Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turfway Park
Saturday - December 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race results
 
TP-1   12/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :47 :59     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  HOLIDAY HOUSE 4 4 1½ 11   11½ 12½ (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 118 4.50 5% 18.60 3.71 W
9  LOOT THE MOON 9 2 32 31   21½ 22½ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 8.00 9.96  
2  BIG BOSS BEN 2 5 42 42   41¾ 32¾ (garcia )DE CRUZ 118 6.00 17% 4.80 4.48 S
8  TROPIC STORM 8 1 2½ 21   31½ 42¾ (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 51% 1.00 2.38  
3  EYES OF GLORY 3 8 83¾ 85¼   54¼ 53½ (vosler euge)PETERSON FERRIN 120 5.00 ★ 4.62  
1  GOLDEN SURVIVOR 1 9 94¼ 75   64¾ 68 (delong ben)HALDAR J 116 6.00 ★ 9.05  
7  BERNIE LOMAX 7 7 63¼ 53½   76¼ 78¾ (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 10.00 17.39  
5  GUN RUSH 5 3 52¼ 64½   86¾ 810 (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 20.00 10.95  
6  PERJURY 6 6 73¼ 95¾   99¾ 918 (cross r)LEBRON VICTOR 118 30.00 60.28  
 
TP-2   12/31/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:11     1:172   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  STRUGAR 7 3 52¼ 31½   3½ 12 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 3.50 50% 1.00 3.33 W
5  PURE PANIC 5 5 2nk 2nk   1½ 22 (cano muno)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00 2.10  
2  SPEND BENJAMINS 2 10 95¾ 97   63¾ 33 (gonzale)DE CRUZ 120 6.00 11.09  
1  HEMP HEAVEN 1 9 62¾ 64¼   52¼ 43¼ (wittek karyn)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00 8.02  
9  GOOD ON YA 9 4 42 41¾   42 53¾ (londono odin)HALDAR J 120 5.00 ★ 4.78  
8  SUGGESTED 8 2 84¾ 85½   94½ 65½ (johnston rebe)BECKMAN ALICE 111 30.00 75.66  
3  BUGLE BARRY 3 6 74¼ 75¼   84¼ 76 (walsh d)ELLIOTT JANE 120 8.00 16% 5.30 21.04  
10  DARK OAK 10 1 1nk 1nk   2½ 86½ (hernandez re)RAMOS D 120 5.00 6% 16.40 7.15  
4  ATTA BOY ANTHONY 4 7 31½ 54¼   74¼ 99½ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 15.00 25.46  
6  SPECTACULAR GEM 6 8 107¼ 108½   109½ 1022 (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 120 20.00 5% 18.30 12.45  
 
TP-3   12/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:13 1:253   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MORE THAN WORK 10 6 54 31 2nk 11½ 11½ (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 1.60 71% 0.40 1.18 W
4  VINTAGE YEAR 4 3 64¼ 62¾ 41¼ 21½ 21½ (arnold )DE CRUZ 121 6.00 ★ 7.59 P
6  KING CURLIN 6 2 42½ 51¾ 31 31½ 31½ (vanden ber)CORRALES GERARDO 121 1.80 ★ 1.67 S
2  THE THUNDERER 2 4 2nk 1nk 1nk 41¾ 46 (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00 17.89  
7  QAADER 7 9 96¼ 73¾ 74¾ 54¾ 56½ (trujillo)RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00 ★ 14.14  
5  CODE VIOLATION 5 10 86¼ 95¾ 54¼ 66¼ 613¼ (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 ★ 10.42  
9  ICEATUDE 9 5 31 41½ 64¾ 76¾ 713½ (kerrick lacy)ACHARD ALEX 121 20.00 57.73  
3  SELF RULE 3 8 109¾ 108¼ 97½ 99¾ 819¼ (preston randy)LEZCANO ABEL 121 30.00 59.99  
1  FABRICATOR 1 7 75¾ 84¾ 87¼ 89¼ 919¼ (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 121 20.00 60.10  
8  TURTAR MARA 8 1 1nk 2nk 109½ 1019¾ 1042¾ (frazier matt)CANUTO THIAGO 121 50.00 ######  
 
TP-4   12/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:132 1:262   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  SAFE TRAVELS 8 5 43 41¼ 2nk 1½ 1¼ (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00 7% 12.60 6.29 W
2  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 2 6 64¾ 62¾ 3.2 3½ 2¼ (garcia genar)HALDAR J 121 3.00 ★ 4.41 P
8  FAIRY CAKES (GB) 7 4 31½ 31 52¼ 2½ 32 (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 121 8.00 5% 19.00 8.66 S
6  C V THUNDER 5 3 53¼ 52¼ 72¾ 43 46½ (hernandez javi)LEZCANO ABEL 121 10.00 14.70  
7  CELESTIAL SPIN 6 9 96¾ 84¼ 62¾ 54½ 59¼ (cristel mark)RAMOS D 121 10.00 24% 3.20 4.01  
11  PELLETIER 10 10 108¼ 95¼ 84¼ 76 610 (watkins)DE CRUZ 118 20.00 7.83  
1  CROSSED UP 1 8 76¼ 73¼ 94½ 65½ 710½ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 15.00 10.28  
5  MS MERRABEL 4 1 2nk 1nk 1nk 87½ 818½ (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 118 2.50 42% 1.40 2.43  
3  MOSE DEFINITELY 3 2 1nk 2nk 41¼ 910 926 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 121 20.00 67.98  
10  LAKE BARKLEY 9 7 86¾ 106¾ 1010½ 1015 1033¾ (hernandez jav)LEBRON VICTOR 121 30.00 62.11  
SCR  SAVE THE FLAG               (fernande)RODRIGUEZ A 111 8.00    
 
TP-5   12/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:22 :453 :58     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DOCTOR DAVIS 3 8 105¾ 106¾   64 11 (delacour arna)GILLIGAN JACK 118 12.00 11.61  
6  GILDED RULER 5 4 3½ 3½   11 21 (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.00 41% 1.40 2.38 P
2  STEP FORWARD 1 6 52½ 42   31½ 32¼ (casse mark)CANNON DECLAN 118 5.00 15% 5.60 5.13 S
7  AMERICAN ICON 6 11 118¼ 117   95¾ 42¾ (vasquez ger)CHIRINOS ROIMES 118 20.00 5% 19.00 61.94  
11  CARAMELITO 10 1 95¼ 73¾   54 53½ (garcia genar)HALDAR J 120 10.00 5% 19.00 20.40  
8  TRIPLE ELVIS 7 3 63 52¼   43 63½ (blair j)DE CRUZ 118 15.00 9.68  
12  B D VALESKI 11 2 41½ 2nk   21 75 (foley greg)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00 15.67  
10  BUTTON BOY 9 10 84¾ 84¾   74½ 85¼ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 8.00 7.64 DH
9  NINETIES COUNTRY 8 9 74½ 95¼   84¾ 85¼ (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 118 20.00 29.11 DH
5  PICKLE FEET 4 5 2½ 63¾   117¼ 109½ (douglass dev)MORALES JOSHUA 118 20.00 45.68  
3  MENDENHALL 2 7 1½ 1nk   107¼ 1111½ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50 2.47  
SCR  DRIVE FOR FUN               (mejia joe)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.00 18% 4.70    
SCR  GREY CHARMER               (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
SCR  ROUGHIN THE CITY               (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 113 30.00    
 
TP-6   12/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:131 1:253   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  MILITARY FORCE 9 4 51¾ 41¾ 2nk 1nk 1nk (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 114 4.50 9% 9.90 4.26 W
11  HARD RYE GUY 10 10 3½ 1nk 1nk 2nk 2nk (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.00 10% 9.40 0.96 P
9  MEMPHIS PRAYER 8 3 83 62¼ 31½ 32½ 33 (douaihy michel)AYALA ISAIAS 121 3.00 43% 1.30 6.76 S
3  BEOCCA 3 6 62¾ 73¼ 44 43½ 46 (minnock wayn)RAMOS D 121 15.00 6% 16.90 8.72  
2  MR. CUNNINGHAM 2 2 41½ 51¾ 66¼ 58½ 514½ (meredith ch)CHIRINOS ROIMES 118 12.00 11.17  
8  VASILEVSKIY (IRE) 7 8 94 94 79¾ 710¼ 615¼ (bahena ismae)MORALES JOSHUA 118 15.00 29.98  
6  KEEN MIND 5 7 72¾ 83¾ 811¼ 812¼ 720¾ (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 118 15.00 51.33  
1  JOE BRRRR 1 1 1nk 3.2 56 610 821 (chapman james)CANUTO THIAGO 118 20.00 24.22  
7  HORSE DADDY 6 9 1010 1011 1015¼ 1016¾ 927¼ (ewing micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 15.00 6% 16.10 31.90  
4  AUTOPOLIS 4 5 2nk 2nk 912¾ 915¾ 1027¼ (reed r)MCKEE J 118 12.00 11.74  
SCR  WEAPON               (alessi james)BECKMAN ALICE 112 30.00    
 
TP-7   12/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 2 F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:224 :46 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  B G WARRIOR 5 4 11½ 11½   12 1¾ (kahles ronal)HALDAR J 118 10.00 7.66 DQ↓2
11  LILIESFORMILLIE 7 8 63¼ 43   22 2¾ (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 118 6.00 8% 10.80 2.36 W
1  JERSEY PEARL 1 7 73¼ 33   32 33¼ (miller darrin)LEZCANO ABEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 5.63 S
5  SECRET STATEMENT 3 9 31½ 54½   65 47 (baker jam)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 4.00 9% 9.70 2.94  
7  BAYTOWN LOVELY 4 5 21½ 21½   43½ 57¾ (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 118 20.00 17.24  
10  RUBY FOO 6 6 105 97¼   87½ 68 (stidham mich)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00 3.75  
3  WORLD UNITE 2 10 95 65   54½ 78¾ (elliott mic)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 20.00 52.40  
12  BEATIFUL KARLA 8 3 83½ 87   76 810½ (delgado gusta)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 17.52  
14  GOSHEN 10 1 41¾ 75½   910½ 914½ (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 30.00 66.90  
13  HELLO SWEETS 9 2 52¼ 1013¼   1025½ 1050½ (gorham rob)CORRALES GERARDO 118 20.00 22.27  
SCR  MISS RIVER RAT               (block c)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
SCR  SASSY AND BOLD               (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  SEACHROME               (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 118 20.00    
SCR  WHATCHAMACALL               (delgado jo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
 
TP-8   12/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:114 1:243   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WADSWORTH 1 1 11½ 16 15½ 16 110 (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.00 3.28  
7  CASHMEUP 6 10 86½ 79½ 69 36 210 (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5% 18.60 6.99 P
10  WHAT A BLAST 9 6 54 57½ 37 46¼ 313¼ (maker mic)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50 28% 2.60 6.05 S
9  ENDPOINT 8 4 64 36 25½ 26 415¼ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 1.60 31% 2.20 0.95  
5  REPREHEND 4 5 43 47 48½ 58¼ 515½ (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 15.00 30.10  
2  LUNA VIEJA 2 8 118½ 913 914 611¾ 622¾ (arnold )DE CRUZ 119 15.00 15.89  
6  FAST FALL 5 2 21½ 26 711 813¾ 724¼ (engler jeff)CHIRINOS ROIMES 119 12.00 53.40  
12  CAESAR'S GHOST 11 7 75 810½ 812½ 915¼ 825 (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 119 30.00 ★ 38.94  
8  ROYAL DECADENCE 7 11 108 1013¼ 1016 1015½ 925¾ (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 119 15.00 35.93  
11  FAST FORWARD 10 3 32½ 68 59 713¾ 1026¾ (bright derric)CANUTO THIAGO 119 30.00 41.93  
3  DANCERS PHAROAH 3 9 97½ 1114¾ 1131 1132½ 1163¼ (douglass dev)MORALES JOSHUA 119 15.00 59.66  
SCR  FIRST CLASS HARLOW               (courville ric)GILLIGAN JACK 119 4.00 16% 5.50    
SCR  HITSVILLE               (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 119 30.00    
SCR  SOUTHERN CRUSH               (barkley j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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