The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Aqueduct
Thursday - November 17, 2022
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AQU-1   11/17/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
:232 :47 1:121     1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SIGNAL FROM NOISE 5 1 2nk 31 2nk 13 19¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 0.50 37% 1.70 0.20 W
3  WINGS LIKE EAGLES 3 5 41½ 1½ 1nk 23 29¼ (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 34% 2.00 4.90 P
4  ADAM'S ANGEL 4 2 1nk 2½ 3½ 34½ 312¼ (mcgaughey iii)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 ★ 9.70 S
2  CHARGING LADY 2 6 613½ 614½ 614½ 512½ 414¼ (pletcher a)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 6% 14.80 19.50  
1  DIVINE WINE 1 4 53½ 55½ 45 410 514½ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00 ★ 25.50  
6  PRINCESS SONYA 6 3 3½ 45 58 619½ 645¾ (baker charlton)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 20.00 31.25  
 
AQU-2   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
:23 :464 :593     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  ROYAL CURRENCY 11 8 2½ 1nk   12½ 1¾ (baker charlton)ROSARIO JOEL 122 6.00 ★ 9.80  
6  SHINFULL 5 3 62½ 54½   22½ 2¾ (schosberg richard)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 7% 13.00 3.85 P
4  VOLEUSE 4 7 83½ 43   43 33½ (clement christophe)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 25% 3.00 2.95 S
8  ADMIRE MY CROWN 7 9 52½ 32   54 47 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 20.00 23.30  
12  SPOOKY LADY 10 4 1½ 2nk   33 57 (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 5.00 36% 1.80 4.60  
7  LAUGHTER 6 11 105½ 67½   67½ 68¾ (atras rob)VARGAS A 122 8.00 7.80  
1  TARA DANCER 1 1 73 78   78 712½ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 16.50  
3  CERRETTA 3 10 119 910½   812 818¾ (bond james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 13.80  
2  TRUE MARTINI 2 6 95 1112   1016 922¼ (miceli michael)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00 27.00  
10  FAMILY BAND 9 2 31 89½   915 1026¾ (asmussen m)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 10.50  
9  ARD MACHA 8 5 42 1011   1116½ 1145¼ (abreu r)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 5% 17.50 14.60  
SCR  ACE UP HER SLEEVE               (klesaris steve)VARGAS A 122 20.00    
SCR  REDSTRIPE PRINCESS               (reynolds j)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00    
 
AQU-3   11/17/2022 4620ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
:231 :464 1:122     1:261   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADELAIDE MISS 1 4 11 11½   14½ 13¼ (rodriguez r)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 ★ 1.30  
5  DAT DARES GOLD 5 1 32 32½   34½ 23¼ (magee kieron)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 59% 0.70 4.40 P
4  PRAIRIE FIRE 4 2 21 21½   24½ 33¾ (kantarmaci mertkan)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 2.50 ★ 1.30 S
2  BIG TONY'S GIRL 2 6 64 67½   410 411¼ (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 7% 14.40 15.80  
7  MEBS WEB 6 3 53 45½   513½ 518¾ (avila c)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 46.75  
3  BIG AL'S GAL 3 5 43 56   616 630¼ (diprima gregory)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00 16.00  
SCR  THAT IS KEY               (wilson faith)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 ★    
 
AQU-4   11/17/2022 5610ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
:231 :463 1:123     1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
16  SPOOKY ROAD 8 7 54 54½ 3½ 13 15¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50 6.40  
1  I'M BUZZY 1 5 43½ 42½ 2nk 23 25¼ (friedman mitchell)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00 6.30  
14  DANCING SOPHIA 6 6 68 710 63¾ 34 36¾ (ryerson t)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 4.40  
15  NEW YORK BANKER 7 3 12 12 1nk 45 411½ (noda orlando)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 2.50 7% 13.70 2.30  
4  I'M NERVOUS NOW 2 1 32½ 32½ 51¼ 57 512¾ (baker charlton)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00 24.50  
7  STELLA MARS 3 4 78 810½ 88¾ 79 613 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 8% 11.90 3.15  
12  MASABEEH 5 8 89½ 69 77¼ 812½ 722¾ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00 10.80  
9  NO PAYNE 4 2 22 22 41 68½ 827¼ (handal raymond)VARGAS A 121 15.00 12.50  
SCR  ANADOR (FR)               (summers chad)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  BASILIA               (maker j)ORTIZ L 123 10.00    
SCR  CAN'T FOOL ME               (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
SCR  LADY FIREFOOT               (reynolds j)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00    
SCR  MAYBE LATER               (morey e)LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  OCEAN AIR               (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
SCR  PEGS A. K. GIRL               (summers chad)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
SCR  SUMMER AT THE SPA               (nevin michelle)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00    
 
AQU-5   11/17/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
:231 :454 1:111     1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  OPTIC WAY 4 3 1nk 2½ 11½ 13 1¾ (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 ★ 11.30  
8  WARRIOR IN CHIEF 8 2 31 32 21½ 23 2¾ (handal raymond)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 4.00 ★ 2.00 P
6  DOUBLE SHOT 6 1 86¾ 76¼ 54½ 36½ 38 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00 6.00  
3  RUNABOUT 1 7 42½ 42 43½ 47½ 414 (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00 ★ 6.50  
2  GOLDINI 5 6 53 53½ 65½ 59½ 515¾ (jacobson david)VARGAS A 123 6.00 36% 1.70 28.00  
1A  WINNING DRIVE 3 8 76½ 66 77½ 711½ 620½ (rodriguez r)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 39% 1.60 1.30  
1  ITS ALL RELEVANT 2 4 2nk 1½ 33 611 721 (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 ★ 1.30  
7  AMOUNT 7 5 63½ 86¾ 813 818 825½ (diprima gregory)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 15.00 25.50  
SCR  GOOD SKATE               (giangiulio michelle)HARKIE K 118 8.00    
SCR  MONARCHS GLEN (GB)               (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-6   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance   Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
:223 :46 :582     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
15  ALARM CLOCK 10 7 11 11½   12 12 (follett norman)HARKIE K 118 15.00 45.75  
10  RUNAWAY ROCKETTE 6 2 62½ 54½   43 22 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00 14.80  
5  TRAIN TO ARTEMUS 3 1 21 31½   22 33¾ (breen j)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 8.00 8.20  
11  GLITTER UP 7 4 31 21½   32½ 45¼ (hills a)JUAREZ NIK 120 12.00 12.90  
3  GAL IN A RUSH 1 8 93¾ 97½   66 57 (clement christophe)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 24% 3.20 3.30  
4  MISS TAPIRADO 2 9 83½ 76   56 67 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 ★ 9.20  
7  TWEAQUED 4 10 73 65½   76¼ 78¼ (handal raymond)VARGAS A 118 15.00 17.70  
14  CHLOE ROSE 9 6 41½ 44   87¾ 814¼ (rodriguez gustavo)CARMOUCHE K 122 30.00 27.25  
8  FONTANAFREDDA 5 5 104¼ 108   1011¾ 918¼ (bond james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 ★ 7.80  
12  MADRILENA (ARG) 8 3 52 87   99¾ 1018¾ (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 45% 1.20 1.50  
SCR  BIG TENTATIONS               (avila carlos)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 50.00    
SCR  BREEZE EASY (GB)               (clement christophe)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00    
SCR  LAUGH AND PLAY               (maker j)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  QUEEN SHEBA               (demario a)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 30.00    
SCR  SILKY BLUE               (duarte jr)FRANCO MANUEL 122 20.00    
 
AQU-7   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
:23 :473 1:002     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  IDAKA 4 2 11 11   11 11 (barker r)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 20.00 34.50  
1  MOAM 1 4 31 21   31 21 (de horacio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 14% 6.20 3.85 P
9  MY DELICIOUS 6 5 62¾ 52¾   21 31 (summers chad)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00 10% 8.90 8.10 S
10  FREE CHICKENS 7 3 41¼ 31   41½ 41½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50 1.00  
5  INFRINGEMENT 2 7 76¼ 64¾   64 55 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 120 15.00 30.75  
6  ICE COLD GOLD 3 6 21 41¼   52½ 66¼ (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.50 2.75  
8  ROSEMARY POTATOES 5 1 51¾ 75¾   78 713½ (arenas marcelo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 10.00 5% 19.00 15.80  
SCR  FREUDIAN               (falcone n)VARGAS A 120 4.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  HANDLE THE TRUTH               (metivier richard)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 12.00    
SCR  MERGER OF EQUALS               (avila c)MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 8% 11.40    
 
AQU-8   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
:221 :453 :574     1:101   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SHERIFF BIANCO 7 4 33½ 31   11½ 15½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 35% 1.80 1.60 W
4  UNIQUE UNIONS 4 2 2½ 11   21½ 25½ (schosberg richard)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.00 15% 5.80 4.00 P
8  ADVANCED STRATEGY 8 6 710½ 711   68 39¾ (antonacci philip)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 ★ 5.60 S
6  BREW PUB 6 3 44 56½   57 413 (arenas marcelo)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 10.00 24.00  
1  QUICK RETURN 1 7 56½ 45½   46½ 513¾ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 7.40  
3  FOOLISH GHOST 3 1 1½ 21   35 617¼ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 17% 4.80 3.25  
5  BRONX BOMBER 5 5 67 69½   711½ 718¾ (delauro j)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 20.00 10% 9.20 25.75  
2  NUEVA YORK 2 8 818 821   817½ 819¼ (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 124 15.00 29.25  
 
AQU-9   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
:223 :47 :594     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES 3 2 11 1½   1nk 1¾ (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 17.80  
3  MAKAR 1 6 52½ 31½   2nk 2¾ (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 46% 1.20 2.35 P
9  CENTRAL LOVE 5 4 31 2½   32 33¼ (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 17% 4.90 2.20 S
10  WEST STAR 6 9 915½ 911½   712¾ 412¼ (asmussen m)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 10% 8.60 4.10  
1A  M. C. DOUBLE R 9 1 63½ 63   47½ 513¼ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00 5.20  
12  BRAD'S BET 8 7 88½ 89   611¼ 614½ (cash j)PANAIJO JORGE 119 30.00 45.25  
4  LIOTTA 2 8 78 78½   914¼ 718½ (hills a)JUAREZ NIK 119 20.00 26.50  
11  SARATOGA BANKER 7 5 42 52½   511 820 (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00 15.30  
8  LIEUTENANT SAM 4 3 21 42½   814¼ 920 (bond james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 16.50  
SCR  CHASIN' YOU               (lynch natalia)VARGAS A 119 20.00    
SCR  DESTIN HOOFMAN               (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 ★    
SCR  HOT ROD LINCOLN               (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00    
SCR  JOYFUL GHOST               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.