Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Saturday - December 03, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   12/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 ALL PT-11:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE BITE Oct18 Sep24       (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 119 10.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  POWER IN NUMBERS         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 1.80 46% 1.20    
3  YORKSHIRE PRINCE Oct22         (morley thomas)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 ★    
4  BEARINGS         (mott i)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
5  CLASSIC LEGACY Oct22 Aug20       (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 1.60 ★    
6  BATTLEFIELD PARK         (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 ★    
 
AQU-2   12/03/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET LIBERTY Oct06 Sep22 Sep02 Jun25   (quick j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
2  PRETTY MISS KEENS Oct01 Sep02       (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 119 6.00 ★    
3  HAPPY'S SMILE         (baker ch)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 4.00 ★    
4  LOON CRY         (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 119 3.00 28% 2.50    
5  FEMA FUNDS Nov04         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.50 ★    
6  MIDTOWN LIGHTS Oct28 Sep17       (cox h)CASTELLANO J 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
7  BANDULU QUEEN         (clarke dylan)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00    
8  MIDNIGHT ROSIE         (englehart jeffr)CARMOUCHE K 119 10.00    
 
AQU-3   12/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($46K) 3UP M/F PT-12:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  VIRADIA Nov05 Sep29 Aug21 Jun24 May23 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
SCR  THAT IS KEY Oct20 Oct12 Aug29 Aug21 Jul04 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.50 ★    
2  DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS Nov10 Oct20 Sep25 Sep16 Aug26 (jones ed)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 8.00 12% 7.00    
SCR  SWEET MAEVE Oct28 Sep26 Aug29 Aug13 Jul25 (johnson )DAVIS A 118 30.00    
SCR  DAT DARES GOLD Nov17 Nov12 Oct17 Sep18 Sep09 (magee kie)VARGAS A 120 8.00    
5  BEAUTIFUL KAREN Oct23 Sep23 Aug06 Mar25 Feb27 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
6  QUALITY STONES Nov20 Oct14 Sep18 Aug06 Jun17 (quic)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 2.00 ★    
7  DIVA BANKER Nov05 Sep02 Jul03 May22 Apr03 (handal raymond)DAVIS KATIE 120 4.50 9% 10.50    
 
AQU-4   12/03/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEREBY Jul14 May15 Apr08     (brown r)ORTIZ L 124 12.00    
2  QUACKENBUSH         (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 122 12.00    
3  CLASH A. J. Nov27 Oct29 Feb24 Feb13 Jan22 (jone)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 15.00    
4  CHIEF ENGINEER Nov13 Oct22 Sep11 Jul30 Jul08 (cash russell )PANAIJO JORGE 122 5.00 ★    
5  CENTRAL PRIDE Nov11 Nov05 Oct07 Sep23 Jul30 (terranova joh)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.50 ★    
6  BUILT TO LAST (BRZ) Aug24 Jul30 Jun10 May21 Apr28 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 122 2.50 12% 7.50    
SCR  CALLALOO Nov13         (donk dav)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.00 40% 1.50    
8  STEERAGE Nov11 Oct07 Aug27 Jul31 Jun19 (brown r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.50 13% 6.80    
 
AQU-5   12/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KADRI Nov25 Nov06 Oct26 Oct04 Sep25 (cash l)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 ★    
1A  MONDAY MORNING QB Nov25 Nov07 Oct22 Oct01 Aug24 (cash norman )BATISTA A 122 3.00 30% 2.40    
2  HERO TIGER Nov12 Oct17 Oct05 Sep04 Jul31 (kirby t)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 19% 4.40    
3  BOURBONIC         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 3.00    
4  AMERICAN GENTLEMAN Nov05 Sep17 Aug06 May07 Apr07 (rodriguez gu)CASTELLANO J 122 4.50 ★    
5  TURN OF EVENTS Oct27 Sep14 Aug06 Jun26   (falcone rober)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
6  CASH NOW Nov25 Oct27 Oct08 Sep05 Aug29 (skelton dawn)HARKIE K 122 30.00    
7  MILTON THE MONSTER Oct24 Sep24 Aug14 Jun04 Apr30 (servis c)SAEZ LUIS 120 6.00 16% 5.40    
 
AQU-6   12/03/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 2 F PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOGGY NIGHT Nov06 Oct19 Sep24 Aug23   (reid robert )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 5.00 23% 3.30    
  (by KHOZAN out of SETTLING SEAS by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  ROYAL SPA Nov18         (brisset rodolp)ROSARIO JOEL 118 5.00 8% 11.90    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BODACIOUS BABE by MINESHAFT)
3  JULIA SHINING Oct16         (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 0.60 34% 2.00    
  (by CURLIN out of DREAMING OF JULIA by A.P. INDY)
4  LA VITA SOFIA Nov06 Oct01 Aug28     (rodriguez rud)FRANCO MANUEL 118 15.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SKINNER BOX by FREUD)
5  AFFIRMATIVE LADY Nov04 Oct08       (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 118 10.00 ★    
  (by ARROGATE out of STIFFED by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
6  GAMBLING GIRL Oct30 Sep23 Aug24 Jul27 Jun25 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 14% 6.30    
  (by DIALED IN out of TULIPMANIA by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  TRIBAL QUEEN Oct27 Aug07 Jul02     (dutrow anthony )CANCEL ERIC 118 20.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of TRIBAL PARTY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
AQU-7   12/03/2022 5940ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Grade II Stake/Handicap Purse ($250K) 2 ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IL MIRACOLO Nov12 Oct15 Sep24 Sep10   (sano antonio)CASTELLANO J 118 12.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of TAPIT'S WORLD by TAPIT)
2  TUSKEGEE AIRMEN Oct15 Sep24       (servis c)SAEZ LUIS 120 1.60 61% 0.60    
  (by STREET SENSE out of LUCKY COVER by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
3  PROVE RIGHT Nov06 Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 Aug19 (chapman )GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 15.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of JOE'SGOLDENHOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  ARCTIC ARROGANCE Oct30 Sep29 Sep05     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.00 ★    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of MODEST MAVEN by UNCLE MO)
5  MIDNIGHT TROUBLE Oct15 Sep29 Sep10 Aug24 Jun30 (walder peter)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 8.00 12% 7.30    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of ZARLEEZA by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  QUICK TO ACCUSE Oct30 Oct07 Aug26     (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 118 6.00 ★    
  (by ACCELERATE out of SPEIGHTFUL AFFAIR by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  DUBYUHNELL Oct02 Sep03       (gargan danny)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 ★    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of WILD GAMS by FOREST WILDCAT)
 
AQU-8   12/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Grade III Stake/Handicap Purse ($200K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE IN THE AIR Sep24 Aug22 Jul12 Jun03 May08 (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LOVELY SYN by SYNASTRY)
2  EXOTIC WEST Nov04 Aug19 Jul24 May20 Apr10 (sciacca gary)DAVIS DYLAN 123 20.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MISS PERSONALITY by EL PRADO (IRE))
3  BATTLE BLING Nov04 Oct01 Sep06 Jul09 Jun08 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 125 3.00 35% 1.80    
  (by VANCOUVER (GB) out of SOLEIL ROUGE by E DUBAI)
4  W W FITZY Nov04 Sep01 Aug04 Jun12 May06 (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 121 15.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of STORMY FITZ by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  SHARAPOVA Apr30 Mar27 Mar06 Feb05   (eurton peter)VELAZQUEZ R 123 12.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of LONG KISS GOODBYE by INTO MISCHIEF)
6  SELF ISOLATION Nov11 Oct27 Sep22 Aug14 Jul23 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 121 10.00    
  (by SQUARE EDDIE out of LOAN SAVANT by SPRING AT LAST)
7  DR B Oct29 Oct03 Sep05 Aug07 Jul02 (reid e)ORTIZ JR 121 4.00 7% 12.90    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BOLEYN by PROUD CITIZEN)
8  BETSY BLUE Oct30 Sep16 Aug14 Jul20 Jun23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 6.00 8% 11.40    
  (by TONALIST out of HONEST TO BETSY by YONAGUSKA)
9  FLIGHT TO SHANGHAI Oct20 Aug13 Jun08 May08 Apr16 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 121 20.00    
  (by SHANGHAI BOBBY out of WORLD EVENT by QUIET AMERICAN)
10  BANK STING Oct30 Jun26 May30 May08 Mar06 (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 123 4.00 22% 3.50    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of BEE IN A BONNET by PRECISE END)
11  TONAL VISION Oct26 Jul09 Jun06 May11 Apr25 (guerrero j )ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 15.00    
  (by TONALIST out of APRIL CLOSING by DEFRERE)
 
AQU-9   12/03/2022 5280ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($750K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE CROWN Oct29 Oct22 Sep24 Aug22 Aug08 (cash l)ACOSTA D 119 15.00 18% 4.50    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of TWO COLUMBUS by TWO PUNCH)
2  ZANDON Sep24 Aug27 Jul30 May07 Apr09 (brown c)ROSARIO JOEL 120 1.00 26% 2.80    
  (by UPSTART out of MEMORIES PREVAIL by CREATIVE CAUSE)
3  WHITE ABARRIO Sep24 Jul23 Jun25 May07 Apr02 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 118 4.50    
  (by RACE DAY out of CATCHING DIAMONDS by INTO MISCHIEF)
4  GET HER NUMBER Nov20 Aug27 Jul30 Jun25 May29 (miller peter)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 23% 3.30    
  (by DIALED IN out of FANCIER by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  O BESOS Nov05 Oct01 Apr09 Feb19 Jan02 (foley greg)ORTIZ L 119 99.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ORB out of SNUGGS AND KISSES by SOTO (VEN))
6  OUTLIER Nov17 Nov12 Oct20 Sep28 Aug15 (cash norman )BATISTA A 115 30.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of TOUGH ISSIE by GOOD AND TOUGH)
7  MIND CONTROL Sep24 Aug26 Jun18 May07 Apr09 (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 ★    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of FEEL THAT FIRE by LIGHTNIN N THUNDER)
 
AQU-10   12/03/2022 4620ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLOQUY Sep18 Aug27 Jun30 May01 Mar27 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00    
2  WHAT A DUDE Nov20 Nov06 Sep10 Jul24   (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  BE THE BOSS Nov19 Sep24 Sep01 Aug10 Jul17 (walder peter)CASTELLANO J 120 3.00 13% 6.60    
4  TENEBRIS Sep18 Aug13 Jun25 Jun03 Apr20 (tessore )GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 4.50 31% 2.20    
5  MAJOR SPIN Nov13 Oct22 Sep15 Aug10 Jul08 (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 18% 4.70    
6  ROYAL TRYST Nov26 Nov12 Oct21 Oct02 Jul30 (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 8.00    
7  SKYLANDER Oct22 Oct08 Aug10 Jul22 May05 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
8  SEMPER FIDELIS Nov16 Jan26       (taylor josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 15.00    
9  GASLIGHT Nov18 Aug27 Aug13 Jul01 Jun05 (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 120 10.00 13% 6.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.