Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - November 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRACTICALLY THERE Oct28 Oct06 Aug24 Jul27 Jun29 (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 120 1.80 7% 12.80    
2  BRANDYURAFINEGIRL Apr13 Mar16 Jan14     (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 ★    
3  HANNAHS RED RUBY Oct28 Oct12 Sep10 Aug18 Jul21 (malgarini maw)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 ★    
4  CURLIN'S DOVE Nov04 Oct08 Jun09 May12 Apr14 (reynolds a)HO WESLEY 122 3.00    
SCR  DEREKA'S BLUFF Nov11 Oct26 May25 May11 Apr28 (venham d)ADAMS L 115 15.00 ★    
6  STOPWATCHSONNY Oct13 Sep23 Sep03 Jul22 Jun26 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 2.00 65% 0.50    
7  SWEET ANNABELLA Sep30 Aug08 Jul19 Jun24   (brown keit)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 8.00    
 
CT-2   11/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG FIBER Nov04 Oct14 Oct01 Sep09 Aug25 (mckee john )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 6.00 ★    
2  BIG DADDY D R Oct27 Oct05 Sep17 Sep03 Aug06 (utterback b)MCKENZIE CONNIE 111 20.00    
3  PYEONG CHANG Sep25 Sep02 Aug14 Jul22 Jun18 (runco c)CULLUM W 120 1.60 ★    
4  WE B SHACKIN         (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 118 10.00    
5  MONEY MIKE Nov03 Oct15 Oct02 Aug17 Aug06 (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 4.50 5% 19.00    
6  CAIRO CALLING Oct30 Sep14 Apr28 Apr01 Mar10 (runco c)LEWIS M 108 4.00 10% 8.90    
7  MATH MAN MARCO Oct15 Sep24 Aug13 Jul02 Jun11 (patterson)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 54% 0.90    
 
CT-3   11/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ISSUING JUSTICE Oct28 Oct01 Sep12 Aug29 Aug18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00    
2  BELMULLET Oct21 Sep30 Sep15 Jul09 May05 (runco c)LEWIS M 112 8.00 38% 1.60    
3  HINK'S PALADIN Aug12 Aug04 Jul22 Jul09 Jun23 (johnston r)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00    
4  ADIOS SEE YA         (straughn will)ADAMS L 113 15.00 ★    
5  DANCIN IN DUBAI Jul20 Jun12 May27     (brown kelto)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 ★    
6  KNIGHT LEGEND Sep19 Aug24 May02 Feb26   (pickett cryst)THORPE DARIUS 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
7  NOW I'M BROKE Nov10 Oct26 Jul07 Jun17 May26 (pickett g)CULLUM W 122 20.00    
8  RAYO NEGRO Nov05 Oct19 Oct06 Sep08 Aug11 (nazario ped)MCKENZIE CONNIE 115 4.00 12% 7.20    
 
CT-4   11/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.7K) 2 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHROME HEIR Oct27 Oct07 Sep17     (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
2  SHE'S MYBUDDYBUDDY Oct26 Oct05 Sep15     (haynes erne)RAMGEET R 119 8.00 ★    
3  BLACKWATER FALLS Nov04 Jul13       (bryant l)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 ★    
4  MONEYFORNOTHING Oct06         (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00    
5  DREAM OF GOLD Oct28 Oct06       (haynes ernest)LOPEZ ANTONIO 119 15.00    
6  NORTHERN WEIGELIA Sep27 Aug23 Jul28     (figgins olli)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 10.00    
7  BABY BULLDOG Oct28 Oct07       (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
8  ISLAND D'LITE Oct27 Oct06 Sep16 Sep05   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
9  ONLY GET'N BETTER Oct27         (viands gregory)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   11/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY SACRED PLACE Oct26 Sep29 Aug27 Aug06 Jul15 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
2  MY CANDY BIZ Nov03 Oct26 Oct06 Sep08 Aug18 (arias alfonso)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
3  NOVA BOY Oct27 Sep29 Sep10 Aug27 Aug04 (figgins l)HO WESLEY 122 6.00    
4  SWING WEST Nov02 Oct01 Aug27 Aug20 Aug13 (mohan dav)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 122 3.00 ★    
5  ASK NEAL Oct02 Mar30 Mar01 Feb11 Jan26 (davies g)ACOSTA D 122 8.00 ★    
6  NASHVEGAS Sep18 Aug06 Jun24 Jun08 May13 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.60 49% 1.00    
7  AARON'S TAP Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 Apr27 Mar31 (knoblauch-p)RAMGEET R 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
8  CLASSY SOLUTION Nov03 Oct18 Oct01 Sep16 Aug18 (castro jeremi)TREJOS JOSEPH 122 15.00 ★    
 
CT-6   11/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ENTRY TIME Oct27 Oct06 Sep09 Aug25 Jul30 (mckee john)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 8.00 6% 17.10    
2  MR CHANCE ROMANCE Oct19 Sep30 Sep16 Aug25 Mar16 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 5.00 26% 2.90    
3  LOGSTRADAMUS Oct20 Jun17 Jun02 May11   (contreras ja)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00 ★    
4  SPINISH Oct19 Feb02       (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 120 4.00 20% 4.10    
5  BURR HILL BULLET Oct19 Sep30 Sep09 Jun18 May21 (carlisle john)RIVERA JAVIER 118 4.50    
6  GET OFF MY CLOUD Nov05 Oct20 Sep29 Jun25 May15 (jones michael )MONTANO JOSE 124 6.00    
7  ROAD PARTY Oct27 Sep30 Mar25 Feb25 Feb10 (grigsby ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 1.60 28% 2.60    
 
CT-7   11/17/2022 4290ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($38.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  H P BIG HOPE Nov03 Oct21 Oct05 Sep05 Jul16 (rodriguez a)RAMGEET R 120 30.00    
2  KENNY HAD A NOTION Oct19 Sep24 Sep07 Jul30 Jul07 (jones e)HO WESLEY 120 3.50    
3  SOUND OFF Nov07 Oct04 Aug26 Aug06 Jul17 (sandoval mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 4.00 ★    
4  ESCAPE VELOCITY Oct26 Oct04 Sep13 Aug30 Jul25 (treharne da)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 8.00 28% 2.50    
5  OUTLIER Nov12 Oct20 Sep28 Aug15 Aug08 (cash norma)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 115 2.50 ★    
6  JALEN JOURNEY Oct29 Oct08 Oct03 Sep23 Aug26 (cash l)ACOSTA D 120 2.00 41% 1.50    
7  BOBBY G Nov07 Oct01 Sep03 Aug24 Aug10 (mohan dav)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 12.00 7% 13.10    
 
CT-8   11/17/2022 2970ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAL HER Oct13 Sep14 Mar11     (runco c)CULLUM W 122 1.80 35% 1.90    
2  BUFFUM'S BEAUTY Oct29 Oct21 Oct07 Jun29 May26 (mohan david)RAMGEET R 120 15.00    
3  BIG EYE JOY Nov04 Oct21 Oct07 Aug17 Aug06 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
4  MIDSUMMER NIGHTS May30 Jan07       (shanley mark)BOCACHICA O 122 3.00 33% 2.00    
5  KOKOLORES Oct07         (runco c)LEWIS M 114 6.00 ★    
6  JASIRA Oct15         (arias alfonso)CHILO JACINTO 122 30.00    
SCR  MYGIDGETMARIE Oct29 Oct14 Oct07 Sep14 Aug11 (huet terr)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 5.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  SUDDEN FLARE         (dollinger-st)MARRERO CARLOS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  NOBLE PRESENT Oct21 Oct13 Sep17 Aug24 Jul26 (rodriguez )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
10  IMINCHARGENOW Sep16 Aug12 Jul23 Jun12 May26 (schottroffe )BATISTA A 122 20.00    
11  AMERICAN LEGACY Jun11         (huet k)HO WESLEY 120 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.