Handicappers' Race Results

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Charles Town
Thursday - November 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
CT-1   11/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
See original race card.
:241 :481 1:15     1:221   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRACTICALLY THERE 1 1 53 32   1nk 1 (haynes ernest)RAMGEET R 120 1.80 7% 12.80 1.00 W
STOPWATCHSONNY 5 5 2½ 2nk   2nk 2 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.00 65% 0.50 3.60 P
CURLIN'S DOVE 4 4 1½ 1nk   3.2 3 (reynolds a)HO WESLEY 122 3.00 5.10  
SWEET ANNABELLA 6 6 42 44   4 4 (brown keith )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 8.00 3.30  
HANNAHS RED RUBY 3 2 6 6   5 513½ (malgarini mawin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 16.70  
BRANDYURAFINEGIRL 2 3 3 5   6 616 (jones michael)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 19.10  
SCR  DEREKA'S BLUFF               (venham d)ADAMS L 115 15.00    
 
CT-2   11/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
See original race card.
:221 :451       :513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAIRO CALLING 6 2 21     1½ 1 (runco c)LEWIS M 108 4.00 10% 8.90 2.80 W
MATH MAN MARCO 7 1 11     2½ 2 (patterson k)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 54% 0.90 4.00 P
STRONG FIBER 1 5 3     3 3 (mckee d)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 4.00 S
PYEONG CHANG 3 6 6     46 4 (runco c)CULLUM W 120 1.60 3.60  
MONEY MIKE 5 3 5     7 59 (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 4.50 5% 19.00 3.00  
BIG DADDY D R 2 7 7     67 6 (utterback bar)MCKENZIE CONNIE 111 20.00 55.90  
WE B SHACKIN 4 4 43     57 712¼ (viands stacey )MARRERO CARLOS 118 10.00 11.60  
 
CT-3   11/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:222 :464       :533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADIOS SEE YA 4 1 2nk     23 1¼ (straughn willia)ADAMS L 113 15.00 54.10  
HINK'S PALADIN 3 8 1nk     13 2¼ (johnston reb)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 2.20  
DANCIN IN DUBAI 5 5 5     4 3¼ (brown kelton)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 5.70 S
KNIGHT LEGEND 6 3 6     7 4 (pickett crystal)THORPE DARIUS 120 4.50 27% 2.70 2.60  
RAYO NEGRO 8 6 7     65 53 (nazario pedro)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 4.00 12% 7.20 3.70  
ISSUING JUSTICE 1 2 3.2     33 6 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 6.90  
BELMULLET 2 4 4     54 7 (runco c)LEWIS M 112 8.00 38% 1.60 9.50  
NOW I'M BROKE 7 7 8     87 88 (pickett g)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00 34.40  
 
CT-4   11/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:151     1:284   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ISLAND D'LITE 8 8 11 1½   1 16 (farrior ant)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 28% 2.60 1.40 W
BABY BULLDOG 7 3 21 2½   2 26 (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00 9.10  
CHROME HEIR 1 2 42 3   33 3 (runco c)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 46% 1.20 1.40 S
DREAM OF GOLD 5 7 8 7   4 411 (haynes m)LOPEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00 39.50  
SHE'S MYBUDDYBUDDY 2 1 912¼ 922   714½ 515½ (haynes ernest)RAMGEET R 119 8.00 19.20  
BLACKWATER FALLS 3 5 6 54   5 615½ (bryant l)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 19.00  
ONLY GET'N BETTER 9 9 7 89   915¼ 721 (viands gregory)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
MONEYFORNOTHING 4 6 32 43   610½ 829¼ (farrior )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00 12.30  
NORTHERN WEIGELIA 6 4 5 6   814¾ 929¾ (figgins ollie )TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00 48.70  
 
CT-5   11/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:14     1:274   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLASSY SOLUTION 8 6 21 21   2½ 1hd (castro jeremias)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 15.00 41.40  
SWING WEST 4 2 11 11   1½ 2hd (mohan david)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 3.00 2.70 P
AARON'S TAP 7 5 32 32   31 3 (knoblauch-per)RAMGEET R 124 4.00 25% 3.00 4.00 S
MY CANDY BIZ 2 1 42 66   65 4 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00 51.70  
NOVA BOY 3 4 63 5   4 59 (figgins l)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 5.80  
MY SACRED PLACE 1 3 75 79   78 6 (hanagan lela)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 28.70  
ASK NEAL 5 7 86 89   8 715 (davies g)ACOSTA D 122 8.00 16.30  
NASHVEGAS 6 8 5 43   5 819 (farrior )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.60 49% 1.00 1.10  
 
CT-6   11/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:142     1:212   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROAD PARTY 7 5 2nk 1   11 1 (grigsby antho)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 1.60 28% 2.60 0.80 W
ENTRY TIME 1 3 6 54   31 2 (mckee d)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 6% 17.10 9.50 P
LOGSTRADAMUS 3 1 44 3   21 33 (contreras javi)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00 19.20 S
MR CHANCE ROMANCE 2 7 711¼ 77   44 4 (brown ro)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 5.00 26% 2.90 3.40  
GET OFF MY CLOUD 6 6 59 67   7 59 (jones e)MONTANO JOSE 124 6.00 16.50  
SPINISH 4 2 1nk 2   6 612 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 4.00 20% 4.10 4.90  
BURR HILL BULLET 5 4 33 43   5 713 (carlisle c)RIVERA JAVIER 118 4.50 12.90  
 
CT-7   11/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:131     1:194   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENNY HAD A NOTION 1 1 14 1½   1nk 1nk (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 3.50 6.70  
OUTLIER 4 4 3 2½   2nk 2nk (cash norman )HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 2.50 0.90 P
JALEN JOURNEY 5 5 45 3   33 33 (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 2.00 41% 1.50 1.90 S
BOBBY G 6 6 57 5   46 44 (mohan david)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 12.00 7% 13.10 18.20  
SOUND OFF 2 3 613½ 68   57 55 (sandoval michae)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 6.80  
ESCAPE VELOCITY 3 2 24 4   6 615¾ (treharne dave)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 28% 2.50 20.60  
SCR  H P BIG HOPE               (rodriguez ang)RAMGEET R 120 30.00    
 
CT-8   11/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
See original race card.
:224 :48       :543   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAL HER 1 5 5     32 1¼ (runco c)CULLUM W 122 1.80 35% 1.90 0.10 W
10  IMINCHARGENOW 8 3 1½     1nk 2¼ (schottroffe ed)BATISTA A 122 20.00 60.60  
MIDSUMMER NIGHTS 4 4 3     2nk 3 (shanley mark)BOCACHICA O 122 3.00 33% 2.00 6.10 S
BUFFUM'S BEAUTY 2 1 4     5 46 (mohan r)RAMGEET R 120 15.00 44.00  
NOBLE PRESENT 7 2 2½     4 5 (rodriguez an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00 33.00  
BIG EYE JOY 3 6 811½     6 6 (ovando m)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00 36.30  
KOKOLORES 5 8 6     7 7 (runco c)LEWIS M 114 6.00 22.10  
JASIRA 6 9 912     8 811¼ (arias alfonso)CHILO JACINTO 122 30.00 96.70  
11  AMERICAN LEGACY 9 7 711     911¼ 915¼ (huet k)HO WESLEY 120 12.00 24.50  
SCR  MYGIDGETMARIE               (huet terry )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  SUDDEN FLARE               (dollinger-sthr)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.