Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - January 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (10/11/3/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/11/3/8/5)-(10/11/3/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/11/3/8/5)-(10/11/3/8/5)-(10/11/3/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/11/3/8/5)-(7/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (10/11/3/8/5)-(7/3)-(7/2/10/6) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
TP-2   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/2/4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/3/2/4/5)-(7/3/2/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3)-(7/2/10/6) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3)-(7/2/10/6)-(9/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TP-3   WIN (7/2/10/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/10/6)-(7/2/10/6/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/2/10/6)-(7/2/10/6/9)-(7/2/10/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/2/10/6)-(9/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/10/6)-(9/3/2)-(2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
TP-4   WIN (9/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/3/2)-(9/3/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/3/2)-(9/3/2/1)-(9/3/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/3/2)-(2) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (9/3/2)-(2)-(7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
TP-5   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/10/8/14) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    TRI (2)-(2/10/8/14)-(2/10/8/14) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2)-(7/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (2)-(7/4)-(5/2/8/10) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
TP-6   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/4/3/5)-(7/4/3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/4)-(5/2/8/10) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(5/2/8/10)-(1/5/6/10) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TP-7   WIN (5/2/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/8/10)-(5/2/8/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/2/8/10)-(5/2/8/10/4)-(5/2/8/10/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/2/8/10)-(1/5/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
TP-8   WIN (1/5/6/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/10)-(1/5/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/10)-(1/5/6/10)-(1/5/6/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   01/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($22K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RHYTHMIC RULER Dec14 Jul14 May04 Mar04 Jan22 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 120 4.50    
SCR  THING Dec01 Nov14 Oct31 Oct05 Sep20 (howard d)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00    
3  MUTUAL CONFIDENCE Sep20 Sep02 Jul21 Jun29 May29 (smith larry)OUZTS W 120 8.00 9% 10.20    
4  CAN MAN DO Dec31 Aug16 Jul21 Jul14 Jun11 (kendall e)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 15.00    
5  KEEN ON YOU Dec14 Dec01 Oct18 Sep27 Sep09 (cundiff )RODRIGUEZ A 113 6.00 7% 12.40    
6  INTEND Dec22 Nov14 Oct31 Oct24 Sep20 (ell)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 20.00    
7  MASTER LEA Dec17 Oct26 Sep27 Aug30 Aug16 (bahena isma)MIRANDA ROGELIO 120 20.00    
8  FUNKY MUSIC Nov03 Oct11 Sep19 Sep07 Aug03 (fletcher kevin)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 8% 11.60    
9  TIZ DEJA BLUE Dec13 Nov14 Oct04 Sep09 Aug19 (delong ben)CANUTO THIAGO 120 20.00    
10  CORNBREAD HILL Dec14 Feb19 Jan16 Jan01   (locker )DE CRUZ 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
11  LAKE TAHOE Dec17 Nov17 Sep16 Aug08 Jul09 (cano muno)SANJUR SANTO 120 3.00 13% 6.90    
 
TP-2   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHRIMPIE Dec28 Nov11 Sep08 Aug11 Jul21 (luce ni)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
2  LOTTA ROSES Dec01 Oct17 Aug23 Jul21 Jul06 (brownfield c)RAMOS D 122 5.00 ★    
3  COURTING WAR Dec30 Dec02 Jun22 Jun08 May10 (elliott )RODRIGUEZ A 115 4.50 23% 3.40    
4  ATHENAIS Oct17 Sep22 Aug25 Jun30 Apr24 (delgado gusta)CANNON DECLAN 122 4.00 ★    
5  ARTEMUS SWEETHEART Dec22 Oct17 Sep29 Sep16 Aug14 (bush s)LEBRON VICTOR 120 5.00 ★    
6  PACIFIC GROVE (GB) Dec22 Nov20 Oct29 Oct06 Sep22 (gonz)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 15.00    
7  LUMINIST Nov13 Nov04 Sep30 Sep07 Aug20 (russell brit)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
8  CRYSTAL SNOW Nov27 Oct23 Oct07     (cristel j)SANJUR SANTO 122 8.00    
 
TP-3   01/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SOFIA STRONG Nov30 Oct19 Sep22 Aug23 Aug05 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 15.00    
2  CURRENT CLIMATE Nov21 Nov01 Oct09 Aug26 Aug03 (elliott mic)FRANKLIN MALCOM 120 6.00 20% 4.10    
SCR  DANCE RHYTHMS Nov27 Oct06 Sep03 Aug12 Jul16 (foley greg)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 5.00    
4  THREATLEVELMIDNITE (GB) Oct16 Sep08 Aug03 Jun29 Apr08 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00    
SCR  HOLDONTOYOURTIARA Nov21 Oct24 Sep12 Aug19 Aug03 (esquivel )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 20.00    
6  DOCS SEVEN Sep29 Sep09 Aug22 Jul21 Jun24 (smith larry)MACHADO LUAN 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  ATLANTIC STRIKE Oct02 Aug26 Apr17 Mar12 Jan29 (wong jonat)CORRALES GERARDO 120 3.00 48% 1.10    
8  VARTON Dec15 Oct12 Sep19 Aug29 Jul07 (klopp randy)RAMOS D 120 3.50    
9  ROYAL COUNTY Nov30 Oct17 Aug08 May30 Mar05 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 4.00 ★    
10  WORLD OF WONDER Dec21 Nov27 Nov12 Sep29 Aug23 (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 8% 11.10    
 
TP-4   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILENT VOTE Dec09 Aug05 Jul08     (foster eric)RAMOS D 120 8.00 ★    
2  PRINCE SIMBA Aug01         (man)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  EAST BY WEST Dec09         (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 120 10.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  BEER MOSA Dec02         (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 6.00 ★    
5  GO FOR IT Dec30 Nov17 Nov09 Sep26   (garcia ge)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 6.00    
6  LIFE AND LIGHT Dec11 Oct27       (morey wi)RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.00    
7  KING SHAMAN Dec30 Nov19 Sep10 Aug24   (navarrete ann)CANNON DECLAN 120 4.50    
8  STATE CHAMP Oct18 Jul10       (ortiz al)MCENTEE GRACE 120 15.00    
9  COALMINER'S KITTEN Nov11 Sep25 Aug13     (chapman)DE CRUZ 120 3.00 51% 1.00    
 
TP-5   01/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($28K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADOW BELLE Nov11 Jul09 Apr02 Mar10 Feb18 (douglass dev)MORALES JOSHUA 120 20.00    
2  DREAMFUL Dec21 Oct20 Sep22 May12 Apr20 (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 2.00 76% 0.30    
3  SONNYNEEDSMONEY         (west w)ACHARD ALEX 120 12.00    
SCR  DEISE DELIGHT (IRE) Dec21 Nov30 Oct30 Aug28 Aug06 (lyster steph)RAMOS D 120 10.00 ★    
5  MRS. K Dec01 Oct03 Sep12 Aug23 Aug04 (mullins scot)BURGOS ALBERTO 120 15.00    
6  SWEET FRAULEIN Dec31 Dec04 Nov18 Nov04 Oct15 (hernandez jav)LEBRON VICTOR 120 15.00    
7  MOMMA RIO Dec09         (brumley willia)ELLIOTT JANE 120 30.00    
8  QUICK CONVERSATION Jan05 Dec16 Oct24 Oct03 Mar18 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 ★    
SCR  BAYSHORE FOXES Nov23 Oct29 Oct08     (van thom)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00    
10  SPARE A DIME Dec16 Nov09 Oct11 Jul01   (morey will)CORRALES GERARDO 120 4.00 ★    
11  RIBALDRY (IRE) Oct30 Aug20 Jul08 Jun18 May04 (delacour )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 15.00    
12  MISS ELIANA Dec16 Oct05 Jul12     (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 120 30.00    
13  ECLIPSED Jan05 Dec16 Nov18 Oct20 Sep30 (garcia g)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00    
14  DECREE OF LOVE Dec03 Nov08 Oct24 Sep13   (mak)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 4.00 ★    
 
TP-6   01/12/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($78K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STRONG ODOR Dec09 Oct29 Sep30     (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 120 1.80 36% 1.80    
2  MAOTAI Dec01 Oct07 Sep19 Jan01   (peach chadwick )MOJICA JR 120 20.00    
3  KEEPMEINTHE MOMENT Dec18 Nov27 Nov11 Sep02 Aug20 (man)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 12.00 ★    
4  RICHIES GREAT GIRL Dec09 Oct16 Sep21 Aug22 Jul27 (cano ju)DE CRUZ 120 8.00 17% 4.90    
5  BATH AND TENNIS (IRE) Dec15 Nov30 Oct29 Oct23 Sep17 (gonzalez)RODRIGUEZ A 113 2.50 ★    
6  DISCREET KITTY Oct13 Sep13 Aug16 Jun21 Jun07 (brumley willia)ELLIOTT JANE 120 15.00    
7  THUNDER LOVE (GB) Dec15 Oct22 Sep15 Aug15 Jun29 (lobo h)RAMOS D 120 2.00 23% 3.40    
 
TP-7   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3 F PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOLLIPOP GUMDROP Dec03 Sep16 Jul30     (mccarthy)RODRIGUEZ A 113 8.00    
2  BOTANICAL Nov30 Oct16 Sep03     (cox h)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
3  DREAMING ALWAYS Dec07 Nov02 Sep22     (grubbs l)FELIX E 118 30.00    
4  BIG PHILLY Dec03         (cowans wi)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 10.00 ★    
5  FRIGID LADY Nov19 Oct22 Sep18 Aug26 Jul22 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 4.00 38% 1.60    
6  GONNA CUT IT Dec14 Nov17 Jun29 Jun08   (mcpeek kenneth )ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00    
7  MALAWNIA Dec03 Sep17 Aug13 Jul01   (tomlinson m)FRANKLIN MALCOM 122 12.00    
8  MUSTANG LADY Nov27 Oct07 Sep03 Jul31   (new)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 3.00 7% 12.80    
9  KARMA GHIA Nov27 Oct24 Oct07 Sep15 Jul14 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 120 30.00    
10  TIKI BAR Dec09 Sep13 Aug16 Jul26   (stidham mich)RAMOS D 120 8.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  WILLOW BEND Nov27 Oct28 Sep23 Aug13   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 120 20.00    
 
TP-8   01/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($25K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRICOLOUR Dec29 Dec09 Oct19 Oct10 Sep20 (mil)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
2  FIERCE DEBATE Nov06 Oct09       (begg ja)DE CRUZ 122 15.00    
3  ROUND OF APPLAUSE Dec09 Oct19       (hughes g)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00    
SCR  PAINTSVILLE Nov30 Oct19       (gonzalez )BERMUDEZ E 122 4.50    
5  LAYTOWN Dec17 Nov13 Sep23 Aug05   (walsh brenda)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
6  MID ATLANTIC Dec29 Dec07 Oct19 Sep14 Aug29 (estvanko ric)RAMOS D 122 8.00 19% 4.20    
7  MIDWAY MIRACLE Dec30 May30 Apr27 Apr09 Mar17 (lucas wayne)AYALA ISAIAS 122 20.00    
8  NO LIMITATION Dec21 Oct10 Sep28 Sep12 Jul20 (o'neill d)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
9  TIMEHASCOME Nov19 May07 Mar05 Jan22   (romans dale)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00    
10  GUS GUS Dec29 Dec09 Nov09 Mar12 Feb16 (garcia g)RODRIGUEZ A 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  MR. YASUDA Nov09         (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00    
SCR  DEMANDED Dec09         (murphy conor)ELLIOTT JANE 122 30.00    
13  I'M YOUR VALENTINE Dec31 Nov27 Nov19 Oct28 Aug16 (hammond k)BERMUDEZ E 122 30.00    
SCR  BLUNDER Dec21 Dec06 Nov02 Oct12 Sep15 (cline c)MCKEE J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.