Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Sunday - November 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   11/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:23 :472 1:14     1:204   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STARRY MIDNIGHT 1 7 710¾ 710½   31 1nk (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 5.00  
VAX 4 2 21 21   1½ 2nk (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 12% 7.00 1.95 P
BUSTIN HOT 6 1 11 11   2½ 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00 28% 2.60 3.75 S
MARLEY'S GHOST 7 3 5 44   44 4 (trombetta michae)ORTIZ L 119 6.00 11.40  
QUEENS OVER THREES 5 6 6 5   5 5 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00 16.10  
RED BUTTERFLY 2 5 4 6   612 622 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 34% 1.90 4.10  
SPINNING COLORS 3 4 31 3   714 727¼ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 5.90  
SCR  JSK BUCEPHALUS               (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-2   11/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:23 :47 1:14     1:273   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REIGNING CHICK 3 9 911¼ 9   4 12 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 13% 6.70 2.20 W
1A  HOLIDAY JAZZ 2 1 1½ 1½   12 22 (rodrig)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 11.10 P
RUN DEVIL 5 4 2½ 5   22 36 (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 33% 2.00 14.00 S
R GIRL FAITH 7 7 7 7   5 4 (thomp)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 15.00 56.25  
I'M NERVOUS NOW 4 2 4 32   3 5 (baker ch)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00 5.90  
TEMPERMENTAL 1 8 8 86   7 6 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00 11.10  
CAPITAL GAL 9 5 53 4   6 715 (weaver george)HARKIE K 120 6.00 7.70  
WICKED LADY 8 6 6 64   9 822½ (barker r)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 3.55  
RIGBY 6 3 3½ 2½   8 926 (serpe m)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 27% 2.70 3.20  
 
AQU-3   11/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:113     1:182   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TODAY'S FLAVOR 6 2 11 1   14 1 (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 0.80 64% 0.60 1.15 W
MY MAN MATTY 4 4 42 32   24 2 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50 2.65 P
REFUAH 3 6 54 5   39 3 (walder pet)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 2.50 7% 12.90 2.15 S
CLASH A. J. 7 1 21 2   411½ 418¾ (jones ed)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00 5% 19.00 15.50  
STONECOLDWARRIOR 1 5 3 44   515 523½ (forde jason)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00 24.75  
CAPLETON 2 7 65 611½   621½ 630 (richards marvin)FUENTES ERICK 112 30.00 55.75  
SUPPORT THE CAT 5 3 76 713   723½ 730¾ (bond brent)GOMEZ O 122 20.00 38.25  
 
AQU-4   11/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:243 :484 1:134     1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIMELESS JOURNEY 5 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 11 1 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 16% 5.40 4.10 W
BEACHFRONT BID 2 2 3½ 3 3 31 2 (albertrani thom)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 40% 1.50 1.30 P
SWEET SURPRISE 4 1 1½ 1½ 1½ 21 3 (hills timo)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00 21.30  
TO A T 6 6 5 5 4 42 46 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 121 1.80 13% 6.50 1.80  
KERIK 3 5 41 42 6 6 511¾ (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 121 15.00 7% 13.40 16.50  
RHOMBIQUE 1 4 6 6 5 57 612¼ (ribaudo robert)SAMUEL L 121 6.00 8.20  
SCR  RUN UP THE SCORE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
 
AQU-5   11/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:133     1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOBBY THE TANK 5 2 1½ 2½ 11 1 1¼ (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 1.40 58% 0.70 1.00 W
WHO ME 6 4 31 3 21 2 2¼ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.30 P
SOUNDS SPOOKY 7 3 53 44 44 3 3 (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 15% 5.60 3.25 S
DEE'S SPEEDSTRE 2 6 43 5 5 4 4 (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 4.90  
NO REGARD 8 1 8 810 7 611½ 516¾ (terranova p)DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00 11.70  
METAMORPHOSES 3 8 7 6 68 712½ 618½ (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00 17.50  
CAMM' DUKE 1 5 2½ 1½ 3 510½ 719½ (ryerson t)ADORNO ABNER 119 6.00 17.70  
SCREEN DOOR 4 7 6 77 8 814 820¼ (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00 20.20  
SCR  WIDMARK               (schetti)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 30.00    
 
AQU-6   11/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:244 :491 1:14     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEETLOU'SGOTACES 1 3 1½ 11 1 15 14 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 6% 16.20 2.25 W
SMOKIE EYES 6 7 64 73 5 36 24 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 22% 3.60 5.70 P
ALLURING ANGEL (GB) 9 10 97 95 97 5 34 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 5% 19.00 3.10 S
BULSARA 2 9 108 107 108 68 4 (trombetta michael)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 47.25  
LIFELOVENLAUGHTER 5 5 4 4 33 4 57 (trombetta mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 10.00 13.00  
PRIVATE CREDIT 4 1 2½ 21 2 25 6 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50 3.65  
10  NEXT EPISODE 10 4 53 3 44 7 714¼ (saville niall)ACOSTA D 122 30.00 48.75  
THE CLASSY ONE 3 6 86 8 8 810 815½ (breen j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 20.90  
AGUA DULCE (GB) 8 8 7 6 7 1010½ 924 (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 120 12.00 13.20  
THIRTY THOU KELVIN 7 2 32 52 6 910 1027¼ (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00 18.80  
SCR  GAMBLING GIRL               (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 122 3.50    
SCR  INTERPOLATE               (brown c)RIDER TBA 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  LA VITA SOFIA               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
SCR  SHIDABHUTI               (brown c)RIDER TBA 120 3.00 10% 8.90    
 
AQU-7   11/27/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:133 1:394   1:532   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELOQUIST 6 1 11 1½ 1nk 1½ 1hd (reid e)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 12.00 15.90  
BARESE 3 2 21 2½ 2nk 2½ 2hd (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 5% 17.60 2.15 P
NAVAL AVIATOR 2 7 54 52 4 3 35 (jones e)ADORNO ABNER 118 4.00 5.90  
WINIT 4 6 44 3 31 4 4 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 32% 2.10 3.30  
AFFABLE MONARCH 5 5 6 6 66 55 58 (duarte jr)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 12% 7.20 13.90  
SAINT TAPIT 7 4 3 4 53 615 627½ (pletcher a)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 24% 3.10 2.45  
BE BETTER 1 3 7 7 7 723 749 (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 10.00  
 
AQU-8   11/27/2022 3960ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:23 :464 :59     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  STAR DEVINE (IRE) 7 3 2½ 1nk   1nk 1 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 5% 19.00 3.20 W
CHANGE OF CONTROL 1 2 42 4   2nk 2 (lovell mich)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 57% 0.80 3.50 P
LADY EDITH 6 8 64 52   3.2 3 (clement christop)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.50 9% 10.20 2.10 S
HONEY PANTS 2 5 5 6   5 43 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00 8.30  
11  ATHWAAQ 8 1 1½ 2nk   4¾ 5 (shivmangal lolita)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00 19.40  
GOGO SHOES 3 6 74 7   8 6 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00 18.70  
HIT THE WOAH 4 7 8 84   7 7 (clement christ)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00 10.00  
MAIL ORDER 5 4 31 31   6 8 (mott william )ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00 7.60  
SCR  BETSY BLUE               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.40    
SCR  CAN'T BUY LOVE               (trombetta mich)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ITSAKEYPER               (albertrani thom)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  LEMOS CUNHA               (caramori eduardo)CARMOUCHE K 120 30.00    
SCR  SELF ISOLATION               (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SNICKET               (duggan p)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
SCR  STOLEN HOLIDAY               (mcgaughey claude)LEZCANO JOSE 125 6.00    
 
AQU-9   11/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:224 :472 1:002     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY SHYLOCK 2 4 11 1   1 1 (falcone )MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 18% 4.50 12.20 W
TAP IT UP 5 7 67 4   3 2 (ryerson t)ORTIZ L 119 4.00 5.50 P
BABY SOX 6 1 21 2   2 3 (camej)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 8.00 18% 4.50 3.50 S
GERMANY JAYVO 3 8 814½ 812½   610¾ 4 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00 17% 4.80 39.25  
BELLA MICHELLE 8 6 53 5   47 59 (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50 2.45  
WILLFUL DESIRE 4 3 4 3   5 611½ (allard t)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 22% 3.60 3.40  
BRING THE MAGIC 7 2 79 711   710¾ 711½ (miceli mic)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00 22.90  
BANK BUSTER 1 5 31 65   815¼ 827¼ (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 5.20  
SCR  CALY BALI               (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.