Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Aqueduct
Saturday - December 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   12/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT-11:50
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:12     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC LEGACY 4 2 21 21   11 1 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 1.60 0.30  
YORKSHIRE PRINCE 2 3 3 3   21 2 (morley thomas)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 10.30 P
ONE BITE 1 1 44 4   3 36 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 119 10.00 27% 2.70 10.00 S
BEARINGS 3 4 5 511½   514 414 (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 9.80  
BATTLEFIELD PARK 5 5 11 11   43 514 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 4.70  
SCR  POWER IN NUMBERS               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 46% 1.20    
 
AQU-2   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :582     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDTOWN LIGHTS 6 4 4¾ 21   1½ 1 (cox h)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 46% 1.20 1.25 W
FEMA FUNDS 5 1 1½ 11   2½ 2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 6.00 P
LOON CRY 4 2 3½ 3   3 3 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 28% 2.50 4.60 S
SWEET LIBERTY 1 5 2½ 4   4 4 (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 8.30  
HAPPY'S SMILE 3 6 6 5   59 510¼ (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 4.00 11.20  
MIDNIGHT ROSIE 8 7 7 611½   610 612¼ (englehart jeffr)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 7.10  
PRETTY MISS KEENS 2 3 5 717½   718 721½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 8.90  
BANDULU QUEEN 7 8 810¾ 820   819½ 822¼ (clarke dylan)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 53.25  
 
AQU-3   12/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT-12:52
See original race card.
:22 :444 1:112     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVA BANKER 5 5 4 2   1nk 1¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50 9% 10.50 2.15 W
QUALITY STONES 4 2 1 1   2nk 2¼ (quic)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.00 2.65 P
BEAUTIFUL KAREN 3 1 2 33   35 3 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 22% 3.50 3.70 S
1A  VIRADIA 2 4 32 43   4 410 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 24% 3.20 2.25  
DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS 1 3 5 57   58 510 (jones ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 12% 7.00 10.50  
SCR  DAT DARES GOLD               (magee kie)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
SCR  SWEET MAEVE               (johnson )DAVIS A 118 30.00    
SCR  THAT IS KEY               (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50    
 
AQU-4   12/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:221 :452 1:104     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) 6 1 22 2nk   15 110½ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 122 2.50 12% 7.50 1.35 W
STEERAGE 7 3 3 31   35 210½ (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 13% 6.80 4.90 P
CENTRAL PRIDE 5 4 5 55   57 310½ (terranova joh)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 3.60 S
HEREBY 1 6 68 6   610½ 412¾ (brown r)ORTIZ L 124 12.00 11.60  
CLASH A. J. 3 5 44 4   4 513½ (jone)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 15.00 5.50  
CHIEF ENGINEER 4 2 12 1nk   25 613¾ (cash russell )PANAIJO JORGE 122 5.00 11.50  
QUACKENBUSH 2 7 718½ 720½   720½ 724 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 12.30  
SCR  CALLALOO               (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.00 40% 1.50    
 
AQU-5   12/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:103     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILTON THE MONSTER 8 7 2½ 2½   2½ 1½ (servis c)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 16% 5.40 1.45 W
1A  MONDAY MORNING QB 6 4 1½ 1½   1½ 2½ (cash norman )BATISTA A 122 3.00 30% 2.40 4.70  
HERO TIGER 2 2 4 44   3 32 (kirby t)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 19% 4.40 3.80 S
BOURBONIC 3 8 812¾ 815   8 44 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 6.00  
TURN OF EVENTS 5 3 7 77   66 5 (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 16% 5.30 10.30  
KADRI 1 6 54 5   45 6 (cash l)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 4.70  
CASH NOW 7 5 3½ 3   5 7 (skelton dawn)HARKIE K 122 30.00 46.25  
AMERICAN GENTLEMAN 4 1 6 6   77 814¾ (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50 5.40  
 
AQU-6   12/03/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 2 F PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:142 1:401   1:53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIA SHINING 3 5 66 68 65 2nk 1¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 0.60 34% 2.00 0.55 W
  (by CURLIN out of DREAMING OF JULIA by A.P. INDY)
AFFIRMATIVE LADY 5 2 5 56 53 1nk 2¼ (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 7.10 P
  (by ARROGATE out of STIFFED by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
GAMBLING GIRL 6 7 77 7 7 3.2 31 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 14% 6.30 9.40 S
  (by DIALED IN out of TULIPMANIA by EMPIRE MAKER)
ROYAL SPA 2 4 2 2½ 21 4¾ 4 (brisset rodolp)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 8% 11.90 10.90  
  (by VIOLENCE out of BODACIOUS BABE by MINESHAFT)
LA VITA SOFIA 4 3 32 3 31 6 510½ (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 19.60  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SKINNER BOX by FREUD)
FOGGY NIGHT 1 6 42 4 4 5 616¼ (reid robert )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 5.00 23% 3.30 4.30  
  (by KHOZAN out of SETTLING SEAS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
TRIBAL QUEEN 7 1 1 1½ 11 7 730¼ (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 37.25  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TRIBAL PARTY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
AQU-7   12/03/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:121 1:372   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUBYUHNELL 7 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 1nk 1½ (gargan danny)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 4.00  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of WILD GAMS by FOREST WILDCAT)
ARCTIC ARROGANCE 4 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2nk 2½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 2.30 P
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of MODEST MAVEN by UNCLE MO)
TUSKEGEE AIRMEN 2 6 52 5 32 37 311¾ (servis c)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.60 61% 0.60 1.35 S
  (by STREET SENSE out of LUCKY COVER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
QUICK TO ACCUSE 6 4 4 31 6 717¼ 428 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 9.40  
  (by ACCELERATE out of SPEIGHTFUL AFFAIR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
MIDNIGHT TROUBLE 5 5 6 63 53 516½ 529 (walder peter)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00 12% 7.30 13.50  
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of ZARLEEZA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
IL MIRACOLO 1 7 7 7 7 617 631 (sano antonio)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 12.80  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TAPIT'S WORLD by TAPIT)
PROVE RIGHT 3 2 3 42 42 415 732 (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 30.75  
  (by JUSTIFY out of JOE'SGOLDENHOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
AQU-8   12/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:223 :45 1:093     1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR B 6 1 1½ 1½ 1 13 1 (reid e)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 7% 12.90 3.15 W
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BOLEYN by PROUD CITIZEN)
10  BANK STING 9 3 31 31 2 23 2 (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.00 22% 3.50 2.10 P
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BEE IN A BONNET by PRECISE END)
BETSY BLUE 7 5 5 53 44 37 38 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 8% 11.40 5.80 S
  (by TONALIST out of HONEST TO BETSY by YONAGUSKA)
FLIGHT TO SHANGHAI 8 2 2½ 2½ 3 410 414¾ (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 121 20.00 72.75  
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of WORLD EVENT by QUIET AMERICAN)
LOVE IN THE AIR 1 8 64 6 5 513 514¾ (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LOVELY SYN by SYNASTRY)
EXOTIC WEST 2 9 8 87 68 613½ 615½ (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 123 20.00 22.90  
  (by HARD SPUN out of MISS PERSONALITY by EL PRADO (IRE))
11  TONAL VISION 10 6 108 98 810 714½ 721¾ (guerrero j )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00 32.25  
  (by TONALIST out of APRIL CLOSING by DEFRERE)
BATTLE BLING 3 10 7 7 7 816 824¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.00 35% 1.80 3.65  
  (by VANCOUVER (GB) out of SOLEIL ROUGE by E DUBAI)
W W FITZY 4 7 9 1010½ 1014 919 929½ (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 121 15.00 30.25  
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of STORMY FITZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SELF ISOLATION 5 4 42 43 913½ 1021 1038 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 121 10.00 16.00  
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of LOAN SAVANT by SPRING AT LAST)
SCR  SHARAPOVA               (eurton peter)VELAZQUEZ R 123 12.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of LONG KISS GOODBYE by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
AQU-9   12/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($750K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:111     1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIND CONTROL 6 3 2 2 2nk 2nk 1nk (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 3.15  
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of FEEL THAT FIRE by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER)
GET HER NUMBER 4 4 3 3 3.2 1nk 2nk (miller peter)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 23% 3.30 8.50 P
  (by DIALED IN out of FANCIER by BERNSTEIN)
WHITE ABARRIO 3 2 4 43 4¾ 3½ 3½ (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 3.65  
  (by RACE DAY out of CATCHING DIAMONDS by INTO MISCHIEF)
ZANDON 2 6 5 5 5 4 4 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.00 26% 2.80 0.70  
  (by UPSTART out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
OUTLIER 5 5 1 1 1nk 53 5 (cash norman )BATISTA A 115 30.00 58.75  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of TOUGH ISSIE by GOOD AND TOUGH)
DOUBLE CROWN 1 1 64 64 6 67 610 (cash l)ACOSTA D 119 15.00 18% 4.50 26.50  
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of TWO COLUMBUS by TWO PUNCH)
SCR  O BESOS               (foley greg)ORTIZ L 119 99.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ORB out of SNUGGS AND KISSES by SOTO (VEN))
 
AQU-10   12/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:102     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL TRYST 5 6 88 7   5 1½ (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 8.00 10.10  
TENEBRIS 3 1 11 1nk   2nk 2½ (tessore )GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.50 31% 2.20 2.45 P
MAJOR SPIN 4 2 21 2nk   1nk 3¾ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 18% 4.70 2.60 S
COLLOQUY 1 4 3 42   43 4 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 15.10  
GASLIGHT 8 3 42 3   3 5 (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 13% 6.70 4.50  
SKYLANDER 6 8 76 68   66 6 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 12.10  
SEMPER FIDELIS 7 7 66 810½   711 7 (taylor joseph)ACOSTA D 120 15.00 23.60  
WHAT A DUDE 2 5 54 5   816½ 821¼ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 4.50  
SCR  BE THE BOSS               (walder peter)CASTELLANO J 120 3.00 13% 6.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.