Handicappers' Race Results

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Aqueduct
Thursday - November 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss


Simulator Race results

 
AQU-1   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-12:20
See original race card.
:232 :481 1:003     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNDERVALUED ASSET 5 2 2½ 1nk   1 1 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 29% 2.40 0.75 W
RISK FREE 1 5 55 3   2 2 (delauro j)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 10% 9.40 5.60 P
BILOXI BLUES 3 3 3 4   33 310¼ (mcgaughey claude )DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 4.10 S
PARDON MOI 4 1 1½ 2nk   45 416¾ (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.50 3.20  
AUDIT COMMITTEE 2 4 44 5   59 522¾ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 17.60  
SCR  CONTRIVE               (pletcher todd )CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 39% 1.50    
 
AQU-2   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :463 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREELEY AND BEN 6 3 2½ 2nk   11 1 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 121 0.60 43% 1.30 0.15 W
EASY DAY 4 4 5 3½   3 2 (lake a)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 14% 6.20 7.20 P
SCILLY CAY 5 1 1½ 1nk   21 3 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 17% 4.80 6.90 S
WINNING DRIVE 2 6 64 6   4 411 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 18.50  
MUSICAL AMERICA 1 2 31 4   58 514¼ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 30.00 46.00  
MARVIN 3 5 4 55   68 614¾ (tesso)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00 28.25  
SCR  KUMAR               (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00    
 
AQU-3   11/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:13     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SWEET WIFE 3 5 42 42 3½ 1½ 1 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 2.85  
BLUE PAYNT 5 2 31 31 1½ 2½ 2 (kantarmaci)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.50 3.15 P
GIRL OF TOSCONOVA 4 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 3 34 (kantarmaci mertka)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.00 25% 2.90 3.35 S
VEGAS WEEKEND 1 3 52 5 5 44 4 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.00 1.40  
SHE'S A BLACK BELT 2 1 1½ 1½ 43 5 517½ (jones ed)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 19% 4.40 16.70  
SCR  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN               (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00 19% 4.10    
 
AQU-4   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
See original race card.
:223 :462 :594     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE 3 7 69 47   3 1½ (ryerson james)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 10.10  
PAPI ON ICE 2 9 914½ 911½   6 2½ (persaud)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 20.00 28.00  
GENESIS ONE 4 8 811½ 5   4 3 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00 25.25  
SUPER QUALITY 7 5 31 1½   11 4 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 19% 4.20 2.05  
PSYCHIC INCOME 9 1 2½ 2½   21 55 (handal raymond)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.80 33% 2.00 2.60  
SMART JOKER 1 6 43 3   5 6 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 9.60  
SEAN THE HAMMER 6 3 54 710   7 7 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 2.50 20% 4.00 2.95  
DISENGAGE 8 4 711 810½   810½ 811 (parker joseph)SAMUEL L 122 20.00 93.50  
GRAND AGAIN 5 2 1½ 6   914½ 913¾ (shivm)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 15.00 5% 18.90 12.60  
 
AQU-5   11/10/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
See original race card.
:243 :493 1:152 1:424   1:57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAY'STALKER 6 4 3 33 4 2½ 1 (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 121 5.00 9.10  
BOURBON'S HOPE 2 1 1½ 21 1nk 1½ 2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 16% 5.40 2.35 P
SPEIGHT'SPERCOMETE 7 2 65 6 6 4 3 (brown bruc)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 9% 10.50 9.80 S
LUCKY BRODY 1 6 54 4 3 3 4 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 9.90  
AMEDEUS MUSIC 3 7 7 7 5 6 59 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 4.40  
MAXIM MOMENT 4 3 2½ 11 2nk 54 618¼ (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00 4.30  
LUCKY MUCHO MAN 5 5 4 54 7 713½ 727 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 44% 1.30 3.10  
 
AQU-6   11/10/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
See original race card.
:493 1:131 1:354   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ATONE 5 2 1 1 1 1 1 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.40 36% 1.80 0.70 W
COLD HARD CASH 7 6 2 2 2 2 2 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 4.20  
DREAMS OF TOMORROW 3 3 5 5 54 4 3 (mcgaughey cla)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 12.10  
LONESOME FUGITIVE (IRE) 6 7 44 4 4 3 4 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 5.60  
VALUE ENGINEERING 4 5 66 6 6 68 57 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50 14% 6.10 5.10  
GLYNN COUNTY 2 1 33 3 3 57 68 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40 0.70  
TIDE OF THE SEA 1 4 7 76 76 79 78 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00 11% 7.90 30.75  
SCR  UNBRIDLED BOMBER               (ryerson t)ORTIZ L 120 1.60 15% 5.80    
 
AQU-7   11/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:233 :472 1:134     1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEN DANCER 8 6 53 5 32 2½ 1 (persa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 5.00 12.20  
ICE COLD GOLD 9 3 1½ 1 1 1½ 2 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 2.15  
APRIL ANTICS 4 5 7 8 75 5 3 (sells ra)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00 4.20  
MY BEAUTY PRINCESS 7 4 2½ 2 4 3 4 (martin carl)VARGAS A 121 5.00 45% 1.20 9.60  
SIMPLE SUGAR 2 7 43 42 53 64 5 (giglio gina)SAMUEL L 121 12.00 23.00  
SWEETER (BRZ) 5 8 87 32 2 43 6 (englehart chri)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 9% 10.10 3.80  
ICE KREEM SUNDAE 6 9 9 9 8 8 7 (rodriguez rudy )CASTILLO AMIN 120 10.00 22.50  
RAINING CANDY 1 1 31 63 6 7 810¼ (levine bru)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.50 13% 6.90 8.40  
MERGER OF EQUALS 3 2 6 74 98 99 917½ (avila c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 7% 12.60 7.40  
 
AQU-8   11/10/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:224 :451 :564     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE GOSSIP 4 4 3 41   2nk 1nk (dutrow w)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 13% 6.40 4.20 W
ROAD TO REMEMBER 8 2 2½ 2½   1nk 2nk (lynch nata)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 19.70  
ITSAKEYPER 6 5 53 52   4 3 (albertrani thom)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 31.50  
DERRYNANE 7 8 7 7   63 4 (clement christoph)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 41% 1.40 1.25  
BLAME IT ON MARY 5 3 1½ 1½   3½ 5 (barker r)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
10  SOCIAL WHIRL (IRE) 9 6 42 31   52 6 (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 10.90  
1A  KOKOPELLI 10 1 88 89   8 74 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 1.25  
TOWERING ORBIT 2 7 6 6   7 8 (joseph a)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 6% 15.70 3.85  
DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS 1 9 910 912   99 99 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 30.00 56.50  
CAPTAINSDAUGHTER 3 10 1012½ 1017½   1013 1013¼ (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 62.00  
SCR  HAPPY SOPHIA               (persaud randi)RIDER TBA 120 4.00    
SCR  JILL'S A HOT MESS               (lucas bonnie)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  PRETTY CLEVER               (begg bentle)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
SCR  RUVIES IN TIME               (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
SCR  VALLELUJAH               (davis robb)DAVIS A 122 12.00    
 
AQU-9   11/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:103     1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIEGE OF BOSTON 5 7 6 613 511 34 1 (toner j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 2.50 1.45  
FAZARO 3 3 1½ 11 1½ 11 2 (williams andre)CASTELLANO J 121 30.00 33.75  
ARUBA (IRE) 9 1 35 411½ 410½ 5 3 (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE null   6.10  
INDEMNIFY (FR) 8 2 4 512½ 611½ 67 45 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 1.40 35% 1.90 2.20  
CAPTAIN QUICK 1 4 5 311 3 4 5 (milne joan)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00 18.60  
CLEAT 10 5 2½ 21 2½ 21 6 (mott william )MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 14% 6.30 6.70  
CELESTIAL MOON 6 8 810 815½ 716 712 77 (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 8.20  
STJAMES 2 10 910½ 915½ 918 815½ 810¾ (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 121 30.00 85.00  
BALI RIDDIM 4 6 78 713½ 817½ 917 915 (pringle edmund)CASTILLO AMIN 121 50.00 ######  
1A  EQUALJUSTICEFORALL 7 9 1011½ 1017 1019½ 1020½ 1017¼ (milne jo)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00 18.60  
SCR  HAPPY BOB               (schettino domin)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60 25% 3.00    
SCR  TIGER TOWN BOY               (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.