Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Saturday - December 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARTIE'S LADY Dec03 Nov10 Jun11     (schwarm lou)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
2  HOMETOWN HERO Nov25 Nov03 Oct07 Sep10 Aug19 (wong jona)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 3.00 14% 6.00    
3  WELLMAN Oct28 Sep13 Aug11 Jul05 Apr23 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 8.00    
4  TIGHTROPE Nov27 Apr09       (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 32% 2.20    
5  BAD LITTLE BEAST Nov16 Oct06 Sep15 Aug16 Jul13 (londono odin)HALDAR J 120 12.00 13% 6.80    
6  MEAN JAKEY Oct28 Sep22 Jul08 Jun19 May07 (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 118 5.00    
7  LAKE TAHOE Nov17 Sep16 Aug08 Jul09 May26 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 109 8.00 ★    
8  GALLANT GUY Nov23 Oct23 May30 Apr09 Mar04 (gonzale)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
9  CAMINERO Nov17 Oct09 Aug13 Jul17 Jun09 (gutierrez f)LAGUNES GABRIEL 118 4.00 16% 5.20    
 
TP-2   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INTEND Nov14 Oct31 Oct24 Sep20 Aug23 (elliott)DE CRUZ 120 15.00    
2  EASY DOER Nov30 Oct27 Oct07 Sep30 Sep16 (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 120 12.00    
3  HEAVENLY TRIP Oct11 Sep21 Aug19 Jul29 Jul07 (kordenbrock m)LEBRON VICTOR 118 15.00    
SCR  FEELING IT Dec08 Oct13 Oct05 Sep01 Aug18 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 110 30.00    
SCR  ARMY SCOUT Dec08 Oct24 Oct04 Sep14 Aug22 (esquivel jes)HALDAR J 120 15.00    
6  ALIEN SEASON Sep09         (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
7  PLATINUM MAC Oct07 Aug26 Aug02 Jul15 Jun24 (helmbrech)BETANCOURT RONNEY 120 20.00    
8  CUT GLASS Nov02 Sep14 Aug23 Aug11 Jul28 (howard john)PETERSON FERRIN 120 15.00    
9  DRAGON DREW Dec08 Oct20 Sep30 Sep09 Aug23 (anderson susan)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 ★    
10  CAPTAIN MAD JACK Oct26 Oct13 Oct05 Sep26 Sep20 (radosevich s)MCKEE J 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
11  TAOS Nov04 Nov01 Oct16 Oct11 Oct02 (rodriquez reg)CANUTO THIAGO 120 8.00 ★    
12  GRAND HIDEAWAY Nov26 Nov13 Oct21 Sep30 Aug16 (reid davi)BERMUDEZ E 120 3.50 6% 14.50    
 
TP-3   12/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE BEAUTY'S TALE Dec02 Nov23 Nov01 Oct10 Aug16 (hammond)DE CRUZ 121 10.00    
2  I LIKEM Mar24 Mar03       (shetron phy)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 6.00 12% 7.70    
3  PRETTY ASSETS Oct29 Oct03 Sep14 Aug03 Jun08 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00    
4  DAIGLE Dec04 Nov13 Oct23 Oct02 Sep07 (meraz antoni)HALDAR J 121 12.00    
5  MISS OXBOW Aug31 Jul26 Jun22 May26 May07 (cline c)OUZTS W 121 15.00    
6  A REAL HERO Dec02 Oct20 Sep13 Aug09 Jul21 (cano jua)RODRIGUEZ A 114 6.00 ★    
7  SINGSONG BIRD Dec02 Oct21 Aug25 Jul14 Jun09 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 121 10.00 ★    
8  COMPLETE Dec03 Nov23 Nov01 Aug29 Aug16 (hammond ki)CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.50 ★    
9  FORGLO Dec03 Nov15 Oct10 Sep29 Sep13 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 121 12.00    
10  BLOODY MARY MORNIN Oct10 Aug24 Aug03 Jul18 Jun30 (matthews )BERMUDEZ E 121 3.00 62% 0.60    
11  FASHION DIVA Nov15 Oct12 Sep15 Jul19 Jun16 (greenhill jef)BECKMAN ALICE 111 12.00    
 
TP-4   12/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD LOOKER Nov03 Sep23 Aug28 Jul29 Jul03 (wilkes r)CANNON DECLAN 121 6.00 ★    
2  AQUACAT Sep25 Aug05 Jun24 Apr28   (rodriguez)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 15.00    
3  YORK TAVERN Nov03 Sep18 Jul16 Jun08   (devaux cherie)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 26% 2.80    
4  LAYTOWN Nov13 Sep23 Aug05     (walsh brenda)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 5.00 5% 18.90    
5  CAROOM Nov30 Oct22       (catalano wa)CHIRINOS ROIMES 121 6.00    
SCR  MO MONEY MO BETTA Oct30 Jul30       (rivera j)RODRIGUEZ A 114 20.00    
7  FOREIGN RELATIONS         (murphy co)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 8.00 6% 16.50    
8  VINTAGE YEAR Nov11 Sep10 Aug10 Jul14 May30 (arnold )DE CRUZ 121 4.50 36% 1.80    
9  CANT BE DOIN THAT Nov27 Nov03       (toye kara )CORRALES GERARDO 121 3.00    
 
TP-5   12/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOM'S LAST GENERAL Nov25 Oct30 Oct20 Oct02 Jun11 (hernandez javi)SANJUR SANTO 120 15.00 ★    
2  CASPER JUSTICE Dec07 Nov22 Nov03 Oct20 Sep22 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 118 6.00 27% 2.80    
3  OFFUTT COLE Dec08 Oct26 Sep21 Jul15 Jun18 (ginter raymon)CANUTO THIAGO 118 4.00 ★    
4  STUBBORNKINDAFELLA Dec07 Oct26 Aug17 Jul24 Jun01 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 118 6.00 ★    
5  RIGHT OF RUSH Nov27 Nov02 Oct09 Sep21 Jun18 (jazdzewski )CHIRINOS ROIMES 118 8.00    
6  MASTER LEA Oct26 Sep27 Aug30 Aug16 Aug02 (bahena ismae)HALDAR J 118 30.00    
7  BRENTSPENCE Nov23 Nov02 Oct18 Sep12 Aug25 (langemeier j)RAMOS D 118 12.00    
8  ONE LAST HAND Mar12 Feb12 Jan16     (ennis john)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 8.00    
9  MOON HUNTER Nov12 Oct20 Sep25 Sep03 Aug14 (catalano w)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00    
10  SMOOTH TALKING MAN Nov23 Nov02 Oct13 Sep28 Aug24 (guida anthony )ELLIOTT JANE 120 12.00    
11  DROP ANCHOR Nov11 Oct02 Sep16 Aug23 Jul21 (cano mun)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00    
12  CONTRACTOR BILL Nov03 Oct06 Aug22 Jul22 Jul12 (kelley james )LEBRON VICTOR 120 15.00    
SCR  WIMOWEH Dec07 Oct27 Oct06     (gorostieta )MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 8.00    
SCR  ROCKET DAWG Dec02         (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 118 1.40 50% 1.00    
 
TP-6   12/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILLTORUN Nov17 Oct16 Aug21     (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
2  AMICABLE (IRE) Dec03 Nov15 Oct29 Oct13 Sep22 (livers charli)BECKMAN ALICE 111 30.00    
3  PRIME FACTOR Oct27 Aug10 May15 Mar05 Jan23 (devaux cher)CHIRINOS ROIMES 120 2.50    
4  TEQUILAS RANGER Sep16 Aug25 Jul21 Jul01 Jun12 (jones philli)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 20.00    
5  MUTAKATIF (IRE) Nov11 Sep05 Aug22 Jul17 Jun23 (brown h)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  JUST SAY WHEN Nov20 Sep11 Jul14 May19 Feb23 (maker mic)BERMUDEZ E 118 8.00 ★    
7  UNPREDICTABLE BAY Dec03 Nov09 Nov02 Oct17 Oct05 (hammond kim)SANJUR SANTO 118 8.00    
8  UNION GEN. GEORGE         (delacour arn)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 15.00    
9  KOOLHAUS Jun17 May12 Mar24 Feb28 Jan23 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.50 42% 1.40    
10  ROGER MCQUEEN Nov21         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00    
11  FLAGS UP Nov24 Oct28 Sep24 Aug20 Jun19 (baker jam)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 15.00    
12  STONEVICIOUS Nov24 Oct28 Oct14 Apr02 Feb26 (foster eric)RAMOS D 118 20.00    
SCR  MY BOY PADDY Nov14 Oct22 Sep09 Aug05   (rivera justin)MUSARRO JOE 120 30.00    
SCR  MOMOS Nov06 Oct09 Sep08 Jul03 Jun08 (trombet)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 7% 13.10    
 
TP-7   12/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC2 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IN LOVE (BRZ) Nov13 Oct15 Sep01 Jun11 Apr15 (lobo paulo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00    
2  UNDERDRESSED Nov12 Sep29 Sep01 Aug22 Jul14 (hernandez rey)SANJUR SANTO 118 50.00    
3  ACCREDIT Dec01 Oct14 Sep14 Sep01   (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 120 10.00 16% 5.30    
4  FIELD PASS Oct09 Sep14 Sep10 Aug13 Jul16 (maker michae)RAMOS D 124 6.00 ★    
5  BEATBOX Apr02 Feb19 Jan16     (devaux cherie)CANNON DECLAN 124 8.00    
6  CELLIST Oct14 Aug13 Jul27 May21 Apr27 (arnold georg)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 8.00    
7  HOZIER Nov13 Oct03 Sep05 Aug06 Jul15 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 124 10.00    
8  MAX EXPRESS Nov24 Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 Jun23 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 124 30.00    
9  HERE MI SONG Nov11 Oct19 Sep15 Aug26 Jul24 (stinson w)BERMUDEZ E 120 6.00 11% 8.00    
10  B DAWK Nov04 Oct22 Sep24 Jul29 Jun19 (mora leandro)LEZCANO ABEL 118 10.00    
11  PRICE TALK Sep25 Aug06 Jul11 Jun02 May13 (cox bra)DE CRUZ 124 4.50 42% 1.40    
12  DOUBLE CROWN Dec03 Oct29 Oct22 Sep24 Aug22 (cash l)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 10% 9.40    
SCR  SPACE FORCE WON Nov22 Nov08 Oct26 Sep29 Sep09 (glyshaw tim)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 50.00    
SCR  TARTUFO Nov27 Apr23 Apr02 Feb12   (vaccare)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
 
TP-8   12/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 2 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RHYTHM FOREVER Nov17 Oct31 Aug31 Aug02 Jul04 (fontenot )BERMUDEZ E 122 30.00    
2  RUN AND GUN Oct22 Aug10 Jul04     (wilkes )DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
3  SPUNK Nov20 Nov06 Aug14 Jul24   (garcia genar)HALDAR J 122 10.00    
4  SMOOTH LIKE ICE Nov20 Nov10 Oct13 Sep05   (hamilton sarah)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00    
5  AFFRONT         (hernandez rey)LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00    
SCR  ANDREA BEACH         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MS. THE LAW Oct21         (estvanko ri)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 12.00    
8  CATCHA LATER MO Nov22 Oct27 Oct04 Sep09 Aug20 (hancock dan)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 12.00    
9  CRAZY FACE Nov10         (maker michae)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
10  WILMA MANKILLER Oct14 Aug03 Jul19     (rivelli la)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
11  TAMARA'S WAY Nov10 Oct26       (demeritte lar)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.50 19% 4.10    
12  SHEMADEMEBLUSH Oct26         (greenhill je)RAMOS D 122 15.00    
SCR  RISING HEAT         (stidham michael)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00 9% 10.50    
SCR  TIMELY SECRET Dec03 Nov20 Aug10 Jul19   (corrigan jim)ELLIOTT JANE 122 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.