Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turfway Park
Saturday - December 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
See original race card.
:23 :46 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIGHTROPE 4 1 1 1   12 1 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 32% 2.20 1.88 W
GALLANT GUY 8 5 6 4   22 2 (gonzale)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 4.58  
WELLMAN 3 2 2 2   3 3 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 8.00 9.27  
MEAN JAKEY 6 8 74 7   5 4 (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 118 5.00 4.92  
ARTIE'S LADY 1 4 43 6   4 5 (schwarm lou)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00 48.75  
LAKE TAHOE 7 3 3 3   65 611 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 109 8.00 15.69  
BAD LITTLE BEAST 5 7 9 9   9 711½ (londono odin)HALDAR J 120 12.00 13% 6.80 20.79  
CAMINERO 9 6 8 8   89 812¼ (gutierrez f)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 4.00 16% 5.20 11.35  
HOMETOWN HERO 2 9 53 5   7 913 (wong jona)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.00 14% 6.00 3.67  
 
TP-2   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
See original race card.
:223 :453 :574     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRAGON DREW 6 1 1 1   1 1 (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 3.31  
CUT GLASS 5 4 2 2   2 2 (howard john)PETERSON FERRIN 120 15.00 30.51  
12  GRAND HIDEAWAY 9 2 3 33   3 3 (reid davi)BERMUDEZ E 120 3.50 6% 14.50 3.17 S
ALIEN SEASON 3 6 8 7   46 4 (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 45% 1.20 1.65  
HEAVENLY TRIP 2 7 6 5   57 5 (kordenbrock m)LEBRON VICTOR 118 15.00 16.17  
EASY DOER 1 9 9 8   79 611¼ (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 120 12.00 17.63  
PLATINUM MAC 4 5 5 6   6 712¼ (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 120 20.00 79.04  
10  CAPTAIN MAD JACK 7 8 7 910   911½ 817¼ (radosevich s)MCKEE J 120 6.00 24% 3.20 10.38  
11  TAOS 8 3 4 43   89 917¼ (rodriquez reg)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 7.34  
SCR  ARMY SCOUT               (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 120 15.00    
SCR  FEELING IT               (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 110 30.00    
SCR  INTEND               (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
 
TP-3   12/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
See original race card.
:244 :494 1:142 1:393   1:462   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
A REAL HERO 6 6 10 83 5 31 1 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 114 6.00 6.43  
10  BLOODY MARY MORNIN 10 10 7 5 3 1nk 2 (matthews )BERMUDEZ E 121 3.00 62% 0.60 3.04 P
COMPLETE 8 8 6 6 6 4 3 (hammond ki)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.50 2.81 S
FORGLO 9 9 2nk 1nk 2 2nk 4 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 121 12.00 9.26  
MISS OXBOW 5 4 1nk 2nk 4 6 5 (cline c)OUZTS W 121 15.00 28.63  
THE BEAUTY'S TALE 1 1 8 10 9 8 65 (hammond)DE CRUZ 121 10.00 7.58  
PRETTY ASSETS 3 5 11 11 119 10 7 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00 16.18  
11  FASHION DIVA 11 11 4 3.2 1 5 8 (greenhill jef)BECKMAN ALICE 111 12.00 17.76  
SINGSONG BIRD 7 7 52 4 76 9 9 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 121 10.00 11.96  
I LIKEM 2 2 9 93 10 11 10 (shetron phy)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 6.00 12% 7.70 9.83  
DAIGLE 4 3 31 72 86 7 11 (meraz antoni)HALDAR J 121 12.00 24.00  
 
TP-4   12/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:141 1:39   1:454   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANT BE DOIN THAT 8 8 7 6 4 1½ 1¼ (toye kara )CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00 3.54  
YORK TAVERN 3 3 6 7 7 6 2¼ (devaux cherie)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 26% 2.80 3.24 P
FOREIGN RELATIONS 6 5 4 42 6 5 31 (murphy co)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 8.00 6% 16.50 3.62 S
VINTAGE YEAR 7 6 5 32 31 4¾ 4 (arnold )DE CRUZ 121 4.50 36% 1.80 6.33  
AQUACAT 2 2 11 1½ 1nk 2½ 5 (rodriguez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00 53.84  
BOLD LOOKER 1 1 3 5 5 7 66 (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00 4.61  
LAYTOWN 4 4 21 2½ 2nk 3½ 7 (walsh brenda)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 5.00 5% 18.90 6.64  
CAROOM 5 7 8 8 8 8 8 (catalano wa)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 6.00 12.04  
SCR  MO MONEY MO BETTA               (rivera j)RODRIGUEZ A 114 20.00    
 
TP-5   12/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:104     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STUBBORNKINDAFELLA 4 9 4 3.2   13 1 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 6.00 3.22  
ONE LAST HAND 8 4 2nk 1nk   34 2 (ennis john)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 8.00 8.69  
CASPER JUSTICE 2 12 7 5   23 37 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 118 6.00 27% 2.80 7.95 S
BRENTSPENCE 7 6 10 8   5 47 (langemeier j)RAMOS D 118 12.00 8.04  
RIGHT OF RUSH 5 8 9 9   6 5 (jazdzewski )CHIRINOS ROIMES 118 8.00 15.77  
12  CONTRACTOR BILL 12 2 6 6   8 6 (kelley james )LEBRON VICTOR 120 15.00 16.59  
11  DROP ANCHOR 11 3 3 4   4 710½ (cano mun)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00 4.26  
TOM'S LAST GENERAL 1 11 5 7   9 810½ (hernandez javi)SANJUR SANTO 120 15.00 11.73  
OFFUTT COLE 3 10 117 11   1011¾ 913¼ (ginter raymon)CANUTO THIAGO 118 4.00 9.26  
MASTER LEA 6 7 1nk 2nk   7 1014 (bahena ismae)HALDAR J 118 30.00 73.74  
10  SMOOTH TALKING MAN 10 1 8 10   1111¾ 1116½ (guida anthony )ELLIOTT JANE 120 12.00 73.44  
MOON HUNTER 9 5 129 12   1213¼ 1221 (catalano w)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 6.09  
SCR  ROCKET DAWG               (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 1.40 50% 1.00    
SCR  WIMOWEH               (gorostieta )MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 8.00    
 
TP-6   12/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:103     1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KOOLHAUS 9 4 7 53   2½ 1¾ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 42% 1.40 3.67 W
11  FLAGS UP 11 3 10 8   4 2¾ (baker jam)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 15.00 10.84  
UNPREDICTABLE BAY 7 6 11 11   1½ 35 (hammond kim)SANJUR SANTO 118 8.00 9.40  
12  STONEVICIOUS 12 2 32 42   55 4 (foster eric)RAMOS D 118 20.00 13.47  
WILLTORUN 1 8 21 21   3 5 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 25% 3.00 4.11  
PRIME FACTOR 3 11 6 6   7 66 (devaux cher)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 2.50 2.63  
MUTAKATIF (IRE) 5 10 9 9   8 7 (brown h)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00 5% 19.00 92.72  
AMICABLE (IRE) 2 12 1210¾ 12   10 87 (livers charli)BECKMAN ALICE 111 30.00 81.27  
TEQUILAS RANGER 4 9 8 10   9 9 (jones philli)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 20.00 33.52  
JUST SAY WHEN 6 5 42 32   65 10 (maker mic)BERMUDEZ E 118 8.00 7.97  
UNION GEN. GEORGE 8 7 11 11   1111¾ 1114¾ (delacour arn)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00 27.36  
10  ROGER MCQUEEN 10 1 5 75   1213¼ 1217 (rivelli larry)LEBRON VICTOR 118 10.00 11.54  
SCR  MOMOS               (trombet)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 7% 13.10    
SCR  MY BOY PADDY               (rivera justin)MUSARRO JOE 120 30.00    
 
TP-7   12/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:13 1:374   1:441   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN LOVE (BRZ) 1 1 3 32 32 32 1¾ (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 3.56  
CELLIST 6 6 8 7 5 7 2¾ (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 8.00 12.05  
11  PRICE TALK 11 7 4 42 42 11 3¾ (cox bra)DE CRUZ 124 4.50 42% 1.40 6.75 S
HERE MI SONG 9 12 9 8 84 5 4 (stinson w)BERMUDEZ E 120 6.00 11% 8.00 4.61  
ACCREDIT 3 8 12 1210 129 8 5 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 16% 5.30 8.25  
FIELD PASS 4 3 1nk 1½ 11 21 63 (maker michae)RAMOS D 124 6.00 4.60  
BEATBOX 5 5 53 6 6 6 73 (devaux cherie)CANNON DECLAN 124 8.00 6.46  
MAX EXPRESS 8 10 11 10 10 10 8 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 124 30.00 74.34  
HOZIER 7 4 2nk 2½ 21 42 95 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 124 10.00 15.94  
UNDERDRESSED 2 2 10 118 118 9 10 (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 118 50.00 81.75  
12  DOUBLE CROWN 12 11 64 54 7 12 11 (cash l)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 10% 9.40 26.89  
10  B DAWK 10 9 7 9 9 11 12 (mora leandro)LEZCANO ABEL 118 10.00 13.48  
SCR  SPACE FORCE WON               (glyshaw tim)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 50.00    
SCR  TARTUFO               (vaccare)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
 
TP-8   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 4:15
See original race card.
:231 :471 :593     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  WILMA MANKILLER 9 1 31 2nk   1½ 1 (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00 19% 4.20 2.47 W
12  SHEMADEMEBLUSH 11 4 7 31   2½ 2 (greenhill je)RAMOS D 122 15.00 15.24  
AFFRONT 5 7 5 53   43 3 (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00 18.51  
MS. THE LAW 6 6 1½ 1nk   3 4 (estvanko ri)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 12.00 24.23  
RHYTHM FOREVER 1 9 11 11   6 5 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 122 30.00 81.49  
SMOOTH LIKE ICE 4 5 41 42   5 6 (hamilton sarah)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 5.04  
11  TAMARA'S WAY 10 11 10 9   77 7 (demeritte lar)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.50 19% 4.10 3.16  
CATCHA LATER MO 7 2 2½ 6   87 812 (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 12.00 15.97  
RUN AND GUN 2 8 9 75   9 912½ (wilkes )DE CRUZ 122 8.00 10.04  
SPUNK 3 10 8 10   10 1015½ (garcia genar)HALDAR J 122 10.00 28.31  
CRAZY FACE 8 3 6 8   1110¾ 1126 (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.00 25% 3.00 4.84  
SCR  ANDREA BEACH               (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RISING HEAT               (stidham michael)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  TIMELY SECRET               (corrigan jim)ELLIOTT JANE 122 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.