Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Sunday - November 27, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 2 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARRY MIDNIGHT         (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 119 6.00    
2  RED BUTTERFLY Oct28 Sep17       (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 34% 1.90    
3  SPINNING COLORS Oct06 Sep02 Aug10     (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 8.00 ★    
SCR  JSK BUCEPHALUS         (kimmel c)ORTIZ JR 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  VAX Nov04 Oct01       (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 119 2.50 12% 7.00    
6  QUEENS OVER THREES Oct30         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 12.00    
7  BUSTIN HOT Oct30         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 4.00 28% 2.60    
8  MARLEY'S GHOST         (trombetta mich)ORTIZ L 119 6.00    
 
AQU-2   11/27/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPERMENTAL Nov06 Sep26 Aug24 Aug12 Jul08 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 6.00    
1A  HOLIDAY JAZZ Oct28 Oct06 Aug20 Jul20 Jun18 (rodr)HUAYAS (JASON) 113 6.00 ★    
2  REIGNING CHICK Oct25 Sep22 Jul21 Apr10 Feb21 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 118 4.00 13% 6.70    
3  I'M NERVOUS NOW Nov17 Oct27 Oct06 Aug31   (baker )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 5.00    
4  RUN DEVIL         (weaver george)CANCEL ERIC 120 6.00 33% 2.00    
5  RIGBY Nov04 Sep23 Aug13 Jul14 Jun17 (serpe m)CARMOUCHE K 118 5.00 27% 2.70    
6  R GIRL FAITH Oct28 Oct13 Sep17 Aug20 Jul08 (tho)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 15.00    
7  WICKED LADY Oct28 Sep16 Aug05 Jul16 Jun16 (barker edward)FRANCO MANUEL 120 3.00 ★    
8  CAPITAL GAL Nov06 Oct20 Sep24 Aug11 Jun24 (weaver georg)HARKIE K 120 6.00    
 
AQU-3   11/27/2022 4290ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STONECOLDWARRIOR         (forde jason)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00    
2  CAPLETON Nov18 Oct29 Jul28 Jul17   (richards marv)FUENTES ERICK 112 30.00    
3  REFUAH Oct20 Sep23 Jul03 May27 Apr29 (walder p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 2.50 7% 12.90    
4  MY MAN MATTY         (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 124 3.50 ★    
5  SUPPORT THE CAT Nov09 Sep27 Sep13 Aug30 Aug17 (bond brent)GOMEZ O 122 20.00 ★    
6  TODAY'S FLAVOR Sep23         (weaver george)FRANCO MANUEL 124 0.80 64% 0.60    
7  CLASH A. J. Oct29 Feb24 Feb13 Jan22 Jan09 (jones )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
AQU-4   11/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RHOMBIQUE Nov18 Oct23 Sep30 Aug27 Jul22 (ribaudo robe)SAMUEL L 121 6.00 ★    
2  BEACHFRONT BID Oct15 Sep23 Aug19 Jun25 May14 (albertrani th)ORTIZ JR 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
3  KERIK Oct28 Oct20 Sep22 Aug24 Jun02 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 121 15.00 7% 13.40    
SCR  RUN UP THE SCORE Nov18 Oct20 Sep22 Aug12 Jul17 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 12.00    
5  SWEET SURPRISE Oct31 Sep10 Aug12 Jul10 Jun12 (hills ti)GOMEZ ANTONIO 113 15.00    
6  TIMELESS JOURNEY Oct29 Apr09       (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 123 2.00 16% 5.40    
7  TO A T Nov13 Oct20 Sep22 Aug21 Aug07 (noda orlando)CASTELLANO J 121 1.80 13% 6.50    
 
AQU-5   11/27/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAMM' DUKE Oct21 Jul29 Jun24     (ryerson j)VARGAS A 119 6.00 ★    
SCR  WIDMARK Sep16 Aug19       (schet)HERNANDEZ OMAR 112 30.00    
3  DEE'S SPEEDSTRE Oct22 Jul29 Jun24     (abreu r)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 ★    
4  METAMORPHOSES Oct16         (levine bruce)CANCEL ERIC 119 12.00    
5  SCREEN DOOR Oct27 Sep29       (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 8.00    
6  BOBBY THE TANK Oct16 Sep04 Jul29     (brown c)ORTIZ L 119 1.40 58% 0.70    
7  WHO ME Oct22 Sep23 Aug04 Jul08   (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SOUNDS SPOOKY Oct16 Sep05       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 15% 5.60    
9  NO REGARD Oct21         (terranova john )DAVIS DYLAN 119 10.00    
 
AQU-6   11/27/2022 5280ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEETLOU'SGOTACES Nov04 Oct08 Sep01     (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 118 3.50 6% 16.20    
2  BULSARA Oct24 Sep17 Aug17     (trombetta micha)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
3  THE CLASSY ONE Oct28 Oct01 Sep11     (breen kelly)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00    
4  PRIVATE CREDIT Sep02 Aug04       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 4.50    
5  LIFELOVENLAUGHTER Oct28 Sep09 Aug16     (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 10.00    
6  SMOKIE EYES Oct28 Oct08 Sep15 Aug03   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 22% 3.60    
7  THIRTY THOU KELVIN Oct15 Sep04 Jul14     (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 120 12.00    
8  AGUA DULCE (GB) Oct22 Sep23       (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 120 12.00    
9  ALLURING ANGEL (GB) Oct01 Sep13 Aug04     (abreu r)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 5% 19.00    
10  NEXT EPISODE Oct24 Oct10 Aug30 Jun16   (saville niall)ACOSTA D 122 30.00    
SCR  GAMBLING GIRL Oct30 Sep23 Aug24 Jul27 Jun25 (pletcher a)RIDER TBA 122 3.50    
SCR  LA VITA SOFIA Nov06 Oct01 Aug28     (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 120 8.00    
SCR  INTERPOLATE Oct14 Aug14       (brown c)RIDER TBA 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  SHIDABHUTI Sep17         (brown c)RIDER TBA 120 3.00 10% 8.90    
 
AQU-7   11/27/2022 5940ft DIRT RC2 MUDDY nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BE BETTER Oct22 Jul29 Jul04 Jun05   (pletcher a)DAVIS DYLAN 118 4.50 ★    
2  NAVAL AVIATOR Oct25 Sep24 Jul22 Jun19 May21 (jones michael )ADORNO ABNER 118 4.00    
3  BARESE Oct30 Aug26 Jul18 Jun25 Apr23 (maker michael)FRANCO MANUEL 120 5.00 5% 17.60    
4  WINIT Oct29 Sep29 Aug18 Jul08 Jun10 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
5  AFFABLE MONARCH Nov08 Sep29 Sep03 Aug07 Jul23 (duarte j)ORTIZ L 118 6.00 12% 7.20    
6  ELOQUIST Oct27 Sep24 Aug28 Aug12 Jul25 (reid robert )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 12.00    
7  SAINT TAPIT Oct20 Sep24 Aug06 Jun26   (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.50 24% 3.10    
 
AQU-8   11/27/2022 3960ft TURF RC2 GOOD nongraded Stake Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STOLEN HOLIDAY Nov05 Jun18 May14 Apr02 Feb23 (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 125 6.00    
2  CHANGE OF CONTROL Sep19 Aug20 Jul18 Jun11 May05 (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 125 4.00 57% 0.80    
SCR  CAN'T BUY LOVE Oct23 Oct16 Sep24 Aug15 Jul03 (trombetta mi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  HONEY PANTS Sep24 Aug07 Jun25 May20 Apr09 (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
5  GOGO SHOES Oct29 Sep14 Jul18 Jun25 May21 (maker j)DAVIS DYLAN 120 15.00    
6  HIT THE WOAH Nov04 Sep29 Sep02 Aug04 Feb19 (clement chri)CASTELLANO J 122 10.00    
7  MAIL ORDER Sep30 Sep02 Aug04 Jul02 Jun04 (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 10.00    
SCR  LEMOS CUNHA Oct29 Sep01 Aug15 Jul13 Jun29 (caramori eduard)CARMOUCHE K 120 30.00    
9  LADY EDITH Oct16 Aug20 Jul23 Jun10 Jan29 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 125 2.50 9% 10.20    
10  STAR DEVINE (IRE) Oct16 Sep10 Jul23 Jun10 Apr16 (abreu r)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
11  ATHWAAQ Nov04 Sep18 Sep04 Aug04 Jun25 (shivmangal loli)CANCEL ERIC 120 15.00    
SCR  BETSY BLUE Oct30 Sep16 Aug14 Jul20 Jun23 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 1.40    
SCR  SELF ISOLATION Nov11 Oct27 Sep22 Aug14 Jul23 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SNICKET Oct20 Sep22 Aug12 Jun26 May07 (duggan david )ORTIZ JR 120 6.00    
SCR  ITSAKEYPER Nov10 Sep18 Aug18 Jul22 May27 (albertrani th)FRANCO MANUEL 120 20.00    
 
AQU-9   11/27/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($38K) 2 F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANK BUSTER Sep16 Sep05 Aug17 Jul16   (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00    
2  LADY SHYLOCK         (falcon)MARAGH RAMSAY 119 10.00 18% 4.50    
3  GERMANY JAYVO         (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 119 20.00 17% 4.80    
4  WILLFUL DESIRE Nov03 Oct05       (allard edward)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 22% 3.60    
5  TAP IT UP Nov04 Oct08 Sep22     (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 119 4.00 ★    
6  BABY SOX         (cam)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 8.00 18% 4.50    
7  BRING THE MAGIC Oct23 Sep30       (miceli m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 15.00    
SCR  CALY BALI Sep22         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 4.50    
9  BELLA MICHELLE Oct08 Sep17 Aug28     (martin f)CARMOUCHE K 119 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.