Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Saturday - December 31, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   12/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN SURVIVOR Dec07 Oct17 Oct03 Sep12 Aug31 (delong ben)HALDAR J 116 6.00 ★    
2  BIG BOSS BEN Nov27 Nov02 Sep21 Aug25 Jul28 (garcia )DE CRUZ 118 6.00 17% 4.80    
3  EYES OF GLORY Dec03 Oct28 Oct09 Sep13 Sep01 (vosler euge)PETERSON FERRIN 120 5.00 ★    
4  HOLIDAY HOUSE Dec16 Nov19 Oct20 Oct05 Sep15 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 118 4.50 5% 18.60    
5  GUN RUSH Dec16 Apr21 Apr02 Jan22   (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 20.00    
6  PERJURY Dec06 Nov14 Oct28 Oct06 May06 (cross r)LEBRON VICTOR 118 30.00    
7  BERNIE LOMAX Dec16 Jul20 Jun19 May04 Mar27 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 10.00    
8  TROPIC STORM Dec08 Mar25 Mar02 Jan22   (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
9  LOOT THE MOON Nov19 Feb11       (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 8.00    
 
TP-2   12/31/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEMP HEAVEN Nov27 Jun29 Apr27 Jan02   (wittek karyn)CANNON DECLAN 120 10.00    
2  SPEND BENJAMINS Nov16 Oct20 Sep24 Aug12 Jul22 (gonzale)DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
3  BUGLE BARRY Sep29 Sep12 Apr02 Mar03 Feb19 (walsh d)ELLIOTT JANE 120 8.00 16% 5.30    
4  ATTA BOY ANTHONY Nov17 Oct19 Sep27 Sep04 Aug20 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 118 15.00    
5  PURE PANIC Dec14 Nov19 Oct23 Sep18 Jun21 (cano muno)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.00    
6  SPECTACULAR GEM Dec03 Oct15 May24 May05 Apr02 (sherman justin)MUSARRO JOE 120 20.00 5% 18.30    
7  STRUGAR Dec02 Sep13 Aug23 Aug02 Jun28 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 3.50 50% 1.00    
8  SUGGESTED Dec08 Nov02 Oct05 Sep08 Sep01 (johnston rebe)BECKMAN ALICE 111 30.00    
9  GOOD ON YA Dec03 Nov09 Oct10 Sep06 Aug22 (londono odin)HALDAR J 120 5.00 ★    
10  DARK OAK Nov06 Sep06 Aug06 Jul10 Jun19 (hernandez re)RAMOS D 120 5.00 6% 16.40    
 
TP-3   12/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABRICATOR Dec11         (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 121 20.00    
2  THE THUNDERER Oct09 Aug21 Feb25     (delacour arnau)MACHADO LUAN 121 15.00    
3  SELF RULE Nov30 Nov02 Oct06 Sep21 Sep12 (preston randy)LEZCANO ABEL 121 30.00    
4  VINTAGE YEAR Dec17 Nov11 Sep10 Aug10 Jul14 (arnold )DE CRUZ 121 6.00 ★    
5  CODE VIOLATION Dec11         (pitts helen)CANNON DECLAN 121 15.00 ★    
6  KING CURLIN Dec03         (vanden ber)CORRALES GERARDO 121 1.80 ★    
7  QAADER Nov11 Aug30 Aug25 Aug01 Jul03 (trujillo)RODRIGUEZ A 117 8.00 ★    
8  TURTAR MARA Nov13 Apr29 Mar12 Feb23   (frazier matt)CANUTO THIAGO 121 50.00    
9  ICEATUDE Dec11 Nov13 Oct29 Sep22   (kerrick lacy)ACHARD ALEX 121 20.00    
10  MORE THAN WORK Dec03 Feb19 Jan22     (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 1.60 71% 0.40    
 
TP-4   12/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROSSED UP Dec11 Dec03 Oct10 Aug26 Aug12 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 15.00    
2  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI Dec11 Nov16 Oct15 Sep15 Aug25 (garcia genar)HALDAR J 121 3.00 ★    
3  MOSE DEFINITELY Nov23 Nov09 Sep28 Aug22 Aug11 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 121 20.00    
SCR  SAVE THE FLAG Dec15 Dec01 Nov22 Oct22 Sep23 (fernande)RODRIGUEZ A 111 8.00    
5  MS MERRABEL Dec11 Oct27 Oct11 Sep16 Sep02 (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
6  C V THUNDER Dec11 Jul19 Jul06 Jun11 May27 (hernandez javi)LEZCANO ABEL 121 10.00    
7  CELESTIAL SPIN Dec21 Nov25 Sep01 Aug22 Jul27 (cristel mark)RAMOS D 121 10.00 24% 3.20    
8  FAIRY CAKES (GB) Nov30 Nov09 Oct30 Oct11 Sep05 (mcentee paul)ELLIOTT JANE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  SAFE TRAVELS Oct28 Oct02 Sep05 Aug08 Jul12 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 6.00 7% 12.60    
10  LAKE BARKLEY Dec15 Nov26 Nov09 Oct02 Aug12 (hernandez jav)LEBRON VICTOR 121 30.00    
11  PELLETIER Dec15 Oct10 Sep26 Aug24 Jun30 (watkins)DE CRUZ 118 20.00    
 
TP-5   12/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GREY CHARMER Nov30 Nov22 Nov01 Oct11 Sep28 (sims a)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
2  STEP FORWARD Oct21 Aug12       (casse mark)CANNON DECLAN 118 5.00 15% 5.60    
3  MENDENHALL Jul02 Jun04 May07 Apr03 Mar05 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 2.50    
4  DOCTOR DAVIS Oct21 Sep14 Jul30     (delacour arna)GILLIGAN JACK 118 12.00    
5  PICKLE FEET Nov22 Jun22 Jun01 May18 Apr19 (douglass dev)MORALES JOSHUA 118 20.00    
6  GILDED RULER Feb05         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
7  AMERICAN ICON Dec14 Nov27 Nov16 Nov09 Oct14 (vasquez ger)CHIRINOS ROIMES 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  TRIPLE ELVIS Oct29 Aug15 Jun26     (blair j)DE CRUZ 118 15.00    
9  NINETIES COUNTRY Nov25 Nov03 Oct19 Sep07 Jul23 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 118 20.00    
10  BUTTON BOY Nov16 Oct08 Sep03 Aug15   (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 8.00    
11  CARAMELITO Dec02 Nov17 Oct20 Oct08 Sep23 (garcia genar)HALDAR J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  B D VALESKI Nov16 Sep11 Jul16 Jun05 May04 (foley greg)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
SCR  ROUGHIN THE CITY Dec15 Nov02 Oct26 Sep08 Aug06 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 113 30.00    
SCR  DRIVE FOR FUN Dec16 Nov24 Nov09 Oct14 Sep17 (mejia joe)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.00 18% 4.70    
 
TP-6   12/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOE BRRRR Oct30 Sep14 Aug17 Jul28 Jul19 (chapman james)CANUTO THIAGO 118 20.00    
2  MR. CUNNINGHAM Dec16 Nov03 Oct16 Aug19 Jul08 (meredith ch)CHIRINOS ROIMES 118 12.00    
3  BEOCCA Dec07 Sep28 Sep12 Aug19   (minnock wayn)RAMOS D 121 15.00 6% 16.90    
4  AUTOPOLIS Nov29 Oct25 Sep25 Aug05   (reed r)MCKEE J 118 12.00    
SCR  WEAPON Dec07 Nov15 Oct27 Sep28 Sep22 (alessi james)BECKMAN ALICE 112 30.00    
6  KEEN MIND Nov27 Oct07 Sep28 Aug30 Aug12 (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 118 15.00    
7  HORSE DADDY Nov10 Aug27 Aug05 Jul23 Jun29 (ewing micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 15.00 6% 16.10    
8  VASILEVSKIY (IRE) Nov06 Oct11 Sep16 Apr30 Feb10 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 15.00    
9  MEMPHIS PRAYER Dec07 May07 Apr24 Apr01 Feb25 (douaihy michel)AYALA ISAIAS 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
10  MILITARY FORCE Nov10 Oct10 Mar26 Mar12 Mar02 (wong jon)RODRIGUEZ A 114 4.50 9% 9.90    
11  HARD RYE GUY Nov05 Oct07 Aug25 Jun30 Apr24 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 121 2.00 10% 9.40    
 
TP-7   12/31/2022 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 2 F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JERSEY PEARL Oct08 Aug28       (miller darrin)LEZCANO ABEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SEACHROME May11 Apr10       (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 118 20.00    
3  WORLD UNITE Nov15 Nov01 Oct24 Oct06 Sep07 (elliott mic)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 20.00    
SCR  SASSY AND BOLD Dec09 Oct06 Jul29     (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
5  SECRET STATEMENT Nov24 Nov10       (baker jam)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 4.00 9% 9.70    
SCR  WHATCHAMACALL Dec08 Sep23 Aug21 Jul20 Jul01 (delgado jo)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50 29% 2.50    
7  BAYTOWN LOVELY Dec14 Nov26 Nov04 Oct07 May05 (mcentee paul)MCENTEE GRACE 118 20.00    
SCR  MISS RIVER RAT Dec03 Nov12       (block c)DE CRUZ 122 12.00    
9  B G WARRIOR Dec09 Nov15 Oct24 Sep15 Aug10 (kahles ronal)HALDAR J 118 10.00    
10  RUBY FOO Dec04 Oct24       (stidham mich)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 10.00    
11  LILIESFORMILLIE Dec07 Oct22       (hamilton sara)GILLIGAN JACK 118 6.00 8% 10.80    
12  BEATIFUL KARLA Nov29 Nov14 Sep22 Aug05   (delgado gusta)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
13  HELLO SWEETS Dec15 Nov15       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 20.00    
14  GOSHEN Dec07 Nov03 Sep15     (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 30.00    
 
TP-8   12/31/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WADSWORTH Oct19 Sep16 Aug06     (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 4.00    
2  LUNA VIEJA         (arnold )DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
3  DANCERS PHAROAH         (douglass dev)MORALES JOSHUA 119 15.00    
SCR  HITSVILLE Sep21         (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 119 30.00    
5  REPREHEND Nov13         (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 15.00    
6  FAST FALL Oct10 Sep11 Aug05     (engler jeff)CHIRINOS ROIMES 119 12.00    
7  CASHMEUP Nov13         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00 5% 18.60    
8  ROYAL DECADENCE         (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 119 15.00    
9  ENDPOINT Nov26 Oct20 Sep22 Aug28   (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 1.60 31% 2.20    
10  WHAT A BLAST Dec02 Oct09 Sep05 Aug13   (maker mic)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 3.50 28% 2.60    
11  FAST FORWARD May12         (bright derric)CANUTO THIAGO 119 30.00    
12  CAESAR'S GHOST Dec02 Nov09       (caramori eduar)LEZCANO ABEL 119 30.00 ★    
SCR  FIRST CLASS HARLOW Dec02 Nov17 Oct23     (courville ric)GILLIGAN JACK 119 4.00 16% 5.50    
SCR  SOUTHERN CRUSH Dec02 Oct23       (barkley j)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.