Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Aqueduct
Thursday - November 10, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
AQU-1   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 2 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RISK FREE Oct23 Oct02 Sep15 Aug17   (delauro edward )CARMOUCHE K 119 6.00 10% 9.40    
2  AUDIT COMMITTEE         (morley thomas)CANCEL ERIC 119 8.00    
SCR  CONTRIVE         (pletcher tod)CASTELLANO J 119 2.00 39% 1.50    
4  BILOXI BLUES         (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.50 ★    
5  PARDON MOI         (asmussen steve)LEZCANO JOSE 119 3.50 ★    
6  UNDERVALUED ASSET         (brown c)ORTIZ JR 119 2.50 29% 2.40    
 
AQU-2   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSICAL AMERICA Oct27 Oct16 Sep17 Sep01 Aug24 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 114 30.00 ★    
SCR  KUMAR Oct21 Sep17 Aug25 Jul21 Jun03 (barrera s)DAVIS KATIE 121 20.00    
3  WINNING DRIVE Oct16 Aug17 Jun18 May12 Apr29 (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00    
4  MARVIN Sep23 Aug14 Aug08 Jul22 Jun26 (tes)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  EASY DAY Oct17 Sep14 Aug02 Jul13 Jun13 (lake a)CARMOUCHE K 121 8.00 14% 6.20    
6  SCILLY CAY Oct27 Sep16 Aug06 Jun10   (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.50 17% 4.80    
7  GREELEY AND BEN Oct29 Oct08 Sep04 Jul02 Jun04 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 121 0.60 43% 1.30    
 
AQU-3   11/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VEGAS WEEKEND Oct28 Oct01 Feb18     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 121 2.00    
SCR  SUSPENDED CAMPAIGN Oct28 Jul23 Jun02 May08 Apr23 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 121 5.00 19% 4.10    
3  SHE'S A BLACK BELT Oct14 Sep29 Aug08 Aug01 Jul03 (jones )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 15.00 19% 4.40    
4  MY SWEET WIFE Oct13 Aug04 Jun26 Apr01 Jan28 (nevin michelle)CARMOUCHE K 121 3.00 ★    
5  GIRL OF TOSCONOVA Oct28 Jul03 Jun02 May05 Apr02 (kantarmaci mert)CANCEL ERIC 121 3.00 25% 2.90    
6  BLUE PAYNT Oct28 Aug01 Jun27 May31 May03 (kantarma)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 3.50 ★    
 
AQU-4   11/10/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMART JOKER Sep15 Aug13 Jul10 Jun12 May08 (kimmel c)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00    
2  PAPI ON ICE Aug10 Jul15 Jul01 Jun19 Jun02 (persa)HERNANDEZ OMAR 115 20.00    
3  HE'SGOTTASHORTFUSE Oct07 Sep17 Aug15 Jun23 May22 (ryerson jam)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 5.00 ★    
4  GENESIS ONE Oct22 Sep30       (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 122 15.00    
5  GRAND AGAIN Sep30         (shi)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 122 15.00 5% 18.90    
6  SEAN THE HAMMER Apr29         (rodrigue)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 2.50 20% 4.00    
7  SUPER QUALITY Sep30 Aug28 Jul20 Jun18 Apr15 (atras rob)DAVIS DYLAN 122 6.00 19% 4.20    
8  DISENGAGE Sep30 Sep15 Jul31 Jun23 May22 (parker josep)SAMUEL L 122 20.00    
9  PSYCHIC INCOME Oct09 Aug19 Jul16     (handal raymond)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.80 33% 2.00    
 
AQU-5   11/10/2022 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY BRODY Sep17 Sep01 Jul27 Jul02 May06 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 123 4.50 ★    
2  BOURBON'S HOPE Sep16 Aug15 Jul19 Jun22 Jun07 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 5.00 16% 5.40    
3  AMEDEUS MUSIC Sep17 Aug09 Jul24 Jul15 Jun25 (englehart jeffr)DAVIS DYLAN 118 3.50    
4  MAXIM MOMENT Oct16 Oct08 Aug19 Jul04 Jun03 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 123 6.00 ★    
5  LUCKY MUCHO MAN Oct06 Aug18 Jul22 Jul02 Jun17 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
6  JAY'STALKER Oct02 Aug05       (levine bruce)CASTELLANO J 121 5.00    
7  SPEIGHT'SPERCOMETE Oct14 Sep25 Sep02 May04 Mar24 (brown br)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 8.00 9% 10.50    
 
AQU-6   11/10/2022 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLYNN COUNTY Sep10 Sep01 Jul23 Jun18 Jun02 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 121 1.40    
1A  ATONE Oct08 Sep10 Aug04 Jul15 May21 (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 121 1.40 36% 1.80    
2  TIDE OF THE SEA Sep16 Aug24 Jul28 Jun03 May01 (morley thomas)DAVIS DYLAN 121 15.00 11% 7.90    
3  DREAMS OF TOMORROW Sep29         (mcgaughey c)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 8.00    
4  VALUE ENGINEERING Sep01 Jul31       (brown c)CASTELLANO J 121 3.50 14% 6.10    
5  LONESOME FUGITIVE (IRE) Oct09 Aug19 Jul09 May29 Apr15 (brown c)ORTIZ JR 123 3.00 ★    
6  COLD HARD CASH Oct30 Sep24 Aug27 Jul28 Jul09 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 4.00    
SCR  UNBRIDLED BOMBER Sep29 Aug18 Jul02 Jun03 May07 (ryerson james )ORTIZ L 120 1.60 15% 5.80    
 
AQU-7   11/10/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAINING CANDY Jul16 Jun19       (levine b)GOMEZ ANTONIO 116 4.50 13% 6.90    
2  SIMPLE SUGAR Sep16 Jul04 Jun17 May29 May13 (giglio gina)SAMUEL L 121 12.00    
3  MERGER OF EQUALS Oct13 Sep19 Aug29 Jul13 Jun06 (avila c)DAVIS DYLAN 118 6.00 7% 12.60    
4  APRIL ANTICS Aug26 Jul09 Jun11 May16 Apr01 (sells )MARAGH RAMSAY 121 6.00    
5  SWEETER (BRZ) Oct13 Sep18       (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 121 4.00 9% 10.10    
6  ICE KREEM SUNDAE Oct06 Aug01 Jul01 Apr10 Apr03 (rodriguez rud)CASTILLO AMIN 120 10.00    
7  MY BEAUTY PRINCESS Sep24 Jul22 Jun25     (martin ca)VARGAS A 121 5.00 45% 1.20    
8  KEEN DANCER Oct28 Oct13 Sep16 Aug17 Jul27 (per)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 5.00 ★    
9  ICE COLD GOLD Oct30 Oct20 Jul04 May01 Mar12 (jacobson david)CANCEL ERIC 118 8.00    
 
AQU-8   11/10/2022 3960ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($80K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DERRYNANE Aug11 Jul15 Jun19 May28 Apr15 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.50 41% 1.40    
1A  KOKOPELLI Sep16 Jul22       (clement chris)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50    
2  DANCINGWTHDAFFODLS Oct20 Sep25 Sep16 Aug26 Aug18 (jones)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 30.00    
3  TOWERING ORBIT Sep16 Aug28 May20 Apr23 Mar25 (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 120 3.50 6% 15.70    
4  CAPTAINSDAUGHTER Oct23 Oct01 Sep15 Aug13 Jul21 (cash j)CANCEL ERIC 120 20.00    
SCR  JILL'S A HOT MESS Oct15 Sep16 Aug18 Jul22 May27 (lucas bonnie)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 13% 6.50    
6  PALACE GOSSIP Oct20 Aug14 Jul22 Jun11 May14 (dutrow anthony)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 13% 6.40    
7  BLAME IT ON MARY Oct15 Sep23 Aug26 Jul29 Jun11 (barker r)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  ITSAKEYPER Sep18 Aug18 Jul22 May27 Jan29 (albertrani th)FRANCO MANUEL 120 10.00    
9  ROAD TO REMEMBER Oct23 Sep25 Aug20 Jul23 Jun26 (lynch na)GOMEZ ANTONIO 119 12.00    
10  SOCIAL WHIRL (IRE) Sep16 Jun24 May27     (morley thoma)CASTELLANO J 120 10.00    
SCR  PRETTY CLEVER Sep25 Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 May19 (begg bent)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
SCR  VALLELUJAH Oct23 Sep24 Aug13 Jul17 Jun11 (davis ro)DAVIS A 122 12.00    
SCR  HAPPY SOPHIA Oct23 Sep29 Aug14 Aug06 Jul09 (persaud randi)RIDER TBA 120 4.00    
SCR  RUVIES IN TIME Sep25 Aug21 Jul09 Jun10 Mar18 (noda orlando)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50    
 
AQU-9   11/10/2022 5280ft TURF RC1 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($85K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTAIN QUICK Oct29 Sep29 Sep18 Sep04 Aug07 (milne joan)DAVIS DYLAN 124 20.00    
1A  EQUALJUSTICEFORALL Oct14 Sep04 Aug19 Jul31 Jul03 (milne joan)JUAREZ NIK 124 20.00    
2  STJAMES Oct20 Jun18 May20 May01 Apr09 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 121 30.00    
3  FAZARO Oct09 Sep30 Aug20 Jul29 Jul04 (williams and)CASTELLANO J 121 30.00    
4  BALI RIDDIM Oct09 Sep17 Aug19 Jul10 Jun11 (pringle edmun)CASTILLO AMIN 121 50.00    
5  SIEGE OF BOSTON Sep17 Aug09 Jul01     (toner james)ALVARADO JUNIOR 121 2.50 ★    
6  CELESTIAL MOON Oct15         (mott i)ORTIZ L 121 5.00    
7  INDEMNIFY (FR) Sep17 Aug19 Jul22     (brown c)ORTIZ JR 121 1.40 35% 1.90    
8  ARUBA (IRE) Oct15 Sep17 Jan09     (abreu r)LEZCANO JOSE null      
9  CLEAT Oct29 Sep13       (mott willia)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 8.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  HAPPY BOB Aug13 Jun26       (schettino dom)FRANCO MANUEL 121 1.60 25% 3.00    
SCR  TIGER TOWN BOY Oct09         (gargan danny)FRANCO MANUEL 121 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.