Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Turfway Park
Thursday - January 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TP-1   WIN (10/11/3/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00  5 $10.78 $0.78 8%
TP-2   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  7 $5.56 $1.56 39%
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/2/4/5) 8 $2.00 $16.00  7-4 $24.46 $8.46 53%
    DD (10/11/3/8/5)-(7/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00  5-7 $13.90 $3.90 39%
TP-6   WIN (1/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $6.74 $0.74 12%
TP-7   SFT (5/2/8/10)-(5/2/8/10/4)-(5/2/8/10/4)-(5/2/8/10/4) 96 $0.10 $9.60  2-5-10-8 $12.41 $2.81 29%
TP-8   WIN (1/5/6/14/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $19.98 $9.98 100%
    EXA (1/5/6/14/10)-(1/5/6/14/10) 20 $2.00 $40.00  6-5 $60.72 $20.72 52%
    DD (5/2/8/10)-(1/5/6/14/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00  2-6 $26.54 $6.54 33%

Simulator Race results

 
TP-1   01/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:222 :462 :584     1:052   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KEEN ON YOU 4 9 1013¼ 1010¼   7 1½ (cundiff )RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00 7% 12.40 4.39 W
CAN MAN DO 3 4 31 3   1 2½ (kendall e)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00 16.57  
FUNKY MUSIC 7 7 7 7   6 31 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 8% 11.60 5.42 S
MUTUAL CONFIDENCE 2 10 9 8   2 4 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 8.00 9% 10.20 10.43  
10  CORNBREAD HILL 9 6 5 42   5 5 (locker )DE CRUZ 120 4.00 32% 2.10 4.56  
MASTER LEA 6 5 6 6   42 6 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00 52.74  
RHYTHMIC RULER 1 3 11 1   32 77 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 4.50 3.08  
TIZ DEJA BLUE 8 1 4 2   8 8 (delong ben)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00 39.11  
11  LAKE TAHOE 10 8 8 9   9 912½ (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 120 3.00 13% 6.90 3.14  
INTEND 5 2 21 5   1010¼ 1022 (ell)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 20.00 57.25  
SCR  THING               (howard d)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00    
 
TP-2   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:234 :482 1:134 1:263   1:384   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUMINIST 7 7 88 8 6 3 1½ (russell brit)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 2.50 44% 1.30 1.78 W
ATHENAIS 4 5 5 6 5 2½ 2½ (delgado gusta)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00 4.24 P
SHRIMPIE 1 1 21 2 21 4 38 (luce ni)DE CRUZ 122 8.00 7.96  
COURTING WAR 3 3 43 43 4 52 4 (elliott )RODRIGUEZ A 115 4.50 23% 3.40 3.97  
LOTTA ROSES 2 2 33 3 11 1½ 510¼ (brownfield c)RAMOS D 122 5.00 4.41  
CRYSTAL SNOW 8 4 11 1 32 6 614¾ (cristel j)SANJUR SANTO 122 8.00 14.21  
PACIFIC GROVE (GB) 6 6 65 5 76 7 717¾ (gonz)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 15.00 41.42  
ARTEMUS SWEETHEART 5 8 7 76 8 88 820¼ (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 120 5.00 12.07  
 
TP-3   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:55
See original race card.
:22 :462 :584     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROYAL COUNTY 6 7 6 5   1nk 1 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 4.00 5.67  
DOCS SEVEN 3 4 42 31   2nk 2 (smith larry)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00 9.19 P
CURRENT CLIMATE 1 5 3½ 4   31 3 (elliott mic)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 6.00 20% 4.10 7.17 S
10  WORLD OF WONDER 7 6 77 7   5 4 (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 8% 11.10 6.59  
THREATLEVELMIDNITE (GB) 2 1 1nk 11   43 5 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00 5.67  
ATLANTIC STRIKE 4 3 5 6   6 614½ (wong jonat)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 48% 1.10 1.48  
VARTON 5 2 2nk 21   7 721½ (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 3.50 5.32  
SCR  DANCE RHYTHMS               (foley greg)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 5.00    
SCR  HOLDONTOYOURTIARA               (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
SCR  SOFIA STRONG               (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 15.00    
 
TP-4   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 7:25
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:143 1:264   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING SHAMAN 6 2 2 21 2nk 2nk 1¼ (navarrete ann)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50 7.88  
LIFE AND LIGHT 5 1 1 11 1nk 1nk 2¼ (morey wi)RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.00 1.62  
GO FOR IT 4 3 33 32 32 32 3¼ (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00 7.13  
COALMINER'S KITTEN 8 7 6 6 6 4 47 (chapman)DE CRUZ 120 3.00 51% 1.00 4.01  
SILENT VOTE 1 4 77 7 7 7 5 (foster eric)RAMOS D 120 8.00 7.92  
PRINCE SIMBA 2 5 5 54 5 55 610¼ (man)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.76  
STATE CHAMP 7 6 4 43 44 6 711½ (ortiz al)MCENTEE GRACE 120 15.00 23.64  
EAST BY WEST 3 8 8 810½ 812¾ 813¼ 821¼ (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 120 10.00 15% 5.50 13.15  
SCR  BEER MOSA               (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00    
 
TP-5   01/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:55
See original race card.
:23 :464 1:121     1:191   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  ECLIPSED 11 1 5 31   1 11 (garcia g)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 14.12  
MRS. K 4 6 4¾ 6   5 21 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 15.00 47.52  
DREAMFUL 2 8 7 9   43 31 (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.00 76% 0.30 1.03 S
QUICK CONVERSATION 7 9 11 8   6 4 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 8.52  
SHADOW BELLE 1 11 9 11   7 5 (douglass dev)MORALES JOSHUA 120 20.00 67.56  
SONNYNEEDSMONEY 3 10 10 10   8 6 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00 20.10  
11  RIBALDRY (IRE) 9 3 8 7   105 7 (delacour arn)RAMOS D 120 15.00 8.06  
MOMMA RIO 6 5 3½ 4   2 8 (brumley willia)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00 ######  
14  DECREE OF LOVE 12 2 2nk 21   95 9 (mak)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.00 5.44  
SWEET FRAULEIN 5 7 6 5   11 1011½ (hernandez jav)LEBRON VICTOR 120 15.00 71.72  
10  SPARE A DIME 8 4 1nk 11   33 1112¾ (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 4.97  
12  MISS ELIANA 10 12 12 1210¾   1214½ 1223¼ (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 120 30.00 84.03  
SCR  BAYSHORE FOXES               (van thom)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00    
SCR  DEISE DELIGHT (IRE)               (lyster steph)RAMOS D 120 10.00    
 
TP-6   01/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:11     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THUNDER LOVE (GB) 6 1 1nk 11   1 1nk (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 2.00 23% 3.40 2.37 W
MAOTAI 1 5 6 53   2 2nk (peach chadwick )MOJICA JR 120 20.00 12.45  
RICHIES GREAT GIRL 3 4 2nk 21   33 3 (cano ju)DE CRUZ 120 8.00 17% 4.90 1.54 S
DISCREET KITTY 5 3 52 64   45 4 (brumley willia)ELLIOTT JANE 120 15.00 25.17  
BATH AND TENNIS (IRE) 4 2 3½ 32   5 515¾ (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 113 2.50 2.67  
KEEPMEINTHE MOMENT 2 6 41 42   610 621½ (man)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 12.00 6.17  
SCR  STRONG ODOR               (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
TP-7   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 8:55
See original race card.
:24 :482 1:131 1:251   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOTANICAL 2 1 11 11 1 1 1 (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 2.50 26% 2.80 0.38 W
FRIGID LADY 5 4 42 4 2 2 2 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 38% 1.60 7.55 P
10  TIKI BAR 10 10 10 10 9 5 36 (stidham mich)RAMOS D 120 8.00 7% 14.00 14.92 S
MUSTANG LADY 8 8 8 8 6 3 4 (new)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.00 7% 12.80 6.57  
GONNA CUT IT 6 6 5 53 4 4 5 (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00 27.98  
MALAWNIA 7 7 9 9 8 710½ 614¼ (tomlinson m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 12.00 34.35  
BIG PHILLY 4 2 21 21 3 6 717 (cowans wi)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 10.00 21.63  
KARMA GHIA 9 5 6 64 1010¾ 913½ 818¼ (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 120 30.00 ######  
LOLLIPOP GUMDROP 1 3 32 32 55 812 918¾ (mccarthy)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00 20.23  
DREAMING ALWAYS 3 9 7 74 7 1014 1024½ (grubbs l)FELIX E 118 30.00 65.91  
SCR  WILLOW BEND               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
 
TP-8   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:25
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:134 1:27   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MID ATLANTIC 5 4 5 42 3 1nk 12 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 122 8.00 19% 4.20 8.99 W
LAYTOWN 4 1 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 22 (walsh brenda)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 2.50 19% 4.20 1.40 P
ROUND OF APPLAUSE 3 3 8 8 6 32 3 (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00 23.41  
TRICOLOUR 1 6 9 9 9 6 4 (mil)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 4.00 33% 2.00 4.15  
10  GUS GUS 9 8 6 6 5 4 5 (garcia g)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00 5% 19.00 19.73  
13  I'M YOUR VALENTINE 11 11 4 31 4 5 610 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 122 30.00 38.37  
FIERCE DEBATE 2 7 7 7 8 85 710¼ (begg ja)DE CRUZ 122 15.00 27.16  
MIDWAY MIRACLE 6 2 21 52 7 9 811½ (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 122 20.00 28.14  
NO LIMITATION 7 5 31 2½ 2½ 7 912¼ (o'neill d)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00 14.83  
TIMEHASCOME 8 9 10 10 1013¼ 1011 1016¼ (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 8.26  
11  MR. YASUDA 10 10 1111¼ 1112¾ 1125¾ 1139 1166¾ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 5.77  
SCR  BLUNDER               (cline c)MCKEE J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DEMANDED               (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 122 30.00    
SCR  PAINTSVILLE               (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 122 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.