The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

Aqueduct
Saturday - December 03, 2022

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AQU-1   12/03/2022 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT-11:50
:23 :464 1:12     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSIC LEGACY 4 2 21 21   11 1(mott i)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 1.60 0.30  
YORKSHIRE PRINCE 2 3 3 3   21 2(morley thomas)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 10.30 P
ONE BITE 1 1 44 4   336 (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 119 10.00 27% 2.70 10.00 S
BEARINGS 3 4 5 511½   514 414 (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 9.80  
BATTLEFIELD PARK 5 5 11 11   43 514 (mcgaughey iii)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 4.70  
SCR  POWER IN NUMBERS               (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 46% 1.20    
 
AQU-2   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($70K) 2 F PT-12:20
:222 :454 :582     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDTOWN LIGHTS 6 4 4¾ 21   1½ 1(cox h)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 46% 1.20 1.25 W
FEMA FUNDS 5 1 1½ 11   2½ 2(rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 6.00 P
LOON CRY 4 2 3½ 3   33(clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 28% 2.50 4.60 S
SWEET LIBERTY 1 5 2½ 4   44(quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 8.30  
HAPPY'S SMILE 3 6 6 5   59 510¼ (baker charlton)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 4.00 11.20  
MIDNIGHT ROSIE 8 7 7 611½   610 612¼ (englehart s)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00 7.10  
PRETTY MISS KEENS 2 3 5 717½   718 721½ (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 8.90  
BANDULU QUEEN 7 8 810¾ 820   819½ 822¼ (clarke dylan)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 53.25  
 
AQU-3   12/03/2022 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT-12:52
:22 :444 1:112     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVA BANKER 5 5 4 2   1nk 1¼ (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50 9% 10.50 2.15 W
QUALITY STONES 4 2 1 1   2nk 2¼ (quick j)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.00 2.65 P
BEAUTIFUL KAREN 3 1 2 33   35 3(rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 22% 3.50 3.70 S
1A  VIRADIA 2 4 32 43   4410 (englehart s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 24% 3.20 2.25  
DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS 1 3 5 57   58 510 (jones e)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 12% 7.00 10.50  
SCR  DAT DARES GOLD               (magee kieron)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
SCR  SWEET MAEVE               (johnson cleveland)DAVIS A 118 30.00    
SCR  THAT IS KEY               (englehart s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50    
 
AQU-4   12/03/2022 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
:221 :452 1:104     1:174   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUILT TO LAST 6 1 22 2nk   15 110½ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 122 2.50 12% 7.50 1.35 W
STEERAGE 7 3 3 31   35 210½ (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 13% 6.80 4.90 P
CENTRAL PRIDE 5 4 5 55   57 310½ (terranova p)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 3.60 S
HEREBY 1 6 68 6   610½ 412¾ (brown r)ORTIZ L 124 12.00 11.60  
CLASH A. J. 3 5 44 4   4513½ (jones e)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 15.00 5.50  
CHIEF ENGINEER 4 2 12 1nk   25 613¾ (cash j)PANAIJO JORGE 122 5.00 11.50  
QUACKENBUSH 2 7 718½ 720½   720½ 724 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00 12.30  
SCR  CALLALOO               (donk david)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.00 40% 1.50    
 
AQU-5   12/03/2022 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
:223 :451 1:103     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILTON THE MONSTER 8 7 2½ 2½   2½ 1½ (servis c)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 16% 5.40 1.45 W
1A  MONDAY MORNING QB 6 4 1½ 1½   1½ 2½ (cash l)BATISTA A 122 3.00 30% 2.40 4.70  
HERO TIGER 2 2 4 44   332 (kirby t)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 19% 4.40 3.80 S
BOURBONIC 3 8 812¾ 815   844 (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00 6.00  
TURN OF EVENTS 5 3 7 77   66 5(falcone n)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 16% 5.30 10.30  
KADRI 1 6 54 5   45 6(cash l)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 4.70  
CASH NOW 7 5 3½ 3   57(skelton dawn)HARKIE K 122 30.00 46.25  
AMERICAN GENTLEMAN 4 1 6 6   77 814¾ (rodriguez gustavo)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50 5.40  
 
AQU-6   12/03/2022 5940ft DIRT SLOPPY Grade II Stake/Handicap   Purse ($250K) 2 F PT- 2:16
:243 :492 1:142 1:401   1:53   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIA SHINING 3 5 66 68 65 2nk 1¼ (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 0.60 34% 2.00 0.55 W
AFFIRMATIVE LADY 5 2 5 56 53 1nk 2¼ (motion graham)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 7.10 P
GAMBLING GIRL 6 7 77 7 7 3.2 31 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 14% 6.30 9.40 S
ROYAL SPA 2 4 2 2½ 21 4¾ 4(brisset rodolphe)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 8% 11.90 10.90  
LA VITA SOFIA 4 3 32 3 31 6510½ (rodriguez r)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00 19.60  
FOGGY NIGHT 1 6 42 4 4 5616¼ (reid e)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 5.00 23% 3.30 4.30  
TRIBAL QUEEN 7 1 1 1½ 11 7730¼ (dutrow w)CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00 37.25  
 
AQU-7   12/03/2022 5940ft DIRT SLOPPY Grade II Stake/Handicap   Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
:242 :481 1:121 1:372   1:504   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUBYUHNELL 7 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 1nk 1½ (gargan danny)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 4.00  
ARCTIC ARROGANCE 4 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 2nk 2½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 2.30 P
TUSKEGEE AIRMEN 2 6 52 5 32 37 311¾ (servis c)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.60 61% 0.60 1.35 S
QUICK TO ACCUSE 6 4 4 31 6 717¼ 428 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 9.40  
MIDNIGHT TROUBLE 5 5 6 63 53 516½ 529 (walder r)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00 12% 7.30 13.50  
IL MIRACOLO 1 7 7 7 7 617 631 (sano antonio)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00 12.80  
PROVE RIGHT 3 2 3 42 42 415 732 (chapman k)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00 30.75  
 
AQU-8   12/03/2022 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Grade III Stake/Handicap   Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
:223 :45 1:093     1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR B 6 1 1½ 1½ 1 13 1(reid e)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 7% 12.90 3.15 W
10  BANK STING 9 3 31 31 2 23 2(terranova p)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.00 22% 3.50 2.10 P
BETSY BLUE 7 5 5 53 44 37 38 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 8% 11.40 5.80 S
FLIGHT TO SHANGHAI 8 2 2½ 2½ 3 410 414¾ (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 121 20.00 72.75  
LOVE IN THE AIR 1 8 64 6 5 513 514¾ (servis c)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 10.00 5% 19.00 9.70  
EXOTIC WEST 2 9 8 87 68 613½ 615½ (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 123 20.00 22.90  
11  TONAL VISION 10 6 108 98 810 714½ 721¾ (guerrero carlos)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00 32.25  
BATTLE BLING 3 10 7 7 7 816 824¾ (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.00 35% 1.80 3.65  
W W FITZY 4 7 9 1010½ 1014 919 929½ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 121 15.00 30.25  
SELF ISOLATION 5 4 42 43 913½ 1021 1038 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 121 10.00 16.00  
SCR  SHARAPOVA               (eurton peter)VELAZQUEZ R 123 12.00    
 
AQU-9   12/03/2022 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Grade I Stake/Handicap   Purse ($750K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
:231 :463 1:111     1:353   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIND CONTROL 6 3 2 2 2nk 2nk 1nk (pletcher a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 3.15  
GET HER NUMBER 4 4 3 3 3.2 1nk 2nk (miller peter)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 23% 3.30 8.50 P
WHITE ABARRIO 3 2 4 43 4¾ 3½ 3½ (joseph a)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50 3.65  
ZANDON 2 6 5 5 5 44(brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.00 26% 2.80 0.70  
OUTLIER 5 5 1 1 1nk 53 5(cash l)BATISTA A 115 30.00 58.75  
DOUBLE CROWN 1 1 64 64 6 67 610 (cash l)ACOSTA D 119 15.00 18% 4.50 26.50  
SCR  O BESOS               (foley greg)ORTIZ L 119 99.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-10   12/03/2022 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
:224 :453 1:102     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL TRYST 5 6 88 7   51½ (arenas marcelo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 8.00 10.10  
TENEBRIS 3 1 11 1nk   2nk 2½ (tessore bruno)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.50 31% 2.20 2.45 P
MAJOR SPIN 4 2 21 2nk   1nk 3¾ (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 18% 4.70 2.60 S
COLLOQUY 1 4 3 42   43 4(de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 15.10  
GASLIGHT 8 3 42 3   35(quick j)LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 13% 6.70 4.50  
SKYLANDER 6 8 76 68   66 6(englehart s)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 12.10  
SEMPER FIDELIS 7 7 66 810½   711 7(taylor joseph)ACOSTA D 120 15.00 23.60  
WHAT A DUDE 2 5 54 5   816½ 821¼ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 4.50  
SCR  BE THE BOSS               (walder r)CASTELLANO J 120 3.00 13% 6.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.