Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Hawthorne
Sunday - December 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
See original race card.
:22 :452 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PACHI 2 3 3 3   11 1 (martinez ral)TAVARES JAVIER 121 5.00 3.20  
KREWE CHIEF 5 5 5 4   43 2 (reid r)FELIX E 124 3.00 26% 2.90 2.40 P
BULLDOG OF BERGEN 3 4 45 5   33 3 (holsapple h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.00 6.50 S
RED HOT DEVIL 4 1 1nk 1   21 4 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.50 1.30  
MIND YOUR OWN BIZ 1 2 2nk 2   5 5 (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 5.00 9% 10.70 7.30  
SCR  NAUGHTY ALFRED               (manley steve)EMIGH A 121 3.50 35% 1.80    
 
HAW-2   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 :584     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT 3 5 6 6   3.2 1nk (campbell jo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 3.00 30% 2.40 2.90 W
SHEZ RECKLESS 2 1 1nk 2nk   1nk 2nk (martinez ral)TAVARES JAVIER 119 5.00 44% 1.30 3.50 P
SAMARITA 5 3 2nk 1nk   2nk 3½ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 1.80 1.90 S
PALM COURT 1 4 4 3   4 4 (villa francis)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 4.50 4.10  
MANHATTAN LEGACY 6 2 31 4   5 5 (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 6.00 8.50  
STACY ATTACK 4 6 5 5   6 6 (watkins m)FELIX E 121 8.00 11.00  
 
HAW-3   12/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
See original race card.
:23 :463 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RAINY MOUNTAIN 3 3 34 2½   1 1 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 124 10.00 4.50  
COWGIRL FRANKIE 2 7 714 713   411½ 2 (rednour joh)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 8.00 12.00 P
YANKEE AGATE 4 1 2½ 1½   2 3 (miller da)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 124 1.60 29% 2.50 0.30 S
SODDY DAISY 5 4 67 57   310½ 410½ (gonzalez lilia)COLON H 122 20.00 26.90  
AWESOME KITTY 6 5 4 47   616 527 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00 33.40  
CHASING GHOST'S 1 2 1½ 31   512 627¼ (pompell robert)HUGHES CARLY 122 3.00 35% 1.80 8.80  
W W VALID 7 6 57 610   717½ 730 (plasters lo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 15.00 17.80  
SCR  UNCAPTURED GIRL               (plasters lori)FELIX E 124 4.50 15% 5.70    
 
HAW-4   12/11/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
See original race card.
:253 :504 1:154 1:411   1:541   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY REDEMPTION 1 2 33 5 3.2 1nk 1½ (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 118 4.00 7% 13.70 2.80 W
C F V WICKED RED 4 6 5 3 5 43 2½ (gonzalez )ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50 32% 2.10 0.90 P
PISTOL BOX 3 5 67 6 6 5 31 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00 9.80 S
IOYA AGAIN 2 3 4 4 2nk 2nk 4 (reavis mich)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.50 26% 2.80 3.70  
BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER 5 4 23 2 4¾ 6 5 (haran john)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 15.00 26.20  
RONNI'S STORM 6 1 13 1 1nk 32 611¾ (ramos fra)ULLOA JOAN 121 8.00 9.10  
SCR  HARD N'SWEET               (sullivan ellio)COLON H 121 5.00 11% 8.40    
 
HAW-5   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
See original race card.
:221 :46 :583     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALADINE 6 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 1nk (poulos dee)EMIGH A 122 2.50 15% 5.80 1.90 W
MIDNIGHT ESCAPE 2 5 3.2 1nk   1nk 2nk (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00 3.10 P
BOONE'S PATH 3 6 6 45   3 3 (young r)FELIX E 122 1.80 55% 0.80 1.50 S
GOLD SMOKE 1 4 5 611¼   58 4 (bentler don)DIEGO JAVIER 122 20.00 61.80  
GUST OF WIND 9 9 918¼ 920¾   816 510½ (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 10.00 18.80  
TEA WITH LEMON 8 8 8 812¾   713 613¼ (perez man)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00 8% 11.20 13.70  
SUMMER COUNTRY 7 7 7 511   610½ 713½ (nesbit)BAILON JADHIR 122 12.00 17.70  
UNDEFEATED CHAMP 5 3 2nk 3   45 813¾ (bahena fernan)SANCHEZ DIEGO 124 20.00 38.00  
CHIEF MYSTIQUE 4 1 4 712¼   916¼ 922¼ (hernandez javi)COLON H 124 20.00 76.20  
 
HAW-6   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
See original race card.
:22 :452 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KHOZAN'S VALENTINE 2 6 31 4   5 1nk (mosier harol)TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00 13% 6.70 4.10 W
TETSU 6 5 76 76   4¾ 2nk (manley steve)ORM CORY 121 6.00 5.00  
IMPRESSED 7 9 9 8   6 3½ (martinez a)FELIX E 121 5.00 11.50  
LATIN CASINO 1 4 1½ 2   2nk 42 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 8.00 3.10  
BRING ME A CHECK 4 3 41 32   3½ 5 (hernandez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50 17% 4.90 3.70  
W W CANDY 8 8 65 55   7 6 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 121 4.50 19% 4.30 4.80  
10  LAUDA SPEED 9 1 54 65   8 7 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 121 8.00 9% 10.40 15.40  
JACK VAN BERG 3 2 2½ 1   1nk 8 (poulos dee)EMIGH A 121 6.00 9% 10.20 13.50  
MKAR THE FAST 5 7 87 910½   910¼ 918¼ (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 30.00 66.70  
SCR  STALLONE               (retana ga)ULLOA JOAN 121 20.00    
 
HAW-7   12/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:121 1:38   1:42   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  GO EMI 10 8 810½ 89 7 3 11 (gonzalez lilia)REYES FRANK 118 8.00 2.70  
MEGAN'S HONOR 7 2 2 2 2nk 11 21 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.00 63% 0.60 3.00 P
RED FLAG ALERT 4 7 66 32 3 21 3 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 121 10.00 4.00 S
SILVER QUARTERS 3 9 1012¼ 1012½ 8 5 45 (manley steve)ORM CORY 121 12.00 15.80  
DIAMOND MAXIMUS 8 10 912 911 9 6 5 (wilborn kevi)TAVARES JAVIER 121 15.00 41.20  
FIRST MASAMUNE 2 1 1 1 1nk 4 610 (ramirez car)ORTEGA O 121 30.00 70.90  
PADDY'S HOUSE 1 6 7 7 6 9 713¼ (dobbsjr e)FELIX E 121 12.00 12.60  
10  CURRENT 9 5 5 4 5 87 813¼ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 2.50 3.10  
GITA'S LAD 6 3 44 5 4 76 914 (hernandez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00 7% 13.00 16.10  
YOU'RE IN COREY 5 4 34 65 1012¼ 1014½ 1019½ (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00 43.90  
SCR  PAPA'S LUCKY SEVEN               (zawitz joel)BLANCHE RISHAWN 108 15.00    
 
HAW-8   12/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:144 1:414   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD MONGOLIA 7 1 11 12 1 1 11 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 121 3.50 14% 6.10 2.00 W
WEEKEND PASS 5 7 710½ 710½ 710¼ 3 21 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 121 4.50 19% 4.30 3.40 P
IMAGINE GOLD 3 5 21 22 2 2 31 (quinonez ma)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 8.00 1.50  
SPENDER 4 2 55 6 6 510½ 410½ (bahena fern)ORTEGA O 121 20.00 19.80  
SINGING ALLI 6 6 6 5 59 4 514¼ (dizeo dino)COLON H 121 5.00 31% 2.20 7.10  
DARING DAMSEL 2 4 32 44 46 711 619 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00 62.10  
PRESENT OF HERO 1 3 4 33 36 610½ 720½ (quinonez max)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 15.00 14% 6.20 12.20  
SCR  RENTAL POOL               (robertson)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 1.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.