The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 
Aqueduct
Thursday - November 10, 2022
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AQU-1   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-12:20
:232 :481 1:003     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  UNDERVALUED ASSET 5 2 2½ 1nk   12½ 18¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 29% 2.40 0.75 W
1  RISK FREE 1 5 55 31½   22½ 28¼ (delauro j)CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 10% 9.40 5.60 P
4  BILOXI BLUES 3 3 32½ 41¾   33 310¼ (mcgaughey iii)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 ★ 4.10 S
5  PARDON MOI 4 1 1½ 2nk   45 416¾ (asmussen m)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.50 ★ 3.20  
2  AUDIT COMMITTEE 2 4 44 54¾   59 522¾ (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00 17.60  
SCR  CONTRIVE               (pletcher a)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 39% 1.50    
 
AQU-2   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
:224 :463 :584     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GREELEY AND BEN 6 3 2½ 2nk   11 11¾ (englehart s)DAVIS DYLAN 121 0.60 43% 1.30 0.15 W
5  EASY DAY 4 4 51½ 3½   31½ 21¾ (lake a)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 14% 6.20 7.20 P
6  SCILLY CAY 5 1 1½ 1nk   21 33¼ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 17% 4.80 6.90 S
3  WINNING DRIVE 2 6 64 66½   47½ 411 (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 18.50  
1  MUSICAL AMERICA 1 2 31 43½   58 514¼ (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 30.00 ★ 46.00  
4  MARVIN 3 5 41½ 55   68 614¾ (tessore bruno)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00 28.25  
SCR  KUMAR               (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00    
 
AQU-3   11/10/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
:24 :472 1:13     1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MY SWEET WIFE 3 5 42 42 3½ 1½ 12¼ (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 ★ 2.85  
6  BLUE PAYNT 5 2 31 31 1½ 2½ 22¼ (kantarmaci mertkan)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.50 ★ 3.15 P
5  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA 4 4 2½ 2½ 2½ 31½ 34 (kantarmaci mertkan)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.00 25% 2.90 3.35 S
1  VEGAS WEEKEND 1 3 52 52½ 55½ 44 45¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.00 1.40  
3  SHE'S A BLACK BELT 2 1 1½ 1½ 43 57½ 517½ (jones e)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 19% 4.40 16.70  
SCR  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN               (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00 19% 4.10    
 
AQU-4   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
:223 :462 :594     1:143   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE 3 7 69 47   34½ 1½ (ryerson t)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 ★ 10.10  
2  PAPI ON ICE 2 9 914½ 911½   68½ 2½ (persaud randi)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 20.00 28.00  
4  GENESIS ONE 4 8 811½ 58½   44½ 31¾ (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00 25.25  
7  SUPER QUALITY 7 5 31 1½   11 41¾ (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 19% 4.20 2.05  
9  PSYCHIC INCOME 9 1 2½ 2½   21 55 (handal raymond)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.80 33% 2.00 2.60  
1  SMART JOKER 1 6 43 36½   56½ 65¼ (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 9.60  
6  SEAN THE HAMMER 6 3 54 710   79½ 75¾ (rodriguez r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 2.50 20% 4.00 2.95  
8  DISENGAGE 8 4 711 810½   810½ 811 (parker joseph)SAMUEL L 122 20.00 93.50  
5  GRAND AGAIN 5 2 1½ 69½   914½ 913¾ (shivmangal lolita)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 15.00 5% 18.90 12.60  
 
AQU-5   11/10/2022 5940ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
:243 :493 1:152 1:424   1:57   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  JAY'STALKER 6 4 32½ 33 41¾ 2½ 11¾ (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 121 5.00 9.10  
2  BOURBON'S HOPE 2 1 1½ 21 1nk 1½ 21¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 16% 5.40 2.35 P
7  SPEIGHT'SPERCOMETE 7 2 65 65½ 64¾ 43½ 35¾ (brown r)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 9% 10.50 9.80 S
1  LUCKY BRODY 1 6 54 43½ 31½ 33½ 48½ (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 ★ 9.90  
3  AMEDEUS MUSIC 3 7 75½ 76½ 54¾ 64½ 59 (englehart s)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50 4.40  
4  MAXIM MOMENT 4 3 2½ 11 2nk 54 618¼ (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00 ★ 4.30  
5  LUCKY MUCHO MAN 5 5 43½ 54 75¼ 713½ 727 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 44% 1.30 3.10  
 
AQU-6   11/10/2022 5940ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
:493 1:131 1:354   1:471   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  ATONE 5 2 11½ 11½ 11½ 14½ 13½ (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.40 36% 1.80 0.70 W
6  COLD HARD CASH 7 6 21½ 21½ 21½ 24½ 23½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00 4.20  
3  DREAMS OF TOMORROW 3 3 54½ 54½ 54 45½ 33¾ (mcgaughey iii)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00 12.10  
5  LONESOME FUGITIVE (IRE) 6 7 44 43½ 42½ 35½ 45¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 ★ 5.60  
4  VALUE ENGINEERING 4 5 66 65½ 65½ 68 57 (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50 14% 6.10 5.10  
1  GLYNN COUNTY 2 1 33 32½ 32½ 57 68 (maker j)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.40 0.70  
2  TIDE OF THE SEA 1 4 76½ 76 76 79 78 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00 11% 7.90 30.75  
SCR  UNBRIDLED BOMBER               (ryerson t)ORTIZ L 120 1.60 15% 5.80    
 
AQU-7   11/10/2022 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
:233 :472 1:134     1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  KEEN DANCER 8 6 53 52½ 32 2½ 11½ (persaud randi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 5.00 ★ 12.20  
9  ICE COLD GOLD 9 3 1½ 11½ 11½ 1½ 21½ (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00 2.15  
4  APRIL ANTICS 4 5 76½ 84½ 75 53½ 32¼ (sells rachel)MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00 4.20  
7  MY BEAUTY PRINCESS 7 4 2½ 21½ 42½ 32½ 42¾ (martin f)VARGAS A 121 5.00 45% 1.20 9.60  
2  SIMPLE SUGAR 2 7 43 42 53 64 58½ (giglio gina)SAMUEL L 121 12.00 23.00  
5  SWEETER 5 8 87 32 21½ 43 69¼ (englehart chris)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 9% 10.10 3.80  
6  ICE KREEM SUNDAE 6 9 97½ 94¾ 86½ 87½ 79¾ (rodriguez r)CASTILLO AMIN 120 10.00 22.50  
1  RAINING CANDY 1 1 31 63 63½ 75½ 810¼ (levine bruce)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.50 13% 6.90 8.40  
3  MERGER OF EQUALS 3 2 63½ 74 98 99 917½ (avila c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 7% 12.60 7.40  
 
AQU-8   11/10/2022 3960ft TURF FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
:224 :451 :564     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PALACE GOSSIP 4 4 31½ 41   2nk 1nk (dutrow w)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 13% 6.40 4.20 W
9  ROAD TO REMEMBER 8 2 2½ 2½   1nk 2nk (lynch natalia)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00 19.70  
8  ITSAKEYPER 6 5 53 52   41½ 31¾ (albertrani thomas)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00 31.50  
1  DERRYNANE 7 8 75½ 76½   63 42½ (clement christophe)DAVIS DYLAN 118 2.50 41% 1.40 1.25  
7  BLAME IT ON MARY 5 3 1½ 1½   3½ 53½ (barker r)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.20  
10  SOCIAL WHIRL 9 6 42 31   52 63¾ (morley thomas)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00 10.90  
1A  KOKOPELLI 10 1 88 89   84½ 74 (clement christophe)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 1.25  
3  TOWERING ORBIT 2 7 64½ 64½   73½ 84½ (joseph a)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 6% 15.70 3.85  
2  DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS 1 9 910 912   99 99 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 30.00 56.50  
4  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER 3 10 1012½ 1017½   1013 1013¼ (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00 62.00  
SCR  HAPPY SOPHIA               (persaud randi)RIDER TBA 120 4.00    
SCR  JILL'S A HOT MESS               (lucas bonnie)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  PRETTY CLEVER               (begg bentley)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
SCR  RUVIES IN TIME               (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
SCR  VALLELUJAH               (davis g)DAVIS A 122 12.00    
 
AQU-9   11/10/2022 5280ft TURF FIRM Maiden Sp Wt   Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
:23 :462 1:103     1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SIEGE OF BOSTON 5 7 67½ 613 511 34 13¼ (toner j)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 2.50 ★ 1.45  
3  FAZARO 3 3 1½ 11 1½ 11 23¼ (williams o)CASTELLANO J 121 30.00 33.75  
8  ARUBA 9 1 35 411½ 410½ 55½ 33½ (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE 124 5.00 5% 18.20 6.10 S
7  INDEMNIFY (FR) 8 2 46½ 512½ 611½ 67 45 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 1.40 35% 1.90 2.20  
1  CAPTAIN QUICK 1 4 57½ 311 39½ 45½ 55½ (milne joan)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00 18.60  
9  CLEAT 10 5 2½ 21 2½ 21 65¾ (mott i)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 14% 6.30 6.70  
6  CELESTIAL MOON 6 8 810 815½ 716 712 77 (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 5.00 8.20  
2  STJAMES 2 10 910½ 915½ 918 815½ 810¾ (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 121 30.00 85.00  
4  BALI RIDDIM 4 6 78 713½ 817½ 917 915 (pringle edmund)CASTILLO AMIN 121 50.00 ######  
1A  EQUALJUSTICEFORALL 7 9 1011½ 1017 1019½ 1020½ 1017¼ (milne joan)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 20.00 18.60  
SCR  HAPPY BOB               (schettino a)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60 25% 3.00    
SCR  TIGER TOWN BOY               (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.