Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Sunday - December 11, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP JUSTICE Nov23 Nov08 Oct31 Oct10 Sep29 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 120 30.00    
2  KEEP SCROLLING Oct18 Sep15 Aug31 Aug17 Jul27 (walsh d)SANJUR SANTO 120 10.00 8% 11.70    
3  DEVILISH TRUTH Oct11 Sep22 Jun23 May31 May11 (lyster stephen )MOJICA JR 120 8.00 9% 10.20    
4  C V THUNDER Jul19 Jul06 Jun11 May27 May13 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 12.00    
5  KNOT WILD Nov22 Sep29 Sep16 Aug17 Jul29 (sandy s)MCKEE J 120 20.00    
6  ADMIRAL'S GARNET Nov22 Nov01 Oct20 Oct03 Sep26 (davis jose)CORRALES GERARDO 122 2.50    
7  BERTRADA Dec03 Nov01 Oct19 Oct10 Sep01 (helmbrec)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
8  CHINA STAR Oct10 Sep22 Sep06 Aug22 Jun24 (adams l)MUSARRO JOE 118 30.00    
9  QUEEN CORDELIA Nov28 Nov08 Oct12 Sep12 Aug23 (wells john )CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 4.00 18% 4.60    
10  FOUND MY MAN Nov22 Oct29 Sep28 Aug16 Jul13 (lauer micha)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 30.00    
11  SUPORB Nov16 Oct11 Sep29 Sep22 Aug31 (edwards will)HALDAR J 118 10.00    
12  MY ROSIE Oct25 Oct04 Sep01 Aug09 Jul20 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 118 10.00 7% 13.30    
 
TP-2   12/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMBIASO Nov23 Nov09 Sep28 Sep22 Aug27 (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00    
2  DINGMANN Oct21         (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00    
3  COLLECTORATE Nov19 Sep18 Aug27 Aug06 Jul08 (cook b)ROCCO S 122 15.00    
4  MAMBA FOREVER Oct22 Sep30 Aug28 Jul24   (west etha)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.00 6% 16.00    
5  OFFALY COOL Oct05         (vaughan edwar)CANNON DECLAN 122 15.00 ★    
6  OCEAN POINTE Sep30 Sep08       (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 122 4.50 10% 8.90    
7  INVASIVE Nov23         (kendall elise)MCKEE J 122 30.00    
8  MYTHOMANIA Oct05         (cowans william)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00    
9  LET IT RIDE CLYDE Dec02 Oct23       (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
10  MAGNIFICENT MILE Oct30 Oct01 Aug21     (brisset rodol)GILLIGAN JACK 122 2.50 58% 0.70    
11  LIFE AND LIGHT Oct27         (morey willia)RAMOS D 122 10.00    
 
TP-3   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 2 F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FUEL SURCHARGE Jul19         (mccarth)DE CRUZ 119 3.50 22% 3.50    
2  SIMPERING SMILE Nov24 Oct21 Sep09     (asmussen)RODRIGUEZ A 112 3.00 13% 6.50    
3  DARTIGA         (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 119 12.00 8% 11.20    
4  BASILICA D ORO Oct21 Sep29 Sep05 Aug14 Jul17 (orantes r)MILLER CHASE 119 20.00    
5  PRINCESS TONI Dec02 Nov12 Nov02 Sep23   (hernandez ja)HALDAR J 119 30.00    
6  SURE ENOUGH Nov11 Oct21 Sep02 Aug14   (van berg )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 8.00    
7  VICTORY'S FLAME Nov02 Sep26       (corr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 119 8.00    
8  PRICELESS PICTURE Oct10 Sep21       (anderson su)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 30.00    
9  GO ON GIRL Dec03 Nov12 Oct20 Aug03 Jul26 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 119 2.50 ★    
10  MARTZ CREEK MUSIC Nov17 Nov10 Oct31 Oct05   (platt noah)HISBY RONALD 119 30.00    
11  ONTOTHENEXT Sep23         (kenneally eddi)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
12  MIDNIGHT XO Nov22 Sep26 Sep14 Aug26 Jul17 (hancock dana)BAYS BROOKE 109 20.00    
SCR  HER TIME IS NOW         (vanden berg )LANDEROS CHRIS 119 5.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  GULF BENDER Nov12 Jul26       (rivelli lar)CHIRINOS ROIMES 119 12.00    
 
TP-4   12/11/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNAWAY MOM Dec03 Oct21 Aug28 Jul22 Jul08 (kinmon keit)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 12.00    
2  LOOKIN TO FLY Oct13 Sep05 Aug12 Jul16   (sharp joe)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 3.00 17% 4.90    
3  MS MERRABEL Oct27 Oct11 Sep16 Sep02 Aug17 (ennis john)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00 9% 9.90    
4  WILD TAPIT Nov23 Nov09 Oct24 Oct04 Sep22 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 121 10.00    
5  NOTREALLYNOTREALLY Nov09 Sep27 Aug30 Aug10 Jul21 (grubbs ja)BERMUDEZ E 121 15.00    
6  HOT HEELS Nov09 Oct10 Aug10 Jul22 Mar03 (fletcher kevi)LEBRON VICTOR 121 10.00 15% 5.60    
SCR  IPSUM GRATUS Nov11 Jun24 May26 Apr08 Feb20 (van berg )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 3.50 28% 2.60    
8  MISSAWLET Nov06 Oct16 Sep25 Aug13 Jul23 (milosevic m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 8.00    
9  BELLE OF ST. JOHN Sep28 Sep06 Aug18 Aug03 Jul19 (kahles ronal)HALDAR J 118 20.00    
10  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI Nov16 Oct15 Sep15 Aug25 Jun23 (garcia gen)CORRALES GERARDO 121 6.00    
11  SOUTHERN SKY Dec01 Nov20 Nov09 Oct10 Sep13 (royal madelyn)LEZCANO ABEL 118 20.00    
12  ETELKA Oct20 Sep20 Sep06 Jul26 Jun22 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 20.00 6% 14.50    
13  CROSSED UP Dec03 Oct10 Aug26 Aug12 Jul20 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 118 15.00    
 
TP-5   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VALIANT PRAISE Nov16 Oct22 Sep30 Sep03 Aug13 (mcpeek g)OUZTS W 119 3.50 22% 3.60    
2  YARN (IRE)         (arnold ge)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 15.00    
3  SHEWILLGHOSTU Jun22         (reed r)MCKEE J 119 15.00 7% 13.50    
4  STORY CHANNEL Nov16         (pinzon mari)CHIRINOS ROIMES 119 30.00    
5  DIVINE GRACE Nov12 Oct13 Aug10 Jul01 Jun03 (ewing a)MOJICA JR 119 15.00    
6  DINAH JO         (anderson su)FRANKLIN MALCOM 119 12.00    
7  ICY STARE Nov20         (hancock a)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 14% 6.00    
8  CALL ME TONI         (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 119 20.00    
9  NOM DE PLUME         (lobo h)RAMOS D 119 6.00 ★    
10  MISS J D Nov23         (hamilton sara)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00    
11  KISS IT GOODBYE         (romans dale)GILLIGAN JACK 119 15.00    
SCR  HOCKADAY GIRL         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
TP-6   12/11/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEN EXTRA Feb26 Jan29 Jan08     (romans dale)GILLIGAN JACK 122 10.00    
SCR  MO MONEY MO BETTA Oct30 Jul30       (rivera j)RODRIGUEZ A 115 30.00    
3  SON OF THUNDER         (toye l)FRANKLIN MALCOM 124 10.00 18% 4.60    
4  FABRICATOR         (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 122 15.00    
5  ICEATUDE Nov13 Oct29 Sep22     (kerric)CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 122 4.00 ★    
6  CODE VIOLATION         (pitts helen)ROCCO S 122 12.00    
7  WORKINFROMHOME Nov18 Nov06 Oct06 Sep18 Aug12 (guerrero sal)MILLER CHASE 124 30.00 ★    
8  BOURBON HEIST Aug21 Jul31 Jun05 May07 Apr09 (wilkes ia)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 1.80 56% 0.80    
SCR  CHARLESTON STRONG Oct20 Feb03       (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.50 ★    
10  PARK PLACE         (mccarthy mic)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 12.00    
 
TP-7   12/11/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KATE'S KINGDOM Oct22 Sep19 Aug13 Jun25 May21 (walden willia)GILLIGAN JACK 124 3.00 61% 0.60    
2  LASHARA (GB) Nov20 Oct28 Sep14 Aug06 Jul10 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  TEMPER TIME Nov24 Sep15 Aug14 Jul09 Jun04 (romans )DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
4  TAP DANCING LADY Nov24 Oct28 Sep15 Jul08 Jun18 (kahles ronald)MCKEE J 118 20.00    
5  GRAND AVE GIRL Sep25 Jun25 May08 Apr02 Mar20 (mcpeek kenneth)MACHADO LUAN 124 5.00 ★    
6  BURNING AMBITION Nov05 Sep14       (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.50 9% 9.60    
7  CHAMPAGNE LADY Oct20 Sep13 Jun25 May15 Mar25 (drury tho)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 6.00 6% 15.90    
8  CANDY RAID Nov25 Nov12 Jul09 Jun04 May06 (desormeau)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
SCR  COVER VERSION Oct29 Oct02 Sep18 Aug28 Jul04 (devaux cher)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 30.00    
10  HEAVENLY HELLOS Oct28 Sep05 Jul22 May18 Apr08 (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 122 50.00    
11  CHARDONNAY Oct20 Aug26 Aug03 Jul02 May19 (stidham micha)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
12  DIAMOND SOLITAIRE Nov14 Oct29 Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 (lyster steph)RAMOS D 120 30.00    
SCR  COMMANDANDCONTROL Dec01 Oct31 Oct11 Sep02 Aug05 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 120 30.00    
14  QUERIDINHA LECA Oct31 Sep22 Aug30 Jul19 Jun29 (lobo h)RAMOS D 118 15.00    
 
TP-8   12/11/2022 6600ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLANKET OF ROSES Oct09 Aug26 Jul21 Jul09 Jun17 (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 121 15.00    
2  SLICKED BACK Nov11 Oct03 Sep10 Jul01 May01 (glyshaw)DE CRUZ 121 15.00 9% 9.70    
3  TIBERIUS MERCURIUS Aug21 Jul14 Jul01 Apr23 Mar18 (maker michae)RAMOS D 121 2.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  GREY STREAK Nov09 Oct04 Aug06 Jun03 Mar02 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 30.00    
5  CLINT MAROON (GB) Nov07 Oct15 Sep06 Aug09 Jul27 (bourke david )GILLIGAN JACK 121 15.00 26% 2.90    
6  JAIS'S SOLITUDE Oct23 Sep10       (kenneally eddie)ACHARD ALEX 121 3.50    
7  OFFLEE NAUGHTY Nov02 Oct09 Aug21 Jul28 Jul01 (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00    
8  DESIGNER READY Sep29 Sep01 Jun24 May26 Apr23 (drury thoma)FRANKLIN MALCOM 118 15.00    
9  RIVER REDEMPTION Oct05 Aug23 Jul19 Jun23 May31 (garcia genaro)MOJICA JR 121 15.00 ★    
10  COMMON BOND Nov02 Sep30 Jul17 May22 Apr24 (reed r)MCKEE J 121 15.00    
11  MOHAAFETH Nov27 Jun18 May20 Apr16 Feb26 (trujillo )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 12.00    
12  FULL CHARGE Nov24 Nov02 Oct09 Aug15 Jul13 (west w)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00    
13  BEAR OAK Nov12 Oct27 Oct02 Sep08 Aug16 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  JUNGLE WARFARE Nov04 Oct03 May10 Mar26 Feb26 (romans dale)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.