 31 4   51nk (mosier harold)TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00 13% 6.70 4.10 W
TETSU 6 5 76 76   4¾ 2nk (manley steve)ORM CORY 121 6.00 5.00  
IMPRESSED 7 9 9 8   63½ (martinez a)FELIX E 121 5.00 11.50  
LATIN CASINO 1 4 1½ 2   2nk 42 (becker scott)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 8.00 3.10  
BRING ME A CHECK 4 3 41 32   3½ 5(hernandez armando)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50 17% 4.90 3.70  
W W CANDY 8 8 65 55   76(quinonez max)BAILON JADHIR 121 4.50 19% 4.30 4.80  
10  LAUDA SPEED 9 1 54 65   87(sullivan elliott)REYES FRANK 121 8.00 9% 10.40 15.40  
JACK VAN BERG 3 2 2½ 1   1nk 8(poulos dee)EMIGH A 121 6.00 9% 10.20 13.50  
MKAR THE FAST 5 7 87 910½   910¼ 918¼ (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 30.00 66.70  
SCR  STALLONE               (retana gabe)ULLOA JOAN 121 20.00    
 
HAW-7   12/11/2022 5490ft DIRT GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
:233 :472 1:121 1:38   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  GO EMI 10 8 810½ 89 7 311 (gonzalez lilia)REYES FRANK 118 8.00 2.70  
MEGAN'S HONOR 7 2 2 2 2nk 11 21 (becker scott)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.00 63% 0.60 3.00 P
RED FLAG ALERT 4 7 66 32 3 21 3(winebaugh cheryl)COLON H 121 10.00 4.00 S
SILVER QUARTERS 3 9 1012¼ 1012½ 8 545 (manley steve)ORM CORY 121 12.00 15.80  
DIAMOND MAXIMUS 8 10 912 911 9 65(wilborn kevin)TAVARES JAVIER 121 15.00 41.20  
FIRST MASAMUNE 2 1 1 1 1nk 4610 (ramirez carlos)ORTEGA O 121 30.00 70.90  
PADDY'S HOUSE 1 6 7 7 6 9713¼ (dobbsjr e)FELIX E 121 12.00 12.60  
10  CURRENT 9 5 5 4 5 87 813¼ (vanden brittany)EMIGH A 121 2.50 3.10  
GITA'S LAD 6 3 44 5 4 76 914 (hernandez armando)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00 7% 13.00 16.10  
YOU'RE IN COREY 5 4 34 65 1012¼ 1014½ 1019½ (pompell robert)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00 43.90  
SCR  PAPA'S LUCKY SEVEN               (zawitz joel)BLANCHE RISHAWN 108 15.00    
 
HAW-8   12/11/2022 5490ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
:243 :491 1:144 1:414   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD MONGOLIA 7 1 11 12 1 111 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 121 3.50 14% 6.10 2.00 W
WEEKEND PASS 5 7 710½ 710½ 710¼ 321 (hughes w)TAVARES JAVIER 121 4.50 19% 4.30 3.40 P
IMAGINE GOLD 3 5 21 22 2 231 (quinonez max)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 8.00 1.50  
SPENDER 4 2 55 6 6 510½ 410½ (bahena fernando)ORTEGA O 121 20.00 19.80  
SINGING ALLI 6 6 6 5 59 4514¼ (dizeo dino)COLON H 121 5.00 31% 2.20 7.10  
DARING DAMSEL 2 4 32 44 46 711 619 (hernandez javier)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00 62.10  
PRESENT OF HERO 1 3 4 33 36 610½ 720½ (quinonez max)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 15.00 14% 6.20 12.20  
SCR  RENTAL POOL               (robertson hugh)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.