Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turfway Park
Sunday - December 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
See original race card.
:22 :46 :583     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADMIRAL'S GARNET 6 6 43 32   1½ 1 (davis jose)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50 1.31  
C V THUNDER 4 8 65 5   33 2 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 12.00 10.51  
BERTRADA 7 7 108 1110¾   9 3 (helmbrec)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 3.50 32% 2.10 4.42 S
12  MY ROSIE 12 1 11 12   2½ 4 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 118 10.00 7% 13.30 8.94  
11  SUPORB 11 2 21 22   43 5 (edwards will)HALDAR J 118 10.00 20.18  
KNOT WILD 5 9 86 10   8 68 (sandy s)MCKEE J 120 20.00 31.25  
DEVILISH TRUTH 3 11 76 7   7 7 (lyster stephen )MOJICA JR 120 8.00 9% 10.20 15.02  
SHARP JUSTICE 1 12 1210¼ 9   54 89 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00 39.37  
10  FOUND MY MAN 10 3 3 44   6 910¾ (lauer micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 30.00 48.75  
CHINA STAR 8 5 54 6   10 1012½ (adams l)MUSARRO JOE 118 30.00 ######  
QUEEN CORDELIA 9 4 9 1213¼   12 1113¼ (wells john )CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 4.00 18% 4.60 6.51  
KEEP SCROLLING 2 10 11 8   11 1213¾ (walsh d)SANJUR SANTO 120 10.00 8% 11.70 11.15  
 
TP-2   12/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:142 1:27   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFFALY COOL 5 4 1nk 1nk 1 1 1nk (vaughan edwar)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 21.26  
10  MAGNIFICENT MILE 10 10 94 82 5 2 2nk (brisset rodol)GILLIGAN JACK 122 2.50 58% 0.70 0.76 P
OCEAN POINTE 6 5 4 5 4 3 31 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.50 10% 8.90 10.27 S
DINGMANN 2 11 10 103 6 44 4 (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00 11.09  
MAMBA FOREVER 4 3 5 7 84 5 5 (west etha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.00 6% 16.00 4.71  
LET IT RIDE CLYDE 9 6 3½ 3.2 2 6 6 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 115 30.00 5% 19.00 ######  
CAMBIASO 1 1 11 115 11 9 7 (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 19.99  
11  LIFE AND LIGHT 11 9 8 92 7 7 8 (morey willia)RAMOS D 122 10.00 24.44  
COLLECTORATE 3 2 6 6 10 8 910¼ (cook b)LEBRON VICTOR 122 15.00 9.09  
INVASIVE 7 8 2nk 2nk 9 10 1017¼ (kendall elise)MCKEE J 122 30.00 ######  
MYTHOMANIA 8 7 7 4¼ 3 1110½ 1118¼ (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 18.99  
 
TP-3   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:22 :463 :591     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURE ENOUGH 5 4 2 2nk   1nk 1½ (van berg )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 8.00 4.31  
SIMPERING SMILE 1 8 5 5   3 2½ (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 112 3.00 13% 6.50 3.82 P
GO ON GIRL 8 1 1 1nk   2nk 31 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 1.41 S
DARTIGA 2 11 8 7   57 4 (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 119 12.00 8% 11.20 10.85  
BASILICA D ORO 3 9 10 99   6 5 (orantes r)MILLER CHASE 119 20.00 28.63  
PRICELESS PICTURE 7 6 4 4   4 611¼ (anderson su)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 30.00 ######  
11  ONTOTHENEXT 10 5 11 1010½   811 713¼ (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00 6.25  
PRINCESS TONI 4 3 3 3   79 818 (hernandez ja)HALDAR J 119 30.00 ######  
12  MIDNIGHT XO 11 2 64 64   913 919 (hancock dana)BAYS BROOKE 109 20.00 48.65  
VICTORY'S FLAME 6 10 7 8   1013½ 1021¾ (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 8.00 9.51  
10  MARTZ CREEK MUSIC 9 7 9 1112½   1116 1124½ (platt noah)HISBY RONALD 119 30.00 73.55  
SCR  FUEL SURCHARGE               (mccarth)DE CRUZ 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
SCR  GULF BENDER               (rivelli lar)CHIRINOS ROIMES 119 12.00    
SCR  HER TIME IS NOW               (vanden berg )LANDEROS CHRIS 119 5.00 34% 2.00    
 
TP-4   12/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:133 1:26   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOKIN TO FLY 2 2 87 87 8 2 13 (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 3.00 17% 4.90 2.92 W
MS MERRABEL 3 1 12 1 1 1 23 (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00 9% 9.90 4.84 P
10  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI 9 7 7 64 33 43 3 (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00 5.50  
WILD TAPIT 4 6 5 5 2 3 4 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 121 10.00 5.22  
RUNAWAY MOM 1 10 109 9 9 6 5 (kinmon keit)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 12.00 8.90  
13  CROSSED UP 12 12 1211½ 11 1110¾ 98 6 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 15.00 29.10  
HOT HEELS 6 4 4 4 6 55 7 (fletcher kevi)LEBRON VICTOR 121 10.00 15% 5.60 8.02  
BELLE OF ST. JOHN 8 8 65 7 7 8 8 (kahles ronal)HALDAR J 118 20.00 52.61  
12  ETELKA 11 11 1110 12 1210¾ 10 9 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 20.00 6% 14.50 28.13  
11  SOUTHERN SKY 10 9 9 109 10 77 1011¾ (royal madelyn)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00 13.86  
NOTREALLYNOTREALLY 5 3 22 2 4 1112 1121 (grubbs ja)BERMUDEZ E 121 15.00 24.30  
MISSAWLET 7 5 33 32 5 1214 1224 (milosevic m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 8.00 13.94  
SCR  IPSUM GRATUS               (van berg )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
 
TP-5   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:222 :464 :583     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOM DE PLUME 9 1 2 21   12 1¾ (lobo h)RAMOS D 119 6.00 2.88  
SHEWILLGHOSTU 3 9 9 8   4 2¾ (reed r)MCKEE J 119 15.00 7% 13.50 12.04 P
10  MISS J D 10 4 4 31   22 3 (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 3.63  
DIVINE GRACE 5 6 3 4   5 47 (ewing a)MOJICA JR 119 15.00 10.39  
11  KISS IT GOODBYE 11 2 74 5   7 57 (romans dale)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00 17.58  
CALL ME TONI 8 11 11 10   9 6 (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 119 20.00 64.62  
YARN (IRE) 2 8 8 7   6 7 (arnold geo)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 7.55  
VALIANT PRAISE 1 10 107 9   88 810¾ (mcpeek g)OUZTS W 119 3.50 22% 3.60 3.52  
ICY STARE 7 5 1 11   33 911 (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 14% 6.00 6.73  
STORY CHANNEL 4 3 53 64   1012½ 1018 (pinzon mari)CHIRINOS ROIMES 119 30.00 74.62  
DINAH JO 6 7 6 1110¾   1117½ 1125¾ (anderson su)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 12.00 39.00  
SCR  HOCKADAY GIRL               (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
TP-6   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:223 :462 :58     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOURBON HEIST 7 2 5 4   2 12 (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 122 1.80 56% 0.80 0.69 W
10  PARK PLACE 8 3 1 1   1 22 (mccarthy mic)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00 4.10  
SON OF THUNDER 2 4 4 5   55 33 (toye l)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 10.00 18% 4.60 8.09 S
TEN EXTRA 1 5 3 3   33 4 (romans dale)GILLIGAN JACK 122 10.00 15.63  
FABRICATOR 3 8 7 7   67 5 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 122 15.00 48.20  
CODE VIOLATION 5 7 2 2   4 68 (pitts hele)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00 5.46  
ICEATUDE 4 6 6 6   7 7 (kerric)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 122 4.00 14.09  
WORKINFROMHOME 6 1 8 8   811½ 811 (guerrero sal)MILLER CHASE 124 30.00 65.40  
SCR  CHARLESTON STRONG               (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.50    
SCR  MO MONEY MO BETTA               (rivera j)RODRIGUEZ A 115 30.00    
 
TP-7   12/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:124 1:374   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATE'S KINGDOM 1 1 9 10 11 42 1¾ (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 124 3.00 61% 0.60 1.65 W
CANDY RAID 8 9 6 7 7 31 2¾ (desormeau)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00 9.94  
CHAMPAGNE LADY 7 6 5 5 5 1nk 3 (drury tho)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 6.00 6% 15.90 10.68 S
TEMPER TIME 3 2 32 42 4 5 4 (romans )DE CRUZ 122 15.00 32.45  
GRAND AVE GIRL 5 3 42 31 3.2 2nk 56 (mcpeek kenneth)MACHADO LUAN 124 5.00 11.20  
14  QUERIDINHA LECA 12 12 127 11 10 9 6 (lobo h)RAMOS D 118 15.00 27.47  
TAP DANCING LADY 4 10 117 84 126 11 77 (kahles ronald)MCKEE J 118 20.00 28.38  
LASHARA (GB) 2 4 10 12 8 8 8 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 5% 19.00 9.64  
10  HEAVENLY HELLOS 9 8 8 9 9 7 98 (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 122 50.00 95.62  
11  CHARDONNAY 10 7 21 2½ 2nk 65 1014 (stidham micha)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 48.10  
12  DIAMOND SOLITAIRE 11 11 7 6 6 12 1114¼ (lyster step)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 30.00 64.67  
BURNING AMBITION 6 5 11 1½ 1nk 10 1214¾ (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.50 9% 9.60 1.95  
SCR  COMMANDANDCONTROL               (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 30.00    
SCR  COVER VERSION               (devaux cher)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 30.00    
 
TP-8   12/11/2022 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:123 1:371   2:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OFFLEE NAUGHTY 6 8 4 6 2nk 12 1 (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00 2.63  
13  BEAR OAK 12 4 6 5 64 43 2 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 20.00 5% 19.00 27.62 P
SLICKED BACK 2 10 96 9 7 54 3 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 121 15.00 9% 9.70 19.30 S
10  COMMON BOND 9 95 10 7 31 33 4 (reed r)MCKEE J 121 15.00 10.65  
TIBERIUS MERCURIUS 3 2nk 1nk 1½ 1nk 22 5 (maker michae)RAMOS D 121 2.50 33% 2.00 2.64  
12  FULL CHARGE 11 7 8 10 8 66 6 (west w)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00 7.18  
DESIGNER READY 7 6 7 8 9 7 7 (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 15.00 11.09  
BLANKET OF ROSES 1 128 1210½ 12 10 10 813¼ (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 121 15.00 18.48  
JAIS'S SOLITUDE 5 5 5 4 53 8 913½ (kenneally eddie)ACHARD ALEX 121 3.50 6.03  
RIVER REDEMPTION 8 3 3 31 42 9 1017½ (garcia genaro)MOJICA JR 121 15.00 35.28  
CLINT MAROON (GB) 4 1nk 2nk 2½ 1111¼ 1117½ 1140¼ (bourke david )GILLIGAN JACK 121 15.00 26% 2.90 43.10  
11  MOHAAFETH 10 117 11 115 1213¼ 1219½ 1241 (trujillo )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 12.00 21.82  
SCR  GREY STREAK               (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 30.00    
SCR  JUNGLE WARFARE               (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.