Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - November 17, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP M/F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE WINE Oct21 Sep22       (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 121 12.00 ★    
2  CHARGING LADY Oct07 Aug19 Jul02 May19 Apr13 (pletcher todd )ORTIZ L 124 8.00 6% 14.80    
3  WINGS LIKE EAGLES Sep10 Jul23 Jun24 May21   (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.00 34% 2.00    
4  ADAM'S ANGEL Oct21 Sep16 Jul27     (mcgaughey clau)LEZCANO JOSE 121 5.00 ★    
5  SIGNAL FROM NOISE Sep23         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 0.50 37% 1.70    
6  PRINCESS SONYA         (baker charl)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 20.00    
 
AQU-2   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($70K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TARA DANCER Sep30 Aug18 Jul16     (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
2  TRUE MARTINI Sep17         (miceli mich)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 12.00    
3  CERRETTA Oct09 Aug31 Jul16 May21 Apr23 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00    
4  VOLEUSE Aug26 Jul31 Jul09 Jun04 Apr22 (clement chris)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  ACE UP HER SLEEVE Sep24 Aug12 Aug03     (klesaris )VARGAS A 122 20.00    
6  SHINFULL Sep17 Aug20 Jun19 Jun04 Apr29 (schosberg ric)ORTIZ JR 122 3.50 7% 13.00    
7  LAUGHTER Oct09 Aug31 Aug03 Jul04 Jun04 (atras rob)ORTIZ L 122 8.00    
8  ADMIRE MY CROWN Jul23         (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 122 20.00    
9  ARD MACHA Sep17 Jun26 May30     (abreu jorge )CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 5% 17.50    
10  FAMILY BAND         (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00    
SCR  REDSTRIPE PRINCESS         (reynol)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 20.00    
12  SPOOKY LADY Sep25 Jul10 Jun18     (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 5.00 36% 1.80    
13  ROYAL CURRENCY Sep17 Aug20 Jul31 Jul09 May30 (baker charlton)RIDER TBA 122 6.00 ★    
 
AQU-3   11/17/2022 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADELAIDE MISS Sep04 Aug03 Jul10 Jun05 May20 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 120 1.80 ★    
2  BIG TONY'S GIRL Nov04 Jul27 Jun03 May06 Apr03 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 12.00 7% 14.40    
3  BIG AL'S GAL Oct20 Aug30 Jul21 Jul02 May19 (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
4  PRAIRIE FIRE Sep29 Aug14 Jun19 Jun04 Apr03 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 2.50 ★    
5  DAT DARES GOLD Nov12 Oct17 Sep18 Sep09 Aug28 (magee kiero)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 5.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  THAT IS KEY Oct20 Oct12 Aug29 Aug21 Jul04 (wilson faith)DAVIS DYLAN 122 3.00 ★    
7  MEBS WEB May19 Apr22 Mar27 Mar13 Mar04 (avila )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00    
 
AQU-4   11/17/2022 5610ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'M BUZZY Oct07 Sep01 Aug17 Jul22 Jun10 (friedman mitche)DAVIS DYLAN 118 15.00    
SCR  PEGS A. K. GIRL Oct20 Sep06 Jul28     (summers cha)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 8.00    
SCR  BASILIA Oct13 May26 Apr28 Mar31 Mar02 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 123 10.00    
4  I'M NERVOUS NOW Oct27 Oct06 Aug31     (baker )MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
SCR  SUMMER AT THE SPA Oct22 Sep25 Aug28 Jul29 Jun26 (nevin mi)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00    
SCR  OCEAN AIR Oct29 Oct02 Aug17     (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 121 3.50 33% 2.00    
7  STELLA MARS Oct20 Sep05 Jul29 Jun26 May14 (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 121 4.50 8% 11.90    
SCR  LADY FIREFOOT Oct21 Sep22 Aug19 Jul30   (reynolds pat)CASTELLANO J 121 10.00    
9  NO PAYNE Aug13 Jun11 Apr14     (handal ra)VARGAS A 121 15.00    
SCR  MAYBE LATER Oct20 Sep22 Sep01 Aug24 Aug11 (morey william )LEZCANO JOSE 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ANADOR (FR) Oct20 Sep24 Jul02 Jun04 Apr21 (summers cha)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 6.00 27% 2.70    
12  MASABEEH Oct06 Sep01 Aug05 Jun19 May20 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 15.00    
SCR  CAN'T FOOL ME Oct29 Sep30 Sep04 Aug11 Apr24 (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
14  DANCING SOPHIA Oct15 Sep17 Jul28 Jul04 Mar11 (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 120 6.00    
15  NEW YORK BANKER Nov04 Oct09 Sep05 Aug05 Jul16 (noda orland)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 2.50 7% 13.70    
16  SPOOKY ROAD Nov11 Sep22 Aug20 Jul27 Jun30 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 4.50    
 
AQU-5   11/17/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITS ALL RELEVANT Oct21 Sep17 Jun24 May27 Apr28 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 ★    
1A  WINNING DRIVE Nov10 Oct16 Aug17 Jun18 May12 (rodriguez rud)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
2  GOLDINI Oct21 Oct09 Aug04 Jun10 May08 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 123 6.00 36% 1.70    
SCR  MONARCHS GLEN (GB) Oct23 Sep18 Aug21 Jun23 May05 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 121 6.00 ★    
3  RUNABOUT Oct21 Oct01 Sep14 Aug21 Aug10 (chichakly amira)DAVIS DYLAN 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  GOOD SKATE Sep29 Aug07 Jul04 May21 Apr08 (giangiulio m)HARKIE K 118 8.00    
5  OPTIC WAY Oct21 Sep30 Sep17 Jul24 Jul10 (ryan s)CASTELLANO J 123 6.00 ★    
6  DOUBLE SHOT Oct08 Aug31 Jul16 Jun16 May21 (nevin michell)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00    
7  AMOUNT Oct21 Sep16 Aug25 Jul22 Jun16 (dip)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 15.00    
8  WARRIOR IN CHIEF Oct21 Aug25 Jul14 Jun19 May06 (handal raym)MCCARTHY TREVOR 121 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-6   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG TENTATIONS Oct23 Sep23 Sep06 Jul14 May07 (avila)HERNANDEZ OMAR 111 50.00    
SCR  SILKY BLUE Sep30 Sep15 Jul30 Jul02 May30 (duarte jorge )FRANCO MANUEL 122 20.00    
3  GAL IN A RUSH Oct14 Aug12 Jul09 May19   (clement christo)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
4  MISS TAPIRADO Oct15 Sep15 Aug27 Jul08 Jun17 (mott i)LEZCANO JOSE 122 8.00 ★    
5  TRAIN TO ARTEMUS Sep25 Aug28 Aug13 Jul14 Jun17 (breen ke)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 8.00    
SCR  BREEZE EASY (GB) Oct15 Sep18 Aug11 Jun25 May28 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 120 3.00    
7  TWEAQUED Sep25 Aug28 Jul31 Jul14 Apr21 (handal ra)VARGAS A 118 15.00    
8  FONTANAFREDDA Oct15 Sep16 Aug18 Jul29 Jun11 (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 10.00 ★    
SCR  LAUGH AND PLAY Oct19 Sep08 Aug05 May15 Mar12 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 118 8.00 7% 13.30    
10  RUNAWAY ROCKETTE Oct15 Sep15 Aug27 Jul29 Jun12 (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 122 10.00    
11  GLITTER UP Oct15 Sep16 Aug14 Jul27 Jun19 (hills a)JUAREZ NIK 120 12.00    
12  MADRILENA (ARG) Sep13 Jul09       (lobo h)CASTELLANO J 122 5.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  QUEEN SHEBA Oct28 Oct16 Sep30 Sep11 Aug10 (dem)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 30.00    
14  CHLOE ROSE Sep22 Aug21 Jul16 Jun18 May27 (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 122 30.00    
15  ALARM CLOCK Nov04 Oct14 Oct01 Aug29 Aug05 (follett norm)HARKIE K 118 15.00    
 
AQU-7   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOAM Sep24 Apr30 Feb21 Jan22   (de horaci)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 14% 6.20    
SCR  FREUDIAN Oct13 Aug20 Jul15 May22 May03 (falcone r)VARGAS A 120 4.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  MERGER OF EQUALS Nov10 Oct13 Sep19 Aug29 Jul13 (avila )MARAGH RAMSAY 120 15.00 8% 11.40    
SCR  HANDLE THE TRUTH Oct28 Sep18 Aug17 Jul27 Jul04 (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 12.00    
5  INFRINGEMENT Nov04 Oct06 Sep18 Sep05 Aug11 (persaud randi)CASTILLO AMIN 120 15.00    
6  ICE COLD GOLD Nov10 Oct30 Oct20 Jul04 May01 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 118 3.50    
7  IDAKA Oct08 Aug13 Jun04 May22 Mar20 (barker edwar)SAMUEL L 120 20.00    
8  ROSEMARY POTATOES Nov06 Sep22 Sep01 Aug19 Jul29 (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  MY DELICIOUS Oct13 Sep18 Sep05 May20 Apr22 (summers )GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 12.00 10% 8.90    
10  FREE CHICKENS Oct13 Sep18 Aug19 Jun05   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 120 2.50    
 
AQU-8   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUICK RETURN Oct16 Sep23 Aug17 Jul28 Jun22 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50    
2  NUEVA YORK Oct10 Sep20 Sep06 Aug08 Jul13 (torelli stacy)BAEZ JOSE 124 15.00    
3  FOOLISH GHOST Sep23 Sep03 Jul04     (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 5.00 17% 4.80    
4  UNIQUE UNIONS Sep23 Jul31 Jul08 Jun11 Apr23 (schosber)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 3.00 15% 5.80    
5  BRONX BOMBER Oct21 Sep17 Sep01 Jul30 Jul04 (delau)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 20.00 10% 9.20    
6  BREW PUB Oct22 Sep22 Aug21 Jul24 May29 (arenas marce)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 10.00    
7  SHERIFF BIANCO Oct01 Sep04 Jul17 Jul09 May21 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 35% 1.80    
8  ADVANCED STRATEGY Oct27 Sep24 Jul09 May30   (antonacci phi)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 ★    
 
AQU-9   11/17/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  M. C. DOUBLE R Oct22 Sep22 Aug14 Jul08 Jun24 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 114 6.00    
SCR  HOT ROD LINCOLN Sep22 Sep04       (rodriguez r)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 6.00    
SCR  JOYFUL GHOST Oct21         (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 5.00    
3  MAKAR Oct21 Aug10 Jul08     (cox h)ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
4  LIOTTA Sep16 Aug19 Jul29     (hills a)JUAREZ NIK 119 20.00    
SCR  DESTIN HOOFMAN Oct22 Sep22       (atras rob)FRANCO MANUEL 119 10.00 ★    
6  PLAYINGWITHMATCHES Oct27         (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00    
SCR  CHASIN' YOU Oct22 Sep23 Sep04     (lynch nat)VARGAS A 119 20.00    
8  LIEUTENANT SAM         (bond harold)ALVARADO JUNIOR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  CENTRAL LOVE Oct09 Sep22       (barrera s)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 17% 4.90    
10  WEST STAR Sep29         (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 10% 8.60    
11  SARATOGA BANKER Oct22 Sep22       (summers chad)CASTELLANO J 119 12.00    
12  BRAD'S BET Jun18         (cash russell )PANAIJO JORGE 119 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.