Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - December 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIND YOUR OWN BIZ Nov18 Oct02 Sep13 Sep02 Aug19 (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 5.00 9% 10.70    
SCR  NAUGHTY ALFRED Nov06 Oct15 Sep24 Sep03 Aug16 (manley steve)EMIGH A 121 3.50 35% 1.80    
3  PACHI Nov18 Oct30 Sep20 Sep02 Aug19 (martinez ral)TAVARES JAVIER 121 5.00 ★    
4  BULLDOG OF BERGEN Nov19 Nov12 Oct29 Oct14 Sep30 (holsapple h)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.00 ★    
5  RED HOT DEVIL Nov13 Oct20 Oct01 Sep01 Aug15 (meraz antoni)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 4.50    
6  KREWE CHIEF Nov18 Oct30 Oct14 Sep23 Sep01 (reid r)FELIX E 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
HAW-2   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALM COURT Nov25 Oct30 Aug02 Jul05 Jun17 (villa francis)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 4.50 ★    
2  SHEZ RECKLESS May28 May03 Apr03 Mar19 Feb23 (martinez ral)TAVARES JAVIER 119 5.00 44% 1.30    
3  LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT Nov25 Nov11 Oct21 Oct01 Sep15 (campbell jo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 119 3.00 30% 2.40    
4  STACY ATTACK Nov25 Nov04 Oct23 Oct08 Jun25 (watkins m)FELIX E 121 8.00    
5  SAMARITA Nov25 Oct30 Oct14 Sep23 Aug06 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 1.80 ★    
6  MANHATTAN LEGACY         (rodriguez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 6.00 ★    
 
HAW-3   12/11/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHASING GHOST'S         (pompell robert)HUGHES CARLY 122 3.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  UNCAPTURED GIRL         (plasters lori)FELIX E 124 4.50 15% 5.70    
3  COWGIRL FRANKIE Nov27 Nov19 Sep09 Aug12 Jun28 (rednour joh)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 8.00 ★    
4  RAINY MOUNTAIN Nov13 Aug12       (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 124 10.00    
5  YANKEE AGATE Nov19 Oct23       (miller david)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 1.60 29% 2.50    
6  SODDY DAISY Nov10 Mar05 Jan22     (gonzalez lilia)COLON H 122 20.00 ★    
7  AWESOME KITTY Nov19         (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
8  W W VALID         (plasters lo)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 15.00    
 
HAW-4   12/11/2022 5940ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY REDEMPTION Nov20 Nov11 Oct30 Oct03 Sep23 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 118 4.00 7% 13.70    
SCR  HARD N'SWEET Nov30 Nov08 Oct22 Sep27 Sep12 (sullivan ellio)COLON H 121 5.00 11% 8.40    
3  IOYA AGAIN Nov26 Nov04 Oct08 Aug25 Jul31 (reavis mich)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
4  PISTOL BOX Nov18 Nov06 Oct14 Sep30 Aug19 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 121 6.00 ★    
5  C F V WICKED RED Nov18 Oct29 Sep20 Aug30 Aug12 (gonzalez lil)CENTENO ALEXIS 121 3.50 32% 2.10    
6  BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER Dec02 Oct27 Jul21 Jul06 Jun07 (haran john)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 15.00    
7  RONNI'S STORM Nov26 Nov13 Oct04 Sep20 Sep02 (ramos fra)ULLOA JOAN 121 8.00    
 
HAW-5   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD SMOKE May20         (bentler don)DIEGO JAVIER 122 20.00    
2  MIDNIGHT ESCAPE         (hernandez ja)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00 ★    
3  BOONE'S PATH Nov19 Oct28 Aug16 Jul01 Jun08 (young r)FELIX E 122 1.80 55% 0.80    
4  CHIEF MYSTIQUE Nov20 Aug11 Jul14 May19   (hernandez javi)COLON H 124 20.00    
5  UNDEFEATED CHAMP Nov19         (bahena fernan)SANCHEZ DIEGO 124 20.00    
6  BALADINE Nov19 Oct28 Oct09 Sep13   (poulos dee)EMIGH A 122 2.50 15% 5.80    
7  SUMMER COUNTRY         (nesbit)BAILON JADHIR 122 12.00    
8  TEA WITH LEMON Dec03         (perez man)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00 8% 11.20    
9  GUST OF WIND         (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 112 10.00 ★    
 
HAW-6   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 GOOD Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LATIN CASINO Nov06 Oct15 Sep25 Jul09 Jun14 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 8.00    
2  KHOZAN'S VALENTINE Nov19 Sep24 Aug20 Aug05 Jul08 (mosier harol)TAVARES JAVIER 121 10.00 13% 6.70    
3  JACK VAN BERG Nov18 Nov06 Oct07 Sep16 Aug19 (poulos dee)EMIGH A 121 6.00 9% 10.20    
4  BRING ME A CHECK Nov27 Nov06 Oct16 Sep14 Aug17 (hernandez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 3.50 17% 4.90    
5  MKAR THE FAST Nov06 Oct09 Sep06 Aug26 Aug12 (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 121 30.00    
6  TETSU Nov27 Nov06 Oct16 Oct02 Sep15 (manley steve)ORM CORY 121 6.00    
7  IMPRESSED Nov06 Sep25 Aug28 Jun22 Jun05 (martinez a)FELIX E 121 5.00    
SCR  STALLONE Nov18 Oct22 Oct02 Sep16 Aug30 (retana ga)ULLOA JOAN 121 20.00    
9  W W CANDY Nov27 Nov06 Oct16 Sep24 Aug20 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 121 4.50 19% 4.30    
10  LAUDA SPEED Nov18 Nov06 Oct15 Jul16 Jun18 (sullivan elliot)REYES FRANK 121 8.00 9% 10.40    
 
HAW-7   12/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PAPA'S LUCKY SEVEN Dec02 Nov04 Oct14 Sep13 Jun24 (zawitz joel)BLANCHE RISHAWN 108 15.00    
2  PADDY'S HOUSE Nov11 Oct26 Oct05 Aug23 Aug03 (dobbsjr e)FELIX E 121 12.00    
3  FIRST MASAMUNE Nov20 Nov04 Oct16 Jun17 May21 (ramirez car)ORTEGA O 121 30.00    
4  SILVER QUARTERS Nov20 Oct29       (manley steve)ORM CORY 121 12.00    
5  RED FLAG ALERT Nov12 Oct19 Sep12 Aug23 Aug03 (winebaugh cher)COLON H 121 10.00 ★    
6  YOU'RE IN COREY Nov19 Oct29 Oct15 Sep23 Sep02 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 30.00    
7  GITA'S LAD Nov20 Oct29 Jun28 May28 May13 (hernandez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 6.00 7% 13.00    
8  MEGAN'S HONOR Nov20 Oct28 Oct09 Jun28 Apr19 (becker scot)SANTIAGO VICTOR 121 3.00 63% 0.60    
9  DIAMOND MAXIMUS Oct29 Sep16 Aug30 Aug16 Jul29 (wilborn kevi)TAVARES JAVIER 121 15.00 ★    
10  CURRENT Nov18 Oct15 Sep10 Jul16 Jun25 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 2.50 ★    
11  GO EMI Nov24 Nov10 Oct05 Sep22 Aug23 (gonzalez lil)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 8.00    
 
HAW-8   12/11/2022 5490ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRESENT OF HERO Nov20 Nov06 Oct16 Sep17 Aug05 (quinonez max)SANCHEZ DIEGO 121 15.00 14% 6.20    
2  DARING DAMSEL Nov25 Nov12 Oct16 Oct02 Sep03 (hernandez)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 20.00    
3  IMAGINE GOLD Nov25 Oct28 Oct02 Sep13 Aug06 (quinonez ma)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 8.00    
4  SPENDER Nov20         (bahena)BAILON JADHIR 121 20.00 ★    
SCR  RENTAL POOL Nov11 Oct23 Oct02 Sep07 Jun11 (robertson)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 121 1.80    
6  WEEKEND PASS Dec04 Nov25 Nov12 Oct16 Oct02 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 121 4.50 19% 4.30    
7  SINGING ALLI Nov25 Oct21 Oct09 Aug02 Jun03 (dizeo dino)COLON H 121 5.00 31% 2.20    
8  GOOD MONGOLIA Nov25 Nov13 Sep30 Aug14 Jul17 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 121 3.50 14% 6.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.